SUBMISSION TO THE DEPARTMENT OF PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET NORTHERN AUSTRALIA GREEN PAPER AUGUST 6, 2014 Queensland Farmers’ Federation Ltd. ACN 055 764 488 ABN 44 055 764 488 PO Box 12009 George St, Level 6, 183 North Quay, Brisbane QLD 4003 Phone: 07 3837 4747 Fax: 07 3236 4100 Email: qfarmers@qff.org.au Web Site: http://www.qff.org.au Queensland Farmers’ Federation (QFF) is the peak body representing and uniting 15 of Queensland’s rural industry organisations who work on behalf of primary producers across the state. QFF’s mission is to secure a sustainable future for Queensland primary producers within a favourable social, economic and political environment by representing the common interests of its member organisations. QFF’s core business centres on resource security; water resources; environment and natural resources; industry development; economics; quarantine and trade. Our goal is to secure a sustainable and profitable future for our members, as a core growth sector of the economy. Our members include: o CANEGROWERS, o Cotton Australia, o Growcom, o Nursery and Garden Industry Queensland, o Queensland Aquaculture Industries Federation, o Queensland Chicken Growers Association, o Queensland Dairyfarmers’ Organisation, o Queensland Chicken Meat Council, o Queensland United Egg Producers, o Flower Association of Queensland Inc., o Pork Queensland Inc., o Australian Organic o Pioneer Valley Water Co-operative Limited, o Central Downs Irrigators Limited, and o Burdekin River Irrigators Area Committee QFF appreciates the opportunity to present this submission to the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet regarding the Northern Australia Green Paper. This submission should be considered in the context of numerous other QFF submissions (and QFF member organisation submissions) on northern Australia development, including both current and past processes, which most recently includes a submission to the Joint Select Committee on Northern Australia. This submission should also be considered in context with QFF’s recent submissions to the Agricultural Competitiveness Task Force (2014) and the National Food Plan (2011). This White Paper / Green Paper process must also be considered in the context of other broader industry strategies including the National Farmers’ Federation’s Blueprint for Australian Agriculture and the Queensland Government’s Agriculture strategy, which plans to increase the value of agricultural production to $40 billion by 2040. The myriad of submissions and work currently available underscores the complexity of the challenge in developing Northern Australia, and the current lack of meaningful development in the north in proportion to the amount of study and time devoted to this development. QFF sees that the studies and groundwork are done, and that it is past time for government policy and action to catch up. This means we need to see sensible and sustainable development of the north, facilitated by policies that encourage growth and development, along with sufficient support for supply chain and logistics development, as well as market development. Further years of study and process will only continue to resign northern Australian development as a perpetual election pledge, presented as a colourful headline but without subsequent policy substantiation. QFF submission: Northern Australia Green PaperDocument1 QFF: 07 3837 4747 2 QFF reiterates the following points that we made recently to the Joint Select Committee on Northern Australia. Lessons learned. This inquiry must consider the existing plethora of historical and current research in the development of Northern Australia. QLD Agriculture Strategy. The Queensland Government has developed a strategy with the intent primarily around growing the Queensland sector and doing so via strategic leadership and collaboration between Government and industry. Any development of Northern Australia requires consideration of and collaboration with this strategy. Integration. The success of further Northern Australia development will require integration of markets; supply chains, people and industry skills, biosecurity measures, flexible infrastructure, and stable Government policy, particularly for international trade and environmental management. It also requires market-driven investment in research, development and extension for national and international arenas – delivered through an adaptive planning process capable of accepting and responding to input from all levels, including the historical and individual experience from current primary producers. Market Access. Growth in production must occur simultaneously with growth in market demand. Australia has a highly productive and efficient farming system, but it is also among the most expensive to operate in the world. The Australian farming system also operates to very high environmental and sustainable standards, in line with community and government expectations, but this comes with a significant cost for primary producers. There is a crucial role for government and industry to educate consumers about the cost and value of Australian-produced food. Government appears to be gradually accepting the pragmatic reality that Australia cannot become the food bowl of Asia per se; but that it has an important role to playing in filling some market demands and in particular niche areas. Supporting Australian produce is ultimately a good outcome for local economies and also the environment (both locally and globally due to our efficient farming system), and greater initiatives for consumer education on this matter are needed. The further development of Northern Australia needs to engage and involve entire supply chains. Agriculture Planning Principles. The inquiry must consider an adaptive planning process which includes planning instruments to support harmonious coexistence of agricultural, industrial