Further Education workforce data for England Analysis of the 2013-2014 Staff Individualised Record (SIR) data Document1 Page 1 of 60 08/04/2015 Contents Foreword .......................................................................................................................................................... 4 Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 5 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 7 2. Our approach to the analysis ............................................................................................................... 9 3. 2.1 The data............................................................................................................................................ 9 2.2 Data processing and definitions ............................................................................................... 10 Profile of the English FE workforce, 2013-14.............................................................................. 13 3.1 Occupation types ......................................................................................................................... 13 3.2 Contract types .............................................................................................................................. 13 3.3 Staff turnover ............................................................................................................................... 16 3.4 Gender ........................................................................................................................................... 18 3.5 Age.................................................................................................................................................. 19 3.6 Ethnicity ........................................................................................................................................ 21 3.7 Sexual orientation ....................................................................................................................... 22 3.8 Disability ....................................................................................................................................... 23 3.9 Region ............................................................................................................................................ 24 3.10 4. 5. Profile of teaching staff, 2013-14 ..................................................................................................... 28 4.1 Overview of characteristics in comparison to all FE staff ................................................. 28 4.2 Overview of characteristics in comparison to the school workforce in England ......... 28 4.3 Subjects taught by FE teaching staff ...................................................................................... 29 4.3.1 Subjects by college and teacher numbers .......................................................................... 29 4.3.2 Number of teachers per college offering each subject .................................................... 30 4.3.3 Turnover rates by subject ..................................................................................................... 31 Differences between General Further Education and other FE colleges .............................. 34 5.1 All staff .......................................................................................................................................... 35 5.1.1 Occupation types ..................................................................................................................... 35 5.1.2 Gender ....................................................................................................................................... 38 5.1.3 Age ............................................................................................................................................. 39 5.1.4 Staff turnover ........................................................................................................................... 40 5.2 6 Annual pay ................................................................................................................................ 25 Teaching staff............................................................................................................................... 41 Trends in the General Further Education College workforce ................................................. 44 6.1 All GFEC staff ............................................................................................................................. 44 6.1.1 Occupation type ....................................................................................................................... 44 6.1.2 Gender ....................................................................................................................................... 46 6.1.3 Age ............................................................................................................................................. 47 Document1 Page 2 of 60 08/04/2015 6.1.4 Ethnicity.................................................................................................................................... 48 6.1.5 Staff turnover ........................................................................................................................... 48 6.1.6 Pay .............................................................................................................................................. 49 6.2 7 8 Teaching staff............................................................................................................................... 50 Inferences on the total workforce population ............................................................................... 51 7.1 Representativeness of the SIR 22 sample .............................................................................. 51 7.2 Estimates of the total workforce population......................................................................... 52 Conclusions ........................................................................................................................................... 54 Annex 1: Additional tables ........................................................................................................................ 55 Annex 2: Representativeness of the SIR 22 sample ............................................................................. 57 Annex 3: Further Education colleges in England ................................................................................ 59 Document1 Page 3 of 60 08/04/2015 Foreword A college’s workforce is fundamental to how learners experience the college, how the local community see the college, how employers and other stakeholders perceive the college and ultimately fundamental to the college’s culture. As Governors, we’re not in the college every day, but we still need to understand the profile and characteristics of staff working in our college, and what that might mean for the college in the present and the future. This report shows me what the college workforce looks like across the country, and some of the trends. Charts and tables showing me the national and regional picture on staffing help me and my governor colleagues to better understand how our college compares against others. This report prompts us to consider and discuss whether our colleges have the right skills for the future; do we have the right profile of staff in the right roles to deliver our strategic ambitions? If we are downsizing or expanding, are we ensuring we are continuing to invest in the right profile of staff? Are we creating new roles fit for the future? How is the shape of our college workforce changing to manage the challenges we are facing across the sector? It doesn’t surprise me to see that teachers are now making up more of the workforce in colleges, as this report shows. While pay is slightly higher than last year, staff numbers in general are down. Although not much has changed since last year, there are some areas in the detail that I’m keen to compare to our college. There are more teachers on part-time contracts, and the age of new teachers is getting older, along with the rest of the workforce. Staff aged over 60 are a growing group. This report makes me want to see what the situation is in my college and in others. Sample sizes are down on last year, with fewer colleges making returns to the Staff Individualised Record. Smaller sample sizes make the data less reliable, and I hope we’ll see more colleges using the data and making returns next year. The data in this report is invaluable, not just for governors and senior managers in colleges, but for government departments making decisions about how to support the maths and English workforce in future, and for membership bodies like the Association of Colleges who lobby on our behalf. I would urge every college to complete it next year, so that together we can get the best available data on the workforce across the sector. The Education and Training Foundation is changing the way they collect workforce data over the next eighteen months, and are keen to make sure the data is as useful as possible to colleges. I want to make sure our college data is there, so I and other governors will be able to see a dashboard of trends when it comes out from the Foundation. I’m asking you to join me and make sure your college data is there too. Carol Jones Chair of the Corporation, Stoke on Trent College National Leader in Governance, Education and Training Foundation and Association of Colleges Document1 Page 4 of 60 08/04/2015 Executive Summary Frontier Economics was commissioned by the Education and Training Foundation to carry out an analysis of information on the Further Education (FE) workforce in England from the 2013-14 Staff Individualised Record (SIR) dataset. The SIR dataset holds information on standard contracts of employment between FE colleges and their members of staff, including information on the contract and on the demographic characteristics of the employee. This report provides a descriptive account of the staff working in English FE colleges in 2013-14, and draws out comparisons of the workforce across different types of FE college and with the results from 2012-13.1 Comparisons across college types focus on differences between General FE Colleges (GFECs, which account for the large majority of the sector in terms of number of providers and number of students), and all other institutions.2 In practice, our ability to draw comparisons over time and across college types was affected by data availability. SIR data are supplied by FE colleges for each academic year on a voluntary basis, and response rates have been declining over time. In 2013-14, 84 colleges, approximately one quarter of all FE colleges in England, supplied up-to-date information representing 61,524 employment contracts. This compares with around one-third of colleges responding in 2012-13. The decline in the response rate compared to 2012-13 was particularly marked for Sixth Form colleges (SFCs): less than 15% of all SFCs in England returned information as part of the 2013-14 SIR collection. This low response rate limited the scope to use SIR data to describe the characteristics of SFCs in isolation, and also meant we were most confident only to draw comparisons between 2012-13 and 2013-14 for the GFECs rather than across the whole FE sector. Despite the limitations of the data our results provide an accurate picture of the characteristics of the FE workforce. A statistical analysis suggests that colleges in SIR are reasonably representative of the characteristics of the wider population of FE colleges in England. The key findings from our analysis of 2013-14 SIR data provided by all college types are the following: Teachers represent nearly half of the FE workforce, making up the largest occupational group in FE. After teaching staff, the next largest occupational groups are service staff; word processing, clerical, and secretarial staff; administrative and professional staff; technical staff; managers; and assessors and verifiers. Over half (58%) of contracts in FE are part-time. Part-time contracts are considerably more frequent than in the general UK workforce where only one in four people works part-time. 63% of FE staff are women, a larger proportion than the general UK workforce, but a smaller proportion than the school workforce. The median pay band for full-time staff across all occupational categories is £25,000 to £25,999. Our analysis of contracts starting and ending in 2013-14 suggests that the size of the FE workforce is declining, with a net employment change3 of -1.7%. This change is less marked for teachers (-0.7%) and more marked for other (non-senior) managers (-5.5%). The availability of information on the ethnicity of FE staff has increased compared to 2012-13. Ethnicity was reported for 86% of contracts in 2013-14, a sizeable increase compared to 76% in 2012-13. “Further Education Workforce Data for England – Analysis of the 2012-13 Staff Individualised Record Data”, September 2014, Frontier Economics. 1 Our analysis excludes National Specialist Colleges, which tend to be very different in nature from other providers. See Section 1 and Annex 2 for further detail on the definition of the Further Education sector adopted in this report. 2 Net employment change is defined as the number of contracts starting in the teaching year less the number of contracts ending, as a proportion of all contracts. A negative figure implies that more contracts ended than started. 