A viable Intelligent Transport System (ITS) for Urban Mass Transit in 21st Century Pakistan Samir A. Hoodbhoy MD Data Communication & Control System (Pvt) Ltd. Preamble The Metrobus Services in Lahore, Islamabad, and the impending Bus Rapid Transit Services in Multan and Karachi are unlike earlier failed attempts at Mass Transit in Pakistan. These rely on Information & Communication Technology tools to fulfill public expectations. ITS provides on-line monitoring and control of all aspects of operations, scheduling, revenue generation, bus emissions, surveillance and security. Additionally, Information generated has the potential for medium and long term planning, employee training and maintenance purposes. The ITS system, however should be affordable and sustainable. By building in softwareenabled features on low cost distributed embedded controllers, and engaging indigenous software development, an unprecedented level of sophistication, capabilities and customization to the local environment, will be possible at marginal cost for the Intelligent Transport System of Pakistan’s BRT. This paper outlines the principal features of the ITS and suggests an implementation program based on software driven solutions that can be provided locally. Though the envisaged Bus Rapid Transit BRT may provide relief to commuters for 5-10 years, a longer-term strategy needs to be expounded. At current rate of population increase, the population of Karachi shall conservatively exceed 35 million by the year 2030; the projected combined maximum ridership of the 5-8 BRT lines within 5 years shall approach maximum 4 million riders. Hence the demand for more public transport will be Page 1 unremitting. Subway transportation is an alternate though expensive mode that must be explored as a long- term solution. Features of ITS 1. Communication Data Network The backbone for Intelligent Transport Services ITS, is the communication media or “data highway”; this shall be based on a combination of optical fiber laid along the bus corridor, and cellular wireless. The suggested wireless technology will be a mix of Wi-Fi and 3G/4G/LTE. At the depot and terminals, Wi-Fi will be the primary mode of communication whereas mobile cellular network operator services can provide a cost effective way for the wireless communication link without requiring investment for private wireless infrastructure. 2. Operations Control Center This is the hub for overseeing the current situation of fleet. In case of deviation in destination arrival/ departure timings, correction speed messages would be autogenerated by the system and dispatched to the affected drivers. The Control Center will send automated messages to the adjacent bus drivers to speed up or slow down to maintain the controlled interval between bus arrivals. Current status of buses, terminal stations, CCTV images along the corridor may be selectively displayed at the Command & Control Center which will have several display and analyses features that are software based. These may be replicated at other designated stations with different display sizes e.g. video walls, large and medium sized LCD displays. Page 2 3. On Board Intelligent Black Box -OBIB This will be the primary link of each bus with the Intelligent Transport System. It acquires and processes signals related to bus engine states, fuel and rpm gages, passenger counts, proximity sensors, bus driver operations, passenger information displays, GPS signals and voice communication. The On board device can be used for communicating over the data highway with the external nodes including Traffic Signal controllers, CCTV cameras and with the Command & Control Centers. A log of bus motion dynamics will provide analysis of the driving habits of drivers. The on board controller is capable of exchanging video, voice and data over the data network. 4. Simulation model A computer generated simulation models intelligent transport system and will provide the ITS operators with a useful tool for simulating vehicle traffic load patterns, passenger load analyses and training tools for better traffic management, emergency handling conditions e.g. road accidents, road blocks and alternate traffic plans. 5. Electronic Fare Collection Public convenience and integrity of fare collection and ticketing is a crucial aspect of the BRT revenue generation. The smart prepaid cards used for multiple rides of the Bus services or tokens for single journey would be purchased at remote sites such as convenience stores or at the terminal stations. An ICT based Automated Fare Collection AFCS system with electronic readers and intelligent turnstiles decode the content of smart cards / tokens and transport this information on the data network. Thus besides providing entry/ exit control for bus passengers, this is also useful for revenue tracking, audits and for revenue sharing between multiple Bus Operators. Page 3 6. Energy Auditing and provision of renewable energy sources An on-line energy metering system for terminals and depots is a valuable tool for implementing energy conservation policies. This provides energy consumption analysis and current status of electric power demand including usage of auxiliary power supply sources such as backup generators and solar panel sources of electricity for surveillance cameras and traffic signals along the bus corridor. 