and urban development. More broadly, QFF believes there are significant opportunities to further support business and facilitate the careful strategic expansion of agriculture in Northern Australia. However, without the right mix of investment and stable Government policy, significant barriers and constraints may occur. The inquiry must acknowledge that Northern Australia includes large areas of Queensland where horticultural businesses are well established and any development outside these areas which creates an oversupply of product in the domestic market could not be supported. Northern Australia opportunities The opportunities associated with population growth in Asia are becoming increasingly clear and documented as a major opportunity for Australian agricultural value chains. Harnessing these opportunities needs a multi-pronged approach, driven at the foundation by market QFF submission: Northern Australia Green PaperDocument1 QFF: 07 3837 4747 3 development and investment, supply chain management, sound planning principles, and secure farm profitability and productivity. But even before this market development occurs, farmers expect government policies that continually seek to improve their productivity and profitability. Only when farmers are confident in their ongoing viability are they able to have the resources to devote to exploring and developing new market opportunities. Conversely, farmers who are under pressure from regulatory burdens or reduced margins have little time or capital or motivation to invest in new market opportunities. In short, this is why a partnership between this process and the Agricultural Competitiveness Taskforce is so vital – to ensure that government policies are underpinning the fundamentals of agricultural productivity. This is one of the key ingredients of successful northern development. There are a number of levers at the government’s disposal to encourage northern development. QFF will restrict the following comments to our areas of expertise, which are specifically agricultural policy and associated policy. Regarding northern development, the following options should be considered and addressed: Transport infrastructure. Roads and railways in Far North Queensland are inadequate to cater for a large increase in freight movement and general population growth. Any new infrastructure needs to be of a sufficient scale and standard to be resilient to natural disaster risks posed in the region. Ports. Port access must be commensurate to accommodate new development and freight infrastructure, facilitating fast-flowing bulk freight. Environment. The strategy must look to harness natural resources such as water, while recognising environmental restraints and challenges. Government regulation. Regulation must be efficient yet minimal, of a nature to encourage safe and sustainable development, but not impose costs and frustration. Value chains. Processing and supply chain infrastructure needs to improve to match the potential at the farm gate, driven for example through government grant programs. It also requires integration and innovation of production systems and supply chains. QFF is happy to collaborate with the government and other stakeholders on specific policy measures around each of the above. The government must recognise the will and eagerness of existing enterprises to expand their capacity but that these enterprises are facing restraints through all of the above. Some of the potential growth could be realised through relatively simply grants and development programs, and in particular reinstating a number of export develop grants that were abolished in the 2014 budget would be an ideal starting position, with a re-focus on northern Australia. The proximity of northern Australia to the world’s most populous and growing countries is a major advantage. More than 40 percent of the world’s population can be accessed via eight hours or less flying time from Cairns and even shorter times from Darwin. Bulk freight is also at a huge advantage that must be maintained. Costs of most bulk freight from northern Australia to China is less than half per tonne than bulk freight from Brazil, with the travelling time is nine days compared to six weeks. Australian Government policies must continue to maintain and enhance Australia’s competitive proximity advantage and ensure that other costs along the supply chain don’t increase disproportionately and thereby erode this advantage. The demographic statistics of Asia and the growing middle class’s demand for protein are well documented and QFF expects that more detailed commentary on this aspect of the QFF submission: Northern Australia Green PaperDocument1 QFF: 07 3837 4747 4 policy discussion will be forthcoming from others. Nevertheless, it is abundantly clear that there is huge opportunity for Australian farm exports into this growing market and also that realising that potential cannot be taken for granted. Without investment and development in our supply chains, our competitors will capitalise on the opportunity ahead of us. The rise of the New Zealand dairy industry following a Free Trade Agreement between New Zealand and China is a notable example of the potential benefits of a positive trade deal – and the consequences when Australia is left behind. Another more anecdotal example comes with Australian tiger prawns, which 10 years ago were considered to be an absolute premium product in Japan. As the rest of the world matched our production standards, that premium has eroded. Similar risk has been predicted to increase with a demographic change, as people born in the 1980s become the major buying market and have a closer look at price and convenience than their parents did. China has 93 cities with a population larger than five million (bigger than any city in Australia). About half of the country is currently urbanised, which will increase to