AUSTRALIA 2013 Offshore Petroleum Exploration Acreage Release PETROLEUM–DISCOVERY AUSTRALIA A GREAT PLACE TO EXPLORE Australia's economic performance is among the best in the world and the outlook remains positive. 5th most resilient economy in the world in 2012. In comparison, the US economy was ranked 23rd. Australia's diverse, multicultural society has a very high standard of living and a long-standing, democratic culture based on the rights of the individual and the rule of law. Australia is politically stable and enjoys a high degree of social harmony and quality of life that is among the best in the world. In terms of real GDP, Australian economic growth in 2011-12 was 2.9 per cent and is forecast to reach 3 per cent in 2012-13. Recent economic data suggests that the resources and energy sector will continue to perform strongly in terms of both volumes of exports and growth in capital investments, with a peak in investment over the next few years. Large expansions to gas, iron ore and coal production capacity are currently underway and are expected to contribute to robust growth in resource and energy export volumes over the foreseeable future. Australia is an attractive investment location with high productivity, a stable business environment and close proximity to the major markets of Asia, and access to highly skilled workforce and innovative technology. With a regulatory framework that keeps pace with financial market developments, Australia possesses an internationalised currency, no foreign exchange controls, and a highly effective intellectual property rights regime. Australia has enjoyed many years of uninterrupted economic growth, including during the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. Since a brief recession in 1991, the Australian economy has experienced an average GDP growth of 3.3 per cent per annum. Australia’s economy is forecast to grow by an average of 3.3 per cent between 2013-14 and 2017-18. Sound macroeconomic policies and structural reform during this time increased Australia’s responsiveness to shifts in the global economy and enabled Australia to better withstand global economic pressures to maintain strong economic fundamentals. The Australian economy has continued to prove its resilience throughout the recent global financial crisis, and avoided dipping into recession due to well-timed and effective fiscal stimulus packages and a continued demand for commodities. Such resilience has seen the IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook rank Australia the Australia continues to be an attractive destination for transnational corporations and in 2011 was the ninth largest recipient of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in the global economy. According to the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development Global Investment Trends Monitor, total FDI inflows to Australia in the first half of 2012 grew by 16.4 per cent (year on year) despite falls in global FDI inflows over the same period. The total value of Australia’s FDI inflows for the first half of 2012 was US$23.5 billion or 3.5 per cent of global FDI inflows for that period. Over the last five years, inward FDI stock has increased by an average of 5.8 per cent per annum. Australia is building on its position in the Asia-Pacific region and has an established a network of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) with key trading partners in the region. Australia currently has FTAs with New Zealand, Singapore, Thailand, US, Chile and through the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN). The countries covered by these FTAs account for 28 per cent of Australia's total trade. Australia concluded FTA negotiations with Malaysia in May 2012 and the agreement is subject to domestic approval processes. Further information is available at http://dfat.gov.au/fta/index.html. www.petroleum-acreage.gov.au DISCLAIMER: This fact sheet has been developed as a guide only. It does not replace or amend information provided in the Offshore Petroleum Legislation, Regulations and Guidelines available at: www.ret.gov.au/offshoreresourceslegislation and www.nopta.gov.au/legislation. In the event that there is a discrepancy between this fact sheet and the legislation, the legislation has precedence. Explorers should not rely solely on this information when making commercial decisions. Image courtesy of Woodside Energy Ltd. 1 General Facts – Australia Area (kilometres2) 13 590 000 (land area – including Australian Antarctic Territory - 5.9m) Offshore marine jurisdiction (kilometres²) Population (million) 14 620 000 (marine area – including the Exclusive Economic Zone, Territorial Sea and Extended Continental Shelf) Official Language English GDP (current prices) US$1 5586 billion (2012 exchange rates) GDP per capita (Current Prices) Capital US$68,916 (2012 exchange rates) Main Cities Sydney (4.6m), Melbourne (4.1m), Brisbane (2.0m), Perth (1.7m), Adelaide (1.2m), Hobart (0.2m), Darwin (0.1m), System of Government Federation (Commonwealth) of: 23 Canberra (population 370 000) six states – New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, Victoria and Western Australia; three mainland territories – the Northern Territory, the Australian Capital Territory and the Jervis Bay Territory; and seven external territories – Ashmore and Cartier Islands, Australian Antarctic Territory, Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Coral Sea Islands Territory, Heard and McDonald Islands and Norfolk Island. Parliamentary democracy based on