1AC Inherency Desalination is inevitable. As the climate becomes warmer, areas become drier. Costal communities will look to desalination to reverse this trend. Pappas 2011 Michael. “Unnatural Resource Law: Situation Desalination in Costal Resource and Water Law Doctrines.” Tulane Law Review 86 (81): 81-134 We have a water problem. The United States has exploited nearly all of its freshwater resources, and nonetheless its freshwater demands continue to grow. To make matters worse, climate change threatens to make dry areas drier, significantly diminishing existing freshwater supplies in places with no water to spare. The solution: make more water. At least that is the approach some policy makers, developers, and consumers have taken in embracing seawater desalination as an option for meeting water needs. By converting saltwater into freshwater, desalination offers new, renewable, and droughtproof supplies of freshwater. Moreover, recent technologies have made desalination potentially feasible at a municipal scale. Thus, desalination, with its promise to defy historical concepts of water supply and limitation, has become a central proposal for climate change adaptation and water supply planning in coastal communities. Unfortunately, only 1% of desalination plants are powered by renewables now because they are not cost competitive Isaka in 12 (Mirei, March, project director for the international renewable energy agency, “Water Desalination Using Renewable Energy”, http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENAETSAP%20Tech%20Brief%20I12%20Water-Desalination.pdf) Until now, the majority of desalination plants have been located in regions with high availability and low costs of energy. Current information on desalination shows that only 1% of total desalinated water is based on energy from renewable sources. Renewables are becoming increasingly mainstream and technology prices continue to decline, thus making renewable energy a viable option. With increasing demand for desalinated water in energy-importing countries such as India, China and small islands, there is a large market potential for renewable energy-powered desalination systems worldwide. Fiat Plan: In order to promote seawater desalination in the United States, the United States federal government will increase subsidization for solar desalination. All future desalination plants in the United States will be required to use solar power for their energy needs. Funding and enforcement through normal means. Solvency Solar desalination is key to fight the next American drought, especially in California. However, federal support is needed. The plan is key. New Water Supply Coalition 05’, The New Water Supply Coalition is a national organization of water agencies and utilities, ”America's Drought” 3/1/05 http://www.newwatersupply.org/issue/whitepapers.pdf Desalination is a reliable flow of freshwater that can quench America’s thirst: With the U.S. facing a water supply crisis of immense proportions, all reasonable, cost-effective and environmentally benign means of developing new potable water supplies that are immune to drought conditions should be pursued. Desalination – the process of removing salt from seawater and brackish water – is exactly such a means. Desalination plants produce guaranteed amounts of freshwater at increasingly lower costs every year, even through drought conditions. Given further advances in technology, desalination holds the promise of being a component of the long-term solution to America’s drought. Desalination is a cost-effective component in the fight against drought: Although desalination has been utilized for centuries, the energy intensive nature of the technology had made it an impractical water source except for oil-rich nations such as Saudi Arabia (which depends on desalination for 70% of its water supply). However, significant advances in membrane and other technologies have dramatically reduced the costs associated with desalination. The cost for traditional water supplies has risen to the point where desalination technology is now very competitive. In 1992, the cost to desalinate an acre-foot of water was about $2,000. Now, that cost is less than $800 per acre-foot. For example, Tampa Bay Water officials have indicated that, at the desalination plant there, current water supplies cost roughly $3/1,000 gallons to produce, while it is expected to produce water at close to $2/1,000 gallons. Cost savings from the project are anticipated to be worth $300 million over a 30-year period. Desalination can help relieve drought conditions for inland areas: While the advantages of building desalination plants along coastal regions are obvious – with their unlimited access to seawater – many interior states stand to benefit due to supplies of brackish water that can be converted into water for drinking. Virtually no state in America is immune from drought conditions. Coastal states, such as California and Washington, have been as hard hit as states located in America’s interior such as Kansas and Nebraska. Developing a vibrant desalination industry will help drought-stricken interior states by reducing the need to draw ever greater amounts of water from common sources. For example, Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Utah Wyoming and New Mexico are five interior states that depend upon water from the Colorado River. By utilizing desalination of seawater to a greater degree, California, which also relies on Colorado River water, would require less water from that seriously depleted source. What should the federal government do? Once a dream, desalination technology is now at a stage where, with the involvement of the federal government working with the private sector, it can become an integral component of a long-term solution to America’s water shortage problem. And, a modest investment from the federal government is enough to spur investment. Rhinerson ’05, U.S. Desalination Coalition Board of Directors member and past chairman, San Diego County Water Authority Board of Directors member "Testimony of Bernie Rhinerson." . US Desalination Coalition, 24 May 2005. Web. 15 July 2014. <http://www.newwatersupply.org/news/testimony5_24_05.pdf>. The goal of the U.S. Desalination Coalition is to encourage the Federal government to create a new program to provide financial assistance to water agencies and utilities that successfully develop desalination projects that treat both seawater and brackish water for municipal and industrial use. The Desalination Drought Prevention Act of 2005, introduced by Representative Jim Davis and Representative Jim Gibbons, will achieve this goal in a fiscally responsible way. Similar legislation has been introduced in the United States Senate by Senator Mel Martinez of Florida. I am delighted to be here today in support of this legislation and tell you how it will positively affect the San Diego County Water Authority. Despite the tremendous advances in desalination technology that have reduced the costs of desalinating water, energy costs remain quite high and are responsible for more than 30% of the overall cost of desalinated water. H.R. 1071 directs the Secretary of Energy to provide incentive payments to water agencies or utilities that successfully develop desalination projects. This would be a competitive, performance-based program that will help to offset the costs of treating seawater and brackish water. Under the proposed program, qualified desalination facilities would be eligible to receive payments of $0.62 for every thousand gallons of fresh water produced for the initial ten years of a project’s operation. The legislation would also insure that there is a balance in the amount of money going to seawater and brackish water projects in any one year. The rationale for this approach is that while the cost of desalinating water has dropped dramatically over the last decade, the energy costs associated with desalination are still quite high. Most experts believe that these costs will continue to come down over time and that desalination will eventually be widespread. But waiting for this to occur is a luxury that, in my opinion, we cannot afford. A modest investment to jump-start the development of these projects today is the smart thing to do. It is true that the approach suggested in H.R. 1071 to encourage the development of seawater and brackish groundwater desalination projects is different from the traditional approach of providing construction grant funds. That difference is by design. First, while the availability of energy assistance grants will encourage the development of desalination projects, these grants will be performance based. In other words, the Federal government will not be betting “on the come” that these projects will be technically and economically sound and will actually get built. Only the very best projects will get built by local sponsors and only those will receive financial support. Specifically, federal subsidies make solar desalination cost competitive. If this is done, solar desalination could be an important part of our energy future. Goosen et al. 2014 Mattheus F. A. Goosen, Hacene Mahmoudi, and Noreddine Ghaffour. “Today's and Future Challenges in Applications of Renewable Energy Technologies for Desalination. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology. 44:929-999. Renewable energy technologies are rapidly emerging with the promise of economic and environmental viability for desalination. There is a need to accelerate the development and scale-up of novel water production systems from renewable energies. These technologies will help to minimize environmental problems. Our investigation has shown that even though there are concerns that government policy may undermine market incentives, there is great potential for the use of renewable energy in many parts of the world. Solar, wind, wave, and geothermal sources can provide a viable source of energy to power both seawater and brackish water desalination plants. Recent trends have show improvements in technical efficiency, which should ultimately help to reduce the costs of these technologies. The decreasing cost of renewable energy equipment, and experience from hybrid renewable energy desalination implementation are also driving the cost down. PV panels, for example, have reduced in price in the last few years. At the same time, the cost of conventional water supplies is increasing, especially in isolated sites. Therefore renewable energy desalination is becoming competitive. One worrisome trend, noted in this study, is that renewable energy sources have consistently accounted for only 13% of the total energy use over the past 40 years. When considering which renewable energy desalination system to select, stand-alone electric generation hybrid systems are generally more suitable than systems that only have one energy source for the supply of electricity to offgrid applications, especially in remote areas with difficult access. During the last few years, reverse osmosis has become the optimal choice in even larger units. Under special conditions hybrid systems such as solar and wind can offer increased and more stable production of freshwater. The utilization of conventional energy sources and desalination technologies, notably in conjunction with cogeneration plants, still appears to be more cost effective than solutions based on only renewable energies and, thus, is generally the first choice. Major challenges identified in this study are the necessity to formalize the renewable energy desalination community into organizations that would represent the sector and would lobby for their interests; the need to target at least a 5% share of new installations in the global desalination market over the next decade; the requisite to support the wider establishment of renewable energy desalination education and training activities for students, professionals, and decision makers including raising awareness about the technology, the environmental benefits and demonstrating its market potential; the responsibility to coordinate the development of a comprehensive market analysis on a country by country basis; and the need to develop and promote appropriate legal structures and policies on a regional basis. In order to aid commercialization, different types of governmental policy instruments (e.g., tax breaks, low interest loans) can be effective for different renewable energy sources. However, broad-based policies, such as tradable energy certificates, are more likely to induce innovation on technologies that are close to competitive with fossil fuels. There is also a need to eliminate subsidies for fossil-fuel energy systems or taxing fossil-fuel production and use to reflect the costs of environmental damage. Another major barrier is that in some instances government renewable energy policy may undermine and subvert market incentives, resulting in massive expenditures that show little longterm promise for stimulating the economy, protecting the environment, or increasing energy security. It is possible that whatever jobs are created by renewable energy promotion may vanish as soon as government support is terminated. Econ Desalination is key to solving current and future droughts, preventing agricultural collapse. However, environmental concerns prevent desalination from being adopted. If we use solar power we can overcome these problems. Walsh 14’, Bryan Walsh 2/14/14 (Journalist of New York, and TIME)“California’s Farmers Need Water. Is Deslaination the Answer?” TIME President Obama will get to see California’s disastrous drought first hand today on a visit to the farming city of Fresno. It won’t be a pretty sight. While the conditions are arid across the state, with 91.6% of California in severe to exceptional drought, agricultural areas are suffering the worst. The state’s Central Valley has long been the fruit and vegetable basket of the country, growing nearly half of U.S. produce. But farms in the valley exist only thanks to irrigation—the Central Valley alone takes up one-sixth of the irrigated land in the nation. And thanks to the drought, there’s been little rain, and irrigation has been virtually cut off. California officials have already said that they won’t be able to offer any water to farmers through the state’s canals, and the expectation is that federal reservoirs won’t be of any help either, leaving farmers to their own dwindling supplies of groundwater. The California Farm Water Coalition estimates that the drought could translate to a loss of $11 billion in annual state revenue from agriculture. Obama will try to offer some help in his visit to Fresno, announcing that the federal government will make available up to $100 million in aid for California farmers who’ve lost livestock to the drought, as well as $15 million in aid to help farmers and ranchers implement water conservation policies. But while efficiency and conservation can go a long way to stretching dwindling supplies of water, the reality is that California is an arid state that consumes water—80% of which goes to agriculture—as if it were a wetland. If it wants to continue as the nation’s number one farming state—producing a record $44.7 billion in agriculture receipts last year—it’s going to need more water. And if scientists are right that the current drought is the worst California has faced in 500 years, and that the state could be on the brink of a prolonged dry period accentuated by climate change, that water is going to have to come from new sources. As it happens, California sits next to the biggest source of water in the world: the Pacific Ocean. The problem, of course, is that seawater is far too salty to drink or use for irrigation. Desalination plants can get around that, using large amounts of electricity to force seawater through a membrane filter, which removes the salt and other impurities, producing fresh water. There are already half a dozen desalination plants in California, and around 300 in the U.S., but the technology has been held back by cost and by environmental concerns. A $1 billion desalination plant capable of producing 50 million gallons of water a day is being built in the California town of Carlsbad, but San Diego will be buying water from the facility for about $2,000 per acre-foot, twice as much as the city generally pays for imported water, while producing enough water for 112,000 households. Desalination can have a major carbon footprint—the Carlsbad plant will use about 5,000 kilowatt hours of electricity to produce an acre-foot of water. And because desalination plants in general needs about 2 gallons of seawater to produce a gallon of fresh water, there’s a lot of highly salty brine left over, which has to be disposed of in the ocean, where it can pose a threat to marine