7. Safety, Security and Surveillance System Each bus will be equipped with surveillance cameras that upon demand will provide the view to the central control room. CCTV cameras will also be installed at every station to monitor activities at vantage points along the transit ways, terminal stops and depots. All of these cameras will be networked to the central operations room and to the Security monitoring desk. An emergency call mechanism will be provided to the driver and support personnel onboard each bus to generate alarms at the nearest Disaster Assistance Center. 8. Voice Communication Public Address System The PA system shall be at each bus stop terminal. An semi-automated computer generated announcement within the bus and /or terminal station shall be synchronized with approach to each location. 9. Advertising Bill boards To augment revenue collection, the buses will display electronic advertisements at bus stops, within the bus and externally on the sides of the bus. Advertising and public messages and time of arrival of next bus will be displayed at dynamic electronic billboards that are mounted at convenient locations. Message contents are changed electronically over the data network thus allowing possibility of customizing message to adapt to time of day and event. Page 4 10. Inventory Management & Tracking The system will keep track of condition of fixed assets and consumables. It would also monitor rolling stock. Auditing of current status of primary components shall be possible. The databases will also include pictorial representation of assets. 11. Automated Passenger Counts - APCs Electronic sensors mounted at turn styles and /or near bus doors, provide passenger head counts for every bus. Data from the APCs will help create passenger load profiles for planning trip frequencies and schedules during different times of days/week for more efficient operation. 12. Automatic Vehicle Monitoring (AVM): The GPS coordinates of each bus will be available within the network for Vehicle Location. Other vehicle centric data gathered by the on board black box should be available for various purposes including Bus Scheduler, Travel Information System, and Fleet Management and Bus Maintenance. 13. Collision Avoidance System A semi-automated collision detection system would produce alerts for path obstruction from the front and sides. These alerts and alarms are provided to the bus driver and simultaneously relayed to the System Control room. Combination of video image display for the driver, coupled with status of traffic signals will provide rear and front distant views guidance to driver for access to bus way. Page 5 14. Traffic Signal Integration Right of way at road intersections will be based on pre-negotiated priorities. This requires harmonization of signaling protocols among traffic signal controllers. Requests for right of ways may be generated by the On-board Intelligent Black Box OBIB on buses. 15. Handling of 2-Lane to single Lane Intersections Some parts of the corridor may have a combination of 2-lane and single lane access. A suitable automated signaling system will assist in guiding the driver. Signal violation will be suitably communicated to bus driver with audio alarms and may also disconnect the bus engine through the OBIB. 16. Driver Performance Monitoring The system will generate complete on-line reports of the Driver including his attendance, schedules, driving violations e.g. accidents, breaking traffic rules. Biometric identification of driver and attendant/ conductor (if any) will ensure that only authorized personnel will operate the buses. 17. Traveler information systems The networked electronic displays will exhibit the arrival times of the next bus at the stations. There will also be voice based automated announcements as well as electronic displays Inside the bus. A website will allow users to plan their visits. It will inform about the stations, the frequency of buses at different times of day and the connecting routes of other buses available at each station for the visitor to plan its itinerary. Page 6 Third party applications for smart phones for Travel related information including schedules, route planning, fares and announcements should be entertained. These will contribute in providing a level of public comfort and accessibility for the BRT network. 18. Revenue Accounting On-line data from ticketing centers will assist in tabulating revenue collection and correlating the same with ridership counts. The integrated on-line system will enable current and reliable data from all nodes within the network. Data integrity during transmission and storage must be ensured through cyber security considerations. 