Chapter 6. Multi-locus coevolution, epistasis, and linkage disequilibrium Biological Motivation Obviously, more than a dsingle locus is involved. Here we develop a basic framework for studying two locus systems introducing the concepts of epistasis, recombination, and linkage disequilibrium. After studying how coevolution proceeds in a simple two locus system (motivated by???) we move on to explore ??? INTRODUCE EPISTASIS AND LINKAGE DISEQUILIBRIUM Key Questions: ο· ο· ο· What patterns of epistasis are likely to be generated by species interactions? How do these patterns of epistasis influence the dynamics and outcome of coevolution? What patterns of linkage disequilibrium do we expect to emerge in coevolving systems? Building a 2-locus model of coevolution Our goal is to develop the simplest possible model that captures the potentially important consequences of the multi-locus gene-for-gene interactions for coevolution between X and X. Clearly, the simplest starting point is to focus on only a single pair of loci and haploid sexual species. Within haploid sexuals, recombination occurs in a transient diploid phase but selection occurs in the haploid phase. Thus, we avoid the complexities of diploidy that we struggled with in the previous chapter. Of course, ignoring diploidy also comes at the cost of reduced realism since both XX and XX are, indeed, diploid species. We imagine that rusts and flax’s run into each other at random, and that this has negative fitness consequences for the flax and posoitive fitness consequences for the rust… Assuming random encounters and that the probability of infection depends upon the two locus genotypes of flax and rust, the fitness of the four possible Flax genotypes is given by: ππ,π΄π΅ = 1 − π π (ππ΄π΅ πΌπ΄π΅,π΄π΅ + ππ΄π πΌπ΄π΅,π΄π + πππ΅ πΌπ΄π΅,ππ΅ + πππ πΌπ΄π΅,ππ ) (1a) ππ,π΄π = 1 − π π (ππ΄π΅ πΌπ΄π,π΄π΅ + ππ΄π πΌπ΄π,π΄π + πππ΅ πΌπ΄π,ππ΅ + πππ πΌπ΄π,ππ ) (1b) ππ,ππ΅ = 1 − π π (ππ΄π΅ πΌππ΅,π΄π΅ + ππ΄π πΌππ΅,π΄π + πππ΅ πΌππ΅,ππ΅ + πππ πΌππ΅,ππ ) (1c) ππ,ππ = 1 − π π (ππ΄π΅ πΌππ,π΄π΅ + ππ΄π πΌππ,π΄π + πππ΅ πΌππ,ππ΅ + πππ πΌππ,ππ ) (1d) Similarly, the fitness of the four possible Rust genotypes is given by: ππ,π΄π΅ = 1 − π π (1 − ππ΄π΅ πΌπ΄π΅,π΄π΅ − ππ΄π πΌπ΄π,π΄π΅ − πππ΅ πΌππ΅,π΄π΅ − πππ πΌππ,π΄π΅ ) (2a) ππ,π΄π = 1 − π π (1 − ππ΄π΅ πΌπ΄π΅,π΄π − ππ΄π πΌπ΄π,π΄π − πππ΅ πΌππ΅,π΄π − πππ πΌππ,π΄π ) (2b) Mathematica Resources: http://www.webpages.uidaho.edu/~snuismer/Nuismer_Lab/the_theory_of_coevolution.htm ππ,ππ΅ = 1 − π π (1 − ππ΄π΅ πΌπ΄π΅,ππ΅ − ππ΄π πΌπ΄π,ππ΅ − πππ΅ πΌππ΅,ππ΅ − πππ πΌππ,ππ΅ ) (2c) ππ,ππ = 1 − π π (1 − ππ΄π΅ πΌπ΄π΅,ππ − ππ΄π πΌπ΄π,ππ − πππ΅ πΌππ΅,ππ − πππ πΌππ,ππ ) (2d) Now, if we assume that the probability of survival to mating for the various Flax and Rust genotypes depends on these fitnesses, we can calculate the frequency of each genotype after selection but prior to random mating. As before, we can calculate these frequencies by multiplying the current frequency by its relative fitness. For the Flax, this yields the following expressions: ′ ππ΄π΅ = ππ΄π΅ ππ,π΄π΅ Μ π π (3a) ′ ππ΄π = ππ΄π ππ,π΄π Μ π π (3b) ′ πππ΅ = πππ΅ ππ,ππ΅ Μ π π (3c) ′ πππ = πππ ππ,ππ Μ π π (3d) Μ π is the population mean fitness of species X and is given by: where, as usual, the symbol π Μ π = ππ΄π΅ ππ,π΄π΅ + ππ΄π ππ,π΄π + πππ΅ ππ,ππ΅ + πππ ππ,ππ π (3e) The same procedure can now be applied to the rust population to calculate the frequency of two-locus genotypes there after selection but prior to mating: ′ ππ΄π΅ = ππ΄π΅ ππ,π΄π΅ Μ π π (4a) ′ ππ΄π = ππ΄π ππ,π΄π Μ π π (4b) ′ πππ΅ = πππ΅ ππ,ππ΅ Μ π π (4c) ′ πππ = πππ ππ,ππ Μ π π (4d) Μ π is the population mean fitness of species X and is given by: where, as usual, the symbol π Μ π = ππ΄π΅ ππ,π΄π΅ + ππ΄π ππ,π΄π + πππ΅ ππ,ππ΅ + πππ ππ,ππ π (4e) OK, so now we know what the frequencies of the various genotypes are just before mating ensues. How can we now move forward to incorporate changes to genotype frequencies that accrue during the process of mating? If we are willing to assume that both Flax and Rust mate at random and have quite large population sizes, we can derive basic expressions for changes in genotype frequencies. The long and 2 tedious way to go about this is to first tabulate the frequency of offspring with various genotypes that are produced by all possible combinations of parents (Table 1). RECOMBINATION! INTRODUCE IT HERE Table 1. Genotype frequencies produced by random matings Maternal|Paternal genotypes AB|AB AB|Ab AB|aB AB|ab Ab|AB Ab|Ab Ab|aB Ab|ab aB|AB aB|Ab aB|aB aB|ab ab|AB ab|Ab ab|aB ab|ab Frequency of mating AB ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π ππ΄π΅ πππ΅ ππ΄π΅ πππ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π ππ΄π΅ πππ΅ ππ΄π΅ πππ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π ππ΄π΅ πππ΅ ππ΄π΅ πππ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π΅ ππ΄π ππ΄π΅ πππ΅ ππ΄π΅ πππ 1 1/2 1/2 (1 − π)/2 1/2 0 π/2 0 1/2 π/2 0 0 (1 − π)/2 0 0 0 Offspring genotype Ab aB 0 1/2 0 π/2 1/2 1 (1 − π)/2 1/2 0 (1 − π)/2 0 0 π/2 1/2 0 0 0 0 1/2 π/2 0 0 (1 − π)/2 0 1/2 (1 − π)/2 1 1/2 π/2 0 1/2 0 ab 0 0 0 (1 − π)/2 0 0 π/2 1/2 0 π/2 0 1/2 (1 − π)/2 1/2 1/2 1 What Table 1 provides us with is the raw material for calculating the frequency of the various genotypes in the offspring generation. All we need to do now is sum up the entries in each column, weighting each entry by the frequency with which the two relevant parental genotypes encounter one another at random and mate. Mathematically, this amounts to evaluating the following expression for each of the four possible offspring genotypes, i: ππ′′ = ∑4π=1 ∑4π=1 ππ′ ππ′ Ππ,π+π→π (5a) and the following expression for the four possible offspring genotype in Rust: ππ′′ = ∑4π=1 ∑4π=1 ππ′ ππ′ Ππ,π+π→π (5b) where Ππ,π+π→π and Ππ,π+π→π are the probability that two parents with genotypes j and k produce an offspring of genotype i within the Flax and Rust populations, respectively. Although equations (5) help to see, mechanistically speaking, how the genotype frequencies within one generation are translated into those of the next through the process of segregation and recombination, they are quite clunky and not terribly insightful. Fortunately, these equations can be greatly simplified and re-expressed in a way that is much easier to implement from a practical standpoint, and also much more biologically insightful. Specifically, plugging away algebraically allows equations (5) to be re-written as: 3 ′′ ′ ππ΄π΅ = ππ΄π΅ + ππ π·π′ (6a) ′′ ′ ππ΄π = ππ΄π − ππ π·π′ (6b) ′′ ′ πππ΅ = πππ΅ − ππ π·π′ (6c) ′′ ′ πππ = πππ + ππ π·π′ (6d) in the Flax and as ′′ ′ ππ΄π΅ = ππ΄π΅ + ππ π·π′ (7a) ′′ ′ ππ΄π = ππ΄π − ππ π·π′ (7b) ′′ ′ πππ΅ = πππ΅ − ππ π·π′ (7c) ′′ ′ πππ = πππ + ππ π·π′ (7d) in the rust. In these equations, DX and DY quantify linkage disequilibrium, a measure of the statistical ′ ′ ′ ′ association or covariance between alleles at the A and B loci. Specifically, π·π′ = ππ΄π΅ πππ − ππ΄π πππ΅ and ′ ′ ′ ′ ′ π·π = ππ΄π΅ πππ − ππ΄π πππ΅ such that linkage disequilibrium is positive if there is an excess of AB and ab genotypes within a population and negative if it is, instead, the Ab and aB genotypes that are in excess. A key insight illuminated by equations (6-7) is that the change in genotype frequencies that occurs in response to random mating depends entirely on the rate of recombination. If no recombination occurs, genotype frequencies within the offspring population remain identical to those within the parental population. If, instead, recombination occurs, genotype frequencies in the offspring generation differ from those in the parental generation by an amount proportional to linkage disequilibrium. Clearly, then, recombination can influence coevolution only in cases where coevolutionary selection, or some other evolutionary force, acts to create linkage disequilibrium within populations of interacting species. We are now at a point where we have successfully described how genotype frequencies change over the course of a single generation. The final resu Sub 1 and 2 into 3 and 4, then sub 3 and 4 into 6 and 7. _ _ ππ (πXaB πXAb πaB πAb − πXab πXAB πab πAB ) + πAB (πXAB − ππ )ππ _ ππ2 between X and X Clearly we must compromise. Analyzing the model Introduce the QLE approximation 4 Answers to key questions New Questions Arising: Extensions Extension 1: Snails and schistosomes Extension 2: Quantitative traits Conclusions and Synthesis Like dominance before, epistasis plays an important role in the dynamics and outcome of coevolution. Yet, here too, we know so very little about actual patterns of epistasis within real systems it is almost shocking; certainly humbling. This, along with dominance, is the frontier of coevolutionary genetics. 5 References Figure Legends Dybdahl, M. F., C. E. Jenkins, and S. L. Nuismer. 2014. Identifying the Molecular Basis of Host-Parasite Coevolution: Merging Models and Mechanisms. AMERICAN NATURALIST 184:1-13. Mitta, G., C. M. Adema, B. Gourbal, E. S. Loker, and A. Theron. 2012. Compatibility polymorphism in snail/schistosome interactions: From field to theory to molecular mechanisms. Developmental and Comparative Immunology 37:1-8. 6