life. Still, while efficiency and conservation will always be lower cost and lower impacts solutions to any water crisis, it’s hard not to see desalination playing a bigger and bigger role in California’s efforts to deal with lingering drought. The process of desalination is improving—the Carlsbad plant uses reverse osmosis technology, which is more energy efficient and environmentally friendly than older methods —and it has the advantage of being completely droughtproof. In a world where water is more valuable and more valued, desalination can begin to make more sense. “Desalination needs to be judged fairly against the other alternatives,” says Avshalom Felber, the CEO of IDE Technologies, an Israeli company that is helping to construct the Carlsbad plant. If desalination could be powered by renewable energy, some of those environmental concerns would melt away. And that’s what a startup called WaterFX is trying to do in the parched Central Valley. While farmers in the valley generally depend on irrigated water brought in from hundreds of miles away, the land itself isn’t short of groundwater. But most of that water is far too salty for use in farming. WaterFX’s technology uses a solar thermal trough—curved mirrors that concentrate the power of the sun—to evaporate salty water. The condensate that’s later collected and cooled becomes freshwater, leaving salt and other impurities behind. “Solar stills are an old technology, but this has a new twist that makes it very efficient and very cost effective,” says Aaron Mandell, the CEO of WaterFX. Because it uses solar power, WaterFX’s desalination has virtually no carbon footprint, and the company says that it has a 93% recovery rate, much higher than conventional desalination. But its biggest advantage might be its modularity—Water FX’s solar stills can be set up locally, allowing farms to recycle their own runoff, rather than having freshwater pumped in from afar. That saves energy and money. “You can create a closed loop where the water is reused over and over again,” says Mandell. Right now the company is working on a pilot with the Panoche Water District in the Central Valley, producing almost 500 gallons of clean water a day. WaterFX has plans to expand to a commercial plant with a 2 million gallon capacity. Of course, the technology would have to be scaled up massively to even make a dent in California’s irrigation needs, given that the state sends billions and billions of gallons of water to farms each year. But if California really is on the edge of a great dry, every drop will help. Solar Desalination is key to ensuring our water security. Current programs are too expensive. Subsidies are needed. Balch, 14 Oliver. "Is solar-powered desalination answer to water independence for California?." theguardian.com. Guardian News and Media, 28 Jan. 2014. Web. 18 July 2014. <http://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/solar-power-california-water> Thousands of acres on the west side of California's San Joaquin Valley lie fallow. In official speak, the former agricultural land has been "retired". Water supplies have always been a problem for thisdrought-prone region. Yet what's pushed the area over the brink is salinity. The problem is in large part caused by farm irrigation, which picks up the salt that naturally occurs in the rocks and soils of the Central Valley and transfers it through drainage. Compounding the problem is the tidally influenced water that is pumped into the area from the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. Astudy by the University of California estimates that, left to continue, the Central Valley could be facing reparation costs of up to $1.5bn by 2030 and the loss of up to 64,000 jobs as agricultural production slides. A California-based startup thinks it might have the answer. WaterFX's solution comes in the unlikely shape of a vast bank of parabolic mirrors and an advanced "multi-effect" evaporating unit. The Aqua4 system offers a renewable method of desalinating briny water, which, if its developers prove right, could put California "on a path to water independence".How does it work? Unlike conventional desalination, which uses a highpressure reverse osmosis system that forces salt and other solids through a membrane, WaterFX cleans water through use of a 400-kilowatt solar "trough" – hence the mirrors. This concentrated solar still collects the sun's energy, which heats a pipe containing natural oil, providing heat for the subsequent distillation process.”We wanted it to be highly modular and highly scalable so the same system is usable for very small applications all the way up to very large scale," says Aaron Mandell, founder and chairman of WaterFX, which is piloting the idea in the Californian water district of Panoche. The potential of renewable desalination is exciting interest in other corners of the globe. For example,Sundrop Farms, which is based in the Isle of Man, has installed a desalination plant near Port Augusta, South Australia. Located 100 metres from the shore, the solar-powered plant treats salt water pumped directly from the sea. As well as returning freshwater, the plant uses hot water generated during the desalination process to heat nearby greenhouses. Interest is also on the rise in the Middle East and North Africa, which currently suffers a gap in water demand of about 42 cubic kilometres per year – a figure that could increase nearly fivefold between now and 2050, according to a recent World Bank report (PDF). Experimentation in renewable desalination is already under way in Qatar, where Norway's Sahara Forest Project has embarked on a pilot scheme. Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, has plans to build a solar-powered plant in the Al-Khafji governorate, with talk of more besides. From a sustainability perspective, the upside of the technology is huge. The US federal government is currently pumping in about seven million-acre feet of water into California's Central Valley every year. Replacing a "meaningful percentage" of that figure – say, 20%-30% - would be enough to have a dramatic impact on securing water security for the area, says WaterFX's Mandell. The implications for sustainable agriculture are also vast. After a successful proof of concept stage, Sundrop is now building a 20-acre greenhouse, which promises to produce 2.8m kg of tomatoes and 1.2m kg of pepper a year. As well as making desert land productive, Sundrop maintains that its approach reduces pesticide use, cuts food miles and Saudi Arabia's 30 or so desalination plants, for instance, currently use about 300,000 barrels of crude oil equivalent a day. The trend in other Gulf countries, as well as in Algeria and Libya, is similar. "The status quo is not sustainable," concludes the World Bank, which describes the elimination of fossil fuel use in desalination as "critical". As with all new technologies, the key consideration is whether the idea is scalable. The first question is whether the science actually works. The initial pilots look promising. WaterFX's test facility, which started operations six months ago, is successfully producing up to 14,000 gallons of fresh water a day. Plans are now under way to expand the demonstration project, which will push up its capacity to 65,000 gallons a day over the same 6,500 sq ft area. A big stumbling block is cost. Solar-powered desalination currently averages about $1.52-$2.05 per cubic metre of water produced, depending on technology, energy costs and location, according to the World Bank. Conventionally, alternatives typically cost half that or less. The cubic-metre costs of desalinised water in Israel's traditional Hadera and (newer) Sorek plants, for example, are $0.65 results in better tasting produce. The arguments from a climate-change perspective appear especially attractive. and $0.52 respectively. Water security is key to the economy and food prices. Stroud 12’, Matthew Stroud, 07/2012, “SOLAR DESALINATION IN THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES” http://www.cap-az.com/Portals/1/Documents/2012-07/Paper-Stroud.pdf Water transfers also encompass water moved from one basin to another; usually doing so by a combination of canals and dams. At a regional scale, transfers are not a new source of water. They are often contentious as well. Although water rights are property in the traditional sense, water is not. The hydrogeology affecting a series of rights may not necessarily fit with the intended transfer, leading some consumers to worry that they must do without. Water availability is an underpinning factor of a Southwestern community’s ability to thrive: no water, no economy. There are additional cautions and limitations regarding water transfers. When diverted surface water rights are repurposed for urban use the quality of water delivered to downstream appropriators typically degrades (e.g. Sullivan et al 2011). Farmers or municipalities accustomed to receiving water containing mostly fertilizer runoff now receive a blend of surface water and treated sewage, leading to quarrels, public outcry and additional treatment cost. Food security is another water transfer issue. Whenever farmland is fallowed through water right transfers, crops formally grown there are frequently outsourced to a different country, effectively reducing the United States’ ability to produce food, or regulate food production (e.g. NRC 2008). Apples once grown in Arizona may be imported from Mexico or elsewhere, where labor laws and agricultural practices are further from the eye of regulators and consumers. Often, when compared to the original production location, more transportation energy is expended as well, increasing agricultural carbon footprint. Transporting food over longer distances also increases the potential for transporting foreign and invasive species. Water transfers are a useful tool, but negatively affect water quality; shift economic potential of Southwestern communities from local agriculture; and increase greenhouse gas production and reliance on foreign agriculture. Like groundwater and dams, water transfers have augmented supply in the Southwest, but there are limited buyable rights; rights not structured around sustainability, simply ordered through a superimposed water market. Economic decline causes great power wars—multiple studies Royal, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the US Dept. of Defense, 10 [Jedidiah, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crisis,” Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal, and Political Perspectives, 2010 p. 205-224]bg Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may increase the likelihood of external conflict . Political science literature has contributed a moderate degree of attention to the impact of economic decline and the security and defence behaviour of interdependent states. Research in this vein has been considered at systemic, dyadic and national levels. Several notable contributions follow. First, on the systemic level, Pollins (2008) advances Modelski and Thompson's (1996) work on leadership cycle theory, finding that rhythms in the global economy are associated with the rise and fall of a pre-eminent power and the often bloody transition from one preeminent leader to the next. As such, exogenous shocks such as economic crises could usher in a redistribution of relative power (see also Gilpin, 1981) that leads to uncertainty about power balances, increasing the risk of miscalculation (Fearon, 1995). Alternatively, even a relatively certain redistribution of power could lead to a permissive environment for conflict as a rising power may seek to challenge a declining power (Werner, 1999). Separately, Pollins (1996) also shows that global economic cycles combined with parallel leadership cycles impact the likelihood of conflict among major, medium and small powers, although he suggests that the causes and connections between global economic conditions and security conditions remain unknown. Second, on a dyadic level, Copeland's (1996, 2000) theory of trade expectations suggests that 'future expectation of trade' is a significant variable in understanding economic conditions and security behaviour of states. He argues that interdependent states are likely to gain pacific benefits from trade so long as they have an optimistic view of future trade relations. However, if the expectations of future trade decline, particularly for difficult to replace items such as energy resources, the likelihood for conflict increases, as states will be inclined to use force to gain access to those resources. Crises could potentially be the trigger for decreased trade expectations either on its own or because it triggers protectionist moves by interdependent states.4 Third, others have considered the link between economic decline and external armed conflict at a national level. Blomberg and Hess (2002) find a strong correlation between internal conflict and external conflict, particularly during periods of economic downturn. They write, The linkages between internal and external conflict and prosperity are strong and mutually reinforcing. Economic conflict tends to spawn internal conflict, which in tum returns the favour. Moreover, the presence of a recession tends to amplify the extent to which international and external conflicts self-reinforce each other. (Blomberg & Hess, 2002, p. 89) Economic decline has also been linked with an increase in the likelihood of terrorism (Blomberg, Hess, & Weerapana, 2004), which has the capacity to spill across borders and lead to external tensions. Furthermore, crises generally reduce the popularity of a sitting government. 'Diversionary theory' suggests that, when facing unpopularity arising from economic decline, sitting governments have increased incentives to fabricate external military conflicts to create a 'rally around the flag' effect. Wang (1996), DeRouen (1995), and Blomberg, Hess, and Thacker (2006) find supporting evidence showing that economic decline and use of force are at least indirectly correlated. Gelpi (1997), Miller (1999), and Kisangani and Pickering (2009) suggest that the tendency towards diversionary tactics are greater for democratic states than autocratic states, due to the fact that democratic leaders are generally more susceptible to being removed from office due to lack of domestic support. DeRouen periods of weak economic performance in the United States, and thus weak Presidential statistically linked to an increase in the use of force. (2000) has provided evidence showing that popularity, are And, food shortages lead to war—leaves developing countries devastated CBS News 9 (“IMF Head: Food Shortages Can Spark War,” CBS News, http://www.cbsnews.com/2100202_162-4026125.html, accessed 7/9/13) The head of the International Monetary Fund warned Friday that soaring world food prices can have dire consequences, such as toppling governments and even triggering wars. Dominique Strauss-Kahn told France's Europe-1 radio that the price rises that set off rioting in Haiti, Egypt and elsewhere were an "extremely serious" problem. "The planet must tackle it," he said. The IMF chief said the problem could also threaten democracies, even in countries where governments have done all they could to help the local population. Asked whether the crisis could lead to wars, Strauss-Kahn responded that it was possible. "When the tension goes above and beyond putting democracy into question, there are risks of war," he said. "History is full of wars that started because of this kind of problem." Strauss-Kahn was appointed last year to head the IMF. He was a finance minister in the late 1990s in France. Also on Friday, French President Nicolas Sarkozy suggested a global partnership among financial institutions, governments and the private sector to tackle the reasons for rising food prices. He also said France is doubling its food aid budget this year to about $95 million because 37 countries are experiencing "serious food crises." Globally, food prices have risen 40 percent since mid-2007. The increases hit poor people hardest, as food represents as much as 60-80 percent of consumer spending in developing nations, compared to about 10-20 percent in industrialized countries, the U.N.'s Food and Agriculture Organization has said. The World Food Program blames soaring food prices on a convergence of rising energy costs, natural disasters linked to climate change, and competition for grain used to make bio-fuels like ethanol. Program spokesperson Benita Luescher told CBS News correspondent Michelle Miller, "What we're seeing is a perfect storm." Meanwhile, officials said Thursday that United Nations programs will distribute 8,000 tons of food and other help for Haitians in coming days as part of efforts to confront unrest over rising