BANK OF ISRAEL Office of the Spokesperson and Economic Information September 9, 2015 Press Release Debt Developments in the Economy, June–July 2015 Business sector debt declined in June, by about NIS 8.1 billion (1 percent) to around NIS 813 billion. Household debt increased by about NIS 3.7 billion (0.8 percent) to around NIS 445 billion at the end of the month. The business sector’s outstanding debt In June, business sector debt declined by about NIS 8.1 billion, to around NIS 813 billion. The decline in the debt was a result of the appreciation of the shekel against the dollar by about 2.8 percent, which lowered the shekel value of debt indexed and denominated in foreign currency, and was also a result of net repayment tradable and non-tradable bonds in Israel and of nonbank loans totaling about NIS 2.1 billion. These repayments were slightly offset as a result of net raising of debt through bank loans and credit from abroad. In the first half of 2015, business sector debt remained virtually unchanged compared to the end of 2014. Despite this, there was net raising of debt totaling about NIS 8 billion, most of which was through loans from banks, which was mainly offset as a result of the appreciation of the shekel by 3.1 percent against the dollar. In July, the business sector (excluding banks and insurance companies) issued about NIS 1.4 billion in bonds, mostly in tradable bonds. This is lower than the average issuance of the first six months of the year (NIS 2.5 billion). Debt Developments in the Economy, June–July 2015 Page 1 of7 Table 1: The Composition of Business Sector Debt Figure 1: Rate of Change (Year on Year) in the Business Sector's Bank and Nonbank Debt Debt Developments in the Economy, June–July 2015 Page 2 of7 Borrowers Table 2: Debt by Indexation Debt by Indexation (NIS billion) 6/2015 CPI indexed Foreign Currency Unindexed Business sector 240 225 348 Of which: to banks 47 42 303 Of which: to non-banks 193 183 46 Households' debt 167 5 273 Of which: to banks 142 5 260 Of which: to non-banks 25 0 13 Of which: Loans for Housing 160 5 146 Total 813 392 422 445 407 38 311 % CPI indexedForeign CurrencyUnindexed 30% 28% 43% 12% 11% 77% 46% 43% 11% 38% 1% 61% 35% 1% 64% 67% 0% 33% 52% 1% 47% Figure 2: Business Sector Bond Issuance Household debt Households’ outstanding debt increased by about NIS 3.7 billion (0.8 percent) in June, to about NIS 445 billion. Of that, the balance of outstanding housing debt increased by about NIS 2.8 billion, to about NIS 311 billion. Since the beginning of the year, households’ outstanding debt increased by about NIS 13 billion (3 percent). There were higher growth rates in non-housing debt (3.6 percent) than in housing debt (2.7 percent). In July, there was a small decline in new mortgages taken out, but the volume remained significant, with new mortgages totaling about NIS 6.6 billion, higher than the average since the beginning of the year, which is about NIS 5.4 billion (see Figure 3). Debt Developments in the Economy, June–July 2015 Page 3 of7 Table 3: Outstanding Debt Balances of Households Outstanding debt balances of households 1 Bilion shekels, current prices, month-ends Balance Rate of change From beginning of year Last quarter5 Month ov er month 2011 2012 2013 2014 4-15 5-15 6-15 363 383 410 433 436 442 445 3.0% 2.3% 0.8% 318 341 369 393 397 403 407 3.7% 2.7% 1.0% 221 243 264 283 288 291 295 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 96 98 105 110 109 112 113 2.8% 2.2% 0.6% 5.9 6.5 7.3 8.6 9.1 9.3 9.4 10.0% 4.5% 1.8% Of לדיור which: : מזהFor housing 7 2.1 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 -5.9% -2.9% -0.6% Of לדיור which: לא:מזה Not for housing 2.7% Total household debt2 According to sources: מבנקים From banks: 6 Of לדיור