Geophysical Research Letters Supporting Information for Role of the strengthened El Niño teleconnection in the May 2015 floods over the southern Great Plains S.-Y. Simon Wang1,2*, Wan-Ru Huang3, Huang-Hsiung Hsu4, and Robert Gillies 1Utah Climate Center, Utah State University, Logan, UT, USA of Plants, Soils, and Climate, Utah State University, Logan, UT, USA 3 Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan 4Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan 2Department Contents of this file Text S1 Figures S1 to S3 Tables S1 to S2 Text S1. (Additional explanatory text) The Great Plains LLJ is known to interact with upper-level synoptic waves and generate stronger convection (Uccellini and Johnson 1979; Uccellini 1980). A proper superposition of the LLJ with the upper-level jet can enhance upward motion throughout much of the troposphere and assist in the development of deep convection (e.g., Newton 1967). When coupled with an approaching baroclinic wave, moisture is efficiently converged over the region immediately east of the baroclinic wave in which heavy rainfall is produced (Chen and Kpaeyeh 1993; Byerle and Paegle 2003). The coupling of LLJs with the ascending branch ahead of a synoptic wave induces strong updrafts for convection, while the low-level convergence at the northern terminus of the LLJ supplies moisture and promotes precipitation (Uccellini and Johnson 1979). These synoptic characteristics are present in the May 2015 anomaly (Fig. 1c) and the long-term changes (Fig. 4b), together with the increased southerly component of the water vapor fluxes that transports moisture into the southern Great Plains. References: Byerle, L. A., and J. Paegle, 2003: Modulation of the Great Plains low-level jet and moisture transports by orography and largescale circulations. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 8611. Chen, T.-C., and J. A. Kpaeyeh, 1993: The synoptic-scale environment associated with the low-level jet of the Great Plains. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 416–420. 1 Newton, C. W., 1967: Severe convective storms. Advances in Geophysics, Vol. 12, Academic Press, 257–303. Uccellini, L. W., 1980: On the role of upper tropospheric jet streaks and leeside cyclogenesis in the development of low-level jets in the Great Plains. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 1689–1696. ——, and D. R. Johnson, 1979: The coupling of upper and lower tropospheric jet streaks and implications for the development of severe convective storms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 682–703. Figure S1. Same as Figs. 3a and 3c except for the May 250-hPa geopotential height and global precipitation anomalies derived from the CMIP5 ensemble of NAT and GHG. Coutures are +/- 25 m. Notice the anomalous trough in the western U.S. (arrow indicated) and the stronger precipitation in GHG (outlined)that is stronger in GHG than in NAT. The Nino-3.4 index was standardized so the variables reflect their native unit. Figure S2. Power spectral analysis of the zonal wave regimes in the 250-hPa streamfunction anomaly of May 2015, averaged within the latitude zone of 30º-50ºN. Note the increased power at wave #5. 2 Figure S3. (Top to bottom) April precipitation anomaly in mm obtained from http://water.weather.gov/precip/. Soil moisture anomaly provided by the Climate Prediction Center for April 2015 and May 2015. Notice the increased precipitation in Texas. 3 Acronym Model full name Center/Institute, country Resolution Ensemble (lon.xlat.) size (max) BCC-CSM1 Beijing Climate Center, Climate System Beijing Climate Center, Meteorological 2.8° x 2.8° 1 Model, version 1.1 Administration, China BNU-ESM Beijing Normal University—Earth College of Global Change and Earth 2.8° x 2.8° 1 System Model System Science (GCESS), China CanESM2 Canadian Earth System Model, version 2 Canadian Center for Climate Modeling 2.8° x 2.8° 5 and Analysis, Canada CCSM4 Community Climate System Model, National Center for Atmospheric 1.25°x1.0° 5 version 4 Research, USA CNRM-CM5 Centre National de Recherches National Centre for Meteorological 1.4° x 1.4° 10 Météorologiques Coupled Global Climate Research, France Model, version 5 CSIRO-Mk3 Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Commonwealth Scientific and 1.8° x 1.8° 10 Research Organisation Mark, version Industrial Research Organization/ 3.6.0 Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence, AUS FGOALS-g2 Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land LASG, Institute of Atmospheric 2.8° x 1.6° 4 System Model, grid point version 2 Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China GFDL-CM3 Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics 2.5° x 2.0° 5 Climate Model version 3 Laboratory, USA GFDL-ESM2 Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics 2.5° x 2.0° 3 Earth Science Model 2 with Modular Laboratory, USA Ocean Model (MOM), version 4.1 GISS-E2-H Goddard Institute for Space Studies NASA Goddard Institute for Space 2.5° x 2.0° 5 Atmospheric Model E, version 2, coupled Studies, USA with the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HyCOM) GISS-E2-R Goddard Institute for Space Studies NASA Goddard Institute for Space 2.5° x 2.0° 5 Model E, version 2, coupled with Russell Studies, USA ocean model HadGEM2-ES Hadley Centre Global Environmental Met Office Hadley Centre, UK 1.8° x 1.25° 4 Model 2, Earth System IPSL-CM5A- L'Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace Coupled Institute Pierre Simon Laplace, France 2.5° x 1.25° 1 MR Model, version 5A, medium resolution MIROCESM-CHEM Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate Earth System Model, chemistry coupled version Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (The University of Tokyo), and National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, and National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan Meteorological Research Institute, Japan 2.8° x 2.8° 3 2.8° x 2.8° 3 1.1° x 1.1° 3 Norwegian Climate Center, Norway 2.5° x 1.9° 3 MIROC-ESM Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate Earth System Model MRI-CGCM3 Meteorological Research Institute Coupled General Circulation Model, version 3 NorESM1-M Norwegian Earth System Model, version 1, intermediate resolution Table S1. Full name, institute, ensemble size, and spatial resolution of the CMIP5 models. 4 Name Full Name & Agency Spatial Resolution MERRA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) 1.0° long. x lat. extrapolated to 2.5° ERA-Interim ECMWF Interim Reanalysis Project, by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) 1.5° long. x lat. extrapolated to 2.5° CFSR Climate Forecast System Reanalysis, by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 2.5° long. x lat. JRA-25 Japanese 25-year ReAnalysis, by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) 2.5° long. x lat. Table S2. Full name, institute, and spatial resolution of the 4 global reanalyses used for the computation of post-1979 trends in the circulation features. 5