prices that set off recent rioting. U.N. spokeswoman Michele Montas said food provided by the World Food Program will focus on children, pregnant women and nursing mothers in the north, west and central regions of Haiti, the poorest nation in the Western Hemisphere. Anger over surging food prices has threatened stability in the Caribbean nation, which has long been haunted by chronic hunger. Haitian lawmakers fired Prime Minister Jacques Edouard Alexis over the rioting. Mamadou Bah, spokesman for the U.N. country team in Haiti, said the 8,000 tons are available stock and will be distributed over the next two months starting Thursday. The U.N. Children's Fund will double its child feeding program to combat malnutrition and spend some $1.6 million on water and sanitation projects in the northwest and Artibonite regions, Montas said. Globally, food prices have risen 40 percent since mid-2007. Haiti is particularly affected because it imports nearly all of its food, including more than 80 percent of its rice. Once productive farmland has been abandoned as farmers struggle to grow crops in soil devastated by erosion, deforestation, flooding and tropical storms. Protests and looting in Port-au-Prince left at least seven dead last week, including a Nigerian officer in the 9,000-member U.N. peacekeeping force who was pulled from a car and killed Saturday. Three Sri Lankan peacekeepers were injured by gunfire early last week. Brazilian members of the U.N. peacekeeping force distributed 14 tons of rice, beans, sugar and cooking oil to 1,500 families in the capital's sprawling Cite Soleil slum Tuesday Climate change Global warming is real. Greenhouse gas emissions must be cut now in order to reverse this trend. Peters 12 - Center for International Climate and Environmental Research (Peer Reviewed Journal, Glen, “The challenge to keep global warming below 2 [deg]C, Glen P. Peters, Robbie M. Andrew, Tom Boden, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Corinne Le Quéré, Nature Climate Change, http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n1/full/nclimate1783.html) On-going climate negotiations have recognized a “significant gap” between the current trajectory of global greenhouse-gas emissions and the “likely chance of holding the increase in global average temperature below 2 °C or 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels”1. Here we compare recent trends in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from fossil-fuel combustion, cement production and gas flaring with the primary emission scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Carbon dioxide emissions are the largest contributor to long-term climate change and thus provide a good baseline to assess progress and examine consequences. We find that current emission trends continue to track scenarios that lead to the highest temperature increases. Further delay in global mitigation makes it increasingly difficult to stay below 2 °C. Long-term emissions scenarios are designed to represent a range of plausible emission trajectories as input for climate change research2, 3. The IPCC process has resulted in four generations of emissions scenarios2: Scientific Assessment 1990 (SA90)4, IPCC Scenarios 1992 (IS92)5, Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)6, and the evolving Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)7 to be used in the upcoming IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. The RCPs were developed by the research community as a new, parallel process of scenario development, whereby climate models are run using the RCPs while simultaneously socioeconomic and In the past, decadal trends in CO2 emissions have responded slowly to changes in the underlying emission drivers because of inertia and path dependence in technical, social and political systems9. Inertia and path dependence are unlikely to be affected by short-term fluctuations2, 3, 9 — such as financial crises10 — and it is probable that emissions will continue to rise for a period even after global mitigation has started11. Thermal inertia and vertical mixing in the ocean, also delay the emission scenarios are developed that span the range of the RCPs and beyond2. It is important to regularly re-assess the relevance of emissions scenarios in light of changing global circumstances3, 8. temperature response to CO2 emissions12. Because of inertia, path dependence and changing global circumstances, there is value in comparing observed decadal emission trends with emission scenarios to help inform the prospect of different futures being realized, explore the feasibility of desired changes in the current emission trajectory and help to identify whether new scenarios may be needed. Global CO2 emissions have increased from 6.1±0.3 Pg C in 1990 to 9.5±0.5 Pg C in 2011 (3% over 2010), with average annual growth rates of 1.9% per year in the 1980s, 1.0% per year in the 1990s, and 3.1% per year since 2000. We estimate that emissions in 2012 will be 9.7±0.5 Pg C or 2.6% above 2011 (range of 1.9–3.5%) and 58% greater than 1990 (Supplementary Information and ref. 13). The observed growth rates are at the top end of all four generations of emissions scenarios (Figs 1 and 2). Of the previous illustrative IPCC scenarios, only IS92-E, IS92-F and SRES A1B exceed the observed emissions (Fig. 1) or their rates of growth (Fig. 2), with RCP8.5 lower but within uncertainty bounds of observed emissions. Figure 1: Estimated CO2 emissions over the past three decades compared with the IS92, SRES and the RCPs. The SA90 data are not shown, but the most relevant (SA90-A) is similar to IS92-A and IS92-F. The uncertainty in historical emissions is ±5% (one standard deviation). Scenario data is generally reported at decadal intervals and we use linear interpolation for intermediate years. Full size image (386 KB) Figures index Next Figure 2: Growth rates of historical and scenario CO2 emissions. The average annual growth rates of the historical emission estimates (black crosses) and the emission scenarios for the time periods of overlaps (shown on the horizontal axis). The growth rates are more comparable for the longer time intervals considered (in order: SA90, 27 years; IS92, 22 years; SRES, 12 years; and RCPs, 7 years). The short-term growth rates of the scenarios do not necessarily reflect the long-term emission pathway (for example, A1B has a high initial growth rate compared with its long-term behaviour and RCP3PD has a higher growth rate until 2010 compared with RCP4.5 and RCP6). For the SRES, we represent the illustrative scenario for each family (filled circles) and each of the contributing model scenarios (open circles). The scenarios generally report emissions at intervals of 10 years or more and we interpolated linearly to 2012; a sensitivity analysis shows a linear interpolation is robust (Supplementary Fig. S14). Full size image (112 KB) Previous Figures index Observed emission trends are in line with SA90-A, IS92-E and IS92-F, SRES A1FI, A1B and A2, and RCP8.5 (Fig. 2). The SRES scenarios A1FI and A2 and RCP8.5 lead to the highest temperature projections among the scenarios, with a mean temperature increase of 4.2–5.0 °C in 2100 (range of 3.5–6.2 °C)14, whereas the SRES A1B scenario has decreasing emissions after 2050 leading to a lower temperature increase of 3.5 °C (range 2.9–4.4°C)14. Earlier research has noted that observed emissions have tracked the upper SRES scenarios15, 16 and Fig. 1 confirms this for all four scenario generations. This indicates that the space of possible pathways could be extended above the top-end scenarios to accommodate the possibility of even higher emission rates in the future. The new RCPs are particularly relevant because, in contrast to the earlier scenarios, mitigation efforts consistent with long-term policy objectives are included among the pathways2. RCP3-PD (peak and decline in concentration) leads to a mean temperature increase of 1.5 °C in 2100 (range of 1.3–1.9 °C)14. RCP3–PD requires net negative emissions (for example, bioenergy with carbon capture and storage) from 2070, but some scenarios suggest it is possible to stay below 2 °C without negative emissions17, 18, 19. RCP4.5 and RCP6 — which lie between RCP3–PD and RCP8.5 in the longer term — lead to a mean temperature increase of 2.4 °C (range of 1.0–3.0 °C) and 3.0 °C (range of 2.6–3.7 °C) in 2100, respectively14. For RCP4.5, RCP6 and RCP8.5, temperatures will continue to increase after 2100 due to on-going emissions14 and inertia in the climate system12. Current emissions are tracking slightly above RCP8.5, and given the growing gap between the other RCPs (Fig. 1), significant emission reductions are needed by 2020 to keep 2 °C as a feasible goal18, 19, 20. To follow an emission trend that can keep the temperature increase below 2 °C (RCP3-PD) requires sustained global CO2 mitigation rates of around 3% per year, if global emissions peak before 202011, 19. A delay in starting mitigation activities will lead to higher mitigation rates11, higher costs21, 22, and the target of remaining below 2 °C may become unfeasible18, 20. If participation is low, then higher rates of mitigation are needed in individual countries, and this may even increase mitigation costs for all countries22. Many of these rates assume that negative emissions will be possible and affordable later this century11, 17, 18, 20. Reliance on negative emissions has high risks because of potential delays or failure in the development and large-scale deployment of emerging technologies such as carbon capture and storage, particularly those connected to bioenergy17, 18. Although current emissions are tracking the higher scenarios, The historical record shows that some countries have reduced CO2 emissions over 10-year periods, through a combination of (non-climate) policy intervention and economic it is still possible to transition towards pathways consistent with keeping temperatures below 2 °C (refs 17,19,20). adjustments to changing resource availability. The oil crisis of 1973 led to new policies on energy supply and energy savings, which produced a decrease in the share of fossil fuels (oil shifted to nuclear) in the energy supply of Belgium, France and Sweden, with emission reductions of 4–5% per year sustained over 10 or more years (Supplementary Figs S17–19).A continuous shift to natural gas — partially substituting coal and oil — led to sustained These examples highlight the practical feasibility of emission reductions through fuel substitution and efficiency improvements, but additional factors such as carbon leakage23 need to be considered. These types of emission reduction can help initiate a transition towards trajectories consistent with keeping temperatures below 2 °C, but further mitigation measures are needed to complete and sustain the reductions. Similar energy transitions could be encouraged and coordinated across countries in the next 10 years using available technologies19, but well-targeted technological innovations24 are required to sustain the mitigation rates for longer periods17. To move below the RCP8.5 scenario — avoiding the worst climate impacts — requires early action17, 18, 21 and sustained mitigation from the largest emitters22 such as China, the United States, the European Union and India. These four regions together account for mitigation rates of 1–2% per year in the UK in the 1970s and again in the 2000s, 2% per year in Denmark in the 1990–2000s, and 1.4% per year since 2005 in the USA (Supplementary Figs S10–12). over half of global CO2 emissions, and have strong and centralized governing bodies capable of co-ordinating such actions. If similar energy transitions are repeated over many decades in a broader range of developed and emerging economies, the current emission trend could be pulled down to make RCP3-PD, RCP4.5 and RCP6 all feasible futures. A shift to a pathway with the highest likelihood to remain below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels (for example, RCP3-PD), requires high levels of technological, social and political innovations, and an increasing need to rely on net negative emissions in the future11, 17, timing of mitigation efforts needs to account for delayed responses in both CO2 emissions9 (because of inertia in and also in global temperature12 (because of inertia in the climate system). Unless large and concerted global mitigation efforts are initiated soon, the goal of remaining below 2 °C will very soon become unachievable. 18. The technical, social and political systems) Unfortunately, desalination in the status quo is energy intensive. Solar desalination is the only sustainable solution. NRDC in 2014, National Resource Deffense council, May 2014, “Proceed with Caution: California’s Drought and Seawater Desalination”, http://www.nrdc.org/oceans/files/ca-droughtseawater-desalination-IB.pdf A 2011 life-cycle energy assessment of California’s alternative water supplies commissioned by the California Energy Commission found that, while a desalination system can have a wide array of impacts depending on the water source: “In all cases, the energy use is higher than alternative water supply.”15 Energy accounts for 36 percent of the cost to run a reverse osmosis seawater desalination plant.The seawater desalination plant under construction in Carlsbad will require 47 percent more energy than water delivered to San Diego from the State Water Project Transfers—currently the highest energy demand in the region’s water supply portfolio. In some areas, seawater desalination is more than twice as energy intensive as other water supply options. The Los Angeles Economic Development Corporation found ocean desalination to indirectly create more greenhouse gases than any other water source. The Inland Empire Utilities Agency has similarly reported that ocean desalination would use more than ten times more energy than water recycling in its service area. California’s current water management system is already extremely energy-intensive: “water-related energy use consumes 19 percent of the state’s electricity, 30 percent
of its natural gas, and 88 billion gallons of diesel fuel every year.”20 In its 2008 Climate Change Scoping Plan, the California Air Resources Board noted that one way for the state to reduce GHG emissions is to replace existing water supply and treatment processes with more energy efficient alternatives. Because seawater desalination is so energy intensive, extensive development of this technology could lead to “greater dependence on fossil fuels, an increase in greenhouse gas emissions, and a worsening of climate change.” To effectively minimize the impacts of climate change and reduce GHG emissions, the state should prioritize water supply and treatment alternatives that are energy efficient, such as those described in the Recommendations section. Market dominance of fossil fuel based desalination technology guarantees that future approaches to water security and sustainability will remain environmentally destructive and contribute to global warming – targeting the cost-competitiveness of renewable energy-driven desalination tech is key Hilal, 05/27/14 [Nidal, Professor in the College of Engineering at Swansea University, The Water Challenge – Why Desalination Technology Deserves Your Vote, May 27th, 2014, http://www.envirotechonline.com/news/water-wastewater/9/nesta/the_water_challange__why_desalination_technology_deserves_your_vote/30225/] The rapid development of water desalination technologies and its market in the last decade clearly reflects their growing importance. However, in spite of the significant technological advances and successes in reducing energy requirements (mainly in membranebased processes), desalination remains an energy-intensive process, contributing to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and thus having a contributory effect on climate change. In some GCC/MENA (Gulf Cooperation Council/Middle East-North Africa), countries, the situation is especially challenging in terms of the cost of energy use, because thermalbased processes such as multi-stage flash (MSF) and multi-effect distillation (MED) dominate the market; these processes depend directly on the availability and cost of fossil fuel. Furthermore, they rely on the availability of good prior experience gained in these technologies, and must often deal with challenging seawater quality, especially in the Gulf region. To meet these and other related challenges, there is currently a tremendous interest in identifying breakthrough solutions that address these global problems of water security and sustainability of water resources at a lowercost, while also being more environmentally friendly. To be clear, our objectives should be to target a reduction in the specific energy consumption of seawater desalination to reach 2 kWh/m3 in the near-term, and to develop more sustainable desalination processes which are less dependent on conventional energy sources and more environmentally friendly in the longer term. This will be enabled by exploring the development of new and emerging low-energy and renewable energy-driven desalination technologies. Research towards this should focus on the hybridisation of forward osmosis (FO), membrane distillation (MD), and adsorption desalination (AD), coupled with or standing alone from conventional desalination processes such as MED and reverse osmosis (RO). In particular, both nanotechnology and membrane processes are set to play a key role as enabling technologies; global demand for membranes alone is set to increase by 9% annually, with a forecast of more than US $20 billion in the water sector by 2015. There is a clear and urgent need to undertake fundamental research in the water sciences and advance the development of water technologies to deliver innovative solutions that address these global challenges of sustainable and secure water resources. Key research objectives that will have immediate impact globally include to: • Research and develop novel technologies for water desalination and reuse; • Optimize and hybridise desalination and reuse technologies for enhanced performance; • Promote water technologies for sustainable urban, agricultural and industrial applications; • Research urban and natural hydrologic systems to enable improved water resource understanding and management; • Disseminate knowledge through demonstration, engagement and technology transfer. Water security is the biggest challenge we face on the planet. The Longitude Prize 2014 can be the catalyst that helps us to do something about it. We must act urgently and move ahead, if these technologies are to be available and deliver the needed solutions in time Renewable desalination is the most feasible and environmentally friendly optioncurrent desalination proves negative consequences Cooley , Heather, and Matthew Heberger. ’13 Cooley- Director of Pacific Institute’s Water Program. Heberger- Research Associate with Pacific Institute’s Water Program, water resources engineer ”Key Issues For Seawater Desalination in California." . Pacific Institute, 1 May 2013. Web. 17 July 2014. <http://pacinst.