19. Complaint Center The ITS also cater for Customer relations and houses a telephone line Help Call Desk. This software-based system will have on-line access to updated status of buses schedules as well as latest conditions of the transit way for operators of the Help Desk. Routine text and audio messages will be auto generated and transmitted in response to SMS queries. Architectural Design Considerations of ICT services Selection and placement of a variety of automated sensors for voice, images and data along the transit route and on buses Utilize maximum localized distributed processing (on board buses, traffic signals, bus stations) using intelligent controllers Reliance on software to produce meaningful analyses and outputs that would serve interests of BRT ridership and management. Build Operations Command & Control Centers that display on-line current status of all data nodes representing terminals, buses, traffic signals and CCTV images along the transit way. Ensure redundancy, integrity and security of network data. Page 7 Underground Subway for Karachi by 2030- A viable option? Population Dynamics While BRT is valuable to the mass transit needs of the city, the compounded annual population growth of 14.2% (natural and migration) will clog the city arteries and make BRTs inadequate to serve the future mass transit needs of the city. Every workday, 224.2 million person-trips are taken in Karachi today; of which buses provide 60 percent (14.5 million) of all trips. At current levels of growth, by the year 2030, the projected city population is expected to be well over 38 Million. With this explosive growth and travel demand, envisaged BRT system comprising of 8 lines, would serve a maximum capacity (Boarding per day) of only 34.1 million per day whereas current demand is more than 3 times greater. This therefore does not provide a long term solution. As per JICA report 2010-11, current demand of Passengers Per Hour Per Direction (PPHPD) at peak times for blue and brown line is 27,000 and 21,500 respectively - served partly through designated underground sections, as there are commercial and residential building with other hard to realign structures. Current Red and Green Line maximum PPHPD are limited to 10,000 and 15,000 whereas requirement for all modes PPHPD is respectively 24,000 and 32,000; this therefore caters to less than 50% demand at peak times. On the other hand Heavy Rail subways can serve 425,000 PPHPD at normal capacities. Affordability The existing traffic demand and potential increase in urban mobility as presented in this paper, makes a strong case for dedicated subterranean high capacity passenger rail systems. It is noteworthy that Karachi Orange Line BRT, which is largely elevated structure, is expected to reach $60 million per km, while the cost of subway systems in 1 KIDCL, Feasibility & Technical Study and Preliminary Design for IITS. The Karachi Mass Transit plan Karachi Mass Transit cell Feb 2012 Report 3 Karachi Mass Transit cell Feb 2012 Report ( table Summary of Corridors) 4 https://pedestrianobservations.wordpress.com/2011/05/16/us-rail-construction-costs/ 2 Page 8 countries with low land acquisitions is between 5 $65 million to $170 million per km. While capital costs for BRT systems might be high, 6operating costs $0.3 - $0.5 per passenger mile of running subways is lower than BRT operating cost of $0.4 - $0.6. In comparison, the Karachi Circular Railway (KCR) and its extension with at grade and elevated section is estimated to cost $ 2 billion for 57.6 km ($34.7 million / km) (JICA Feb, 2012 Feasibility Report). However, KCR subjects many residential buildings and squatter buildings to demolition and resettlement. Why metro subway is an attractive alternative today? Today, game changing new technologies for underground subway construction, present exciting opportunities. Horizontal tunnel boring machine with 14 feet diameter and excavation speeds of 1,200 feet / month (2.5 miles per year) are used for burrowing 80120 feet under existing settlements and structures. With these remarkable machines it is possible to plan and build a new underground transportation layer for the mega cities of Karachi and Lahore with minimal dislocation of the surface activities. The entire subway system requires an extensive infra structure of subway terminals, utilities and construction facilities. Detailed study, evaluation and planning of this mega project, should include a maximum local design, manufacturing and construction component. The studies could be undertaken over a 2-5 year period to assess its farreaching economic and social benefits and consequences. This is imperative for the future survivability of the mega cities. 5 https://pedestrianobservations.wordpress.com/2011/05/16/us-rail-construction-costs/ http://planitmetro.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/High-Capacity-Transit-Tables-4_1_4_2_V3-2-pagespread-cropped.png 6 Page 9