WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION Report on the National Food Security Situation for the DPG Meeting of February 2011 Highlights 1. Food insecure households are targeted with food assistance The government is currently targeting food insecure and vulnerable household with food assistance from the National Food Reserve Agency (NFRA). About 4,000 Mt have been released from the NFRA for this purpose 2. Crop Pests and animal Diseases outbreak There has been outbreak of crop pests and animal disease in some regions and control measures are in place to contain the problems. 3. Government is planning to assess food situation in the bimodal rainfall areas The Government and partners are jointly planning to undertake a comprehensive food security and nutrition assessment covering 20 districts in six regions in the bimodal rainfall areas in Tanzania Mainland later this month. 4. Government reserve stocks swells to over 208,000 Metric Tons (MT) The Government through the National Food Reserve Agency (NFRA) has been building its emergency reserve to over 208,000 MT accounting to about 140% of the recommended annual level of 150,000 MT. 5. Food insecure households are targeted with seeds assistance FAO is currently distributing emergency seed in 24 districts using part of the financial contribution made by DfID early this year. Approximately 218,000 are targeted. 6. Floods Alert in Southern African countries 7. Food prices fairly stable in Tanzania compared to Global indicators Although according to the FAO Food Price Index (FFPI) the global prices of maize and wheat rose by up to 3.4% in January 2011 from December 2010 and blaming the increase on declining supplies, the trend in Tanzania shows prices of those commodities stabilizing to their five-year average. 8 The CAADP Investment Plan is being finalized, as the government-led awareness workshops have been held in various zones of the country. Technical review of the draft 1 Investment Plan is progressing with external support from the FAO Hqs and some Development Partners in the agriculture and nutrition sector in the country. 2 1. Implementation of the Food Security and Nutrition interventions recommended by September 2010 assessment Following the assessment report conducted by the MUCHALI (Mfumo wa Uchambuzi wa Uhakika wa Chakula na Lishe) teams highlighting the food security and nutrition situation for 2010/11 in the country the Tanzania National Relief Committee (TANDREC) met in December 2010 and approved the recommended interventions in the most critical areas. The report indicated overall significant food security and nutrition improvements in the country, compared to the 2009/10 market year with a larger part of the population likely to have fairly stable access to food at least until January 2011. Nevertheless, the report highlighted 423,530 people mostly from the Councils of Longido, Monduli, Ngorongoro, Ruangwa and Simanjiro to be facing acute food access problems, and requiring food assistance amounting to 13,766 metric tons (MT) for the period of November 2010 to January 2011, comprising of 1,376 MT for free distributions to 42,353 extremely resource weak people with low resilience; and the remaining 12,386 MT for subsidized prices for 381,177 people. Furthermore, the report recommended seed assistance amounting to 3,208 MT to the resource weak and vulnerable households for supporting recovery of their livelihoods. The DMD in the PMO is currently involved in coordinating food distribution to the targeted vulnerable households. Since July 2010, about 3,000 MT of maize grains have been drawned from the NFRA for food insecure population through the DMD-PMO. 2. Reported outbreaks of pests and diseases 2.1 Rodents: New rodent outbreaks continue to pose a threat to crop production and household food security. Control and surveillance processes by both MAFC and Local Government Authority experts are continuing in all the infested District Councils in the regions of (Mtwara, Morogoro, Pwani, Arusha , Lindi, Ruvuma and Arusha The magnitude of the outbreak, this year, appears to be bigger than in the past two years. While the Government is taking necessary control measures, it may need external support. 2.2. Armyworms: Outbreak has been reported in Lindi Rural (Lindi Region) and Mvomero District (Morogoro Region). Teams of experts are in the field undertaking control measures. 2.4. Swine fever Swine fever disease outbreak was reported end of December 2010 in three districts of Mbeya Region namely; Kyela, Rungwe and Ileje. Of the three, Kyela is most affected in 8 of its wards reporting over 460 animals dead; Rungwe, over 300 animals reported dead and Ileje around 14 animals dead. A team comprising of Veterinarians from the Ministry of Livestock Development and Fisheries working in close collaboration with the districts’ and regional experts looked into the matter to ascertain the severity of the problem. Current Situation The situation is currently under control, with much reduced mortalities as a result of close cooperation between the District Commissioners and the District Veterinary Officers in enforcing the relevant laws and regulations. 