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/desal-energy-ghg-full-report.pdf>. Removing the salt from seawater is an energy intensive process and consumes more energy per gallon than most other water supply and treatment options. On average, desalinations plants use about 15,000 kWh per million gallons of water produced (kWh/MG), or 4.0 kWh per cubic meter (kWh/m3).We note, however, that these estimates refer to the rated energy use, i.e., the energy required under a standard, fixed set of conditions. The actual energy use may be higher, as actual operating conditions are often not ideal. The overall energy implications of a seawater desalination project will depend on whether the water produced replaces an existing water supply or provides a new source of water for growth. If water from a desalination plant replaces an existing supply, then the additional energy requirements are simply the difference between the energy use of the seawater desalination plant and those of the existing supply. Producing a new source of water, however, increases the total amount of water that must be delivered, used, and disposed of. Thus, the overall energy implications of the desalination project include the energy requirements for the desalination plant plus the energy required to deliver, use, and dispose of the water that is produced. We note that conservation and efficiency, by contrast, can help meet the anticipated needs associated with growth by reducing total water demand while simultaneously maintaining or even reducing total energy use. Energy requirements for desalination have declined dramatically over the past 40 years due to a variety of technological advances, and desalination designers and researchers are continuously seeking ways to further reduce energy consumption. Despite the potential for future energy use reductions, however, there is a theoretical minimum energy requirement beyond which there are no opportunities for further reductions. Desalination plants are currently operating at 3-4 times the theoretical minimum energy requirements, and despite hope and efforts to reduce the energy cost of desalination, there do not appear to be significant reductions in energy use on the near-term horizon. The high energy requirements of seawater desalination raise several concerns, including sensitivity to energy price variability. Energy is the largest single variable cost for a desalination plant, varying from one-third to more than one-half the cost of produced water (Chaudhry 2003). As result, desalination creates or increases the water supplier’s exposure to energy price variability. In California, and in other regions dependent on hydropower, electricity prices tend to rise during droughts, when runoff, and thus power production, is constrained and electricity demands are high. Additionally, electricity prices in California are projected to rise by nearly 27% between 2008 and 2020 (in inflation-adjusted dollars) to maintain and replace aging transmission and distribution infrastructure, install advanced metering infrastructure, comply with oncethrough cooling regulations, meet new demand growth, and increase renewable energy production (CPUC 2009). Rising energy prices will affect the price of all water sources, although they will have a greater impact on those that the most energy intensive. It is important to note that water from a desalination plant may be worth more in a drought year because other sources of water will be limited. Thus, building a desalination plant may reduce a water utility’s exposure to water reliability risks at the added expense of an increase in exposure to energy price risk. Project developers may pay an energy or project developer to hedge against this uncertainty, e.g., through a long-term energy purchase contract or through on-site energy production from sources with less variability, such as solar electric. The hedging options, however, may increase the overall cost. In any case, energy price uncertainty creates costs that should be incorporated into any estimate of project cost. The high energy requirements of seawater desalination also raise concerns about greenhouse gas emissions. In 2006, California lawmakers passed the Global Warming Solutions Act, or Assembly Bill 32 (AB 32), which requires the state to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2020. Thus, the state has committed itself to a program of steadily reducing its greenhouse gas emissions in both the short- and long-term, which includes cutting current emissions and preventing future emissions associated with growth. Action and awareness has, until recently, been uneven and slow to spread to the local level. While the state has directed local and regional water managers to begin considering emissions reductions when selecting water projects, they were not subject to mandatory cuts during the state’s first round of emissions reductions. As the state moves forward with its plans to cut carbon emissions further, however, every sector of the economy is likely to come under increased scrutiny by regulators. Desalination – through increased energy use – can cause an increase in greenhouse gas emissions, further contributing to the root cause of climate change and thus running counter to the state’s greenhouse gas reduction goals. While there is “no clear-cut regulatory standard related to energy use and greenhouse gas emissions,” (Pankratz 2012) there are a variety of state programs, policies, and agencies that must be considered when developing a desalination project. These include environmental review requirements under the California Environmental Quality Act, the issuance of permits by the Coastal Commission, the Integrated Regional Water Management Planning process, and policies of other state agencies, such as the State Lands Commission and the State Water Resources Control Board. These agencies have increasingly emphasized the importance of planning for climate change and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. While none of these preclude the construction of new desalination plants, the state’s mandate to reduce emissions creates an additional planning element that must be addressed. There is growing interest in reducing or eliminating greenhouse gas emissions by powering desalination with renewables, directly or indirectly, or purchasing carbon offsets. In California, we are unlikely to see desalination plants that are directly powered by renewables in the near future. A more likely scenario is that project developers will pay to develop renewables in other parts of the state that partially or fully offset the energy requirements of the desalination plant. Offsets can also reduce emissions, although caution is required when purchasing offsets, particularly on the voluntary market, to ensure that they are effective, meaningful, and do no harm . Powering desalination with renewables can reduce or eliminate the greenhouse gas emissions associated with a particular project. This may assuage some concerns about the massive energy requirements of these systems and may help to gain local, and even regulatory, support. But it is important to look at the larger context. Even renewables have a social, economic, and environmental cost, albeit much less than conventional fossil fuels. Furthermore, these renewables could be used to reduce existing emissions, rather than offset new emissions and maintain current greenhouse gas levels. Communities should consider whether there are less energy-intensive options available to meet water demand, such as through conservation and efficiency, water reuse, brackish water desalination, stormwater capture, and rainwater harvesting. We note that energy use is not the only factor that should be used to guide decision making. However, given the increased understanding of the risks of climate change for our water resources, the importance of evaluating and mitigating energy use and greenhouse gas emissions are likely to grow. Irreversible climate change risks extinction and ecosystem collapse Kirschbaum, 3/20 –PhD Environmental Biology in the Australian Nation in 1986, BSc Agriculture, Researcher at Landcare Research (Miko, “Climate-change impact potentials as an alternative to global warming potentials,” 2014, IOP Science, Miko U F Kirschbaum 2014 Environ. Res. Lett. 9 034014)//VIVIENNE 2.1.2. Rate-of-warming impacts The rate of warming is a concern because higher temperatures may not be inherently worse cause problems for both natural and socio-economic systems. A slow rate of change will allow time for migration or other adjustments, but faster rates of change may give insufficient time for such adjustments (e.g. Peck and Teisberg 1994). For example, the natural distribution of most species is than cooler conditions, but change itself will restricted to narrow temperature ranges (e.g. Hughes et al 1996). As climate change makes their current habitats climatically unsuitable for many species (Parmesan and Yohe 2003), it poses serious and massive extinction risks (e.g. Thomas et al 2004). The rate of warming will strongly influence whether species can migrate to newly suitable habitats, or whether they will be driven to extinction in their old habitats. 2.1.3. Cumulative-warming impacts The third kind of impact includes impacts such as sea-level rise (Vermeer and Rahmstorf 2009) which is quantified by cumulative warming, as sea-level rise is related to both the magnitude of warming and the length of time over which oceans and glaciers are exposed to increased temperatures. Lenton et al (2008) listed some possible tipping points in the global climate system, including shut-off of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation and Arctic sea-ice melting. If the world passes these thresholds, the global climate could shift into a different mode, with possibly serious and irreversible consequences. Their likely occurrence is often linked to cumulative warming. Cumulative warming is similar to the calculation of GWPs except that GWPs integrate only radiative forcing without considering the time lag between radiative forcing and resultant effects on global temperatures. The difference between GWPs and integrated warming are, however, only small over a 100-year time horizon and diminish even further over longer time horizons (Peters et al 2011a). 2.2. The relative importance of different kinds of impacts For devising optimal climate-change mitigation strategies, it is also necessary to quantify the importance of different kinds of impacts relative to each other. Without any formal assessment of their relative importance being available in the literature, they were therefore assigned here the same relative weighting. However, the different kinds of impacts change differently over time so that the importance of one kind of impact also changes over time relative to the importance of the others. The notion of assigning them equal importance can therefore be implemented mathematically only under a specified emission pathway and at a defined point in time. This was done by expressing each impact relative to the most severe impact over the next 100 years under the 'representative concentration pathway' (RCP) with radiative forcing of 6 W m−2 (RCP6; van Vuuren et al 2011). 2.3. Cumulative damages or most severe damages? Any focus on maximum temperature increases, such as the '2° target', explicitly targets the most extreme impacts. However, that ignores the lesser, but still important, impacts that occur before and after the most extreme impacts are experienced. Hence, the damage function used here sums all impacts over the next 100 years. Summing impacts is different from summing temperatures to derive initial impacts. For example, the damage from tropical cyclones is linked to sea-surface temperatures in a given year (Webster et al 2005). Total damages to society, however, are the sum of cyclone damages in all years over the defined assessment horizon. 2.4. Impact severity Climate-change impacts clearly increase with increases in the underlying climate perturbation, but how strongly? By 2012, global temperatures had increased by nearly 1 °C above pre-industrial temperatures (Jones et al 2012), equivalent to about 0.01 °C yr−1, with about 20 cm sea-level rise (Church and White 2011), and there are increasing numbers of unusual weather events that have been attributed to climate change (e.g. Schneider et al 2007, Trenberth and Fasullo 2012). By the time temperature increases reach 2°, or sea-level rise reaches 40 cm, would impacts be twice as bad or increase more sharply? If impacts increase sharply with increasing perturbations, then overall damages would be largely determined by impacts at the times of highest perturbations, whereas with a less steep impact response function, impacts at times with lesser perturbations would contribute more to overall damages. Schneider et al (2007) comprehensively reviewed and discussed the quantification of climate-change impacts and their relationship to underlying climate perturbations but concluded that a formal quantification of impacts was not yet possible. This was due to remaining scientific uncertainty, and the intertwining of scientific assessments of the likelihood of the occurrence of certain events and value judgements as to their significance. For example, Thomas et al (2004) quantified the likelihood of species extinction under climate change and concluded that by 2050, 18% of species would be 'committed to extinction' under a low-emission scenario, which approximately doubled to 35% under a high-emission scenario. Given the functional redundancy of species in natural ecosystems, their impact on ecosystem function, and their perceived value for society, doubling the loss of species would presumably more than double the perceived impact of the loss of those species. The scientifically derived estimate of species loss therefore does not automatically translate into a usable damage response function. It requires additional value judgements, such as an assessment of the importance of the survival of species, including those without economic value. It is also difficult to quantify the impact related to the low probability of crossing key thresholds (Lenton et al 2008). It may be possible to agree on the importance of crossing some irreversible thresholds, but it is difficult to confidently derive probabilities of crossing them. But despite these uncertainties, some kind of damage response function must be used to quantify the marginal impact of extra