Chapter 9 Alternate hypothesis H1 For a binomial distribution, p hat is the number of successes divided by the number of trials. This can be used as a point estimate for p, the population proportion of successes. (For more information, review Section 8.3) Criteria for using normal approximation to binomial, np > 5 and nq > 5 For a distribution with a sufficiently large number of trials, the normal distribution can be used to approximate the binomial distribution. The number of trials multiplied by the probability of failure should be greater than 5. The number of trials multiplied by the probability of success should also be greater than 5, and this value can be used as the mean. Multiply together the number of trials, the probability of success, and the probability of failure to obtain the variance. Take the square root of the variance to get the standard deviation. (For more information, review Section 9.3) Critical region The values of a distribution for which we reject the null hypothesis are called the critical region of the distribution. Depending on the alternate hypothesis, the critical region is located on the left side, the right side, or both sides of the distribution. (For more information, review Section 9.2) Critical value Critical values are the boundaries of the critical region. Critical values are designated as z0 for the standard normal distribution. (For more information, review Section 9.2) Hypotheses Hypotheses are assertions that you assume to be true for the purposes of investigation. (For more information, review Section 9.1) Hypothesis testing Hypothesis testing is used to examine the validity of a hypothesis, such as the value of a parameter estimate. The central question in hypothesis testing is whether or not you think the value of the sample test statistic is too far away from the value of the population parameter proposed in the null hypothesis to occur by chance alone. (For more information, review Section 9.1) P-value Assuming the null hypothesis is true, the probability that the test statistic will take on values as extreme as or more extreme than the observed test statistic (computed from sample data) is called the P-value of the test. The smaller the P-value computed from sample data, the stronger the evidence against the null hypothesis. (For more information, review Section 9.1) Left-tailed test A statistical test is left-tailed if the alternate hypothesis states that the parameter is less than the value claimed in the null hypothesis. (For more information, review Section 9.1) Level of significance The probability with which we are willing to risk a type I error is called the level of significance of a test. It is denoted by the Greek letter alpha. (For more information, review Section 9.1) Null hypothesis H0 The null hypothesis is the statement that is under investigation or being tested. Usually the null hypothesis represents a statement of "no effect," "no difference," or, put another way, "things haven’t changed." (For more information, review Section 9.1) Power of a test (1 - beta) The quantity 1 - beta is called the power of the test and represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is, in fact, false. (For more information, review Section 9.1) Right-tailed test A statistical test is right-tailed if the alternate hypothesis states that the parameter is greater than the value claimed in the null hypothesis. (For more information, review Section 9.1) Statistical significance In statistical work, significance means that at the alpha level of risk, the evidence (sample data) against the null hypothesis is sufficient to discredit it, so we adopt the alternate hypothesis. We do not claim that we have "proved" or "disproved" the null hypothesis, only that the probability of a type I error (rejecting the null hypothesis when it is, in fact, true) is alpha. (For more information, review Section 9.1) Two-tailed test A statistical test is two-tailed if the alternate hypothesis states that the parameter is different from (or not equal to) the value claimed in the null hypothesis. (For more information, review Section 9.1)