Lab Report on Water Resources Introduction: The water cycle is essential to life, and therefore it is very important to fully understand the implications of the relationships between the different reservoirs. The cycle can be modeled using Stella with six reservoirs: ground water, surface water, marine atmosphere, terrestrial atmosphere, snow/ice, and oceans. The relationships between the six reservoirs are outlined in Figure 1. Modeling can be helpful in exploring the impacts of change on the cycle, because it would be dangerous and impossible to experiment with the actual water cycle. Groundwater Land Atmosphere Marine Atmosphere Surf ace Water Snow and Ice Oceans Land Atmosphere Marine Atmosphere Ev aporation f rom land Adv ection Ev aporation Surf ace Water Percolation Rain 1 Surf ace runof f to oceans Oceans Groundwater Discharge Rain 2 Precipitation snow on land Sea Lev el Snow and Ice Melting Figure 1: Interrelatedness of resevoirs of the water cycle. The values used for the resevoirs’ initial amounts are summarized in Table 1. Inventory of Water Total amount of water: 1,385,990.5 x 1015 kg Reservoirs Oceans Mass of Water in 1015 kg Approximate % 1,350,000 97.4 11 0.0008 4.5 0.0003 275 0.02 8,200 0.59 27,500 1.98 Marine atmosphere Land atmosphere Surface Water Ground Water Snow & Ice Table 1. Reservoir values for model. Estimated Flows of Water in the Global Water Cycle Flows given in units of 1015 kg/year Process Evaporation from oceans Evaporation from land Precipitation on oceans Transfer from marine to land atmosphere Precipitation (rain) on land Precipitation (snow) on land Melt-water return to surface water Surface runoff to oceans Surface percolation into groundwater Groundwater flow into oceans Flow (note: this is a rate) 435 71 (mainly from soil water) 398 37 (also known as advection) 107 1 1 34 2 2 Table 2. Flow rates for inflow/outflows. Using the equations in table 2 for the inflows and outflows, the following equation was used, where 10 is the flow rate. The equation for sea level is also shown below. Sea_Level = 100*((Oceans-INIT(Oceans))*1E12/3.61E14) {cm} PART A: Based on these equations, the following graphs were generated. They represent a steady state in which the inflows of the reservoirs equal the outflows. 1: Groundwater 1: 8201 1: 8200 1: 8199 1 0.00 1 3.00 Page 1 1 6.00 Time 1 9.00 12.00 11:45 AM Fri, Mar 13, 2009 Groundwater 1: Land Atmosphere 1: 5 1: 5 1: 4 1 0.00 Page 1 1 3.00 1 6.00 Time 1 9.00 12.00 11:45 AM Fri, Mar 13, 2009 1: Marine Atmosphere 1: 12 1: 11 1: 10 1 0.00 1 3.00 1 1 6.00 Time Page 1 9.00 12.00 11:45 AM Fri, Mar 13, 2009 1: Oceans 1: 1350001 1: 1350000 1: 1349999 1 0.00 Page 1 1 3.00 1 6.00 Time 1 9.00 12.00 11:45 AM Fri, Mar 13, 2009 1: Snow and Ice 1: 27501 1: 27500 1: 27499 1 0.00 1 3.00 1 6.00 Time Page 1 1 9.00 12.00 11:45 AM Fri, Mar 13, 2009 1: Surf ace Water 1: 276 1: 275 1: 274 1 0.00 1 3.00 Page 1 1 6.00 Time 1 9.00 12.00 11:45 AM Fri, Mar 13, 2009 Fig. 2 Graphs of the Steady States. PART B: Residence Times Reservoir Ice Groundwater Oceans Land (Surface Water) Terrestrial Atmosphere Marine Atmosphere Residence Time (in Years) 27500 4100 3110 2.57 0.042 0.025 Table 3: Residence Times for reservoirs. Table 3 summarizes the different residence times of the six reservoirs. The residence time is the average amount of time that a water molecule would spend in that particular reservoir. As the table shows, there is a large degree of variance between the different reservoirs. The marine