emission units. As it is difficult, if not impossible, to employ purely objective means of generating impact response functions, we have to resort to what Stern called a 'subjective probability approach. It is a pragmatic response to the fact that many of the true uncertainties around climate-change policy cannot themselves be observed and quantified precisely' (Stern 2006). Different workers have used some semiquantitative approaches, such as polling of expert opinion (e.g. Nordhaus 1994), or the generation of complex uncertainty distributions from a limited range of existing studies (Tol 2012), but none of these overcomes the essentially subjective nature of devising impact response functions. Figure 1 shows some possible response functions that relate an underlying climate perturbation to its resultant impact. This is quantified relative to maximum impacts anticipated over the next 100 years for perturbations such as temperature. The current temperature increase of about 1 °C is approximately 1/3 of the temperature increase expected under RCP6 over the next 100 years, giving a relative perturbation of 0.33. For the quantification of CCIPs, impacts had to be expressed as functions of relative climate perturbations to enable equal quantitative treatment of all three kinds of climatic impacts. Economic analyses tend to employ quadratic or cubic responses function (e.g. Nordhaus 1994, Hammitt et al 1996, Roughgarden and Schneider 1999, Tol 2012), but there is concern that these functions that are based only on readily quantifiable impacts may give insufficient weight to the small probability of extremely severe impacts (e.g. Weitzman 2012, 2013, Lemoine and McJeon 2013). A response function that includes these extreme impacts would increase much more sharply than quadratic or cubic response functions (e.g. Weitzman 2012). The relationship used here uses an exponential increase in impacts with increasing perturbations to capture the sharply increasing damages with larger temperature increases (as shown by Hammitt et al 1996 and Weitzman 2012). Warming by 3/4 of the expected maximum warming, for example, would have about 10 times the impact as warming by only 1/4 of maximum warming. The graph also shows the often-used power relationships (e.g. Hammitt et al 1996, Boucher 2012), shown here with powers of 2 (quadratic) and 3 (cubic), and a more extreme impacts function (hockey-stick function) presented by Hammitt et al (1996). Compared to the power functions, the exponential relationship calculates relatively modest impacts for moderate climate perturbations that increase more sharply for more extreme climate perturbations. It is thus very similar to the 'hockey-stick' relationship of Hammitt et al (1996). 2AC Inherency General we need Desal Desalination needs to happen Carter ’09, NicoleT (Specialist in Natural Resources Policy) “Desalination: Status and Federal Issues” Congressional Research Service Reports http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1009&context=crsdocs In the United States, desalination is increasingly investigated as an option for meeting municipal water demands, particularly for coastal communities that can desalinate seawater or estuarine water, interior communities above brackish groundwater aquifers, and communities with contaminated water supplies. Adoption of desalination, however, remains constrained by financial, environmental, regulatory, and other factors. At issue is what role Congress establishes for the federal government in desalination research and development, and in construction and operational costs of desalination demonstration projects and full-scale facilities. Need for desalination programs is widespread WGA ’05 "WSW Issue #1617." . Western Governor's Association, 13 May 2005. Web. 16 July 2014. <http://www.westgov.org/wswc/1617.html>. U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (BOR) Commissioner John Keys testified in support of S. 895, expressing strong support for provisions that would allow communities to approach BOR early in the process, complete their own appraisal and feasibility studies, and appropriately determine a community’s capability to pay their share of study costs, as well as operation and maintenance (O&M) costs. Further, he suggested that exploring local desalination opportunities, particularly treating brackish ground waters for potable uses, may be a viable alternative to rural water supply projects that pump and transfer water from rivers over great distances at great expense. He also expressed support for requiring interagency coordination. The Administration also likes the Title II loan guarantee program, but Keys said he is still studying several aspects of S. 895. He noted the apparent need for some type of overall programmatic framework to guide how projects once authorized are planned, built and managed. He also suggested the Committee add criteria for economic and financial impacts for project assessment and feasibility studies.Others testifying included: Jim Dunlap, President of the Upper La Plata Water District in New Mexico and Chairman of the New Mexico Interstate Stream Commission; David Lansford, Mayor of Clovis, New Mexico and Chairman of the Eastern New Mexico Water Authority, accompanied by Vice Chairman Orlando Ortega, Mayor of Portales; and Harold Frazier, Chairman of the Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe in South Dakota.Chairman Frazer painted a compelling picture of his people as the “poster child” for rural water needs on a “scale most American’s can’t envision.” An obsolete water system “cobbled together” with various federal grants could leave 14,000 Indians and non-Indians across the patchwork reservation without water by August. Its intake is threatened by the fall levels of Lake Oahe on the Missouri River and cannot be extended further. Estimated water needs are more than ten times the current plant’s treatment capacity. There is no water to supply new homes, and last year four children died in a house fire that couldn’t be quenched because of a lack of water. The community also suffers due to elevated levels of heavy metals in streams caused by upstream mining activities. Unemployment in the county, one of the poorest in the country, is 78% and direct assistance may be the only recourse for aid, as they probably couldn’t qualify for loans, even with the proposed federal guarantees. Mr. Frazer concluded noting the Sioux phrase “Mni Wiconi,” the name of one rural water supply project, means “Water is Life.” The Southwest region of the United States faces severe drought causing a crippling effect on the economy and the environment. Domanick 14’, Andrea Domanick, March 2014, Las Vegas Sun Reporter, “The Ripple Effect of less water”, The Las Vegas Sun Reporter, http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2014/mar/30/ripple-effect-less-water/ Higher food prices, water bills and utility rates. Greater wildfire risk. Shrinking communities, fewer jobs and weakening economies. Amid growing concern that the drought gripping the West isn’t history repeating itself but instead is a new normal brought about by climate change, the effects of the dwindling water supply in the region are beginning to become all too clear. As a pattern of longer dry periods and shorter wet cycles continues, the effects will be felt across the region by millions of people from farms to cities, faucets to wallets. More than 70 percent of the West — a zone spreading across 15 states — is experiencing some form of abnormal dryness or drought, with 11 drought-affected western and central states designated as primary natural disaster areas by the Agriculture Department. Here’s what’s coming for residents of the West — or, in some cases, what’s in progress: Agriculture and food prices Snowpack in the Sierra Nevada is at 12 percent of the annual average, making the drought in California especially severe. With 2013 being the state’s driest year on record, Gov. Jerry Brown declared a drought emergency, imploring residents to cut water use by 20 percent. The State Water Project announced zero water allocation to agencies serving 25 million people and 750,000 acres of farmland. The drought threatens to cripple California’s $44.7 billion agricultural industry, cutting yields and sending food prices soaring. A recent food price inflation outlook issued by the USDA found the consumer price index rose by 1.4 percent in 2013, and food prices are expected to rise another 2.5 to 3.5 percent this year. Record-high beef prices, which rose 5.4 percent over the past year, are “here to stay. Wildfires Drier conditions mean drier trees — which means better fuel for forest fires. A rash of powerful, fastmoving wildfires made headlines in the past year, from Las Vegas’ Carpenter 1 fire that ravaged 20,000 acres on Mount Charleston to Arizona’s deadly Yarnell Hill fire. As the drought persists, such events are expected to increase in size, intensity and frequency as moisture remains concentrated in the Rocky and Sierra mountain ranges. While surrounding northern states bask in precipitation, much of the Southwest misses out, leading to dangerously dry conditions. “It’s looking like classic Dust Bowl-type pictures that are emerging, from Arizona into New Mexico, Texas and southern Colorado, up to about the San Juan Mountains,” said Kelly Redmond, a climatologist at Desert Research Institute. Political After decades of water wars, California, Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico and Mexico are working to share Colorado River water. The new era of cooperation crystallized in 2007, when the states agreed to a rationing system should Lake Mead’s elevation continue to drop. The first of these shortage declarations, which would trigger cuts in water supplies to each state, could go into effect as early as next year. Further provisions will carry the region through several more years of decline on the river, but if the drought worsens and Lake Mead’s levels continue to drop, all bets are off. Once the reservoir hits 1,025 feet of elevation, just 80 below its current level, the states would be forced back to the bargaining table to negotiate more cuts. Ecological The drought doesn’t just affect humans — entire ecosystems feel the burn. As water levels shrink, nutrients, sediments and pollutants become more concentrated, hurting the health of surrounding ecosystems. Desert wildlife become particularly susceptible to drought as ponds and similar sources of drinking water begin to disappear. Similarly, cattle herds grazing on public land may be forced to curb their appetites as the Bureau of Land Management curtails foraging allotments as the amount of available water decreases. While some creatures suffer, others thrive. Insect infestations are a common consequence of drought, allowing populations of destructive species to grow while old growth forests weaken. The effects can be devastating, affecting everything from carbon cycles to wildfires. Air pollution Droughts affect how we breathe as well as what we drink. Dusty, dry environments and wildfire outbreaks leave populations in affected areas vulnerable to air pollution. Without precipitation to clear the air, airborne particles like pollen, smoke and fluorocarbons accumulate in the atmosphere, irritating the lungs and bronchial passages, increasing the risk of acute respiratory infections and exacerbating chronic respiratory illnesses. Droughts can lead to the release of airborne toxins originating from freshwater cyanobacteria blooms, which have been associated with lung irritation and other adverse health effects. Drinking water Drinking water sources are among the most protected and will be the last to suffer. Major Southwestern cities have plans extending more than a decade covering where and how they’ll get their supply. But as supplies from mountain snowpack and rivers dwindle, tapping new sources to sate populations will have hefty price tags. Locally, protecting our water supply in the face of drought has cost $817 million — the price of a third intake straw at Lake Mead. If the situation worsens, it could result in a controversial $3 billion plan to pump groundwater in from rural Nevada to feed the mouths (and lawns) of Las Vegas. Elsewhere, dwindling water supplies could mean taxing ground reservoirs, costly construction on the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta or building promising but controversial (and expensive) desalination plants to make seawater potable. Desalination is inevitable in status quo Roach, John, 2014, Staff Writer for NBC News, “Parched California Pours Mega-Millions into Desalination Tech,” http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/california-drought/parched-california-poursmega-millions-desalination-tech-n28066 Limited water resources on the Monterey Peninsula hindered master development plans for the small town of Sand City, Calif., which was restricted from any new construction until the city increased its water supply. Regional efforts to find solutions ran into financial and political constraints for more than 20 years. Frustrated, the city struck out on its own to develop a desalination plant. The city partnered with California American Water for the $14 million project, which started producing 300 acre feet of freshwater a year in 2010. The plant draws brackish water from wells, which is less salty than seawater, meaning its energy requirements are less. The salt content of the leftover brine is about equal the ocean's, so it can be discharged without damaging the marine environment. The city currently uses about a third of the annual output; the rest is shared among other cities on the water-short peninsula. This allows the water company to reduce its reliance on the stressed Carmel River, which is under state protections. "Our plant has two benefits, we brought our own water and also we allow the water company to reduce pumping from the illegal source," Sand City Mayor David Pendegrass explained to NBC News. To further alleviate pressures on the river, American Water is pursuing a larger desalination plant on the Monterey Peninsula. Ultimately, she said, seawater desalination will become part of the solution to California's ongoing water woes — something to consider along with other supply options, including increased wastewater recycling. "The key questions," Cooley said of the desalination plants, "are when do you build them and how large do you build them?" Gov Subsidies Needed Government subsidies increase feasibility- minimizes profit venture Stroud, 2k12 [Matthew, MA from the University of Arizona in Hydrology, Solar Desalination in the Southwest United States: A Thermoeconomic Analysis Utilizing the Sun to Desalt Water in High Irradiance Regions, Masters Thesis] Potential model pitfalls and limitations are found in use regime and cost assumptions. Typically, only private entities can capitalize on subsidies whereas large water providers are usually government agencies. Alternative funding structures can be created, allowing private, subsidizable utilities to step in as power plant purchaser. However, privately funded ventures seek maximum return on investment, and most likely offer little, if any, cost advantage over grid power. An alternative at the institutional level may involve creating government owned corporations able to accept subsidies. Capital ability and traditional energy cost are also important feasibility factors. Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) was calculated using a 3% interest rate over 30 years; a small rate increase can change solar competitiveness. In a similar way, competition energy prices can change feasibility. Solar power’s economic feasibility hinges on traditional energy costs being higher than LCOE. Using photovoltaic reverse osmosis (PV-RO) model parameters, solar filtration desalination becomes uncompetitive at traditional energy prices below 0.067 $/kWh. Short-term feasibility as a function of financial structure can be increased by acquiring subsidies, securing a low interest rate, and increasing plant life (lowering LCOE). Little can be done actively about competition energy; prices are set by a global market. Though, this dilemma may not be an issue: at the time of this study, Southwest water providers were paying higher rates for electricity than photovoltaic LCOE: between 0.075 and 0.12 $/kWh depending on interruptibility (e.g. TEP 2011). Cost-volatile natural gas was being sold to public utilities for 0.66 $/therm—double the cost of CST process heat in the Southwest. Subsidies result in economic gain- consumers spend elsewhere in economy Stroud, 2k12 [Matthew, MA from the University of Arizona in Hydrology, Solar Desalination in the Southwest United States: A Thermoeconomic Analysis Utilizing the Sun to Desalt Water in High Irradiance Regions, Masters Thesis] A thorough investigation of western water total costs is a study in and of itself. Agricultural consumers typically do not pay true water costs, so comparing the explicit cost of an alternative water resource option to subsidized rates can be misleading. Western water funding policy relies on a broad implicit principal of adding cost elsewhere in the economy in order to ensure agriculture is profitable and therefore available to produce food. The food is consumed by tax payers who all share the cost of water and pay a discounted rate for groceries at market. Financial benefit is not guaranteed, but cost efficiency can be gained by centralizing water appropriations; payback is theorized to occur by allowing consumers to generate economic gain spending less on food and more in other sections of the economy which are more likely to expand wealth at a higher rate, like technology. Americans want the federal government to support desalination projects Furman, No Date Hal. Executive Director of the US Desalination Coalition, Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Interior for Water and Science during the Reagan Administration "Majority of Americans Support Desalination Projects." . North American Precise Syndicate, n.d. Web. 17 July 2014. <http://www.napsnet.com/pdf_archive/91/64085.pdf>. The vast majority of our planet’s surface consists of seawater. Pure, clean water is something that many take for granted, unaware that a mere A water crisis exists because our sources of clean, drinkable water are rapidly diminishing. There is, however, one solution that most Americans believe should be actively pursued— desalination. A recently conducted national survey found that a vast majority of Americans believe the three percent of the earth’s water is fresh. potential for a water shortage is a significant issue. Additionally, eight out of ten Americans favor desalination as a means to help solve the growing water shortage. Moreover, seventy percent favor using federal funding to facilitate the construction and operation of desalination plants. The American people want the federal government to support desalination projects. A growing number of members of Congress believe the time for action is now. To date, nearly 40 members of the U.S. House of Representatives have sponsored legislation to provide assistance to desalination plants (H.R. 1071) and the bill is being introduced in the U.S. Senate. Under this proposal the Department of Energy would provide financial assistance Whether desalination projects get built in time to address the mounting water supply crisis may depend on whether the Federal government invests in this new infrastructure. Given the ever worsening water crisis we now face in this country, doesn’t it make sense that we take action to utilize the oceans to solve our water crisis? I believe the answer is “yes”; particularly since the technology now exists to convert seawater and brackish water to clean drinking water cost-effectively. As one environmentalist said, “desalination is no longer the crazy aunt in the attic.” to partially offset the cost of the electrical energy needed to operate these facilities. Solvency Solar Desalination proves to be a cleaner, more cost effective and energy efficient source to clean water. Peter Kelly-Detwiler, January 2014, Contributor / Author in Forbes Business, “WaterFX Sees Solar Desalination As One Way To Address The Worlds Water Problem”, Forbes Business Aaron Mandell, Founder and Chairman of WaterFX, looks at California’s water issue like a classic entrepreneur. Where others see problems, he sees opportunity for improvement and profit. And that opportunity is huge. It is common knowledge that access to clean water is a mounting problem across the globe. However, few places have water issues as complex and challenging as California, which has been dealing with the water issue for generations (some may remember the 1974 Jack Nicholson, Faye Dunaway film ‘Chinatown’ that focused on the California Water Wars of the early 1900s). In that state, the issue is highly complex, layered Water issues are also inextricably linked to energy issues: it takes an enormous amount of energy to pump, treat, and move water. So the water problem is not only limited to H2O, it’s a costly energy issue as well Mandell hopes to change that reality. He has a vision for how to make that happen, starting with a clean and modular technology and an open source approach that he hopes will stimulate a growing community of solutions providers. His company, WaterFX has created a solar-powered desalination system to treat agricultural drainage that is not only benign from an energy standpoint, but also leaves the agricultural environment in better shape. WaterFX has successfully piloted a 6,500 square foot system with California’s Panoche Water District over the past six months, producing almost 500 gallons of clean water per hour. Panoche is one of the water districts in California in a complicated history of rights, claimants, and the physical reality of too much demand for a limited supply. taking a leading role in addressing the state’s water crisis. Following on the pilot’s success, the Water District has now agreed to work with Mandell’s company to expand the system to produce 2,200 acre-feet per year. Here’s how the system works: Instead of the traditional desalination approach normally used to treat seawater, which uses a high-pressure reverse osmosis system that forces salt and other solids through a membrane, WaterFX cleans water through use of a Concentrated Solar Still. It uses existing technology, adapting 400 kilowatt parabolic solar troughs originally designed for power generation. The solar troughs concentrate the sun’s energy and heat a pipe containing heat transfer fluid that transfers the heat to a heat pump, further increasing efficiency. This heat is then utilized in a distillation process to evaporate clean water out of source water (in this case, agricultural drainage water that contains salts, fertilizers, and other impurities). The condensate is then recovered as pure H2O. Since the sun doesn’t always shine, a thermal storage system is used to hold the excess heat so that the process can function around the clock. Mandell – who studied groundwater engineering in school and has been involved in previous waterrelated start-ups – migrated to energy work in recent years and became convinced that the energy-water nexus was an area worth devoting attention to. Like many people, I started looking at population growth and constrained natural resources and came to the conclusion that water is the most significant limiting factor to economic growth in many parts of the world. Water will always use energy, so the question is how do we sustainably deal with the water we use – it comes down to consumption and linkage between water and fuel. This project began as an experiment to see if we could break the linkage between fuel consumption and water production, and to see if we could scale without a significant impact. The equipment for the pilot at Panoche is exactly what you will see in the commercial application. The equipment doesn’t get bigger, you just add more solar As you scale, the underlying costs go down and the operating costs are very low. The experience of the pilot created the confidence that expansion would be feasible. We’ve been running the pilot collectors. since June. Our first objective was to show we could treat the water reliably, and then to show we could scale up to a cost point that works for the agricultural industry that has not yet adopted desalination as a reliable and cost-effective source of water. The new site is about 50 acres and we think we can improve efficiencies over time and double the density. Mandell also recognized that to be successful, his technology must be superior to other approaches. He notes that in a traditional reverse osmosis approach, fuel represents 60-70% of the overall costs. Mandell is confident that his technology at scale can be at a minimum 20-30% cheaper with much more capability, especially if one looks at overall operating costs. WaterFX’s total operating costs are approximately $450 acre-foot, and he expects these to decline with scale and coming down from there. In California the most logical cost reference point is the Carlsbad desalination plant in San Diego where the total operating cost is about $900 per acre foot and can escalate based on electricity pricing. The other reference point that people focus on in the ‘desal’ community is $.60/cubic meter, which works out to about $740/acre foot, but this is very often not the true cost of desalinated water. He comments that not only are his costs lower, but the overall approach is better as well. You have to understand that with a traditional desalination plant, you get 50% of water treated as fresh water, and all of the rest goes back into ocean. You are discharging concentrated brine back into the sea. We are not just recovering 50% of water, but we get over 95% as useable water, which goes back to farming. What remains are salts, chemicals, fertilizers” He believes that these recovered elements may have value as well. “We haven’t gotten to the point where we can market the byproducts, but it could be our most profitable revenue stream, as there is a lot of value in dissolved salts and metals.” In order to scale this, one would think that the start-up needs venture capital. Not so, says Mandell. The financial vehicle supporting the new project comes from monetizing the water contract itself. The entire facility will be around $30 million. Our business model is to finance these projects ourselves, like an independent utility. Panoche benefits by getting back large volumes of treated drainage water. It’s a wheeling arrangement. Panoche exchanges the water they would normally draw from the San Luis reservoir and in turn, the right to that contract water can be transferred. Because we are creating more water, the additional water can be sold to somebody else, such as Southern California where water is very valuable. Water users become net producers and the end result is more water.Mandell notes that there is another reason he has eschewed venture money, which he notes can be very helpful in the right instance. The venture community might not find his open source approach to their liking. While Mandell naturally hopes to profit from the venture, he also has a broader mission in mind, which is to change the way people think about water issues and leverage what he has learned for greater social benefit. We’re funded privately, with some state funding, and from some of our customers. We use an open source model to show others how the technology can be used. Our view is that we can disseminate information to educate the broader community. If we approach this as open source to the community, we think we can do better. The more people we can educate that solar desalination is valuable, and provide basic building blocks to the user base, the better off we will all be. Mandell thinks on a large scale, and his dream is to have a global impact. If we roll out the technology … we could produce 8% of all the water used in California, with just the land that was fallowed during the last drought. That’s enough water for over 7M acres of irrigated farmland. You would begin to change the economics and change the course of how water is used. The whole idea is to wean the State off of the Central Aqueduct and become water independent. The current system is unsustainable and unreliable. What we are trying to do is to develop a model that can be replicated. The problems in California are identical to those in many parts of the world. China is depending on delicate river systems to provide water for all types of economic growth that will not be sustainable. We could also do this in Saudi Arabia – they use an enormous amount of oil for water consumption, to evaporate or move water around the country. At the same time, he notes that one can improve the agricultural environment. The problem related to accumulated salts in irrigated soils is not a new one. In fact, the agricultural output of Mesopotamia was vastly crippled by buildup of salts in irrigated soils, eventually leading to its decline. Mandell sees enormous potential in soil rehabilitation through the technology. There is more value than just the water, because we address the drainage problem. Salt buildup results in yield reduction for food crops. So by cleaning the water we are able to maintain high yields. Let’s say you are a farmer averaging $8,000 of revenue per acre of crops. If your yields drop 25% due to salt intrusion into the soil from inadequate drainage, that is $2,000 lost per acre of land – multiply this across a 10,000 acre farming operation, that is $20M every year. At the end of the day, Mandell believes that WaterFX has an approach that is cost-effective, environmentally superior, and relatively easy for an open source community to adopt. And he hopes his technology can stimulate an entirely new approach. It only takes about 6 months to build the plant since it’s modular. The idea is for everything to be easily installable and fully automated. You don’t need skilled operators. We hope to show that this solution can benefit everybody. The idea here is to begin to reuse water, and put the state on a path to water independence. And its good for the economy – we can create an entirely new industry. Desalination is a viable solution but depends on subsidies- cost still too high without financial support Stroud, 2k12 [Matthew, MA from the University of Arizona in Hydrology, Solar Desalination in the Southwest United States: A Thermoeconomic Analysis Utilizing the Sun to Desalt Water in High Irradiance Regions, Masters Thesis] A solar desalination model utilizing Southwest climate data and current technology was constructed, generating cost data. Short and long-term viability of solar desalination in the Southwest was determined, and used to assess what role solar desalination should play in the region Solar desalination was found to be feasible in both the short and long-term. This result depends on subsidies, the cost of money and competing energy costs; bearing that in mind, using current solar and desalination technology in the Southwest is financially viable in the short-term. Long-term technology trends favor improved solar and water conversion rates. Intuitively, solar desalination viability should increase with time; even so, solar desalination feasibility compared to traditional methods does not address desalination as a new, alternative water source. Furthermore, water in the Southwest is a fundamental social force: politics and institutional arrangements necessary for wide scale implementation are significant feasibility factors. In general, motivated and collaborative water resource managers, politicians and other leaders acting together over the entire Southwest in advance of impending water crises will increase solar desalination feasibility. Solar desalination cost still remains higher than efficiently using renewable water sources, but through greater solar and water conversion efficiency, strategic conveyance, and ecofriendly waste management, solar desalination has considerable potential as a groundbreaking, sustainable source of water in the Southwest. While the states could manage desalination projects, there are many benefits to using the federal government. Overall, the federal government should be preferred. Pappas 2011 Michael. “Unnatural Resource Law: Situation Desalination in Costal Resource and Water Law Doctrines.” Tulane Law Review 86 (81): 81-134 As discussed above, the federal government holds sovereignty over saltwater unless it conveys such sovereignty to the states. Thus, the federal government is in the position to clarify, via federal legislation, whether it wishes to retain sovereign control and federally administer desalination projects or to follow the example of the SLA and expressly grant the states proprietary control over saltwater for desalination purposes. Ultimately, this choice between federal and state control comes down to a policy decision, and while there is significant room for debate on the issue, this Article suggests that federal control over desalination is a preferable approach. There are a number of possible benefits to federal administration of desalination projects. First, a federalized desalination program would create a degree of uniformity in desalination programs that, as demonstrated by the example of groundwater law, is lacking in state-based water law regimes. Rather than allowing each state to dictate its own doctrines and limitations regarding desalted water, a uniform, federalized approach could allow for more efficiency in managing and