Reflection Paper on Comparative Business Ethics Professor: Rajiv Krishnan Kozhikode Group 5 Afrakoma Amponsah 301150605 Xiaoyi Zhuang 301114713 Reflection Paper on Comparative Business Ethics The underground economy is a real life fact and there are strong indications that it is increasing rapidly. In the assigned article, the author sheds light on some of the causes of the underground economy. Some of these reasons are politicization of economic activity, more regulation and bureaucracy, higher tax burden on those in the official economy, weak rule of law, and high corruption. According to Johnson, Kaufmann and Zoido-Lobatón if there is a high politicization of economic activity, more regulations and bureaucracy, higher tax burden on those in the official economy, weak rule of law, and high corruption, companies and individuals simply react by moving to the shadow economy. In this critique we attempt to define what the unofficial economy is, give a picture of the size and growth of the unofficial economy in a variety of countries, shed more light on the causes of the growth of the unofficial economy, the effects of the unofficial economy on the official economy and methods used in measuring the shadow economy. It is quiet difficult to fully define the shadow economy because it adjusts to changes in taxes, sanctions from tax authorities and general moral attitudes (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). The most comprehensive definition of what the unofficial economy is can be seen in the table below: Source: Rolf Mirus and Roger S. Smith (1997, p. 5), with additional remark.. As cited Schneider, F., & H. Enste, D’s article “Shadow economies: Size, causes, and consequences” Table 1 shows that the shadow economy comprises of illegal and legal activities. According to Table 1, the shadow economy constitutes of all unrecorded income from the production of legal goods and services, either from monetary or barter transactions, thus, all economic activities that would have been taxed if were they reported to the tax officials (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). Source: Schneider, F., & H. Enste, D’s article “Shadow economies: Size, causes, and consequences” The size of the shadow economy varies from country to country. Table 2 above gives us an idea of the magnitude of the shadow economy in selected developing, transition and OECD countries. Developing countries like Nigeria, Egypt and Thailand have an underground sector that is three-quarters the size of the officially recorded GDP. Asian countries which have a comparatively small public sector, high tax morale and/or high expected punishment such as Singapore and Hong Kong have shadow economies that are as low as those of Northern European countries. The Scandinavian countries have quite a high shadow economy as a result of the high fiscal burden1. While the countries with the smallest shadow economies are usually countries with relatively small public sectors and high tax morale such as USA and Switzerland (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). Although some western European countries and the USA have really low percentage of shadow economy, there has been a significant growth in their shadow economies between 1960 and 1995 which can be seen in table 3. The size of the shadow economy, more than doubled for each country (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). Source: Schneider, F., & H. Enste, D’s article “Shadow economies: Size, causes, and consequences” There are many reasons for the existence and growth of the shadow economy. Some of these reasons will be discussed below: 1. The rise of the burden of taxes and social security contributions: Taxes affect labourleisure choices (the trade off faced by workers between time spent in working and time spent in deriving satisfaction in doing leisure activities) and could also stimulate labour 1 The influence of the tax levied on the taxpayer’s purchasing power (Wikipedia Encyclopedia, 2011). supply in the shadow economy. Therefore, the bigger the difference between the total cost of labour in the official economy and after-tax earnings, the greater the incentive to avoid this difference and to work in the shadow economy (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). Norman V Loayza carried a study in 1996 to show the effects of excessive taxes and regulations on the informal sector especially when government lacks the capability to enforce the rules. The results proved that tax burdens positively affect the growth of the shadow economy. While the strength and efficiency of government institutions have a negative influence on the shadow economy. This goes to support the second proposition in the first article where Johnson says, “the unofficial economy should be larger when there is a bigger tax burden on firms in the official sector, where "burden" on the firm is the outcome of how the tax system is administered as well as what the rates are” (Johnson, Kaufmann & Zoido-Lobaton, 1998). 2. Intensity of regulations – In Johnson et al. article they mention that the share of the unofficial economy increases when there is more regulation and more discretion for officials to decide how the regulatory system operates (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). In the second article, the intensity of regulations is measured by the number of rules and requirements such as licenses, labour market regulations, labour restrictions for foreigners and trade barriers. A high intensity of regulations makes labour cost in the official market increase. In the unofficial market, organizations could shift these costs to the employees hence they exist to the unofficial market. Government sometimes increases the number of rules because it increases power to bureaucracy and higher employment in the public sector. However, these findings emphasize on the fact that, when its not exactly necessary to create more rules, government should emphasize on the implementation of the rules instead of increasing the number of rules as not all politicians may have a sincere interest in reducing the shadow economy. 3. Social Transfers: Countries with extremely generous social welfare systems create a negative incentive for the beneficiaries to find a job in the official market. This is because, if they are to find a job in the unofficial market, their combined income (i.e. social welfare benefits plus income from unofficial market) will be greater than their income if they solely find a job in the official market. It’s even more important to note that the income made in the unofficial economy will not be taxed. 4. Public sector services –In Johnson et al. article they talk about the downward spiral which is also supported by Schneider et al. An increase of the shadow economy actually leads to a decrease in the quantity and quality of public goods and services and administration that are being provided. This can eventually lead to higher tax rates and a burden in the official economy and hence an even stronger motivation for companies and individuals to move to the shadow economy (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). 