Realising our Low Carbon Potential – What is needed is 100% Commitment to Delivery Over recent years we have seen the momentum of Scotland’s energy industry build significantly and our focus, capability and connectivity in the low carbon sector is developing a scale of opportunity that promises real economic value and international impact. Our industrial heritage across a range of industries such as oil and gas, ship-building and the power sector supports the positioning of Scotland as a significant energy producer as well as an energy technology innovator, manufacturer and service provider into the future. We benefit from having formidable renewable energy resources as well as major fossil fuel reserves and Scotland is acknowledged as a global leader in the fast changing and exciting energy industry not least in the development and integration of low carbon sources. When coupled with our world-class research capabilities, as represented in the Scottish Energy Technology Partnership (ETP) – a “pooling” of 11 Universities’ energy activities – we have an unparalleled basis to produce competitive advantage by creating a strategy for research, development, demonstration and deployment of new low carbon power and renewable energy technologies. This capability is already delivering value to indigenous and inwardly investing companies and accelerating growth in our energy sector. Scotland’s emergence as an international force in clean energy and low carbon technologies is underpinned by our engineering and technology skills base (through our Colleges and Universities), leading research and innovation capability (academic and industrial), infrastructure commitments and our vast renewable resources. It is estimated that Scotland has approximately one quarter of Europe’s wind and tidal resource and 10% of its wave energy potential. It is critical for Scotland’s economic and environmental wellbeing that we accelerate the pursuit of this opportunity to ensure that we realise our full potential and deliver the jobs and investment that our energy industry can bring. This will also include our on-going dependency on coal and gas power plants as part of the energy mix and integrating Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technologies with them where possible. CCS has the potential to reduce emissions from fossil fuel power stations by up to 90%. Scotland also has storage capacity on a “European scale”, enough to store Scotland’s industrial CO2 emissions for the next 200 years. This capacity is broadly equivalent to Norway’s and greater than that of the Netherlands, Germany and Denmark combined. Given the importance of Scotland’s other sources of energy such as Coal and Combined Cycle Gas Turbines, harnessing CCS has a role to play in ensuring that we fully harness our energy potential and create in excess of 100,000 energy related jobs in Scotland by 2020. We will continue to access contributions to our energy production from our existing nuclear plants through the next decade with potential for plant lifetime extension. This diversity and complementarity in our energy sources is a distinct and valuable feature of Scotland’s energy mix. Across our diverse energy source portfolio we have an unprecedented opportunity to: maximise our renewable energy potential; build a low carbon energy future; address security of supply; become an international benchmark; attract and retain the economic value through further energy industry creation; and, derive additional economic benefit through energy exports through reinvestment in our grid infrastructure. The combination of our various sources of energy also establishes Scotland as a safe, reliable and environmentally sustainable exemplar that Europe cannot afford to ignore. It is not surprising that Scotland has seen a number of important investment decisions in recent months that are bringing significant new jobs and major investments that support economic growth. In March, Doosan Power systems announced that it would be locating its Centre for Excellence for Renewables at Westway in Renfrew, creating up to 1700 jobs. Mitsubishi is investing in an engineering facility in Edinburgh to carry out research and development in offshore wind. In January 2011, Gamesa announced its intention to establish an offshore wind technology centre in Glasgow. Collaboration and leadership is vital to our success in this area. In the past few years, Scotland has shown the way in creating public sector, industry and academic partnership that has been supported and facilitated by government. The establishment of the Energy Advisory Board and the Energy Industry Advisory Groups – resourced by Scottish Enterprise and HIE - have acted to focus commitment and contributions of the main energy players in energy. This is already driving strategic outcomes and prioritising key investments. This approach has attracted international attention and has enhanced Scotland’s reputation as a country that is focused on delivery. These developments and the confidence shown by investors in our industry is to be welcomed and will provide a boost as we build our economic recovery and re-industrialisation of Scotland. However, it is absolutely critical that we maintain the momentum of the progress that has been made and continue to send out a clear message to investors that Scotland is “open for business”. This explicit strategy and focus across government and its private and academic partners