3 Document1 Page 5 of 60 08/04/2015 The most common subject areas, taught in at least 90% of FE colleges in our sample, are: Business Administration, Management, and Professional; Health, Social Care and Public Services; Hospitality, Sports, Leisure and Travel; English, Languages and Communication; Science and Mathematics; and Visual and Performing Arts and Media. Our comparative analysis of GFECs and other FE colleges shows that: A “typical” GFEC holds 650 contracts with members of staff (402 in FTE terms), of which 315 are teachers. It provides courses in 13 distinct subject areas, and employs 41 English, Languages and Communication and 24 Science and Mathematics teachers. GFECs tend to be larger than other colleges: they offer more subjects and employ more teachers per subject offered. Staff employed in GFECs tend to be older, with a median age of 50 compared to 48 in other colleges. There is little difference between GFECs and other colleges in terms of other employee characteristics. Comparing information returned by GFECs in 2012-13 and 2013-14, we found that: As a proportion of FTE staff, teachers have increased from 43.5% to 44.1%, while the proportion of technical staff and of other managers has decreased (from 6.9% to 6.2% and from 8.9% to 7.6%, respectively). The mean age of GFEC staff increased from 44 years in 2012-13 to 45 year in 2013-14. The median age for contracts starting in 2013-14 is 42, considerably higher than the median age for teaching contracts with earlier start dates, 39. The share of women in FTE staff has increased slightly, from 61.8% to 62.1%. The increase is larger for teachers, where the share of female staff has gone up from 54.6% to 55.9%. The median annual pay for full-time teaching staff has gone up by one pay band: from £30,000 - £30,999 in 2012-13 to £31,000 - £31,999 in 2013-14. As in the 2012-13 report we also provide indicative estimates of the total size of the FE workforce. This estimation remains a challenging task, particularly given the decline in the response rate. However, statistical comparison of the sample of colleges in SIR against the overall population of FE colleges suggests that scaling up the SIR data to match the number of colleges overall gives a reasonable way to estimate the size of the overall workforce in England. Based on this approach, we estimate the FE workforce to consist of approximately 250,000 contracts (155,000 FTEs), of which approximately 123,000 (71,000 FTE) are teachers.4 A note of caution on these estimates is in order. These figures are not easily comparable to the estimates we provided in the 2012-13 report. This is primarily because we are scaling up to a different number of colleges, due to the adoption of a new definition of the FE sector considered for this analysis, as described in Section 1 and Annex 3. Moreover, we are working with a different – and smaller – sample than in 2012-13. Our 2012-13 and 2013-14 figures should not therefore be compared to infer growth or decline of the FE workforce as a whole. The net employment change provides a more accurate estimate of the changing size of the FE sector workforce. 4 Document1 Page 6 of 60 08/04/2015 1. Introduction This report presents the findings from an analysis of workforce data from the Staff Individualised Record (SIR) dataset for Further Education (FE) colleges in England for 2013-2014. This is the eleventh publication in the series of annual SIR reports on the English FE workforce, and the second to be produced by the Education and Training Foundation. There are four types of colleges included in our analysis: general FE (including tertiary education) colleges (GFECs), sixth form colleges (SFCs), special colleges (Agriculture and Horticulture Colleges; Performing Arts Colleges) and specialist designated colleges (SDCs).5 We do not include national specialist colleges (NSCs), which focus specifically on providing young people with learning difficulties or disabilities with valuable skills for living independently. NSCs tend to be much smaller than other colleges in the sector, and none made returns to the SIR. Throughout the report, we have used information from the Association of Colleges (AoC), whose members are GFECs, SFCs, special colleges and SDCs, to help validate our data. The data contain information on all staff – teaching and not teaching – covering staff demographics (such as age, gender, ethnicity, disability and sexual orientation), staff occupation and pay, subjects taught and geographical location. This report provides a descriptive account of the staff working in colleges in 2013-2014 covering all aspects of the data (demographics, pay, subjects taught, etc.). The vast majority of FE providers in England (and of the SIR sample) are GFECs. However, it is important to recognise that other types of FE institutions may have different characteristics. The report therefore also makes explicit comparisons (as far as possible) between the characteristics of staff in GFECs and other types of college to understand better any differences between them. The report also comments on trends over time, by comparing the findings from the 2013-14 data with those in the 2012-13 report. Since this report follows the same analytical methodology used in the previous report,6 we are able to make more direct comparisons of changes over time than has been possible previously. To make as like-for-like a comparison as possible, we focus on comparisons within GFECs, which make up the vast majority of responses in both years. The rest of the report is organised as follows: Section 2 discusses our overall approach to the work including methodology and a detailed description of the data processing we have carried out. Section 3 contains the main description of the FE workforce in England in 2013-14. Section 4 describes the characteristics of the teaching workforce in English FE in 2013-14. Section 5 contains our analysis comparing GFECs to other types of FE institutions. Section 6 investigates trends in the characteristics of the FE workforce (within GFECs) over time, based on comparing 2013-14 results with those from 2012-13. Note that among special colleges, the SIR data used for this analysis do not contain any records from Performing Arts Colleges. We have taken the broadest understanding of FE colleges excluding only NSCs and any institutions covered by the World-Based Learning (WBL) or the Adult and Community Learning (ACL) Surveys. This ensures we have the broadest coverage of the education and training system across all the workforce data reports. Separate analysis comparing the findings from the SIR to those of the WBL and ACL surveys is provided in an accompanying report, “Workforce composition in different segments of the Further Education sector”, 2015, Frontier Economics. 5 6 “Further Education Workforce Data for England – Analysis of the 2012-13 Staff Individualised Record Data”, September 2014, Frontier Economics. Document1 Page 7 of 60 08/04/2015 Section 7 contains our estimates of the total workforce numbers (derived by scaling up the up the SIR 22 data). Section 8 contains our conclusions. Document1 Page 8 of 60 08/04/2015 2. Our approach to the analysis 2.1 The data The SIR data for 2013-14 are based on responses from 84 FE colleges in England, which equates to approximately one-quarter of colleges. As shown in Table 1, on aggregate the colleges supplying 2013-14 data make up around a quarter of one measure of the college population in terms of number of colleges, total expenditure, full-time staff and number of students. This is reassuring – if the sample of colleges were very unrepresentative of the overall college population, we might expect to see these proportions vary across different measures. We provide more comparisons of our sample to wider population measures of English FE colleges in Section 7 and Annex 3. Table 1. Characteristics of SIR 22 data return Colleges in SIR 22 AoC colleges Colleges in SIR 22 as % of AoC total Number 84 338 25% Spending £1.93bn £7.56bn 26% FTE staff 32,273 129,528 25% Students 469,291 1,872,816 25% Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 and AoC data. Note AoC data are for 2012-13, the last year for which data are currently available. One way in which we know our sample of colleges is somewhat different from the wider population is college type (see Table 2). In particular, our sample contains far fewer SFCs relative to wider college population measures, reflecting a lower tendency for SFCs to complete the SIR return. We return to this in more detail in Section 7 in terms of our ability to make inference about the total FE workforce from the SIR sample. This relatively poor response rate from SFCs also informs our decision to focus our comparative analysis between SIR 22 and SIR 21 data (see Section 6) on GFECs only. The 2013-2014 SIR dataset contains 61,524 records, each relating to a standard contract of employment between a college and an individual. In some cases, two or more distinct contracts may in fact relate to the same individual. However, it is not possible to identify where this is the case within SIR. For ease of presentation, throughout the report we may refer to ‘members of staff’ or ‘teachers’. However, technically speaking, the underlying data are always at the level of ‘contracts’ or ‘teaching contracts’. Document1 Page 9 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 2. Types of Further Education institutions in SIR 22 and AoC data Number of colleges % of colleges (SIR 22) Number of colleges (AoC) % of colleges (AoC) (SIR 22) GFECs 62 77% 217 65% SFCs 12 15% 92 27% Special colleges 5 6% 18 5% SDCs 2 2% 8 2% Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 and AoC data. Note AoC data are for 2012-13, the last year for which data are currently available. SIR column includes only those colleges we were able to map into the 2012-13 AoC data, and so do not add up to the 84 colleges in the full SIR 22 sample. 2.2 Data processing and definitions The original dataset we received from Texuna Technologies Ltd. included data from 138 colleges, for a total of 65,534 records. In contrast to previous years’ data, the dataset did not include any ‘backfilled’ records (observations from earlier years). This was to allow a more straightforward comparison with the approach taken in last year’s report which relied only on those colleges providing current year data for analysis. For consistency with the approach taken last year, we also wanted to include in our analysis only colleges providing a complete record of contracts for 2013-14. This required additional cleaning. In particular, records in the original dataset come from two sources. The large majority of records (57,266 or 87%) have been submitted by colleges. The remaining 8,268 records (13%) were provided by a staffing agency, Protocol. For 54 of the 138 colleges initially included (“Protocol colleges”), none of the records had been submitted by the college itself. Although records submitted by Protocol are up to date, it was not clear whether we could consider the records in the data for these 54 colleges to be comprehensive of all the contracts held by those institutions with members of staff. We then performed a number of checks to verify whether the information on any of these 54 could be considered complete: We first checked whether the total number of records we had for each of these 54 institutions was comparable to the number of records submitted directly by colleges. Among Protocol colleges, the number of contracts in the dataset was often very low (in 15 cases, three or fewer records). All Protocol colleges had a low number of records (in the bottom 5% colleges by total records received). It may be that Protocol colleges happened to be small, which could account for this finding. We used information from the Association of Colleges (AoC) on the total number of students in 338 AoC member institutions to compute the number of records per student for the institutions in our initial dataset. The number of records per student in Protocol colleges was again low compared to all other institutions in our initial dataset. This suggested that Protocol colleges also submitted fewer records than would be expected given the number of students they have. Finally, we checked whether we had information on Protocol colleges on at least one teacher, one manager, and one administrative member of staff. This was not the case for any of the 54 Document1 Page 10 of 60 08/04/2015 colleges. The results of these checks suggested that the information included in our sample for the 54 Protocol colleges does not provide a complete picture of the colleges’ staff. The 54 colleges were therefore not included in our analysis. The final dataset used for our analysis includes 84 colleges and 61,524 records.7 SIR 22 data includes information on: FE colleges: o College name; o College location; and o UK provider number. Members of staff o Personal characteristics: gender, date of birth, age, ethnicity, disability, sexual orientation; and o Contracts with FE colleges: terms of employment (full-time or part-time), fraction of full-time worked, proportion of time worked providing teaching and promoting learning, proportion of time worked supporting teaching and learning, proportion providing other support, date of appointment, date of leaving (if any), category of work, annual pay, main subject taught (for teachers). Within this set of variables, it is important to note the following definitions, outlined in the data specification and used throughout this report: ‘Annual pay’ is the gross pay for work during the 2013-14 tax year (6 April 2013 to 5 April 2014). ‘Date of leaving’ is the date at which a contract terminates, unless (in the case of fixed-term and casual staff), the learning provider does not expect to renew the contract in the period immediately following. ‘Fraction of full-time’ is defined as the hours that a member of staff is contracted to work over a year, as a proportion of the institution’s own definition of full-time for that position. This variable can take on values larger than 100%. A number of variables required some manipulation to obtain categories consistent with previous reports: 7 The ‘Category of work’ variable reports detailed categories that we have aggregated into broader occupational groups. Specifically, we define as a teacher or a teaching contract a record where the occupational category is either recorded as ‘Trainer’ or as ‘Lecturer/Tutor’. Similarly, the ‘Ethnicity’ variable also required some aggregation into categories consistent with the 2013 report. Moreover, records previously reported as ‘White – Other European’ have been recoded to ‘White – Any other’, in line with the SIR 22 specification. Because of the smaller number of colleges in the SIR 22 dataset compared with the SIR 21 We carried out additional checks for college mergers or name changes, which did not require any further changes to the data. Document1 Page 11 of 60 08/04/2015 dataset, we were not able to replicate regional pay analysis at the full Government Office Region (GOR) level of disaggregation.8 We aggregated regions into four broader areas (Greater London, North England, Midlands, South England). Comparisons of pay by college type and between SIR 21 and SIR 22 (in GFECs) are provided at this level in this report. Having defined the final dataset in terms of records and variables included, we performed a number of checks to ensure consistency with the specification: For SIR fields reported as categories (e.g. ethnicity, disability), we verified that values reported were consistent with the list of admissible values from the data specification. SIR fields 16, 17, 18, and 24 should all be proportions - with values between 0 and 100. No adjustments were necessary as a result of this check. In a number of cases, the ‘Age’ variable had been recorded as less than 15 – often 0. We have changed the value to missing in these instances (and these are not included in any analysis pertaining to the age of FE staff). 