about 70 percent by 2050. The country has 20 percent of the world’s population but just 7pc of the fresh water and 9pc of the arable land, which is stoking investment into Australian agriculture and increasing the country’s concerns about food security and self-sufficiency. The Asian population will be 4 billion by 2030, accounting for two thirds of the world’s people. Meat consumption is predicted to double in China and southeast Asia by 2050. In 1990, beef consumption across the year was 1kg per person, but it is expected to be 10kg by 2050. The potential is enormous and growing – just as there is the opportunity for Queensland to realise this potential. With an estimated 38 percent of Queensland agricultural production occurring in North Queensland, the time is right for industry, government, and other stakeholders to partner to develop export markets out of this region. Limitations The infrastructure limitations in northern Australia are equally well known and documented but, as with many aspects of northern Australia, are best understood with first-hand experience. The sparse population and vast distances reflect the basic infrastructure development, which becomes more acute moving away from the coast and inland as the population becomes even lesser. The government must partner with industry and other stakeholders to solve the ongoing ‘chicken-and-egg’ dilemma that is associated with new industries and their need for the necessary infrastructure to support them. For example, in recent years there has been a serious attempt to grow cotton in the Burdekin region near Townsville. While scientific and commercial trials demonstrated that new transgenic varieties are capable of producing profitable yields and quality, the industry has not established due in part to a lack of adequate supporting infrastructure. The nearest processing facility is more than 600km away at Emerald, putting transport costs generally at more than $60 per bale, which eroded the profitability of the venture. Without a local cotton gin, there was understandable insufficient interest from local cane growers to commit to cotton, while no ginning company saw it suitable to make the multi million investment in a gin until the industry was more established. QFF looks for the government to identify creative solutions to this ongoing and familiar challenge to northern development. Notable northern development requires capital that cannot be supplied solely from existing landholders or indeed from within the region. It requires a mix of capital inflows that QFF submission: Northern Australia Green PaperDocument1 QFF: 07 3837 4747 5 include corporate investors, passive individual investors, superannuation funds, active individual investors, and foreign investors. Too often, foreign investment is used as a political football using arguments based on negativity, fear and oversimplicity. Foreign investment has long provided important stimulus for agricultural productivity growth and helped support the capital value of existing land and water. This has therefore assisted existing landholders with leveraging opportunities. Rather than focusing on the negative aspects of foreign investment, it is the role of government to alleviate issues by ensuring that foreign investment is monitored carefully and reported, and that foreign investors are subject to the same taxation and other laws as existing enterprises. In addition, the government should reinforce to Australian investors the high and long-term value of Australian agriculture as an asset class. The above raises the obvious question that the government should help answer: if overseas investors can see the value of Australian agriculture, why can’t Australian domestic investors? Governments of all persuasions in recent years have demonstrated policy inconsistency that has exacerbated concerns over sovereign risk (examples being the live export ban, the blocking of the Abel Tasman fishing vessel, and the rejection of the Archer Daniels Midland takeover of Graincorp). This inconsistency raises the risk that foreign or other institutional investors may deem Australia too risky a place to invest. Government policies must be clear and consistent and welcoming toward sensible investment and growth prospects. The Government needs to recognise the role of inflowing capital to stimulating agricultural growth. The above issues are also related to debt issues impacting some Queensland farm industries, and in particular the northern beef industry. These debt issues have been heightened due to decreased asset values for northern grazing land in particular, the Indonesian live export ban, and drought. It is concerning that there is no longer a clear mechanism for rural industries to assess the farm debt situation. A biennial survey had been commissioned by QRAA and the banks to gauge rural debt, but with speculation that there could be a transition to a national survey, this QRAA report is in hiatus. It must be a matter of government priority to see such a survey reinstated so that policy makers have a clear understanding of the debt situation. While there have been some government measures that are aimed at ameliorating these debt issues, it is clear that the challenge will linger for the foreseeable future, and will be linked in many ways to the future of northern development. Conclusion QFF continues to be a strong supporter of sensible and sustainable northern development. We continue to be frustrated by the slow progress of this development and hope that this current White Paper process will facilitate meaningful development. The opportunities are enormous for the Australian economy, with great potential to feed millions of people across Australia and Asia. The next step is for proactive government leadership that facilitates collaboration and innovation in the region. QFF submission: Northern Australia Green PaperDocument1 QFF: 07 3837 4747 6