atmosphere is the smallest, with just .025 years and ice is the longest, with 27500 years. While the solid reservoirs, such as ice, tend to have the longest times, the gaseous phase reservoirs, such as marine and terrestrial atmospheres have the smallest. Because of the detailed interrelatedness of the water cycle, a significant change in residence time could substantially impact the rest of the cycle. For example, if one residence time decreased, all the reservoirs that it flows into would not be prepared for the sudden influx. This could throw off the entire cycle because all of the cycles are dependent on each other. This could result in one of the reservoirs being depleted, having disastrous consequences. PART C: In order to model ground water mining, an outflow called ‘withdrawal’ was added going from groundwater to surface water. To simply matters, this outflow was assigned a rate of 0.2 (2.0 * 10^14 kg/year). When the model ran for 100 years, the groundwater decreased from 8200 to 8180, the marine and land atmosphere and snow/ice increased very slightly, and oceans increased from 1350000 to 1350020. Sea level also increased from .001 to approximately 4.7 cm. The results are summarized in Table 4. Reservoir Initial Final Ocean 1350000 1350020 Marine Atmosphere 11 11 Land Atmosphere 4.5 5.3 Surface Water 275 276 Groundwater 8200 8180 Snow/Ice 27500 27500 Table 4: Changes in reservoir levels when modeling ground water mining. Change 20 0 0.8 1 20 0 Ground water does not seem to stabilize during the 100 year period that was modeled. This is due to the fact that the response time can be calculated as 4100 years, based on the change that we made, by the following equations: Because this is substantially longer than 100 years, the ground water did not stabilize. In order to observe the stabilization of the ground water, the initial can be modified to 100 and the outflow: . This time, the graphs visually level off, as seen in Figure 3. 1: Groundwater 1: 100 1 1: 75 1 1 1 1: 50 0.00 25.00 Page 1 50.00 Y ears 75.00 100.00 9:53 PM Mon, Mar 16, 2009 Groundwater 1: Land Atmosphere 1: 5 1: 5 1 1 1 1 1: 5 0.00 25.00 50.00 Y ears Page 1 75.00 100.00 9:53 PM Mon, Mar 16, 2009 1: Marine Atmosphere 1: 11 1 1 1: 11 1 1: 11 1 0.00 Page 1 25.00 50.00 Y ears 75.00 100.00 9:53 PM Mon, Mar 16, 2009 1: Oceans 1: 1350040 1 1 1: 1350020 1: 1350000 1 1 0.00 25.00 Page 1 50.00 Y ears 75.00 100.00 9:53 PM Mon, Mar 16, 2009 1: Snow and Ice 1: 27503 1: 27502 1 1 1 1: Page 1 27500 1 0.00 25.00 50.00 Y ears 75.00 100.00 9:53 PM Mon, Mar 16, 2009 1: Surf ace Water 1: 290 1 1 1 1: 280 1 1: 270 0.00 25.00 50.00 Y ears Page 1 75.00 100.00 9:53 PM Mon, Mar 16, 2009 1: Sea Lev el 1: 20 1: 10 1 1 1 1: Page 1 0 1 0.00 25.00 50.00 Y ears 75.00 100.00 9:53 PM Mon, Mar 16, 2009 Figure 3. Graphs of Ground Water Mining experiment leveling off. Although we have withdrawn the same amount of water, the sea level rise is a lot less and the decrease in groundwater is a lot less. This is because the outflow was defined as a function of the reservoir, creating a negative feedback because the outflow changes in response to the amount in the reservoir, making it level off. In conclusion, the water cycle is dynamic and easily offset system. Because of this, it is important to understand the interrelations between the different reservoirs so we can fully evaluate the human impact on the cycle. Though these models, various human impacts may be explored and the water cycle can be better understood.