8 See Figure 8 of the 2012-13 SIR report, “Further Education Workforce Data for England – Analysis of the 2012-13 Staff Individualised Record Data”, September 2014, Frontier Economics. Document1 Page 12 of 60 08/04/2015 3. Profile of the English FE workforce, 201314 This Section provides a description of the FE workforce in England based on the sample of colleges responding to the SIR 22 data return. We examine occupation, contract type, staff turnover, gender, age, ethnicity, sexual orientation, disability, location (by region) and pay. 3.1 Occupation types The 2013-14 data consist of 61,524 contracts from 84 Further Education colleges. The largest occupational group within this sample is teaching staff with 48.5% of all contracts (see Table 3). Service staff represent the second largest group (15.8%) followed by word processing, clerical and secretarial staff (10.2%). Senior managers are the smallest group, making up less than 0.1% of all contracts. Table 3. Staff breakdown by occupational group in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Occupational group Proportion of contracts Administrative and professional staff 5.9% Technical staff 5.4% Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 10.2% Service staff 15.8% Teaching staff 48.5% Assessors and verifiers 2.8% Senior managers 0.05% Other managers 5.4% Unknown 5.3% Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 84 colleges; 61,524 contracts. 3.2 Contract types A breakdown of contract types (full-time or part-time) by occupational staff group is shown in Table 4. The majority of staff (58%) in FE colleges are employed on a part-time basis, although this varies considerably between occupational groups. Service staff have the highest share of part-time employees (71.6%) followed by teaching staff (60.3%). Senior managers (10.5%) and other managers (25.4%), on the other hand, have the lowest share of part-time employees. Document1 Page 13 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 4. Staff breakdown by occupational group and contract type in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Occupational group Proportion of part-time staff Proportion of full-time staff Administrative and professional staff 42.4% 57.6% Technical staff 46.1% 53.9% Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 56.8% 42.6% Service staff 71.6% 28.4% Teaching staff 60.3% 39.7% Assessors and verifiers 59.2% 40.8% Senior managers 10.5% 89.5% Other managers 25.4% 74.6% All contracts 57.5% 42.5% Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 84 colleges; 61,524 contracts. The prevalence of part-time contracts in FE is considerably higher than in the general UK workforce, where only about one in four contracts are part-time.9 “Part-time” is defined as a contract at less than 1.0 full-time equivalent (FTE), as defined by each FE institution, and so there is clearly variation in what is meant by part-time at the individual contract level. Figure 1 shows the distribution of part-time contracts by the fraction of full-time hours worked. The single most frequent value is 0.5, which indicates that the hours contracted are 50% of a standard full-time contract. However, when broken into bands of FTE the most common band is contracts that are less than 10% FTE, which account for around 20% of all part-time contracts. 26.8% as of June 2014 in the UK workforce. Source: Office for National Statistics, UK Labour Market, August 2014 Statistical Bulletin, available at http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_372372.pdf 9 Document1 Page 14 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 1. Part-time contracts by proportion of full-time worked Proportion of part-time contracts in SIR22 (%) 25 19.9 20 15.7 15 13.3 10.6 10.6 10 7.6 6.6 5.5 5.8 4.4 5 0 Fraction of full-time hours worked Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 84 colleges, 35,372 part-time contracts. This picture varies by occupation type: Among senior managers on part-time contracts 40% are on 0.8 FTE or more, suggesting that part-time contracts are much closer to full-time for this group than among all FE staff; Groups with the highest prevalence of very short part-time contracts (below 0.1 FTE) are word processing, clerical and secretarial staff; teaching staff; and assessors and verifiers. For these occupational groups between 15% and 30% of part-time contracts are below 0.1 FTE. Among senior managers, other managers, technical staff, service staff and administrative/professional staff, fewer than 10% of part-time contracts are below 0.1 FTE. Given the high incidence of part-time working in the sector we examined what the occupational distribution in the sector looks like in terms of FTE (see Table 5). In FTE terms, the FE workforce consists of a total of 39,035 contracts spread over the 84 colleges. Teaching staff make up 44.8% of FTE contracts compared with 48.5% of all contracts, reflecting a relatively higher incidence of parttime staff and low FTE contracts among part-time teaching staff. Managers and assessors are still the smallest occupational groups on an FTE basis, although the proportions of senior managers increases from 0.05% of all contracts to 0.8% of FTE contracts, and of other managers from 5.4% to 7.5%. This reflects the relatively high proportion of full-time staff in these occupations and longer FTE contracts among part-time managerial staff. Document1 Page 15 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 5. Proportions of FTE staff by occupational group in FE colleges, 2013-14 Occupational group Proportion of FTE contracts Administrative and professional staff 7.5% Technical staff 6.4% Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 10.7% Service staff 14.8% Teaching staff 44.8% Assessors and verifiers 2.6% Senior managers 0.8% Other managers 7.5% Unknown 4.0% Undefined 1.2% Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data Sample size: 84 colleges; 39,035 FTE contracts. 3.3 Staff turnover SIR data includes information on the leaving date for individual contracts, which can be used to compute measures of turnover. We focus on two measures: The turnover rate is the number of contracts ending within the 2013-14 teaching year, expressed as a proportion of all contracts observed that year. The net employment change is the number of contracts starting in the teaching year, less the number of contracts ending, again expressed as a proportion of all contracts. A negative figure implies that more contracts ended than started, suggesting a declining workforce. A note of caution on the interpretation of these data is in order. A contract ending does not necessarily imply that a member of staff is leaving the college (or the FE sector altogether). Some members of staff may be moving on from an old to a new contract. Limitations of the SIR data prevent us from disentangling these two components of turnover with confidence. The main issue with the data is that it is at the contract level – it allows us to identify contracts in FE institutions, but not to attribute these to individuals. A breakdown of these measures by occupational category is shown in Table 6. Across all occupation categories, around 15% of the contracts we observe in SIR 22 report a leaving date within 2013-14. This proportion is higher for assessors and verifiers; teaching staff; and word processing, clerical, and secretarial staff.10 10 Turnover rates are also markedly higher where the occupation category was explicitly reported as ‘unknown’ or left blank. Document1 Page 16 of 60 08/04/2015 Turnover rates were lower, between 11 and 12%, among senior managers; administrative and professional staff; and technical staff. Table 6. Turnover and net employment change rates by occupational group in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Turnover Rate Net employment change Total number of contracts in SIR 22 Other Managers 13.2% -5.5% 3,347 Senior Manager 11.5% -1.9% 323 Administrative and professional staff 11.4% -1.2% 3,645 Technical staff 11.5% -1.7% 3,304 Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 16.6% -2.6% 6,307 Service staff 13.2% -3.0% 9,745 Teaching staff 15.4% -0.7% 29,846 Assessors and verifiers 16.2% 0.9% 1,727 Unknown 21.7% -5.4% 2,336 Blank 18.5% 6.3% 944 All staff 15.0% -1.7% 61,524 84 84 84 Occupation Number of colleges Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. A sizeable group of contracts with a leaving date in 2013-14 are short-term contracts that also report a start date within the same teaching year. These contracts account for around 4% of all teaching contracts in SIR 22, suggesting that recurring short-term contracts could account for part of the turnover rate identified. However, even if these contracts are excluded from this analysis, turnover rates would still remain between 10% and 15% for all occupational categories. In terms of net employment change, we see a negative figure for all (known) occupation groups except for assessors and verifiers where the figure is modestly positive (+0.6%). Note however that turnover figures for this category, as well as for senior managers, should be interpreted with care given the relatively low number of contracts (1,727 and 323 respectively). Across all categories, net employment change was -1.7%, with the largest fall amongst other managers (-5.5%) and service staff (-3.0%). Another way to look at changes in employment levels is to compare the number of active contracts in the 47 FE colleges who are included in SIR21 (2012-13) and in SIR 22 (2013-14) at the start of the teaching year. Consistent with the findings above, this analysis also shows fewer active contracts in these colleges in 2013-14 than in 2012-13. Document1 Page 17 of 60 08/04/2015 3.4 Gender The share of women in the FE workforce is 63.3% among all staff (see Figure 2). With the exception of technical staff (39.4%) women are in the majority in all occupation groups. This is more pronounced among word processing, clerical and secretarial staff (81.1%), administrative and professional staff (76.6%) and service staff (70.0%). For teachers the share of female staff is slightly below the average, at 58.8%. The findings are even more pronounced when restricting the sample to part-time contracts only: 72.0% of part-time contracts are held by women, and even among technical staff, women hold well over half (59.8%) of part-time contracts. Figure 2. Proportion of female staff in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 90 84.7 84.7 All staff 81.1 Proportion of female staff by category (%) 80 77.1 70 67.6 70 Part-time staff 78.6 76.6 64.9 61.4 59.8 60 72 69.2 62.6 63.3 58.8 51.1 50 40 39.4 30 20 10 0 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data Sample size: 84 colleges; 61,524 contracts Even adjusting for the fact that women are more likely to hold part-time contracts, female staff still make up the majority of the FE workforce on an FTE basis (see Figure 3). Across all staff, women make up 61.8% of the FTE workforce in English FE, compared with 63.3% of all contracts. Female staff also account for the majority of the workforce in schools, where they make up 80% of staff.11 This is in contrast to the general UK workforce, where the proportion of women is only 46%.12 However, the difference in the prevalence of part-time by gender among FE staff is considerably less pronounced than in the general UK workforce, where women are over three times as likely as men to be working part-time.13 11 Source: Department for Education, School Workforce in England: November 2013, https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/335413/sfr11_2014_updated_july.pdf. available at Source: ONS, Labour Market Statistics, August 2014, available at: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/lms/labour-market-statistics/august2014/index.html. 12 Source: ONS, Labour Market Statistics, August 2014, available at: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/lms/labour-market-statistics/august2014/index.html. 13 Document1 Page 18 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 3. Proportion of FTE female staff in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 90 82.2 Proportion of female FTE staff by category (%) 80 75.6 70 63.7 60 60.4 59.6 61.8 55.8 51 50 40 33.1 30 20 10 0 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data Sample size: 84 colleges; 61,524 contracts. 3.5 Age The median age of FE staff in 2013-14 is 46 years. The median age for men (46) is slightly higher than the median age among women (45). Almost 22% of staff are aged 34 or younger and the highest concentration of staff is in the age groups 45 to 54, which together account for almost 30% of contracts observed. More than a quarter of staff are aged 55 or over (see Figure 4). Part-time staff tend to be slightly older (median 46 years) than full-time staff (45). This is explained by the higher proportion of part-time staff among those aged 60 and older (see Figure 5). FE staff also tend to be older than the general UK workforce: 34% of FE staff are aged 50-64, compared to 26% across all sectors in the UK; by contrast 21.8% of FE staff are under 35, compared to 35% of the general UK workforce.14 Source: Office for National Statistics (2014), http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_372372.pdf. 14 Document1 UK Labour Market, Page 19 of 60 August 2014 Statistical Bulletin, available at 08/04/2015 Figure 4. Proportion of staff by age bands in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 16 15 14.4 14 Proportion of total FE staff in each age band (%) 12.9 13.1 12.1 12 10 9.5 9.8 8 7 6 5.3 4 2 0.9 0 Under 25 25 - 29 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 - 44 45 - 49 50 - 54 55 - 59 60 and over Undefined Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 84 colleges; 61,524 contracts. Document1 Page 20 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 5. Proportion of part-time staff by age bands, 2013-14 80 68.5 Proportion of part-time staff in each age band (%) 70 59.3 60 54.3 54.3 54.1 57.3 55.1 55.1 56.0 50 43.5 40 30 20 10 0 Under 25 25 - 29 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 - 44 45 - 49 50 - 54 55 - 59 60 and over Undefined Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data Sample size: 84 colleges; 61,524 contracts. 