Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade DECEMBER 2011 PRODUCED BY Sandra Berry, Fenner School of Environment and Society The Australian National University FOR the Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities ON BEHALF OF the State of the Environment 2011 Committee Citation Berry S. Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade. Report prepared for the Australian Government Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities on behalf of the State of the Environment 2011 Committee. Canberra: DSEWPaC, 2011. © Commonwealth of Australia 2011. This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part may be reproduced by any process without prior written permission from the Commonwealth. 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Cover image Fitzroy Bluff, Mornington Station in the Kimberley, WA Photo by Nick Rains Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information i Preface This report was commissioned by the Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities to help inform the Australia State of the Environment (SoE) 2011 report. The Minister for Environment is required, under the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999, to table a report in Parliament every five years on the State of the Environment. The Australia State of the Environment (SoE) 2011 report is a substantive, hardcopy report compiled by an independent committee appointed by the Minister for Environment. The report is an assessment of the current condition of the Australian environment, the pressures on it and the drivers of those pressures. It details management initiatives in place to address environmental concerns and the effectiveness of those initiatives. The main purpose of SoE 2011 is to provide relevant and useful information on environmental issues to the public and decision-makers, in order to raise awareness and support more informed environmental management decisions that lead to more sustainable use and effective conservation of environmental assets. The 2011 SoE report, commissioned technical reports and other supplementary products are available online at www.environment.gov.au/soe. Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information ii Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade. Green vegetation cover is an indicator of the health of the landscape, being strongly related to the capacity of vegetation to assimilate carbon dioxide and energy from sunlight through photosynthesis. In addition to its role of producing fibre and food, green vegetation cover acts to modify local climate parameters including the near surface air temperature, humidity, wind, and cloud formation. It also impacts on the hydrological cycle, intercepting precipitation and transferring water from the lithosphere to the atmosphere through the process of transpiration that accompanies photosynthesis. Data collected by sensors carried on satellites that make regular passes over Australia reveal the extent to which green vegetation cover (greenness) varies in response to fluctuations in rainfall, and major disturbances such as wildfires, cyclones and severe storms. Analysis of a ten-year time series of vegetation greenness calculated from the MODIS 16-day 250 m (MOD13Q1) NDVI product (Paget and King 2008) reveals the extent of variability over the decade. Comparison of maximum and minimum between-year mean annual greenness for individual (250 m × 250 m) pixels over the time series (July 2000 to June 2010), and the years in which these extremes occurred (Figures 1 and 2) reveals broad-scale patterns of climate (ENSO) effects. The maximum mean annual greenness over the decade (Figure 1a) indicates the potential for productivity at the scale of individual(250 m × 250 m) pixels. The highest values occur where the vegetation cover is rainforest or wet eucalypt forest. There is a strong relationship between the greenness of natural vegetation and the availability of water for plant growth. Where the natural vegetation has been thinned or cleared the greenness is reduced. When vegetation is cleared or thinned, evergreen cover is removed. Although land under agriculture may support crops having dense foliage during the growing season, for much of the year bare soil or dead plant tissues dominate the surface cover. Consequently the mean annual greenness is reduced below that of nearby native vegetation. This is evident in Figure 1a in the wheat-growing regions of Australia (south-western Western Australia, the Eyre and York Peninsulas of South Australia, and western Victoria and New South Wales). Over much of the eastern half of Australia the maximum greenness occurred at either the beginning or the end of the decade (Figure 1b). The maximum greenness of some regions (notably south-eastern Queensland/northern New South Wales, and south-western Western Australia), however, is distinctly out of phase. In contrast, minimum greenness (Figures 2a and b) over much of Australia occurred over a range of years from mid-2002 to mid-2008. The minimum greenness (Figure 2) does not always correspond to the period of most extreme drought. For example, areas severely burnt by fires in the summer of 2003 in south-eastern Australia, western Tasmania, and the Great Western Woodlands (eastern goldfields region) of south-western Western Australia, have minimum greenness for the year 2003-2004. Whilst Figures 1a and 2a show the range of mean greenness over the annual period, Figure 3 shows the minimum greenness recorded over the 120 months of the time-series. This represents the minimum greenness of the evergreen vegetation (mostly trees and shrubs) over the decade. At some time during the decade much of Australia supported very sparse vegetation cover, or no green vegetation cover. That is to be expected for agricultural areas following harvest and prior to Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 1 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade planting. It is also to be expected in the alpine areas where there is snow on the ground for several weeks during winter. More surprising is the reduction in green cover over the rainforests of tropical north Queensland. Loss of green foliage in these normally dense forests may have resulted from water stress, fire or severe wind storms such as Cyclone Larry or any combination of these. The annual average rainfall for each state over the decade corresponding to the greenness data is shown in Figure 4. Variability in greenness over the same period at the regional scale (based on IBRA regions) is summarised in Figure 5. Average rainfall for Tasmania remained high but variable throughout the decade. For many IBRA regions in Tasmania (Fig 5a) this variability is not reflected in the greenness as precipitation exceeds potential evaporation. The greenness of most IBRA regions over Australia, however, broadly tracks the large-scale variability in annual rainfall (Fig 5b-5h). References and further reading