3 3. Government to assess the impact of poor short rains performance A comprehensive food security and nutrition assessment covering 20 districts in six regions in the bimodal rainfall areas in Tanzania Mainland is tentatively planned to take place from mid February this year. This assessment has been triggered by various reports including the final food crop production forecast by the Ministry of Agriculture in January 2011 indicating reduced food production in localized areas due to below normal rainfall performance during the 2010/11 vuli season. The assessment will be conducted in the following districts: Shinyanga (R), Meatu, Kahama, Shinyanga (M), Kishapu, Maswa, Ngorongoro, Meru, Karatu, Monduli, Rorya, Musoma (M), Musoma (R), Bunda, Tarime, Mvomero, Morogoro (R), Same, Mwanga and Magu. The assessments is anticipated to determine the impact of the poor food production output on the peoples’ livelihoods, and their food security and nutrition, as well as the required intervention for the vulnerable populations. 4. Emergency food stocks build up to over 208,000 MT The Government through the National Food Reserve Agency (NFRA) has been building its emergency reserve to 208,321MT accounting to about 140% of the recommended level of 150,000 MT. During the current marketing season, 2010 -2011, the government has purchased over 168,000 MT, an activity which is still ongoing in maize surplus areas. The stocks are prepositioned in the NFRA’s seven (7) strategic locations of Arusha, Dar es Salaam, Songea, Makambako, Dodoma, Sumbawanga and Shinyanga. The Government has also released about 3,000MT from this reserve for various food security interventions in the country since July 2010. 5. Emergency Seed Distribution FAO has been involved with distribution of maize, paddy and sorghum seed to 24 districts using part of the financial contribution from DFID made available at the beginning of last year. Over 211,600 households have currently been provided with seed aid amounting to over 398 MT of maize seed, 420 MT of sorghum seed and 121 MT of Paddy seed. All the seed has been delivered, distributed and planted in most farmers’ fields 6. Floods Alert in Southern African countries According to the Regional rainfall forecast, all countries in the Southern African region (under SADC) are expected to receive normal to above-normal between January and March 2011. This has been flowed by release of alert on possible floods with potential negative consequences to the lives and livelihood of the people living along floods prone areas. Response preparedness measures including contingency are being activated in each country by the national disaster management authorities. Although Tanzania ranks low in the likely scenario, monitoring of early warning indicators and activation of emergency contingency plan is crucial. 7. Availability of staple foods and food prices Although according to the FAO Food Price Index (FFPI) the global prices of maize and wheat rose by up to 3.4% in January 2011 from December 2010 and blaming the increase on declining supplies, the trend in Tanzania shows prices of those commodities stabilizing to their five-year average (2006-2010); and further analysis revealed that they are 26-35% lower than those of January 2010. This trend implies a satisfactory availability and supply of food commodities to rural and urban markets despite a failed 2010/11 short rains (vuli) season. 4 Figure 1: Average Monthly Wholesale Prices of Maize in Reference Urban Markets in Tanzania Mainland Arusha Market Dar es Salaam Market 60000 Tsh per 100 Kilogram 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 2011 2006-10 Average 2010 2011 Dec Nov Oct Sep Jul Aug Jun May Apr Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2010 Mar 0 0 Feb 2006-10 Average Shinyanga Market Dodoma Market 60000 Tsh Per 100 Kilogram Tsh per 100 Kilogram 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 2011 2010 2006-10 Average 5 2011 Nov Dec Sep Oct Jul Aug Jan Feb Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Jan Feb 2010 May Jun 0 0 Mar Apr Tsh per 100 Kilogram 60000 2006-10 Average Figure 2: Average Nominal Monthly Wholesale Prices of Wheat in Reference Urban Markets in Tanzania Mainland Sumbawanga Market Morogoro Market 120000 100000 Tsh per 100 Kilogram 2011 2010 2009 2011 Dec Oct Nov Sep Aug Jul Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Jul 2010 Aug Jun May 0 Apr 0 Mar 20000 Jan 20000 Jun 40000 May 40000 60000 Apr 60000 80000 Mar 80000 Feb 100000 Feb 2009 Tanga Market 120000 100000 Tsh per 100 Kilogram 80000 60000 40000 20000 2009 2011 Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb 0 Jan Tsh per 100 Kilogram 120000 2010 8. CAADP PROCESS GAINING MOMENTUM IN TANZANIA The CAADP Investment Plan is being finalized, as the government-led awareness workshops have been held in various zones in Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar since January 2011. Review of the draft Investment Plan is in progress with external support from the FAO Hqs and Development Partners in the agriculture and nutrition sector among other stakeholders. The Investment Plan will be presented to the Technical Review meeting for final input from wider stakeholders. Thereafter, the Government will convene a Business Meeting to bring in potential investors to share their view and interest to support the plan financially. >>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<<<= 6