distributing water resources, particularly if a desalination plant were to distribute water to multiple states. Additionally, the experience of the federal government, particularly the Bureau of Reclamation and the Army Corps of Engineers, in executing large water projects may give it an advantage over states in managing major desalination facilities. Further, a federal approach to desalination could make it easier and less expensive to construct and maintain desalination plants because the federal government could manage multiple plants, rather than individual states managing one or few. Finally, a consolidated, federalized system of desalination would allow easier integration with federal environmental laws and policies. For example, federal planning makes sense in such an energy consumptive context as desalination, which could benefit from integration with greenhouse gas emission initiatives, possible Clean Air Act controls, or National Environmental Policy Act review. Further, federal planning of desalination projects could promote more integrated, ecosystem-based coastal planning. The federal government can administer the plan without encroaching on state rights. There is no link to federalism. Pappas 2011 Michael. “Unnatural Resource Law: Situation Desalination in Costal Resource and Water Law Doctrines.” Tulane Law Review 86 (81): 81-134 On the whole, the advantage tips in favor of federal control over desalination, which could allow greater efficiency and integrated planning as desalination advances. While federal control over desalination processes defy the tradition of state control over water resources, the emergence of desalination itself is a break from traditional water sources, and federal control of seawater desalination is sufficiently cabined that it would not substantially encroach upon states' power over property rights in water. Further, because desalinated water is provided via contract, federal control over desalination is unlikely to conflict with states' existing statutory or common law water doctrines. Thus, while federalized control over desalination may initially appear at odds with traditional state management of water resources, practically speaking it would not greatly impact states' powers in regulating water rights. Subsidies are important in promoting solar desalination. Studies prove they have worked in the past. Goosen et al. 2014 Mattheus F. A. Goosen, Hacene Mahmoudi, and Noreddine Ghaffour. “Today's and Future Challenges in Applications of Renewable Energy Technologies for Desalination. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology. 44:929-999. In a related regulatory and policy area, Johnstone et al. (2010a; 2010b) examined the effect of environmental policies on technological innovation in the specific case of renewable energy. The analysis was conducted using patent data on a panel of 25 countries over the period 1978–2003. They found that public policy plays a significant role in determining patent applications. Different types of policy instruments were effective for different renewable energy sources. For example, broad-based policies, such as tradable energy certificates, were more likely to induce innovation on technologies that are close to competitive with fossil fuels. Johnstone et al. (2010a, 2010b) argued that more targeted subsidies, such as feed-in tariffs, are needed to induce innovation on more costly energy technologies, such as solar power. There was a high growth in ocean energy patenting recently. However, there appeared to have been little growth in innovation levels in the area of geothermal and biomass/wasteto-energy since the 1970s. Empirical results generated by Johnstone et al. (2010a, 2010b) indicated that public policy has had a very significant influence on the development of new technologies in the area of renewable energy. The passage of the Kyoto Protocol, for example, had a positive and significant impact on patent activity with respect to wind and solar power, as well as renewable energy patents overall. In addition, public expenditures on research and development (R&D ) have had a positive and significant effect on innovation with respect to wind and solar power in all of their models, as well as with geothermal and ocean sources in some of their models. Desalination needs U.S. investment- Private and state investment leads to a lack of regulation and systematic decision-making Sellers 14’, Jeffery. Department of Political Science at University of Southern California. Ph.D. Political Science "Desalination Policy In a Multi-Level Regulatory State." Instituto de Investigaciones Jurídicas - UNAM. Instituto de Investigaciones Jurídicas - UNAM, n.d. Web. 16 July 2014. <http://www.usc.edu/dept/polsci/sellers/Publications/Assets/Sellers%20ch%2014.pdf>. Desalination in the United States stands at the threshold of a breakthrough that is likely to have far-reaching consequences for the many regions of the world where future water needs are likely to prove more extensive and more severe, such as India and China. The new reverse osmosis plants being developed in California will mark the first large-scale community water provision by this means in the United States, and have the potential to pioneer technical and organizational solutions that could provide the foundation for a global market and a real solution to the looming world water crisis. In the United States itself, desalination is forecast to provide no more than 10% of water, but in certain regions will emerge as a major supplement to overcome droughts. Although cost considerations still limit the applicability of emerging desalination technologies, public subsidies in states like California and Texas now offer the prospect of profitability for firms contemplating investment in the new desalination technologies. It seems likely that the further refinements that are likely to occur will finally bring desalination across the threshold of cost-effectiveness, at least for certain types of communities with the right combination of seawater or brackish water access and need. Indeed, local opposition on environmentalist grounds of the sort that arose in Huntington Beach has remained only scattered. In poorer communities like Long Beach (California) or Brownsville (Texas), there has been no sign of regulatory challenges to plans for desalination. Even the critical issue of energy use for desalination has rarely been framed as a greenhouse gas issue the way it has in Mexico or even in other areas of U.S. environmental policy discussion. Instead, the energy problem has been framed mostly as a matter of added cost. Despite the much more centralized context of policymaking toward desalination in Mexico and other developing countries, and the greater limits on resources to invest in these technologies, substantial lessons can be drawn from this ongoing story. First, it appears likely that even before the cost of desalination has fallen to make it marketable by itself, it can be made widely costeffective with a combination of private investment and public subsidy. Despite rising costs for the necessary energy, growing technical efficiencies are likely to continue to chip away at the costs and energy requirements for desalination. More far reaching are the implications for the ways that any kind of system for public or private provision of water through desalination should be organized. Private investment may be unavoidable above all for desalination to be carried out in developing countries, as it is unclear how else adequate investment can be generated to make the more efficient larger scale reverse osmosis projects feasible. To make privatized arrangements accountable, however, protections through regulation at multiple levels, including local review, are critical. The presence of mechanisms for local accountability like those at work in Huntington Beach is a significant virtue of the U.S. regulatory system. As the case of Huntington Beach also suggests, the localized, fragmented process that has helped provide for this accountability in the United States also has major disadvantages. The localized nature of most regulation means that little attention is given to equity among places. Not only was this issue almost entirely missing from debates at Huntington Beach, but the opposition centered partly on objections that the water might be distributed beyond the limits of this wealthy town itself. Moreover, it is only in the most privileged communities like Huntington Beach that the U.S. regulatory process has given rise to challenges that have forced more attention to environmental concerns. The problems of fragmented governance extend beyond this question of social and environmental equity to issues of overall efficiency. The implantation of desalination plants in the United States has largely followed the patterns of public investment, gravitating toward the most subsidized state of California. But beyond this tendency, however, public planning or more systematic collective decision-making has mostly been missing. The placement of new plants has proceeded according to logics of private investment rather than policy guidance. It is by no means clear that the current placement of plants corresponds to the public need for desalination or even the demand of local consumers. Instead, investors like Poseidon appear to be focusing on communities with greater ability to pay for the investments in plants and infrastructure for desalination technologies. Finally, the case of Tampa and the debates in Huntington Beach suggest that private investment itself may still be too unreliable by itself to furnish the basis for investment in desalination. State or federal regulation may ultimately be necessary to establish a stable basis for market investments and accountability in desalination projects within the United States. In these respects as well, current developments in the area in the U.S. provide a cautionary tale for other countries. New Desal methods are not only are more energy efficient but produce byproducts which can be sold to help offset the cost of production more. Gammon 14’ , 05/18/2014, By Katharine Gammon, Take Part, Staff Writer, http://www.takepart.com/article/2014/05/18/better-desalination-save-california-drought Katharine Gammon has written for Nature, Wired , Discover, and Popular Science. A new mom, she lives in Santa Monica. One drawback of desalination is the enormous amount of energy it takes to turn saltwater into freshwater. A potential solution has launched in the dry heat of California’s Central Valley, where a pilot project is using solar energy to operate a new kind of desal system. In San Joaquin Valley’s Panoche water and drainage district, where the experimental solar desalination project is based, the water is brackish—less salty than the ocean but still too salty to be easily used for agriculture. Plants that can handle brackish water, such as pistachios and wheatgrass, dot the landscape, watered by reclaimed runoff. Salts from the soils accumulate every time the water is reused, and eventually the water becomes too salty to be usable. That’s where the new technology comes in. The salty stuff can now be turned into freshwater by a row of curved mirrors that bend the sun’s rays, focusing it on long tubes containing mineral oil. The heat from the oil generates steam, which separates water from the minerals and salts. Because heat can be held in a thermal storage unit, the system can also run at night or when the sun isn’t shining. Sound simple? At its core, it is. “Basically, all we’re doing is boiling water,” explains Matt Stuber, cofounder of WaterFX, the company that created the technology. “We’re distilling the water, capturing the heat in the steam so we can reuse it in a very efficient manner.” With freshwater becoming more and more scarce desalination technologies are popping up everywhere from Israel to Australia. Most use reverse osmosis, which pushes water through a series of membranes to squeeze progressively more stuff out of the liquid. That takes a lot of energy, and only about half the water going in comes out clean. The remaining sludge is a supersalty mixture that often gets discharged back into the ocean, which can have deleterious effects. WaterFX’s technique, on the other hand, makes 93 gallons of clean water for every 100 gallons of brackish water coming in. The remaining material comes out as a solid cake of selenium and salts that can be used as filler in building projects or fertilizers, or purified and sold as sea salt. Another problem with reverse osmosis is that it only works well near the ocean. “The water chemistry in groundwater is very different from seawater, and the chemistry happens to be predominantly the things that are contribute to technology failures—the worst things you ever want to deal with,” says Stuber. WaterFX’s system only uses about a third of the energy of a similarly sized reverse osmosis operation, which makes the price competitive, Stuber adds. In California’s Central Valley, where roughly a third of American produce is grown each year, the prospects aren’t good. The region likely won’t receive any water deliveries this year through the federal irrigation program, and the historical record indicates the potential for droughts that last a century. Even if the current drought were to end, the salinization of the soil from decades of intensive irrigation is turning more of the valley into marginal cropland—making Stuber’s technology a potential fix regardless of what the weather does. WaterFX plans to expand. The pilot project can put out about 11,000 gallons of freshwater per day. If all goes well, the company will build a larger plant capable of producing 2 million gallons of treated water per day, which Stuber claims is at the lower end of the scale. The plant design is modular, so it only takes about six months to build one. Desalination provides a long term solution to water shortages Griggs 14’, 7/16/14, Brandon Griggs, CNN, “How oceans can solve our freshwater crisis” http://www.cnn.com/2014/05/26/tech/city-tomorrow-desalination/ CNN) -- It's been a cruel irony for ancient mariners and any thirsty person who has ever gazed upon a sparkling blue ocean: Water, water everywhere, and not a drop to drink. But imagine a coastal city of the future, say in 2035. Along with basic infrastructure such as a port, roads, sewer lines and an electrical grid, it's increasingly likely this city by the sea will contain a newer feature. A desalination plant. Thanks to improved technology, turning ocean water into freshwater is becoming more economically feasible. And a looming global water crisis may make it crucial to the planet's future. Can surveillance make life easier? Should smart cities from scratch? Smart garbage: The future of stink LAPD's data mining program has CIA roots Secrets behind this super-green building Giant wind turbines vs a tiny bird The genius evolution of the park bench The United Nations predicts that by 2025, twothirds of the world's population will suffer water shortages, especially in the developing world and the parched Middle East. Scientists say climate change is making the problem worse. Even in the United States, demand for water in drought-ravaged California and the desert Southwest is outpacing supply. Some environmentalists are wary of desalination, which consumes large amounts of energy, produces greenhouse gases and kills vital marine organisms that are sucked into intake pipes. But proponents believe the technology offers a long-term, sustainable solution to the globe's water shortages. One entrepreneur has even built an experimental solar desalination plant in California's San Joaquin Valley. "The key question with ocean desalination is how much are you willing to pay for it? The amount of energy required to desalt ocean water can be daunting," said Bowles, adding that operating costs at the Santa Barbara plant alone are estimated at $5 million per year. But advocates believe the price of desalination will continue to decrease as the process improves. This will be true of the massive Carlsbad plant, said Bob Yamada, water resources manager with the San Diego County Water Authority. "The cost for this water will be about double what it costs us to import water into San Diego," Yamada said. "However, over time we expect that the cost of desalinated water will equal, and be less than, the cost of imported water. That may take 15 or 20 years, but we expect that to occur." "When and if the drought does come, and you don't have enough snowpack in the Sierras -- after 12 dry years the Rockies are seeing the impact of that today -- you've got (water) sources here within the boundaries of San Diego County," he said. "We have a $190 billion economy in this region. It's dependent on water to sustain that economy. So the