is also good for jobs. We are already witnessing a growing number of graduates developing the skills needed for the energy revolution. The ETP has established a collaboration through the Energy Research Academy – supported by industry and the Scottish Funding Council - with complementary contributions from Edinburgh, Heriot-Watt, St.Andrews, Aberdeen, Robert Gordon’s, Glasgow and Strathclyde Universities aimed at producing high quality research trained graduates for the energy sector. More recently, an alliance between the College sector and the Universities has targeted a national approach to producing the high volume of highly skilled people for this new sector. At the University of Strathclyde, for example, the recently announced Technology and Innovation Centre (TIC) will bring together 850 academics, researchers and project managers to work side by side with industry – also creating up to 500 new industry jobs developing the skills and expertise necessary to let our energy sector flourish as we build towards over 100,000 jobs in the low carbon sector by 2020. The recently announced target of seeking to generate 100% of our electricity needs via renewables is challenging, but must be set in the context of our overall energy source mix and balance that will underpin our ability to match supply and demand whilst seizing the opportunity to establish a globally competitive renewable and low carbon industry. We must also address the uncertainties that are currently in play in the UK, including DECC’s Electricity Market Reform activities and Ofgem’s project Transmit, reviewing grid access and charging mechanisms. Investment risk must be reduced as we seek to capitalise on our natural resources, highly skilled workforce and technological innovation. The establishment of a 100% target will certainly focus the minds of politicians, planners and other decision makers whilst giving industry the necessary leadership and confidence that will be vital in attracting further investment and jobs into the industry. It is important not to equate energy with electricity generation alone. Instead we must also consider transport, heat, chemicals, biomass and waste if we are to find the most sustainable solutions - for example in storage - to overcome intermittency and to extend renewables utilisation. Optimisation of the interaction between these energy modalities is critical to success. Similarly, the flexibility of a significantly distributed energy network will greatly enable our ability to respond to energy challenges in a cost-effective and energy efficient manner. There also exists real opportunity to exploit Scotland’s capabilities in hydrogen technologies. There are three clear areas in which hydrogen will play a major role in the UK: energy storage to address intermittency; hydrogen for transport; and, hydrogen applications in CO 2 Capture. If 100% renewable electricity provision – within a balanced, overall energy mix - equates to having a renewable capacity equal to Scotland’s average power requirements this may be achievable, but benefits will be limited without extensive storage. We continue to see exciting developments in the energy industry with ever more offshore sites opening, increased capacity of wind turbine machines, encouraging progress in marine renewables and innovations in grid technology and designs. The Scottish Government recently announced the approval of the world’s largest tidal array in the world - a £40 million investment in Argyll by ScottishPower Renewables that will act as a beacon for the global tidal industry. Scotland is well placed to meet the challenges and opportunities provided by the shift to the low carbon economy that can establish us as leader in Europe. Political, industrial and academic leadership is critical which is why ambition and realistic delivery capability is vital. We must also continue to build on our key successes. We can be a hub for exporting renewable and low carbon energy to the rest of Europe which is why grid upgrades and investments are so important not least in the North Sea Countries Offshore Grid Initiative and the EU Memorandum of Understanding on developing North Sea grid. We should recognise that our reputation is built on ambition, credibility and delivery. The 100% targets should be used as a spur for us to act in partnership to realise Scotland’s low carbon potential and creating a new industry for the 21st Century. Our renewables ambitions are all the more compelling when we see their integration alongside a diverse portfolio of other sources that contribute to the reliable supply of energy. Our research, innovation and production of high quality graduates – particularly in our Universities - are strong building blocks that provide a platform to attract and maintaining power and energy industries that build Scotland’s low carbon systems and lead international markets. In order to do this, we must work collaboratively across government, industry and academic partners. We have made a good start and it is vital that we continue to build on the focus and commitment that has been established in order to position Scotland as a genuine global player in low carbon technologies and infrastructure. Moreover, in order to have a realistic chance to achieve our targets, we must act now at pace and with urgency. This means both acceleration of our own decision making and effective influencing of other key bodies in the UK and in Europe.