3.6 Ethnicity The workforce in the Further Education sector is predominantly White – British (84.9% of all contracts where ethnicity is reported).15 The proportion of White – British staff is slightly higher among senior managers (91.0%); among teaching staff the proportion (84.4%) is similar to the wider FE workforce (see Table 7). The ethnic profile of FE staff is in line with the composition of the UK population as of the latest Census data, although White (British and other) is a slightly larger group in FE, with over 88% of the FE workforce as opposed to just over 87% of the UK population.16 15 Ethnicity is not reported in 14% of cases. Sources: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data, 2011 Census tables, available at http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/census/2011-census/keystatistics-and-quick-statistics-for-local-authorities-in-the-united-kingdom---part-1/rft-ks201uk.xls. 16 Document1 Page 21 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 7. Ethnicity of staff in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Ethnicity group All staff Teaching staff Senior managers White – British 84.9% 84.4% 91.0% White – other 4.6% 5.4% 3.8% Mixed 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% Asian/Asian British 4.5% 4.2% 2.4% Black/African/Caribbean/Black British 3.5% 3.5% 1.7% Any other 1.0% 1.3% 0.3% Number of contracts where ethnicity has been reported 53,065 25,185 290 Number of colleges where ethnicity has been reported for at least one member of staff in each category 83 82 6517 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. 3.7 Sexual orientation Similar to 2012-13, sexual orientation is largely unknown in the SIR 22 dataset because no information was reported (67.8%) or staff members preferred not to disclose their sexual orientation (7.2%). Among the staff that chose to indicate their sexual orientation, heterosexuals constitute the largest group (24.4% of all records). 0.5% of staff reported they were gay male or lesbian, and 0.1% of staff reported they were bisexual (see Figure 6). Ethnicity has been reported for at least one senior manager in 65 colleges, compared to 83 for all staff. This difference is partly explained by the fact that each college will only have a small number of senior managers (4 in the median GFE college, also see section 5 of this report). 17 Document1 Page 22 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 6. Sexual orientation of FE staff in England, 2013-14 70 67.8 Proportion of total FE staff by sexual orientation (%) 60 50 40 30 24.4 20 10 7.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 Gay Lesbian Bisexual 0 Heterosexual Prefer not to say Unknown Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data Sample size: 84 colleges; 61,524 contracts. 3.8 Disability Around 4.4% of the FE workforce reported having some form of disability. The specific type of disability is not reported in the majority of cases. Among staff where the type of disability is known, physical impairment is most prevalent, followed by learning difficulty and mental illness (see Figure 7). Document1 Page 23 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 7. Disability of FE staff in England, 2013-14 90 81.1 80 Porportion of the FE workforce (%) 70 60 50 40 30 20 12.9 10 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 Yes - rather not say Yes - physical impairment Yes - learning difficulty Yes - mental ill health 1.6 0 No Prefer not to say Unknown Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 84 colleges; 61,524 contracts. 3.9 Region Table 8 shows the distribution of FE staff across different broad geographical regions of England.18 Roughly a third (32.9%) of contracts are in the Midlands, just larger than North England (30.2%). South England makes up just under a quarter (24.9%) of contracts and Greater London around 12.0% of contracts. Note that our data come from a relatively small sample of 84 colleges across the country and so analysis of contracts is inevitably influenced by where those colleges are located. Given the relatively small number of colleges, any regional analysis in this report is aggregated into broader geographies than the standard Government Office Regions – in particular, we consider North England (North East, North West, Yorkshire and the Humber), the Midlands (East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England), South England (South East, South West) and Greater London. Among our sample of colleges (all colleges listed on the Association of Colleges website), 32% (32%) are in North England, 27% (29%) are in the Midlands, 23% (26%) in South England and 18% (14%) in Greater London. These appear broadly comparable, also giving additional weight to our analysis in Section 7 and Annex 2 which suggest that our sample of colleges (in particular GFECs) is broadly comparable to the wider population of FE colleges in England. 18 Document1 Page 24 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 8. Distribution of FE staff in SIR 22 across regions in England, 2013-14 Region Number of contracts Proportion of contracts Number of colleges North England 18,610 30.2% 27 Midlands and East of England 20,218 32.9% 23 Greater London 7,361 12.0% 15 South England 15,335 24.9% 19 Total 61,524 100% 84 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. 3.10 Annual pay In this section we examine how remuneration in FE colleges varies by occupational category and region. We focus on annual pay for full-time staff only. SIR data do not include information on the exact salary of FE staff, but they do report granular pay bands, starting from £0 to £1,999, and progressing in £1,000 increments up to the highest category £100,000 or more. Although the quality of the pay data is generally good, close inspection revealed a considerable increase in the number of cases where the smallest pay band (£0 to £1,999) was reported compared to SIR 21. Our view is that this increase is driven more by sampling variation or the way particular colleges may have reported their data than any genuine increase in the number of very low paid workers; this group is therefore excluded from our analysis. In this and other sections related to pay, we focus on medians, rather than means, in part because information on pay is only available in bands, and in part because medians are less easily influenced by outliers. Median pay in FE in England is £25,000 to £25,999 (compared with median pay across all sectors in the UK workforce of around £27,000). 19 This varies by occupational group (see Table 9). Median pay is highest for senior managers at £68,000 to £68,999, and lowest for word processing, clerical and secretarial staff at £17,000 to £17,999. For teaching staff, median pay in FE colleges in 2013-14 stood at £31,000 to £31,999. Office for National Statistics, Annual Survey http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_385428.pdf. 19 Document1 of Hours and Page 25 of 60 Earnings 2014 Provisional Results, available at 08/04/2015 Table 9. Median pay band by occupation group, full-time staff, English FE colleges 2013-14 Occupational group Median pay band (£) Number of contracts Administrative and professional staff 22,000 – 22,999 1,975 Technical staff 19,000 – 19,999 1,621 Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 17,000 – 17,999 2,276 Service staff 18,000 – 18,999 2,218 Teaching staff 31,000 – 31,999 10,068 Assessors and verifiers 24,000 – 24,999 581 Senior managers 68,000 – 68,999 278 Other managers 35,000 – 35,999 2,310 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 83 colleges. Median pay for service staff seems to be broadly in line with the median pay for elementary occupations across the entire UK workforce, which was £17,500 for the year ending April 5 2013.20 FE teachers, on the other hand, appear to be paid less than teachers in the school workforce. Average (mean) pay for FE teaching staff in England in 2013-14 is £29,400,21 compared to £38,100 across all school teachers and £34,600 for classroom teachers specifically.22 Comparing pay for other occupation categories is challenging, due to differing definitions across sectors. For example, average (mean) pay for English FE senior managers is £69,600, while school leaders (heads, deputies, assistant heads) are paid £56,100 on average. However, average pay for other managers in FE is £36,000. This suggests that school leaders are not entirely comparable to either of the two categories of FE managers. Pay is considerably higher in Greater London than the other regions of England, whereas outside of London there appears to be relatively little variation in median pay, at least at these broad regional levels (see Figure 8). Source: Office for National Statistics, Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings 2013 provisional results, available at http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_335027.pdf. 20 This is slightly lower than the mean teacher pay reported in the 2012-13 report, £29,647. However, as discussed above, we recommend focusing on medians to compare pay across teaching staff between years. This change in mean pay is not reflected in a change in medians, and could be due either to mere variation in the composition of the sample, or to a decrease in the extent to which pay is concentrated around the median. The very small drop in mean pay is also unlikely to be statistically significant. See Section 6.2 for further detail on variation of teacher pay in FE over time. 21 Department for Education, School Workforce in England: November 2013, available at https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/335413/sfr11_2014_updated_july.pdf. 22 Document1 Page 26 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 8. Median pay bands for full-time FE staff by broad region, 2013-14 Yorkshire and North England: £26,000 – 26,999 Midlands and East England: £23,000 – 23,999 Greater London: £31,000 – 31,999 South England: £25,000 – 25,999 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size across all regions: 84 colleges, 23,062 full-time contracts. See Table 8 above for sample size by region. Document1 Page 27 of 60 08/04/2015 4. Profile of teaching staff, 2013-14 In this section, we focus our analysis on the characteristics of teaching staff in FE colleges. As shown in Table 3 and Table 5, teaching staff made up around 48.5% of contracts and 44.8% of FTE contracts in the SIR 22 sample. We first look at some of the contract-level information analysed in Section 3, with respect to all FE staff: gender, age, ethnicity and annual pay. We highlight any differences between teachers and the FE staff overall and, as far as possible, with the schools workforce. We then analyse subjects taught in FE colleges by teaching staff. 4.1 Overview of characteristics in comparison to all FE staff As with all FE staff, women are more prevalent in teaching staff than men, although the difference is less pronounced (58.8% compared to 63.3% women across all FE staff). We find teaching staff have an age distribution very similar to that of all FE staff. The median age of both groups is 46. The distribution of ethnicity is the same for teachers as for the FE workforce. Ethnicity is known for 76% of teaching staff. 90% of contracts are held by white (British and other) staff, 4% by Asian staff, 3% by black staff and 1% by staff of mixed ethnicity. Annual pay is higher for teaching staff than among all FE staff. The median annual pay band is £31,000 to £31,999 for full-time teachers compared to £25,000 to £25,999 for all (full-time) FE staff. Consistent with our findings in Section 3.10, annual pay of teaching staff varies significantly by region. Annual pay is highest in Greater London (£35,000 to £35,999) and lowest in South England (£28,000 to £28,999). 4.2 Overview of characteristics in comparison to the school workforce in England Figures in this sub-Section are largely based on comparisons from the Department for Education, School Workforce in England: November 2013 publication23. Relatively few direct comparisons can be made on the characteristics of the two workforces. However our analysis suggests that: Both in the FE and in the school workforce, teachers are predominantly female, but less so in FE: 59% of FE teaching staff are women, compared to 74% of the school workforce. However, both in the FE and in the school workforce, the proportion of female staff is lower among teachers than across all occupational categories. Teaching contracts in FE tend to be part-time more often than contracts in the school workforce. Only one in four school teachers works part-time, compared to nearly two in three FE teachers. Teachers in FE tend to be paid less on average than school teachers. The average annual pay 23https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/335413/sfr11_2014_updated_july.pdf. Document1 Page 28 of 60 08/04/2015 for a full-time FE teacher in 2013-14 was £29,400, compared to £38,100 for all school teachers and £34,600 for classroom teachers only. 4.3 Subjects taught by FE teaching staff 4.3.1 Subjects by college and teacher numbers Most FE institutions have a varied offer of subjects taught: 90% of colleges in our sample offered eight subjects or more. However, the SIR also includes information on more specialist institutions, such as Agriculture and Horticulture Colleges, and Performing Arts Colleges. We explore variation in subjects taught by college type in more detail in Section 5.2. Table 10 ranks all subjects taught in FE colleges in England in 2013-14 by the number of institutions where the course is offered. The most common subjects, provided by at least 90% of colleges in our sample, are: Business Administration, Management, and Professional; Health, Social Care, and Public Services; Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel; English, Languages, and Communication; Science and Mathematics; Visual and Performing Arts and Media. Table 10 also shows the number of staff teaching each subject, both in absolute terms and as a proportion of the total number of teachers. Visual and Performing Arts and Media teachers are the largest group, representing just over 12% of all teaching staff. Although Science and Mathematics and ICT courses are provided in 93% and 88% of colleges, respectively, the number of staff teaching these subjects is small compared to other commonly offered courses. ICT teachers make up just under 5% of the teacher workforce, for example, and Science and Mathematics teachers just under 7%. This is consistent with our findings from the 2012-13 SIR data. Document1 Page 29 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 10. Subjects provided in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Number of colleges providing subject Proportion of colleges providing subject Proportion of teachers teaching subject24 Business Administration, Management, and Professional 79 95% 8.5% Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel 78 94% 8.1% Health, Social Care, and Public Services 78 94% 10.4% English, Languages, and Communication 77 93% 10.5% Science and Mathematics 76 92% 6.9% Visual and Performing Arts and Media 76 92% 12.3% ICT 73 88% 4.9% Foundation Programmes 70 84% 9.9% Humanities 70 84% 5.5% Engineering, Technology, and Manufacturing 67 81% 7.0% Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy 60 72% 4.8% Construction 56 67% 5.5% Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation 41 49% 1.7% Land Based Provision 38 46% 4.1% Subject Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 83 colleges, 26,095 contracts where subject taught is known. 