Westminster system; Federal Parliament consisting of House of Representatives and Senate. Australia’s Key Petroleum Regions www.petroleum-acreage.gov.au DISCLAIMER: This fact sheet has been developed as a guide only. It does not replace or amend information provided in the Offshore Petroleum Legislation, Regulations and Guidelines available at: www.ret.gov.au/offshoreresourceslegislation and www.nopta.gov.au/legislation. In the event that there is a discrepancy between this fact sheet and the legislation, the legislation has precedence. Explorers should not rely solely on this information when making commercial decisions. Image courtesy of Woodside Energy Ltd. 2 Why explore for oil and gas in Australia? Some attributes that make Australia an attractive location for offshore oil and gas exploration include: The probability of finding a new petroleum province in Australian waters remains high. the regular release of new exploration acreage covering a range of regions from mature to frontier; access to high quality geoscientific data and analysis continued government support of pre-competitive geoscientific exploration, data acquisition and analysis; a free market philosophy which welcomes foreign investment - Australia has no mandatory local equity requirements and no government-owned petroleum companies; close proximity to markets in the growing economies of the Asia-Pacific; an attractive policy and legal framework for oil and gas development, conducive to companies of all sizes; security of title with the right to retain and/or develop a discovery, subject to meeting the specified terms of a retention lease or a production licence; transparent, predictable and practical regulatory requirements covering all stages of petroleum operations; expanding physical infrastructure, sophisticated technical and services support, a highly educated workforce and pool of skilled petroleum professionals; an internationally competitive profit-related tax system; government assistance with project facilitation, including fast-tracking of approvals processes for declared major projects; and an open and competitive economy, including deregulated banking and foreign exchange arrangements, a sophisticated capital market and a good record of industrial harmony. The first Australian exploration permit was granted in 1959 in the Gippsland Basin. As at April 2013, there are currently 210 offshore exploration permits, 52 retention leases and 89 production licences. From the first oil and gas discoveries in Bass Strait, the North West Shelf and the Timor Sea through to more recent discoveries in the Carnarvon and Browse basins, there is no doubt that offshore Australia is one of the world’s most highly prospective areas for petroleum. Australia is a gas-rich nation. The 2012 Australian Energy Resources Assessment concluded that around 92 per cent of Australia’s 158 trillion cubic feet of known conventional natural gas resources are located in the Carnarvon, Browse and Bonaparte basins off the north-west coast of Australia. Known gas resources are also located in southwest, south-east and central Australia, along with large coal seam gas (CSG) resources in the coal basins of Queensland and New South Wales and the potential for shale and tight gas resources in South Australia, Western Australia and the Northern Territory. Despite this, much of the continent and its offshore areas remain under, and in some areas, unexplored, with over 40 onshore and offshore basins awaiting in-depth exploration to determine their full potential. In 2008, the United Nations Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf (UNCLOS) confirmed the location of the outer limit of Australia’s continental shelf, which resulted in the extension of Australia’s jurisdiction over an additional 2.56 million square kilometres (km2) of seabed. Australia now has more than 14.62 million km2 of maximum seabed territory, which is in the top three largest marine jurisdictions in the world along with the United States of America and France. Australia is now custodian to around 4 per cent of the world’s total seabed, an area with significant untapped exploration potential. Australia's geographic location ensures it is well placed to meet the rapidly expanding energy needs of the Asia-Pacific region. The strong consumption growth of oil in non-OECD markets and the sound outlook for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the Asia-Pacific region, together with relatively resilient petroleum prices, provide the economic drivers for ongoing investment in exploration in Australia. Increased demand for energy with the industrialisation of China and India, and other emerging Asian economies, underpins these positive market conditions. at low or no cost; Australia – A resource rich nation with further growth potential Australia has an enviable history in the successful development of its abundant natural resources. According to the Australian Bureau of Resource and Energy Economics (BREE), Australia’s energy and mineral commodity resource export earnings reached record levels in 2011-12, peaking at A$193 billion and accounting for 83 per cent of Australia’s total value of commodity exports. Export earnings in 2012-13 are expected to decrease slightly to A$186 billion due to lower prices for metallurgical coal relative to 2011-12, which will be partially offset by gains in thermal coal (up 3 per cent), LNG (up 36 per cent) and oil (up 8 per cent). www.petroleum-acreage.gov.au DISCLAIMER: This fact sheet has been developed as a guide only. It