which: : מזהFor housing 6 Of לדיור which: לא:מזה Not for housing מוסדיים Fromמגופים instituional inv estors: 3.8 4.1 4.5 5.9 6.6 6.7 6.9 17.2% 7.5% 3 אשראי Fromכרטיסי creditמחברות cards 3 9.0 9.6 10.2 12.0 12.7 12.8 12.8 7.5% 1.8% 0.6% 4 )מכוון ממשלה (אשראי Government (directed credit)4 30.8 26.1 23.0 19.1 16.7 16.3 15.8 -17.49% -8.37% -3.29% 27.6 23.4 20.6 17.2 15.0 14.6 14.2 -17.49% -8.37% -3.29% לדיור Total חובfor סךhousing 251 269 288 303 306 309 311 2.7% 2.3% 0.9% לדיור Total שלאnot חובfor סךhousing 112 114 122 129 130 133 134 3.6% 2.3% 0.7% Of לדיור which: : מזהFor housing According to uses: Notes: 1 Individuals, not businesses. 2 Excluding credit from foreigners, due to lack of data 3 Credit under the responsibility of credit card companies; Credit under the responsibility or guarantee of banks is included in bank data 4 Credit directed to those eligible for mortgage assistance is the majority of this figure, the remainder is credit to students 5 Last three months 6 Includes loans given with house as collateral. As of December 2012 - about NIS 20 billion. 7 Until August 2013, the data did not differentiate between mortgage-backed loans to households and mortgage-backed loans to the business sector. Such segmentation began in August 2013, and the data were revised retroactively, so that part of the balance was reallocated to business sector debt. Debt Developments in the Economy, June–July 2015 Page 4 of7 Figure 3 :Total Housing Credit from Banks, According to Indexation: New Mortgage Volume The cost of the debt In the CPI-indexed track, the spread between the interest rate on new bank credit granted and the interest rate on deposits expanded by about 0.09 percentage points in June, compared with the previous month, mainly as a result of an increase in the interest on marginal indexed credit. In July, the average spread between the yield on CPI-indexed corporate bonds— measured by the Tel Bond 60—and the yields on CPI-indexed government bonds narrowed to about 1.55 percentage points. In July, the average interest rate on new unindexed mortgages (variable-rate interest) increased by about 0.06 percentage points. The average interest rate on new CPIindexed mortgages (fixed interest) also increased, by about 0.18 percentage points. Debt Developments in the Economy, June–July 2015 Page 5 of7 Table 4: The Cost of the Debt Cost of debt spreads Interest rate (percent) 03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 Average interest on unindexed bank credit 3.47 3.45 3.44 Interest on CPI-indexed bank credit granted during the month 2.26 2.08 1.92 Spread between interest on credit and interest on unindexed deposits Spread between interest received on credit and interest paid on indexed deposits during the month 3.22 3.20 3.20 1.55 1.12 1.28 1.37 Spread between indexed corporate bonds (Tel-Bond 60) and indexed government bonds 1.69 1.63 1.51 1.64 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 Variable rate, unindexed sector 1.31 1.24 1.30 1.36 Fixed rate, CPI-indexed sector 2.12 2.04 2.05 2.23 Cost of bank debt 1.99 Spreads (percentage points) Housing loans granted during the month by banks – Average Interest rates Figure 4 : Spread between Indexed Corporate Bonds (Tel-Bond 60) and Indexed Government Bonds (monthly average) Debt Developments in the Economy, June–July 2015 Page 6 of7 Figure 5 : New Housing Loans from Banks – Interest Rates in the Unindexed Sector Figure 6 : New Housing Loans from Banks – Interest Rates in the CPI-indexed Sector For links to Data and Statistics on the Bank of Israel website: http://www.boi.org.il/en/dataandstatistics/pages/default.aspx http://www.boi.org.il/en/bankingsupervision/data/pages/tables.aspx?chapterid=13 Debt Developments in the Economy, June–July 2015 Page 7 of7