4.3.2 Number of teachers per college offering each subject This variation between provision of subject by college and teacher numbers is reflected in the average number of teachers per college by subject offered, shown in Figure 9. ICT and Science and Mathematics fall within the bottom five subject areas on this measure. 24 As a proportion of teaching staff contracts where the main subject taught is known. Document1 Page 30 of 60 08/04/2015 45 42 40 37 36 All contracts 35 35 28 30 25 22 28 27 27 25 20 21 20 18 16 16 18 FTE 24 23 20 18 20 17 16 15 13 12 11 11 10 5 2 Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation ICT Humanities Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy Science and Mathematics Construction Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel Engineering, Technology, and Manufacturing Land Based Provision Business Administration, Management, and Professional Health, Social Care, and Public Services English, Languages, and Communication Foundation Programmes 0 Visual and Performing Arts and Media Average number of teachers in an FE college Figure 9. Teachers per college by subject offered, 2013-14 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 83 colleges, 26,095 teaching contracts where subject taught is known. Variation in teachers per college by subject may be partly explained by two factors: The nature of the subject taught: some courses may require smaller class sizes – this may be the case for Visual and Performing Arts and Media; The nature of the institutions in our sample. For example, Land Based Provision ranks high in number of teachers per college, compared to how many colleges provide it. This is largely explained by the fact that our sample includes Agriculture and Horticulture Colleges, which focus heavily – but not exclusively - on Land Based Provision. Similar findings for Visual and Performing Arts may be similarly explained by the presence of specialist Arts colleges. 4.3.3 Turnover rates by subject Turnover rates for teaching staff by subject area are in line with the overall profile of FE staff described in Table 11. Among the most commonly taught subject areas turnover rates vary from 10% for Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy teachers to 22% for Engineering, Technology, and Manufacturing. Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation has a 47% turnover rate; however, this figure is based on a very small number of contracts compared to all other subjects. Document1 Page 31 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 11. Turnover rates and net employment changes by subject, 2013-14 Turnover rate Net employment change Total number of contracts English, Languages, and Communication 11.6% -2.3% 2,752 Business Administration, Management, and Professional 17.3% -1.3% 2,225 Science and Mathematics 16.9% -0.3% 1,810 Visual and Performing Arts and Media 14.6% -0.3% 3,211 Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel 14.4% -1.2% 2,110 Health, Social Care & Public Services 12.8% -0.7% 2,705 ICT 14.7% -0.9% 1,270 12% -4.5% 2,584 Engineering, Technology & Manufacturing 22.2% -2.3% 1,822 Humanities 14.3% -1.1% 1,424 Construction 16.3% 0.4% 1,426 Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy 10.2% -3.6% 1,249 Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation 47.1% -20.4% 437 Land Based Provision 10.9% 2.6% 1,070 All teaching staff 15.4% -0.7% 29,846 Region Foundation Programmes Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Also in line with other occupational categories net employment changes are negative for nearly all subjects, with the exception of Land Based Provision and Construction, implying a net employment change of -0.7% for all teaching staff. As reported in Table 9, median pay for full-time teachers is between £31,000 and £31,999. There is some variation around this value depending on subject (see Table 12), with the median pay band for Business Administration, Management and Professional, ICT, and Humanities teachers being higher, at £33,000 to £33,999. However, this result may be driven by regional differences in pay. This is at least in part the reason why median pay for Land Based Provision teachers appears to be considerably lower, at £26,000 to £26,999: the two biggest Agriculture and Horticulture colleges in our sample are based in the South and in the Midlands regions where overall pay for FE staff is lower than in Greater London and in the North. Document1 Page 32 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 12. Annual pay for full-time teaching staff by subject, 2013-14 Subject Median pay band (£) Science and Mathematics 32,000 - 32,999 Land Based Provision 26,000 - 26,999 Construction 30,000 - 30,999 Engineering, Technology, and Manufacturing 31,000 - 31,999 Business Administration, Management, and Professional 33,000 - 33,999 ICT 33,000 - 33,999 Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation 29,000 - 29,999 Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel 31,000 - 31,999 Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy 31,000 - 31,999 Health, Social Care, and Public Services 31,000 - 31,999 Visual and Performing Arts and Media 32,000 - 32,999 Humanities 33,000 - 33,999 English, Languages, and Communication 32,000 - 32,999 Foundation Programmes 30,000 - 30,999 All teachers 31,000 - 31,999 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Sample size: 83 colleges, 10,068 full-time teaching contracts. Document1 Page 33 of 60 08/04/2015 5. Differences between General Further Education and other FE colleges In this section we investigate to what degree GFECs differ from other colleges within our sample and report the most important findings. Because of the relatively small number of FE institutions other than GFECs in our sample, we group together SFCs, special colleges and SDCs into a generic group of “other colleges”, totalling just 20 colleges in our SIR 22 sample. Given this very low sample size of other colleges, considerable care should be given to the findings in this Section, which could easily be influenced by the particular composition of the 20 institutions that responded to SIR 22. However, a number of interesting differences emerge. We have used statistical tests to check the likelihood that these results may have arisen only by chance sampling variation. Where our tests provide us with confidence that a particular result does reflect genuine variation in the characteristics of our two groups of colleges, we report a difference as “statistically significant”.25 In Figure 10, we illustrate the profile of a “typical” General Further Education College, constructed using the characteristics of the median college in SIR 22 data in terms of the size of its workforce and the characteristics of its teachers. Figure 10. Illustration of a typical General Further Education College in 2013-14 41 English, Languages and Communication teachers 24 Science and Mathematics teachers 13 subject areas offered 315 teachers 4 senior managers 650 contracts, 402 FTEs Typical General Further Education College Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. A typical GFEC is considerably larger than other types of FE colleges: The median GFEC holds over twice as many contracts as the median college in the “Other” group. The median number of contracts held by a college is approximately 650 in GFECs, compared to 290 in other colleges. Specifically, there are 315 teaching contracts in the median GFEC, compared to 145 working in the median college in the “Other” group. We used Wald tests for the equality of proportions (e.g. of the proportion of part-time among all contracts) or of means (e.g. of mean age) between GFE and non-GFE colleges. We report a statistically significant difference when the Wald test rejected the hypothesis of equality of means or proportions between the two groups at the 95% confidence level. Where we perform tests at the contract level, we account for the fact that certain characteristics (e.g. pay) are largely defined at the college level by using standard errors clustered by college. 25 Document1 Page 34 of 60 08/04/2015 This difference is partly driven by a greater use of part-time contracts in GFE colleges. The difference in size between GFECs and other colleges is smaller in terms of FTEs: 402 in the median GFEC, compared to 227 in other colleges. The difference in size between GFECs and other colleges is partly due to GFECs offering courses in more subject areas. The median GFEC employs at least one member of staff teaching in 13 different subject areas, compared to 9 in other colleges. However, GFECs do not only offer more subject areas, but they also employ more staff per subject offered. In the median GFEC, there are 22 teaching contracts per subject taught, compared to 12 in other colleges. GFECs differ from other colleges in the size of some occupational groups, as described in section 5.1.1 below, although the distribution of occupations is broadly similar across college types. In both GFECs and other colleges, teachers are nearly 50% of FE staff, and Service staff and Technical staff are respectively the second and the third largest group. We also compared contract-level characteristics of staff between GFECs and other colleges: GFEC staff tends to be older, with a median age of 50 compared to 48 in other colleges; The gender composition of staff is broadly similar across college types; We found little difference between GFECs and other colleges in annual pay for full-time staff and turnover. Sections 5.1.2 to 5.1.4 below provide further detail on contract-level comparisons between GFECs and other colleges. 5.1 All staff 5.1.1 Occupation types Table 13 compares the proportion of contracts by occupational group in GFECs and other colleges. The two distributions are similar, with teachers making up nearly half of staff in each group and service staff being the second largest group, followed by Word processing, clerical, and secretarial staff. The proportion of senior and other managers is also similar across the two groups of institutions. However, GFECs employ relatively more Assessors and verifiers, less Service staff, and less Technical staff. These differences are statistically significant. GFECs tend to employ relatively more teachers, but this difference is not statistically significant. Document1 Page 35 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 13. Staff breakdown by occupational group in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Proportion of contracts in GFECs Proportion of contracts in other colleges Other Managers 5.4% 5.5% Senior Manager 0.5% 0.7% Administrative and professional staff 6.1% 4.8% Technical staff 5.1% 7.8% Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 10.4% 8.8% Service staff 15.2% 21.1% Teaching staff 48.7% 46.9% Assessors and verifiers 3.0% 0.9% Unknown or Undefined 5.6% 3.5% Total number of contracts 54,538 6,986 Total number of colleges 64 20 Occupational group Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. GFECs have a higher proportion of part-time staff than other colleges. As shown in Figure 11, 58% of contracts in GFECs are part-time contracts, compared to 50% in other colleges. This difference is statistically significant. This difference is mainly driven by teaching staff (62.3% part-time in GFECs compared to 43.7% in other colleges) and service staff. However, we find a larger proportion of parttime staff in other colleges for word processing, clerical and secretarial staff and assessors and verifiers. Document1 Page 36 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 11. Proportion of part-time staff by occupational group in FE colleges, 2013-14 Other Managers GFE colleges, 2013-14 Senior Manager Other colleges, 2013-14 Administrative and professional staff Technical staff Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff Service staff Teaching staff Assessors and verifiers All staff 0 20 40 60 80 Proportion of part-time staff by occupational category (%) 100 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Figure 11 suggests that the relatively greater number of teaching staff for GFECs observed in Table 12 could be driven in part by the greater proportion of part-time contracts. Indeed, when we compare the distribution of occupations in terms of FTEs (see Figure 12), the proportion of teachers is actually lower in GFE colleges than in other institutions. Document1 Page 37 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 12. Proportion of FTE staff by occupational group in General FE Colleges in England, 2012-13 and 2013-14 Other Managers Senior Manager Administrative and professional staff Technical staff Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff GFE colleges, 2013-14 Service staff Other colleges, 2013-14 Teaching staff Assessors and verifiers Unknown Undefined 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Proportion of FTE staff by occupational category (%) Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. 