does not replace or amend information provided in the Offshore Petroleum Legislation, Regulations and Guidelines available at: www.ret.gov.au/offshoreresourceslegislation and www.nopta.gov.au/legislation. In the event that there is a discrepancy between this fact sheet and the legislation, the legislation has precedence. Explorers should not rely solely on this information when making commercial decisions. Image courtesy of Woodside Energy Ltd. 3 There were significant increases in export earnings across a range of commodities in 2011-12 including offshore petroleum products. Australia has over 300 crude oil fields with most production coming from six major basins: the Carnarvon, Browse, Bonaparte and Perth Basins offshore Western Australia and the Gippsland and Bass Basins off south-eastern Australia. Australia’s identified oil resources have been estimated at 30 794 petajoules (PJ), made up of 16 170 PJ (2 750 million barrels (mmbbl)) of condensate; 8 414 PJ (1 431 mmbbl) of crude oil; and 6 210 PJ (1 475 mmbbl) of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). In 2011–12, Australia’s exports of crude oil and condensate declined 2 per cent year by volume (year on year) to 121 million barrels. The value of exports increased 5 per cent to A$13.6 billion due to higher oil prices. Production is forecast to increase by 13 per cent by volume in 2012-13 following the scheduled start-up of several new smaller projects, with a rise in value of 5 per cent. A significant rise in production is forecast from 2017 with the commencement of condensate production associated with the Prelude and Ichthys LNG projects. In 2011-12, Australians exports of LPG and petroleum refinery products totalled approximately 13.3 mmbbl and 7.3 mmbbl respectively. Global trade for LNG has more than doubled in the past decade. Australia currently supplies 8 per cent of the world’s exports and is the fourth largest LNG exporter in the world behind Qatar, Indonesia and Malaysia. In 2011-12, Australia exported 19.3 million tonnes (mt) of LNG, down 4 per cent on the previous year due to planned maintenance at the North West Shelf and Darwin LNG projects. Despite this decline, LNG export earnings rose 18 per cent in 2011-12 to A$12 billion. In 2012-13, exports are forecast to increase 26 per cent by volume to 23 mt and 36 per cent in value to A$16.2 billion (year on year). Exports volumes are projected to increase at an average annual rate of 36 per cent to reach 88 mt by 2017-18. Current production is supported by Australia’s world-class LNG export facilities that utilise the large quantities of natural gas found off Australia's north-west coast. In addition to our three operating projects (North West Shelf, Darwin LNG and Pluto Train 1), Australia currently has seven LNG projects under construction with capital expenditure of over A$180 billion including three conventional gas-based projects: the Gorgon project (15.6 mtpa), the Wheatstone project (8.9 mtpa), and the Ichthys project (8.4 mtpa); the Prelude floating LNG project (3.6 mtpa); and three coal seam gas-based LNG projects: the Queensland Curtis LNG project (8.5 mtpa), the Gladstone LNG project (7.8 mtpa), and the AustraliaPacific LNG project (9.0 mtpa). www.petroleum-acreage.gov.au AUSTRALIA 2013 With these major LNG investment projects currently underway, the Reserve Bank of Australia has forecast that Australia’s LNG sales could triple in the next five years. This rate of investment is the second highest in the world and is set to continue through Australia’s close links with Asia and an industry push to increase production capacity. As a result, Australia could become the largest LNG exporter in the world by 2020. Realising Australia’s Petroleum Potential Offshore Petroleum Exploration Australia has the potential for further discoveries of oil and gas, with many offshore basins remaining largely, or entirely, unexplored. This potential has been grasped by companies with A$2.3 billion spent on private offshore petroleum exploration in Australia in 2011-12. Only around 20 per cent of Australia’s offshore basins are currently covered by petroleum titles. Although exploration activity is primarily focused on finding resources close to existing discoveries to improve the economics of proposed projects, frontier exploration is growing. Australia’s underexplored frontier basins hold the greatest promise of making a major new discovery. To encourage exploration in these areas and help reduce the risk of exploration, Geoscience Australia through Australia’s Offshore Energy Security Program has undertaken a series of programs aimed at providing pre-competitive and geological information aimed at improving the understanding of the petroleum prospectivity and resource potential of frontier basins. In general, offshore petroleum exploration activity in Australia has remained steady in recent years. As at mid-2013, approximately 1,500 offshore exploration wells have been drilled in Australian waters with an average of around 60 exploration wells drilled per year since 1995. Offshore Petroleum Development The Australian petroleum industry is entrepreneurial, innovative and has achieved significant success as recent development projects under consideration and under construction show (see below table). It is made up of a number of small, medium and large companies, many of whom operate on the international scene. Australia's modern legal framework, petroleum tenement system, favourable taxation regime and economic environment explain Australia's consistent high ranking in international investment surveys. 