Berry, S.L., Keith, H., Mackey, B., Brookhouse, M. and Jonson, J. (2010) Green carbon: the role of natural forests in carbon storage Part 2. Biomass carbon stocks in the Great Western Woodlands ANU E Press, The Australian National University, Canberra Berry, S. L. and Roderick, M. L. (2002). Estimating mixtures of leaf functional types using continentalscale satellite and climatic data. Global Ecology and Biogeography 11: 23-40. Donohue, R.J., McVicar, T.R. and Roderick, M. L. (2009). “Climate-related trends in Australian vegetation cover as inferred from satellite observations, 1981-2006.” Global Change Biology 15:1025-1039. Keith, H., Mackey, B., Berry, S., Lindenmayer, D. and Gibbons, P. (2010). Estimating carbon carrying capacity in natural forest ecosystems across heterogeneous landscapes: addressing sources of error. Global Change Biology, 16: 2971-2989. Paget, M. J. and King, E. A. (2008) MODIS land data sets for the Australian region, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research internal report No. 004, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Canberra, [for further information with regard to this data set, contact: Matt Paget, <matt.paget@csiro.au> or Edward King, <edward.king@csiro.au>]. Captions to Figures Figure 1 (a). This map shows the maximum mean annual greenness of 250m x 250m pixels over the decade July 2000 through June 2010. (b) This map shows the year (July to June) that corresponds to the year having maximum mean annual greenness. Figure 2 (a). This map shows the minimum mean annual greenness of 250m x 250m pixels over the decade July 2000 through June 2010. (b) This map shows the year (July to June) that corresponds to the year having minimum mean annual greenness. Figure 3. This map shows the minimum monthly value of greenness over the 120 months of the time-series. The minimum greenness here is due to the presence of a surface cover of evergreen vegetation. In alpine regions the evergreen vegetation may be obscured by snow cover. Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 2 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade Figure 4. Average annual rainfall for the period July 2000 through June 2010. Data source: Bureau of Meteorology (<http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/climate/change/timeseries.cgi>). This figure incorporates climate data that are Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2009. Figure 5. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - (a) Tasmania; (b) South-eastern Australia; (c) Mid-eastern Australia; (d) Northern Queensland; (e) Northern Territory; (f) Central Australia; (g) Western Australia; (h) Southern Australia. Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 3 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade Fig 1a. Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 4 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade Fig 1b Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 5 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade Fig 2a Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 6 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade Fig 2b Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 7 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade Fig 3 Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 8 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 1800 1600 1400 Rainfall mm yr -1 1200 1000 TAS NT Qld 800 Vic NSW 600 WA SA 400 200 0 Fig 4. Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 9 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 80 70 60 Greenness (%) 50 15. Tasmanian Southern Ranges 80. Tasmanian Northern Slopes 14. Tasmanian West 11. Ben Lomond 40 85. King 30 16. Tasmanian Central Highlands 20 13. Tasmanian South East 12. Tasmanian Northern Midlands 10 0 Fig 5a. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - Tasmania. Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 10 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 80 10. South East Corner 70 6. Australian Alps 60 5. South Eastern Highlands 9. Flinders Greenness (%) 50 4. South East Coastal Plain 40 30 20 10 3. Victorian Volcanic Plain 2. Naracoorte Coastal Plain 7. NSW South Western Slopes 8. Riverina 1. Murray Darling Depression 0 Fig 5b. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - South-eastern Australia Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 11 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 80 27. NSW North Coast 70 60 Greenness (%) 50 40 30 20. Sydney Basin 74. South Eastern Queensland 26. New England Tablelands 23. Nandewar 76. Brigalow Belt South 22. Brigalow Belt North 24. Cobar Peneplain 20 17. Darling Riverine Plains 18. Mulga Lands 10 21. Channel Country 0 25. Broken Hill Complex 19. Simpson Strzelecki Dunefields Fig 5c. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - Mid-eastern Australia Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 12 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 80 42. Wet Tropics 70 60 Greenness (%) 50 40 43. Central Mackay Coast 40. Cape York Peninsula 44. Einasleigh Uplands 46. Gulf Fall and Uplands 39. Gulf Plains 45. Desert Uplands 38. Mount Isa Inlier 30 20 10 0 Fig 5d. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - Northern Queensland Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 13 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 80 83. Tiwi Cobourg 70 81. Arnhem Coast 79. Darwin Coastal 60 77. Central Arnhem Greenness (%) 50 75. Pine Creek 82. Arnhem Plateau 40 73. Daly Basin 72. Gulf Coastal 30 84. Davenport Murchison Ranges 20 10 0 Fig 5e. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - Northern Territory Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 14 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 80 50. Sturt Plateau 70 60 Greenness (%) 50 52. Victoria Bonaparte 51. Ord Victoria Plain 48. Burt Plain 47. MacDonnell Ranges 49. Tanami 40 30 20 10 0 Fig 5f. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - Central Australia Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 15 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 80 62. Warren 70 61. Jarrah Forest 69. Swan Coastal Plain 60 57. Esperance Plains 66. Northern Kimberley Greenness (%) 50 56. Coolgardie 64. Mallee 67. Geraldton Sandplains 40 58. Dampierland 55. Central Kimberley 30 70. Avon Wheatbelt 71. Yalgoo 20 68. Pilbara 54. Carnarvon 65. Murchison 10 60. Great Sandy Desert 63. Little Sandy Desert 0 59. Gibson Desert 53. Gascoyne Fig 5g. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - Western Australia Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 16 Analysis of continental scale vegetation cover over the last decade 80 70 37. Kanmantoo 60 35. Eyre Yorke Block 34. Hampton Greenness (%) 50 40 36. Flinders Lofty Block 33. Nullarbor 29. Finke 28. Central Ranges 30 20 32. Great Victoria Desert 31. Gawler 30. Stony Plains 10 0 Fig 5h. Mean annual greenness within IBRA Regions - Southern Australia Australia ■ State of the Environment 2011 Supplementary information 17