5.1.2 Gender GFECs have a marginally higher proportion of female FTE staff (GFECs: 63.4%, other colleges: 62.7%). Technical staff is the only occupational group where women are less than 50% FTE staff in GFECs. In other colleges this holds for technical staff as well as senior managers (see Figure 13). Document1 Page 38 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 13. Proportion of FTE female staff in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Other Managers Senior Manager Administrative and professional staff Technical staff Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff GFE colleges, 2013-14 Service staff Other colleges, 2013-14 Teaching staff Assessors and verifiers Unknown All staff 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Proportion of female FTE staff by occupational category (%) Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. 5.1.3 Age As illustrated in Figure 14, on average, GFECs have an older workforce, and this difference is statistically significant. While about 40% of staff in other colleges are below 40, the same age group constitutes only about 30% of contracts in GFECs. Document1 Page 39 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 14. Proportion of age groups in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 16 15.2 14.5 14 Proportion of age groups in FE colleges (%) 14 13.2 12.1 13.4 13.2 12.1 12 11.4 11.2 10.5 9.9 10 10.5 9.7 9.1 8 7.1 6.6 6 5.1 4 2 1.1 0 Under 25 25 - 29 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 - 44 GFE colleges, 2013-14 45 - 49 50 - 54 55 - 59 60 and over Undefined Other colleges, 2013-14 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. 5.1.4 Staff turnover Table 14Table 16 shows turnover rates and net employment changes for GFECs and other colleges by occupation group. Turnover rates are systematically higher for GFECs across occupations, except for technical staff, meaning a higher fraction of contracts ending in 2013-14. As noted in Section 3.3 above, the higher turnover rates in GFECs convert into a net employment decrease across occupations while other colleges have no overall net employment change. Note that sample sizes vary by cell (see Annex 1), with turnover and net employment change figures being based on a relatively small number of contracts for Senior Managers and Assessors and Verifiers, particularly for other colleges. Document1 Page 40 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 14. Turnover and net employment change rates by occupational group in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Net employment change in GFE colleges, 2013-14 Net employment change in other colleges, 2013-14 8.9% -5.9% -2.1% 11.4% 11.8% -1.8% -2.0% Administrative & professional staff 11.6% 9.9% -1.5% 1.5% Technical staff 11.3% 12.5% -2.1% 0.0% Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 16.9% 13.5% -3.3% 3.9% Service staff 13.5% 11.8% -3.3% -1.8% Teaching staff 15.9% 11.7% -0.8% -0.5% Assessors and verifiers 16.7% 3.0% 0.5% 12.1% Unknown 21.7% 0.0% -5.4% 0.0% Blank 17.5% 21.4% 6.1% 6.6% All staff 17.5% 21.4% -1.9% 0.0% Number of contracts 54,538 6,986 54,538 6,986 Number of colleges 64 20 64 20 Turnover Rate in GFE colleges, Turnover Rate in other colleges, 2013-14 2013-14 Other Managers 13.8% Senior Manager Occupation Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. See Annex 1 for sample sizes by cell. 5.2 Teaching staff Teachers in GFECs do not appear to differ significantly from teaching staff in other colleges in terms of their demographic characteristics (gender, age), being full- or part-time, or their pay. The offer of subjects taught in FE colleges, however, does differ – not surprisingly, also given that GFECs tend to be larger institutions – by college type. There are a number of subjects offered by a large majority of both institution types, including Science and Mathematics, Business Administration, Management, and Professional, Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel, Health, Social Care and Public Services, Visual and Performing Arts and Media, and English, Languages, and Communication (see Table 15). However while almost 90% of GFECs offer Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy, and over 80% offer Construction, only 20% of other colleges offer these subjects. Similarly over half of GFECs offer Land Based Provision compared with 30% of other colleges. Document1 Page 41 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 15. Subjects taught in General and other Further Education colleges, 2013-14 Proportion of GFE colleges providing subject, 2013-14 Proportion of other colleges providing subject, 2013-14 Science and Mathematics 94% 85% Land Based Provision 51% 30% Construction 83% 20% Engineering, Technology, and Manufacturing 92% 45% Business Administration, Management, and Professional 95% 95% ICT 90% 80% Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation 57% 25% Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel 97% 85% Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy 89% 20% Health, Social Care, and Public Services 95% 90% Visual and Performing Arts and Media 92% 90% Humanities 87% 75% English, Languages, and Communication 94% 90% Foundation Programmes 92% 60% 63 20 Main subject taught Number of colleges Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Please see Annex 1 for sample sizes by cell. The difference in size between GFECs and other colleges is reflected not only in the number of subjects typically offered, but also in the number of teachers per college offering each subject. As shown in Table 16, a GFE college tends to employ more staff teaching all subjects commonly offered, from Science and Mathematics to ICT and Visual and Performing Arts and Media. However, the number of teachers per college is higher in other colleges for Humanities, Construction, and Land Based Provision. This is partly driven by the diverse composition of other colleges, and in particular by the presence of six Agriculture and Horticulture Colleges (AHCs) in our sample. Among other colleges in our sample, only AHCs offer Land Based Provision and Construction. Five of the AHCs in our sample held over 30 Land Based Provision teaching contracts, which explains the large number of teachers per college shown in Table 16. The relatively high number of Construction teachers per college is largely due to one AHC holding 94 Construction teaching contracts. Figures in Table 16 on less common subjects should be interpreted with caution given the small number of colleges and contracts involved, particularly for the “other colleges” group. See Annex 1 for further details on the sample sizes on which the figures in Table 16 are based. Document1 Page 42 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 16. Number of teachers by subject taught in General and Other Further Education Colleges, 2013-14 Average number of contracts in GFE colleges providing subject, 2013-14 Average number of contracts in other colleges providing subject, 2013-14 English, Languages, and Communication 41 18 Business Administration, Management, and Professional 34 10 Science and Mathematics 24 24 Visual and Performing Arts and Media 50 18 Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel 31 14 Health, Social Care, and Public Services 42 10 ICT 20 7 Foundation Programmes 42 13 Engineering, Technology, and Manufacturing 31 5 Humanities 20 21 Construction 25 27 Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy 21 12 Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation 12 2 Land Based Provision 12 11426 22,957 3,138 63 20 Main subject taught Total teaching contracts where subject is known Number of colleges Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Note that this figure is highly influenced by the six Agriculture and Horticulture specialist colleges in our sample, three of which employ over 100 teachers. 26 Document1 Page 43 of 60 08/04/2015 6 Trends in the General Further Education College workforce Since the underlying methodology used to construct the data for this analysis of SIR 22 data is the same as used to analyse SIR 21, we are able, at least in principle, to make direct comparisons between our findings this year and last year to assess changes in the FE workforce. However, in practice, our ability to perform a meaningful analysis of the evolution of the overall FE workforce over time has been hindered by a change in the size and composition of the sample of colleges reporting information in SIR 22, compared to SIR 21. Not only do we have a much smaller sample this year than last year, we also have a particularly small sample of FE colleges other than GFECs. As a result, our comparative analysis is focused entirely on the GFEC sector, where we can be confident we have sufficiently large samples to make meaningful comparisons and that the underlying composition of the sample in the two years is at least broadly similar. As in Section 5, we used statistical tests to check for the significance of any differences between 201213 (SIR 21) and 2013-14 (SIR 22), and comment on this significance.27 However even where individual results are statistically significant it is worth exercising some caution: there are a large number of individual comparisons we are making across years, and so even by ‘chance’ we would expect to find some differences which are significant. Given we only have two years of data, it would be too soon to determine any general trends in workforce composition which would require more years of data analysed on a similar basis. 6.1 All GFEC staff 6.1.1 Occupation type The distribution of FE staff across occupational categories has remained broadly constant since 201213, both in terms of number of contracts and in terms of FTE staff (shown in Figure 15). We used Wald tests for the equality of proportions (e.g. of the proportion of part-time among all contracts) or of means (e.g. of mean age) between GFE and non-GFE colleges. We report a statistically significant difference when the Wald test rejected the hypothesis of equality of means or proportions between the two groups at the 95% confidence level. Where we perform tests at the contract level, we account for the fact that certain characteristics (e.g. pay) are largely defined at the college level by using standard errors clustered by college. 27 Document1 Page 44 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 15. Proportion of FTE staff by occupational group in General FE Colleges in England, 2012-13 and 2013-14 Other Managers Senior Manager Administrative and professional staff Technical staff Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff GFE colleges, 2013-14 Service staff GFE colleges, 2012-13 Teaching staff Assessors and verifiers Unknown Undefined 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Proportion of FTE staff by occupational category (%) Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 21 and SIR 22 data. Part-time contracts are still the majority of contracts in GFE colleges, but the proportion of part-time has decreased slightly, from 59.4% to 58.4%. This is consistent across all occupational categories, with the exception of service staff, as shown in Figure 16. Document1 Page 45 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 16. Proportion of part-time staff by occupational group in General FE Colleges in England, 2012-13 and 2013-14 Other Managers GFE colleges, 2013-14 GFE colleges, 2012-13 Senior Manager Administrative and professional staff Technical staff Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff Service staff Teaching staff Assessors and verifiers All staff 0 20 40 60 80 Proportion of part-time staff by occupational category (%) 100 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 21 and SIR 22 data. 6.1.2 Gender Figure 17 shows that the share of female staff in GFECs has increased slightly since last year (62.1% in 2013-14 compared to 61.8% in 2012-13), although this change is not statistically significant. In particular, now over half of senior managers are women – although results on senior managers are particularly difficult to interpret given the small number of senior managers in our sample (only 272 contracts in SIR 22, about 0.05% of the total). Overall, the main driver of this increase seems to be a change in the proportion of women among teaching staff (55.9% in 2013-14 compared to 54.6% in 2012-13). Document1 Page 46 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 17. Proportion of FTE female staff in General FE Colleges in England, 2012-13 and 2013-14 Other Managers Senior Manager Administrative and professional staff Technical staff Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff GFE colleges, 2013-14 Service staff GFE colleges, 2012-13 Teaching staff Assessors and verifiers Unknown All staff 0 20 40 60 80 100 Proportion of female FTE staff by occupational category (%) Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 21 and SIR 22 data. 6.1.3 Age Staff employed in GFECs are older in 2013-14 than in 2012-13. As illustrated in Figure 18, the proportion of staff in age bands over 50 has increased, at the expense of those under 25 and between 45 and 49. Median age has increased from 45 to 46 years. The ageing of the GFE workforce is also reflected in the mean age of staff, which is now 45 years, compared to 44 in 2012-13. This change in the mean age is statistically significant. Document1 Page 47 of 60 08/04/2015 Figure 18. Proportion of age groups of staff in General FE Colleges in England, 2012-13 and 2013-14 16 15.2 14.5 14.6 14.9 14 13.2 13 Proportion of age groups in GFE colleges (%) 12.7 12.1 11.7 12 9.6 10 13.4 9.7 9.6 9.1 8 7.3 6.6 5.6 6 5.1 4 2 1.1 1 0 Under 25 25 - 29 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 - 44 GFE colleges, 2013-14 45 - 49 50 - 54 55 - 59 60 and over Undefined GFE colleges, 2012-13 Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 21 and SIR 22 data. 6.1.4 Ethnicity The ethnic composition of the GFE workforce in 2013-14 mirrors closely the mix observed in 2012-13: white (British and other) members of staff make up nearly 90% of the FE workforce, with the second largest group being Asian staff (approximately 4% of the workforce) and Black/African/Caribbean/Black British staff (approximately 3% of the workforce). Information on the ethnicity of staff in 2013-14 is available for 87% of staff, noticeably more than in 2012-13, when ethnicity was known for only 76% of the GFE workforce in SIR 21. 