4 Offshore Petroleum Exploration Acreage Release Australia’s LNG Development Projects Project Participants Location Basin Plant Targeted Start up LNG Capacity (Mtpa) Capital Cost (A$) Woodside, Shell, BP, Chevron, BHP Billiton, MIMI, CNOOC (gas and associated liquids) WA Existing 16.3 mtpa 5 trains $27b (2009 $) ConocoPhillips, ENI, Santos, INPEX, Tokyo Gas & TEPCO NT 3.6 mtpa $1.75b Conventional Gas In Operation North West Shelf Darwin LNG Carnarvon Basin Karratha Existing JPDA 1 train Darwin Pluto Train 1 Woodside, Tokyo Gas, Kansai Electric WA Existing Carnarvon Basin 4.3 mtpa $14.9b 1 train Karratha Under Construction Gorgon LNG Prelude FLNG Wheatstone LNG Ichthys LNG Chevron, Shell, ExxonMobil, Osaka Gas, Tokyo Gas, Chubu Electric WA Shell, INPEX, KOGAS, OPIC Browse Basin Chevron, Shell, Apache, Kufpec, Kyushu Electric, PE Wheatstone WA INPEX, Total, Tokyo Gas, Osaka Gas, Toho Gas, Chubu Electric WA 2014-15 Carnarvon Basin Barrow Island 15.6 mtpa $52b 5 trains 2016-17 floating LNG 2016 Carnarvon Basin Onslow 1 train Not publicly available 8.9 mtpa $29b 3.6 mtpa 2 trains 2016 Bonaparte Basin 8.4 mtpa $34b 2 trains Darwin Coal Seam Gas Under Construction Queensland Curtis LNG BG Group, CNOOC, Tokyo Gas QLD 2014 Bowen and Surat Basins 8.5 mtpa $20.4b 2 trains Gladstone Gladstone LNG Santos, Petronas, Total, KOGAS QLD 2014 Bowen and Surat Basins 7.8 mtpa $18.5b 2 trains Gladstone Australia-Pacific LNG Origin, ConocoPhillips, Sinopec QLD Bowen and Surat Basins 2015 9.0 mtpa $24.7b 2 trains Gladstone www.petroleum-acreage.gov.au AUSTRALIA 2013 5 Offshore Petroleum Exploration Acreage Release Australia’s Domestic Gas Market References The Australian domestic gas industry has strong growth potential, paralleling growth in the industrial, minerals processing and electricity generation sectors. Australian Bureau of Statistics, Cat. No. 3235.0 Population, Regions of Australia, 2010. In 2011-12, Australia’s total gas production was 51 billion cubic metres (bcm) or 1 900 petajoules (PJ) and is forecast to increase by 20 per cent in 2012-13 to 60 bcm as several new projects commence production. Around half of this production is exported as LNG with the remainder meeting domestic demand. Australia’s gas production is projected to increase at an average annual rate of 11 per cent over the period 2014-15 to 2017-18. Over the last 20 years, Australia’s domestic natural gas industry has grown from a relatively small base of 688 PJ in 1989-90 to being the third most significant domestic energy source after coal and oil. In 2011-12, Australia’s domestic gas production was a record 1 101 PJ, up 6 per cent year on year. The increasing share of natural gas in Australia’s energy consumption is expected to continue with future demand for natural gas estimated to reach 2 575 PJ in 2029-30. Domestic gas market reform over the past decade has increased transparency and competition in the sector, as well as brought industry regulation under the national energy framework in line with electricity. Ministerial Council on Energy initiatives such as the National Gas Law and National Gas Rules, National Gas Market Bulletin Board and the Short Term Trading Market for gas have provided a framework for greater transparency and promoted the use of natural gas for domestic consumption across Australia. Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association, State of the Industry 2012 Australian Trade Commission, Data Alert, 14 November 2012 Australian Trade Commission, International Data Comparisons, September 2011 Bureau of Resource and Energy Economics, Energy in Australia 2011 Bureau of Resource and Energy Economics, Resources and Energy Quarterly, March 2013 Geoscience Australia, Australian Energy Resource Assessment 2012 Geoscience Australia, Oil and Gas Resources of Australia Geoscience Australia, Petroleum Wells Database IMD World Competiveness Yearbook, 2012 Reserve Bank of Australia, Bulletin, September Quarter 2012 United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Global Investment Trends Monitor (No. 10) Significant expansion and integration of Australia’s domestic gas transmission and distribution network in recent years, particularly in south-eastern Australia, has facilitated growth in established gas markets and introduced gas into new regional centres. This is enhancing basin-on-basin competition on the supply of gas that will be beneficial to gas consumers while also encouraging the development of new industries and increasing opportunities for suppliers to commercialise gas discoveries. New offshore domestic gas projects are currently under development in Western Australia and in the Gippsland and Otway Basins off southern Victoria. In addition, there are a number of gas pipeline projects underway in South Australia, Victoria, Queensland and New South Wales which will further integrate the pipeline network and enable gas from new upstream developments to be transported to domestic gas markets as appropriate. www.petroleum-acreage.gov.au DISCLAIMER: This fact sheet has been developed as a guide only. It does not replace or amend information provided in the Offshore Petroleum Legislation, Regulations and Guidelines available at: www.ret.gov.au/offshoreresourceslegislation and www.nopta.gov.au/legislation. In the event that there is a discrepancy between this fact sheet and the legislation, the legislation has precedence. Explorers should not rely solely on this information when making commercial decisions. Image courtesy of Woodside Energy Ltd. 6