5. Labour market: Two main aspects of the labour market contribute to the shadow economy. These are: overregulation and labour costs. In most OECD countries, unemployment is to some extent caused by the high total labour costs. There are also countries such as France and Germany that reduced working hours in order to reduce unemployment. However, because some of the employees who had their hours reduced were not necessarily in favour of the new labour hour regulations, so they began to work in the shadow economy. 6. Although all the reasons mentioned above are economic, there are other reasons for which people choose to work in the shadow economy. Some of these non-economic reasons include tax morale and perceived fairness of the tax system, decline of civic virtue and loyalty towards public institutions. Since the shadow economy and the official economy are intertwined, officials should take the shadow economy in consideration when making tax laws and regulations for the official economy. There are two school of thought concerning the growth rate of the official economy, as a result of the existence of the shadow economy. A study on Belgium by Markus C. Adam and Victor Ginsburg (1985) show that there is a positive relationship between the growth of the shadow economy and the official economy under certain assumptions (i.e. the low entry cost into the shadow economy as a result of low chance of enforcement). According to the study, an expansionary fiscal policy 2is positive for both the formal and informal economy (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). Another hypothesis however, is that a decrease in the shadow economy leads to an increase in tax revenues and public services which stimulate economic growth. Loayza (1996) through a study discovered that in economies where the statutory tax burden is larger than optimal and where enforcement of compliance is too weak, the increase in the shadow economy limits economic growth (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). This is because Government policies that aim to increase government expenditure and reduces taxes to influence the economy 2 of the negative correlation between the shadow economy and economic growth, while public infrastructure is a key element of economic growth (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). There are three main ways by which the shadow economy is calculated and these will be discussed below: 1. The direct approach - This is a microeconomic approach where surveys are voluntarily filled or through tax auditing and other compliance methods. The advantage of this method is the detailed information that is obtained about the shadow economy. However just like any questionnaire, responses are subject to the way that the questions are formed and also subject to the cooperation of the audience. Additionally, the shadow economy could also be measured by the difference between the income reported for tax purposes and their income measured by selective checks through fiscal auditing. However, the shadow economy determined through this method is only a portion that the authorities succeeded in discovering. 2. The indirect approach - These approaches look at calculating the shadow economy from a macroeconomic level. The different types of indirect approaches will be discussed below: a. The Discrepancy between National Expenditure and Income Statistics - In national accounting, the GNP expenditure should be equal to the national income of GNP. Therefore the gap between the expenditure measure and the income measure can be used as a measure of the shadow economy. Statisticians will try to minimize this difference hence the initial difference calculated and not the published difference should be used. This approach is of questionable reliability because its difficult to calculate an accurate GNP expenditure (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). b. Discrepancy between the Official and Actual Labour Force - A decrease in labour force activity in the official economy can be seen as an increase in the labour activity of the shadow if total labour force participation is assumed to be constant. The disadvantage of this method is that the differences in labour rate participation may be as a result of other reasons. In addition, there are some workers who are active in both the unofficial and official economy (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). c. The Transaction Approach - In the research for transaction approach, Feige (1979, 1989, and 1996) assumes that there is a constant relation over time between the volume of transactions and the GNP. The shadow economy can be calculated by subtracting the official GNP from total nominal GNP. However, some assumptions have to be made about the velocity of money, the relationship between the value of total transactions and the total nominal GNP (official +unofficial). This method also requires an assumption of a base year in which there is no shadow economy thereby making it unreliable (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). d. The currency demand approach - This method assumes that the shadow market engages in only cash transactions; hence an increase in the shadow economy will lead to an increase in the demand for currency. This method involves a mathematical formula which actually takes into consideration just one factor which is tax burden and none other. This happens to be one of the limitations of the currency method. Furthermore, not all transactions in the shadow economy are actually paid in cash (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). e. The Physical Input (Electricity Consumption) Method - Kaufmann and Shleifer assume that electricity consumption is the best physical indicator of overall economic activity. With this method, the shadow economy is measured by subtracting the proxy measurement of the whole economy from the estimates of the official GDP. The limitation of this method is that, not all shadow economy activities require electricity (Schneider & H. Enste, 2000). 3. The Model Approach – This is the most advanced way of calculating the shadow economy. While other methods take only one factor into consideration when measuring the shadow economy, this approach takes into consideration multiple causes which include high taxation, heavy regulation and declining tax morality etc. A change in the size of the shadow economy is reflected in the “indicators”, which are monetary indicators – additional or less monetary transactions are required in the shadow economy, production market indicators – more or less inputs are required in the shadow economy and labour market indicators – more or less labour required in the shadow economy. References Johnson, S., Kaufmann, D., & Zoido-Lobaton, P. (1998). Regulatory discretion and the unofficial economy. American Economic Review. Schneider, F., & H. Enste, D. (2000). Shadow economies: Size, causes, and consequences. Journal of Economic Literature, 38(1), 77-114. Wikipedia. (n.d.). Fiscal burden of government. Retrieved from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiscal_burden_of_government.