6.1.5 Staff turnover Staff turnover in GFE colleges (the proportion of contracts ending in the teaching year relative to all contracts observed) has decreased from 16.9% in 2012-13 to 15% in 2013-14. This decrease is consistent across occupational categories, and it is particularly marked for teaching staff, where turnover rates fell from 18.8% in 2012-13 to 15.9% in 2013-14. However, year-on-year net employment change for GFE staff continues to be negative, unchanged in 2013-14 compared to 2012-13 at -1.9%. Document1 Page 48 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 17. Turnover and net employment change rates by occupational group in FE colleges in England, 2013-14 Net employment change in GFE colleges, 2013-14 Net employment change in GFE colleges, 201213 Total number of contracts in SIR in GFE colleges, 201314 Total number of contracts in SIR in GFE colleges, 201213 Other Managers -5.9% -5.7% 2,965 4,178 Senior Manager -1.8% -5.0% 272 361 Administrative and professional staff -1.5% 0.6% 3,312 4,494 Technical staff -2.1% -0.7% 2,758 3,893 Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff -3.3% -1.7% 5,694 7,114 Service staff -3.3% -0.1% 8,271 10,939 Teaching staff -0.8% -2.6% 26,571 33,015 Assessors and verifiers 0.5% -1.7% 1,661 2,236 Unknown -5.4% -2.5% 2,333 1,487 Blank 6.1% 2.3% 701 514 All staff -1.9% -1.9% 54,538 68,231 64 89 64 89 Occupation Number of colleges Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 and SIR 21 data. By occupation type, there is a difference in the sign of the net employment change rates for administrative and professional staff (from positive in 2012-13 to negative in 2013-14) and assessors and verifiers (from negative in 2012-13 to positive in 2013-14). However, as noted in Sections 3.3 and 5.1.4, findings on turnover rates for assessors and verifiers should be taken with caution, given the small number of contracts in this occupational group observed in SIR data. 6.1.6 Pay Median pay for full-time staff across all regions and occupational categories is constant between 201213 and 2013-14, at £25,000 to £25,999. As described in Section 3.10, we have excluded the lowest pay band (£0 to £1,999) when computing median pay estimates provided in this report. Moreover, as explained in Section 2.2, due to the size of our sample, we have only analysed pay variation across four broad geographical regions of England rather than across the nine Government Office Regions. Given these adjustments, and the lower number of colleges in the 2013-14 sample, we could not be confident that any change in median pay at the regional level – even the broad regions defined in Section 2.2 – would not be merely due to sampling variation, rather than to actual changes in pay. Document1 Page 49 of 60 08/04/2015 6.2 Teaching staff In this section, we perform two sets of comparisons with the aim to assess whether the characteristics of teaching staff specifically in GFEs have changed over time: 1. We compare characteristics of GFE teachers observed in SIR data in 2012-13 to 2013-14. 2. We compare teachers having a contract starting date within 2013-14 with staff whose contracts have started earlier as a way to explore whether “new” staff have any systematically different characteristics to those who have longer-standing contracts28. Some of the key findings from our analysis are: The size of teaching staff as a proportion of the overall GFE workforce has increased slightly compared to 2012-13, but remains broadly consistent over time at just under 45%. The proportion of women among all teaching contracts is virtually unchanged, at 59%. The proportion of part-time contracts, instead, has decreased from 64 to 62%, as also shown in Figure 16 above, but this change is not statistically significant. Similarly, there is a change in the age profile of teachers – with median age increasing slightly in 2013-14. However, this is not reflected in a statistically significant difference in the mean age of teaching staff between 2012-13 and 2013-14. The median pay band of full-time GFE teaching staff in 2013-14 is £31,000 to £31,999, £1,000 higher than the median in 2012-13, £30,000 to £30,999. Analysis of variation in pay by main subject taught suggests that this increase may not be uniform across all subjects. However, given that pay is at least in part determined at the college level, and that our sample of colleges is smaller than in 2012-13, we could not be confident that a subject-level comparison of changes in median pay for teachers would be robust. Consistent with our findings from the SIR 21 report, staff joining in 2013-14 tended to be older (at start time) than staff whose contracts started before August 2013. The median age for GFE teaching contracts starting in 2013-14 is 42, higher than all GFE teachers starting before 2013-14 where median age at contract start was 39. Also consistent with the SIR 21 report, GFE teaching contracts starting in 2013-14 were more male-concentrated than contracts with earlier start dates: 53% of contracts starting in 2013-14 are held by women, compared to nearly 60% for contracts with earlier start dates. As noted elsewhere in this report, a weakness of this analysis is that SIR does not allow us to identify individuals. Some of the contracts starting in 2013-14 will therefore not relate to teachers who are new to the GFE workforce, but will rather simply be new contracts of teachers who were already employed in GFE colleges prior to 2013-14. 28 Document1 Page 50 of 60 08/04/2015 7 Inferences on the total workforce population Although all FE colleges are requested to provide data on contracts with their members of staff as part of the SIR collection, in practice only some do. Within SIR 22, we have information on staff from 84 colleges, or 25% of FE colleges in England. This is a lower sample size compared to previous SIR collections.29 The decline in sample size means we need to be particularly careful when trying to make inferences on the size and composition of the workforce in all colleges based on the observed SIR sample. If colleges reporting SIR data are systematically different from other colleges (for example, if only larger colleges respond to SIR), then we would be at risk of producing biased estimates (in this example, overestimating the size of the workforce). However, as explained in Section 7.2, we believe that colleges in our sample are, on average, representative of the population of FE colleges in England along a number of dimensions. This gives us confidence in the feasibility of estimating the total size of the FE workforce by scaling up the workforce observed in SIR 22 data. Without being able to find ways to encourage more FE colleges to respond to the SIR data request or to obtain data on total workforce population in other ways, this ‘scaling’ approach based on limited SIR returns remains the best way to obtain estimates of the total workforce. 7.1 Representativeness of the SIR 22 sample Comparing the distribution of college types in the SIR 22 sample with the distribution of colleges in our best estimate of the whole “population” of FE colleges in England in 2013-14,30 we find that SFCs are significantly under-represented. While SFCs constitute roughly one third of the population, they only make up 14% of the SIR 22 sample. For GFE colleges the picture looks different. They make up about 75% of the SIR 22 which is higher than the proportion of GFECs in the population (65%). This reflects the relatively larger response rates to SIR 22 among GFECs compared with SFCs. However, the relative under-representation of Sixth Form Colleges is not necessarily an issue, if our goal is to estimate the total size of the FE workforce, regardless of college type. In order to be confident that our sample is similar enough to the population of FE colleges for our purposes, we used data from the Association of Colleges (AoC),31 comparing colleges in the SIR 22 sample to other AoC member colleges in terms of total income, total expenditure, total EFA/SFA student numbers, total FTE staff numbers, total net salary costs and region. Full details of our analysis are given in Annex 2. Broadly, we found that very large and very small colleges are under-represented in SIR 22, but on “average” SIR 22 colleges were not statistically different on these dimensions from other AoC member colleges. In terms of looking at staffing, the under-representation of very large and very small institutions would only be a cause for concern for our inferences if both were systematically different from medium-sized colleges in staff composition. As seen in Section 5 of this report, the composition of GFECs and of other colleges in terms of occupation categories is broadly similar: while we found some statistically significant differences they tended to be small in absolute magnitude. This gives us confidence that our estimates of the size of a specific occupation category for the whole FE sector are going to be relatively good from straightforward scaling up of the SIR sample to match the number of colleges in the entire English FE sector. 29 In 2012-13, we had data from 123 colleges, roughly one third of all FE colleges in England. This population consists of 341 colleges, of which: 220 General Further Education Colleges; 94 Sixth Form Colleges; 9 Specialist Designated Colleges; 15 Agriculture and Horticulture Colleges; 3 Art, Design and Performing Arts Colleges. Please see Annex 3 for a more detailed description of these institutions. 30 The latest data available to us relate to the 2012-13 teaching year. Although these data have not been updated for the 2013-14 teaching year, we believe they are sufficiently up to date for our tests: we are only using the data to compare two groups of colleges along characteristics that are unlikely to vary year on year enough to influence the results of our comparisons. 31 Document1 Page 51 of 60 08/04/2015 7.2 Estimates of the total workforce population The results of our checks and statistical tests reassure us that FE colleges in SIR are, on average, representative of FE colleges in England. This provides us with confidence that it is possible to produce indicative estimates of the total size of the FE workforce by scaling up the number of contracts and of FTE staff observed in the SIR 22 data. This involved multiplying the average number of staff per college by the total number of English FE colleges, 341.32 We adopted this approach to estimate both total staff count, and total FTE members of staff. Table 18 shows the results of our simple estimation. Figures are rounded to avoid giving the impression of too much precision from this scaling exercise. We estimate the FE workforce to consist of approximately 250,000 individuals, or 155,000 Full-Time Equivalents. Note that this is likely to be an upper bound for the true number of FE members of staff. This is because, for this estimate, we are considering contracts as equivalent to individuals. However, an individual may hold multiple contracts with an FE college – past SIR reports estimated that up to 15% of staff hold multiple contracts.33 It is important to note that these figures are not straightforwardly comparable to the estimates we provided in the 2012-13 SIR report. This is primarily because we are scaling up to a different number of colleges, due to the adoption of a new list as the population of FE colleges in England considered for this analysis. Moreover, although the checks and tests described above and similarly conducted last year reassured us that the SIR sample is broadly representative of the population in both years, we are still working with a limited number of colleges, and this number has declined in 2013/14. Changes in the estimates of the total size of the workforce should not be compared to infer growth or decline of the FE workforce as a whole. Table 18. Estimated total FE staff in England, 2013-14 Occupational group Staff per college FTE staff per college Total estimated staff count Total estimated FTEs Administrative and professional staff 44 35 15,000 11,800 Technical staff 40 30 13,600 10,200 Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 76 50 25,900 17,100 Service staff 117 68 40,000 23,200 Teaching staff 360 208 122,600 70,900 Assessors and verifiers 21 12 7,100 3,900 Senior Manager 4 4 1,300 1,200 Other Managers 40 35 13,700 12,000 732 459 249,800 156,600 Total Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Note: the total number of staff per college has been estimated including contracts where the occupation was unknown (3,280 contracts), and it is therefore greater than the sum of the rows relating to each occupational category. The number of FTE workers is considerably lower than the total number of staff, in line with the prevalence of part-time contracts in the FE workforce. 32 Please see Annex 3 for further information on the derivation of this number. 33 “Further Education College Workforce Data for England: An analysis of the Staff Individualised Record Data 2011-2012”, June 2013, LSIS. Document1 Page 52 of 60 08/04/2015 We also estimate the total number of teaching contracts and of FTE teachers in 2013-14 by main subject taught. Visual and Performing Arts and Media is the largest group with 13,000 members of staff. Table 19 presents estimates of the number of teachers in the FE workforce by subject taught. As with the estimates presented in Table 18, our estimate of the total size of FE teaching staff (122,600 contracts and 70,900 FTEs) is likely to be an upper bound for the true number of teachers, because individual teachers may hold multiple contracts. However, our estimates of the number of teachers for specific subjects are not necessarily upper bounds, since main subject is not known for all contracts.34 However, we found no evidence of obvious variation in the likelihood of reporting an unknown subject across different types of college, at least suggesting no clear systematic under-reporting of particular subject areas among the sample. Table 19. Estimated total FE teachers in England, 2013-14 Subject Teachers per college35 FTE teachers per college Estimated number of teachers Estimated FTE teachers English, Languages, and Communication 33 18 11,200 6,100 Business Administration, Management, and Professional 26 15 9,000 5,000 Science and Mathematics 21 15 7,300 5,000 Visual and Performing Arts and Media 38 20 13,000 6,700 Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel 25 16 8,600 5,500 Health, Social Care, and Public Services 32 18 10,900 6,300 ICT 15 9 5,200 3,100 Foundation Programmes 31 19 10,500 6,400 Engineering, Technology, and Manufacturing 22 14 7, 400 4,900 Humanities 17 10 5,800 3,500 Construction 17 12 5,800 4,100 Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy 15 9 5,000 3,000 Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation 5 1 1,800 400 Land Based Provision 13 7 4,300 2,400 Unknown 45 22 15,200 7,500 379 205 122,600 70,900 Total Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. 34 Main subject taught is blank or unknown for 3,751 teaching contracts, nearly 10% of all teaching contracts in SIR 22. Note: these figures may differ from those presented in section 4 above. In 4, we present the number of teachers for a certain subject divided by the number of colleges providing that subject. Here, instead, we define teachers per college as the number of teachers for a certain subject divided by the total number of colleges in our sample. 35 Document1 Page 53 of 60 08/04/2015 8 Conclusions The 2013-14 Staff Individualised Record (SIR) dataset includes up-to-date information on 61,524 standard contracts of employment between a Further Education (FE) college and a member of staff. The data were provided by 84 colleges, or around one quarter of all 341 FE colleges in England. This represents a significant drop in response rates from 2012-13, when around one-third of colleges supplied up to date data, although statistical analysis suggests that on average the sample of respondents is broadly comparable to the wider population of FE colleges in England. Given this, we use the data to construct an estimate of the overall size of the FE workforce in England, of approximately 249,800 individuals, or 156,600 Full-Time Equivalents. Teaching staff make up the largest group (122,600 contracts, 79,600 FTEs). Senior managers make up around 1,300 contracts (1,200 FTEs). The overall decline in the response rate does mean that there is less confidence in these figures than previously, and continued declines in response to the SIR record would hamper significantly our ability to estimate the overall size of the workforce in future years. The drop in response was particularly marked outside the General FE College sector, which made it impossible to provide any robust, disaggregated analysis of variation in workforce characteristics by college type, other than a broad comparison between GFECs and other colleges. Similarly, our ability to draw out trends in the workforce between 2013-14 and 2014-15 (which in principle is possible because the methodology used for this year’s report is identical to that employed last year) was hampered by the poor return outside the GFEC sector; as a result, we were limited to looking at trends within GFECs to ensure that our samples across the two years were at least broadly comparable. Increased responsiveness to the SIR data return for 2014-15, particularly outside GFECs, would allow for a much more disaggregated comparison to be made in future and a fuller look at trends in workforce composition to be carried out. Our analysis of the 2013-14 workforce suggests that the FE sector in England is characterised by substantially more part-time working than other sectors. Almost 60% of contracts in FE are part-time, compared to around one in four workers being part-time across the wider economy. The FE sector is also predominantly female: 63% of contracts are held by women; while this is larger than the female share of total employment, it is a smaller proportion than in the schools workforce. We find evidence that the FE workforce is shrinking: our best estimate is that net employment changes are around -1.7% across the sector as a whole. This change is less marked for teachers (-0.7%) and more marked for other (non-senior) managers (-5.5%). This meant that as a proportion of the overall workforce in GFECs, comparing 2012-13 and 2013-14 data, we found an increase in the share of teachers and a reduction in the share of managers. As a proportion of FTE staff, teachers have increased from 43.5% to 44.1%, while the proportion of other managers has decreased (from 8.9% to 7.6%). Senior managers make up a very small proportion of FTE staff in the GFEC sector. Comparing 2012-13 and 2013-14 data, we also find some evidence of a slight increase in the mean age of GFEC staff, from 44 to 45 years. This is reflected in the age of those with new contracts in 2013-14 being above the overall workforce. We also find an increase in the share of women among FTE staff in GFECs, from 61.8% to 62.1%. The increase is more pronounced among teaching staff in GFECs, where the share of female staff rose from 54.6% to 55.9%. We also find some slight increase in median pay for full-time staff in GFECs, from £30,000 - £30,999 in 2012-13 to £31,000 - £31,999 in 2013-14. Our comparisons between the GFEC sector and other parts of the FE sector in England found little evidence of difference in the composition of staff, other than a slightly older workforce (median age 50 in GFECs compared with 48 in other colleges). In terms of size and subject areas offered, GFECs are larger and more diverse than other colleges on average. A “typical” GFEC holds 650 contracts with members of staff (402 in FTE terms), of which 315 are teachers. It provides courses in 13 distinct subject areas, and employs 41 English, Languages and Communication and 24 Science and Mathematics teachers. Document1 Page 54 of 60 08/04/2015 Annex 1: Additional tables Table 20. Number of contracts in SIR 22 by occupational group and college type Number of contracts in GFE colleges, 2013-14 Number of contracts in other colleges, 2013-14 Other Managers 2,965 382 Senior Manager 272 51 Administrative & professional staff 3,312 333 Technical staff 2,758 546 Word processing, clerical and secretarial staff 5,694 613 Service staff 8,271 1,474 Teaching staff 26,571 3,275 Assessors and verifiers 1,661 66 Unknown 2,333 3 Blank 701 243 Total 54,538 6,986 64 20 Occupation Number of colleges Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Document1 Page 55 of 60 08/04/2015 Table 21. Number of colleges and teachers by subject taught in General and Other Further Education Colleges, 2013-14 Number of GFE colleges where subject is taught Number of other colleges where subject is taught Number of contracts in GFE colleges Number of contracts in other colleges English, Languages, and Communication 59 18 2,424 328 Business Administration, Management, and Professional 60 19 2,040 185 Science and Mathematics 59 17 1,408 402 Visual and Performing Arts and Media 58 18 2,892 319 Hospitality, Sports, Leisure, and Travel 61 17 1,874 236 Health, Social Care, and Public Services 60 18 2,526 179 ICT 57 16 2,040 115 Foundation Programmes 58 12 2,426 158 Engineering, Technology, and Manufacturing 58 9 1,776 46 Humanities 55 15 1,102 322 Construction 52 4 1,319 107 Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy 56 4 1,203 46 Retailing, Customer Service, and Transportation 36 5 428 9 Land Based Provision 32 6 384 686 Blank and unknown - - 3,614 137 Total contracts - - 26,571 3,275 64 20 64 20 Main subject taught Number of colleges Source: Frontier analysis of SIR 22 data. Document1 Page 56 of 60 08/04/2015 Annex 2: Representativeness of the SIR 22 sample This Annex provides a detailed description of our assessment of the extent to which colleges in SIR 22 are representative of the 341 institutions in the population of FE colleges in England. We carried out some tests of the representativeness of our sample for two reasons: To ensure that the information on FE staff obtained from SIR data provides an accurate picture of the characteristics of the entire FE staff; To check that it is possible to estimate the total size of the FE workforce by simply scaling up the numbers in our sample. In order to do this, we used data from the Association of Colleges (AoC) on 338 of their member institutions. The AoC data included information on the following characteristics of those 338 colleges, as of 2012/201336: Total income Total expenditure Total EFA/SFA student numbers Total FTE staff numbers Total net salary costs There were six of the colleges in our population for which data from AoC was not available: General FE colleges: Cambridge Regional College, K College, Marine Society College of the Sea Sixth form colleges: Gateway College, St Mary's College, Middlesbrough Specialist Designated Colleges: The College of Animal Welfare We were then able to compare 81 of the colleges in our sample to 254 colleges in the rest of the population, testing whether they are statistically different in terms of the characteristics listed above. This was done performing a two-sample t-test (for the means) and a Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (for the distributions). The two-sample t-test is a statistical tool to check whether the mean value of a certain variable is statistically different between two groups. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test looks at distributions rather than means and checks whether those are statistically different for a certain variable between two groups. Performing these tests we found that: the mean values for all respective variables do not differ significantly between our sample and the rest of the population. the distributions differed significantly between the sample and the population. This suggests that, although the sample on average is not different from the rest of the population, there are differences across the two in how often certain ranges of values are found. Further inspection of the data revealed that the population includes more extreme values (both high and low) than the sample. In other words, in our sample we do not observe very small and very large 36 This was the latest version of this dataset available to us. Document1 Page 57 of 60 08/04/2015 colleges, as can be seen by comparing the two histograms in figure below. Figure 19. Distribution of income in 2012-13 in FE colleges Proportion of colleges in each group Colleges in SIR 22 Other colleges 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Total annual income (2012/13) Source: Frontier analysis of AoC and SIR 22 data. The chart on the left shows the distribution of income perceived by FE colleges that are in the population but not in our sample. The chart on the right shows the distribution in the sample. The picture is similar for the other variables we analysed. However, these differences between the sample and the rest of the population need not be a cause for concern: The picture of the characteristics of FE staff based on SIR would only be skewed if members of staff of both very small and very large colleges had significantly different characteristics compared to staff in other institutions. In particular we would be concerned if very small and very large colleges were both different from the rest of the population, in the same direction. For example, the mean salary of staff in SIR would be lower than the mean in the population if both staff in small and in large colleges were paid less than the rest of the workforce. Estimates of the total size of the college workforce based on scaling up the numbers in our sample are going to be accurate as long as our sample is on average not different from the entire population. This has been confirmed by the results of the t-tests on the mean values of colleges’ expenditure, income, student and staff numbers, and net salary costs. Document1 Page 58 of 60 08/04/2015 Annex 3: Further Education colleges in England This Annex provides a detailed explanation of our approach to defining a list of Further Education institutions in England that can be considered the population from which the sample of colleges responding to SIR is drawn from (“the population”). This list aims to reflect the state of the Further Education (FE) sector in England as of the end of the 2013-14 teaching year, that is, as of July 31, 201437. This list of colleges in the population was compiled through the following steps. We started from the list of colleges that have been requested to provide a return as part of the SIR 22 data collection process. This list was provided by Texuna Technologies Ltd (the “Texuna list”). The Texuna list included 353 FE institutions: 222 General Further Education Colleges (GFECs); 91 Sixth Form Colleges (SFCs); 16 Agriculture and Horticulture Colleges (AHCs); 3 Art, Design and Performing Arts Colleges (Arts colleges); 9 Specialist Designated Colleges (SDCs); 12 National Specialist Colleges (NSCs). No returns were received from NSCs, so we excluded all 12 NSCs, in order to ensure a certain degree of homogeneity in the population. National Specialist Colleges differ from the other types of institutions above in that they focus specifically on providing young people with learning difficulties or disabilities with valuable skills for living independently. NSCs are associated under Natspec, a separate organisation from the Association of Colleges (AoC), whose members are GFECs, SFCs, AHCs, Arts Colleges, and SDCs. We then accounted for mergers and name changes that occurred before the end of the 2013/14 academic year but that were not reflected in the Texuna list. The Texuna list was therefore reduced by two GFEC and one SFC. The respective mergers were: GFECs: o o Stroud College and Filton College merged to South Gloucestershire and Stroud College February 2012 Lewisham College and Southwark College merged to Lewisham College (August 2012) and changed name to LeSoCo (April 2013) AHCs: o Easton College and Otley College merged to Easton and Otley College (July 2012). We also removed from the list Leek College, formerly a GFEC, which merged with the University of Derby and therefore left the FE sector in August 2012. Then, we accounted for several name changes that occurred before the academic year 2013/2014 and 37 We use the definition of teaching year specified in the SIR 22 data specification. Document1 Page 59 of 60 08/04/2015 were not yet reflected in the Texuna list. Namely this was done for: East Kent College (formerly Thanet College) Central College Nottingham (formerly South Nottingham College) City of Liverpool College (formerly Liverpool Community College) Richard Taunton Sixth Form College (formerly Taunton’s College) However, these name changes did neither affect the composition nor the number of colleges in the Texuna list. Finally, we extended our list to include GFECs and SFCs that were not included in the Texuna list although they are recognized as part of the FE sector by Ofsted38: GFECs: o West Kent and Ashford College SFCs: o Longley Park Sixth Form College o Rochdale Sixth Form College o Lowestoft Sixth Form College The number of GFECs was therefore increased by one, the number of SFCs by three. The population resulting from these steps includes 341 institutions in total, of which: 38 220 GFECs 94 SFCs 9 SDCs 15 AHCs 3 Arts Colleges. Ofsted Official Statistical Release of December 2, 2014, “Further education and skills inspections and outcomes”. Document1 Page 60 of 60 08/04/2015