question you need to consider, is 'What's the cost of not having enough water?'" Longterm, Sustainable Solution with Desalination Griggs 14’, Brandon7/16/14 (CNN Journalist/Tech Producer) “How Oceans Can Solve Our Freshwater Crisis” CNN Tech http://www.cnn.com/2014/05/26/tech/city-tomorrow-desalination/index.html?iref=allsearch It's been a cruel irony for ancient mariners and any thirsty person who has ever gazed upon a sparkling blue ocean: Water, water everywhere, and not a drop to drink. But imagine a coastal city of the future, say in 2035. Along with basic infrastructure such as a port, roads, sewer lines and an electrical grid, it's increasingly likely this city by the sea will contain a newer feature. A desalination plant. Thanks to improved technology, turning ocean water into freshwater is becoming more economically feasible. And a looming global water crisis may make it crucial to the planet's future. The United Nations predicts that by 2025, two-thirds of the world's population will suffer water shortages, especially in the developing world and the parched Middle East. Scientists say climate change is making the problem worse. Even in the United States, demand for water in drought-ravaged California and the desert Southwest is outpacing supply. This is why a huge desalination plant is under construction in Carlsbad, California, some 30 miles north of San Diego. When completed in 2016, it will be the largest such facility in the Western Hemisphere and create 50 million gallons of freshwater a day. "Whenever a drought exacerbates freshwater supplies in California, people tend to look toward the ocean for an answer," said Jennifer Bowles, executive director of the California-based Water Education Foundation. "It is, after all, a seemingly inexhaustible supply." A growing trend. Most desalination technology follows one of two methods: distillation through thermal energy or the use of membranes to filter salt from water. In the distillation process, saltwater is heated to produce water vapor, which is then condensed and collected as freshwater. The other method employs reverse osmosis to pump seawater through semi-permeable membranes -- paper-like filters with microscopic holes -- that trap the salt while allowing freshwater molecules to pass through. The remaining salty water is then pumped back into the ocean. Officials at the Carlsbad plant say they can covert two gallons of seawater into one gallon of freshwater by filtering out 99.9% of the salt. There are some 16,000 desalination plants on the planet, and their numbers are rising. The amount of desalted water produced around the world has more than tripled since 2000, according to the Center for Inland Desalination Systems at the University of Texas at El Paso. "Desalination is growing in arid regions," said Tom Davis, director of the center. "We are making progress in the USA, but the countries around the Persian Gulf are way ahead in the use of desalination, primarily because they have no alternative supplies of freshwater." Israel, in an arid region with a coastline on the Mediterranean, meets half its freshwater needs through desalination. Australia, Algeria, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates also rely heavily on the ocean for their municipal water. In the United States, desalination projects are concentrated in coastal states such as California, Florida and Texas. Some environmentalists are wary of desalination, which consumes large amounts of energy, produces greenhouse gases and kills vital marine organisms that are sucked into proponents believe the technology offers a long-term, sustainable solution to the globe's water shortages. One entrepreneur has even built an experimental solar desalination plant in California's San Joaquin Valley. "When other freshwater sources are depleted, desalination will be our best choice," said Davis, a UTEP professor of engineering. California dreaming. Within the United States, the water crisis is especially severe in California, which has intake pipes. But been stricken by drought over the last three years. California's biggest source of freshwater is the snow that falls in the Sierras and other mountains, where it slowly melts into creeks and makes its way into aquifers and reservoirs. But if the planet continues to grow warmer, snow will increasingly fall as rain and will be harder to collect because it will swell creeks faster and create more flooding, said Bowles of the Water Education Foundation. Seventeen desalination plants are being built or planned along the state's 840-mile coastline. City officials in Santa Barbara recently voted to reactivate their desalination plant, which was built in 1991 but shut after heavy rains filled nearby reservoirs in the early 1990s. Another $200 million facility has been proposed for the Bay Area, although construction won't likely begin for several years. Solar Desalination is more cost effective in the long term- half of current cost is from fossil fuel use Patell in 10 (Parachi, April 8, “Solar-Powered Desalination”, http://www.technologyreview.com/news/418369/solar-powered-desalination/) KACST’s main goal is to reduce the cost of desalinating water. Half of the operating cost of a desalination plant currently comes from energy use, and most current plants run on fossil fuels. Depending on the price of fuel, producing a cubic meter now takes between 40 and 90 cents. Reducing cost isn’t the only reason that people have dreamed of coupling renewable energy with desalination for decades, says Lisa Henthorne, a director at the International Desalination Association. “Anything we can do to lower this cost over time or reduce the greenhouse gas emissions associated with that power is a good thing,” Henthorne says. “This is truly a demonstration in order to work out the bugs, to see if the technologies can work well together.” While the new concentrated PV technology might generate affordable electricity, solar power still costs more than fossil fuels in many parts of the world. But even with those high costs, using it to power desalination makes sense, Henthorne says. “You’re not doing it because it’s the cheaper thing to do right now, but it would be the cheapest thing down the road.” Desalination is key to solving drought. Davis, ’05 James. "Rep. Davis and St. Pete Expert Testify on Davis' Desalination Bill." Rep. Davis and St. Pete Expert Testify on Davis' Desalination Bill. Project Vote Smart, 25 May 2005. Web. 15 July 2014. <http://votesmart.org/public-statement/100944/rep-davis-and-st-pete-expert-testify-on-davis-desalinationbill#.U8W5sI1dVs5>. H.R. 1071 would lend a helping hand to communities that are working to address their water problems. Specifically, the bill would establish a grant program to support state or publicly owned facilities that are actively desalinating sea or brackish water for municipal or industrial use. In addition, the bill authorizes $10 million to support research and development of novel technology for cost-effective desalination. 97.5 percent of the water on Earth is seawater. Desalination taps into that vital resource to generate a reliable drought-proof water supply that can be produced in an environmentally sound manner. With every scorching summer, America rapidly depletes our fresh water supply," said Congressman Jim Davis. "This problem is particularly pressing in Florida, which gains 900 new residents a day. It is time for Congress to take steps to help water parched communities take advantage of innovative technology to address water shortages and plan for the future." H.R. 1071 would provide payments of 62 cents per thousand gallons of water that are produced and sold from qualified desalination facilities that go into operation after the bill is enacted. Advances in technology have dramatically reduced the costs associated with desalination. The Desalination Drought Protection Act will help communities invest in this technology, making the infrastructure even less expensive in the future. Economy Desal Solve ag problems Severe drought in California causes major harm to agricultural industry, desalinization is the answer to irrigation problems. Walsh 14’, Bryan Walsh, February 2014, Times Reporter, “Californias Farmers need more water. Is desalinization the answer?” Time Magazine, http://time.com/7357/california-drought-debate-overdesalination/ President Obama will get to see California’s disastrous drought first hand today on a visit to the farming city of Fresno. It won’t be a pretty sight. While the conditions are arid across the state, with 91.6% of California in severe to exceptional drought, agricultural areas are suffering the worst. The state’s Central Valley has long been the fruit and vegetable basket of the country, growing nearly half of U.S. produce. But farms in the valley exist only thanks to irrigation—the Central Valley alone takes up one-sixth of the irrigated land in the nation. And thanks to the drought, there’s been little rain, and irrigation has been virtually cut off. California officials have already said that they won’t be able to offer any water to farmers through the state’s canals, and the expectation is that federal reservoirs won’t be of any help either, leaving farmers to their own dwindling supplies of groundwater. The California Farm Water Coalition estimates that the drought could translate to a loss of $11 billion in annual state revenue from agriculture. Obama will try to offer some help in his visit to Fresno, announcing that the federal government will make available up to $100 million in aid for California farmers who’ve lost livestock to the drought, as well as $15 million in aid to help farmers and ranchers implement water conservation policies. while efficiency and conservation can go a long way to stretching dwindling supplies of water, the reality is that California is an arid state that consumes water—80% of which goes to agriculture—as if it were a wetland. If it wants to continue as the nation’s number one farming state—producing a record $44.7 billion in agriculture receipts last year—it’s going to need more water. And if scientists are right that the current drought is the worst California has faced in 500 years, and that the state could be on the brink of a prolonged dry period accentuated by climate change, that water is going to have to come from new sources. As it happens, California sits next to the biggest source of water in the world: the Pacific Ocean. The problem, of course, is that seawater is far too salty to drink or use for irrigation. Desalination plants can get But Desalination is good, it has many economic and humanitarian benefits Hower 14’, Mike Hower, Staff Writer, Sustainable Brands, “Startup's Desalination Tech Could Supply the World with 97% More Water” http://www.sustainablebrands.com/news_and_views/startups/mike_hower/startup%E2%80%99s_disruptive_desalination_technology_taps_70_worl In the weeks leading up to the Sustainable Brands Innovation Open (SBIO) finals on June 4th, where the runner-up will be decided via live online public vote, we will get to know our 11 semi-finalists. Today, meet Okeanos. Access to fresh water is something many in the developed world take for granted, but recent droughts in places such as California serve to remind us just how precious the natural resource is. In California, the drought has become so severe that Governor Jerry Brown recently issued his second emergency drought proclamation in three months, calling for residents to avoid washing their cars, watering their lawns and even accepting glasses of water in restaurants if they are not thirsty. It must be incredibly frustrating to Governor Brown that his state rests next to the Pacific Ocean — the largest body of water on Earth — when all of that water cannot help alleviate the crisis. It is a global conundrum — though 70 percent of the planet’s surface is covered with water, less than 1 percent is fresh water we can actually use; two percent is locked up in glacier ice at the North and South Poles; and roughly 97 percent is saltwater. With the planet’s relatively miniscule supply of fresh water dwindling, it seems logical to explore how to make abundant saltwater drinkable. In fact, we already know how to do this through a process called desalination, where salt and other minerals are removed from saline water to produce fresh water suitable for human consumption or irrigation. Desalination already is widely used on many seagoing ships and submarines. However, desalination currently is too energy- and capitalintensive to be practical in the mainstream. As it stands, the total water costs of desalination are significantly greater than those associated with harvesting surface or underground fresh water sources. Most modern desalination technologies use a handful of energy-greedy processes that are ultimately dependent on the combustion of fossil fuels. That is, until now. Kentucky-based startup Okeanos has developed a next-generation, ultra-efficient desalination technology to address our planet’s chronic and increasingly alarming fresh water shortages. The company’s WaterChipTM platform represents a “solidstate” alternative to present-day approaches for creating fresh water from seawater and brackish aquifer sources. The technology is able to desalinate millionths of a liter at a time using tiny microstructures, which are then massively paralleled to produce useful water flows. Desalination in tiny volumes allows the company to exploit a form of energy that cannot be generated in “macroscale.” According to Okeanos, this form of energy is called an “electrochemical field gradient” and using it to do the “work” of desalination is advantageous because this work is limited by electron- rather than iontransfer kinetics, making it far more efficient than those processes that function in the dimensions of space you are used to thinking about — such as reverse osmosis, electrodialysis or heat/evaporationbased methods. “Okeanos is a rare example of a transformative and disruptive technology that has the power to touch so many lives in so short a time frame,” said Tony Frudakis, Ph.D., CEO and chairman of Okeanos. “Millions of people are dying each year around the world due to lack of access to safe drinking waters. Desalination solves their problem, but is currently grid-tethered due to high energy demands, and extending grid infrastructures to the underserved in the developing world is not practical. Our desalination technology is so energy-efficient, it will be operational on alternative energy sources and as such, directly relevant to solving this problem.” Water is one of those things we literally can’t live without, and a lack of access to fresh water results in many of the world’s problems — political, economic, environmental, and humanitarian. Through technologies such as Okeanos’, we may be able to ensure that no one goes thirsty ever again. Drought increase food prices California’s drought will cause food prices to increase Koba, 4/19 Mark. "Inside the California drought's effect on food prices."CNBC.com. CNBC, 19 Apr. 2014. Web. 17 July 2014. <http://www.cnbc.com/id/101589388#.>. American consumers are already feeling the pinch of rising food prices, and they will likely experience more—courtesy of California's devastating drought "I would expect a 28 percent increase for avocados and 34 percent for lettuce," said Timothy Richards, a professor of agribusiness at Arizona State University who conducted research released this week on probable crop price increases stemming from the ongoing drought. In a phone call with CNBC.com, Richards added that the price increases would also include foods including berries, broccoli, grapes, melons, tomatoes, peppers and packaged salads. The higher rises should be felt in the next two to three months, he said. To come up with his figures, Richards used retailsales data from theNielsen Perishables Group, an industry analytics and consulting firm, to estimate how much the prices might vary for the fruit and vegetable crops most likely to be affected by the drought . Those most vulnerable are crops that use the most water or those sensitive to reductions in irrigation, according to Richards. Industry estimates range from a half-million to 1 million acres of agricultural land in California likely to be affected by the current drought, said Richards. The state's governor, Jerry Brown, declared a state of emergency in January due to the lack of water. The Golden State grows more than 200 different crops, some grown nowhere else in the U.S. California produces almost all of the country's almonds, apricots, dates, figs, kiwi fruit, nectarines, olives, pistachios, prunes, and walnuts. It leads in the production of avocados, grapes, lemons, melons, peaches, plums, and strawberries. Only Florida produces more oranges. Richards said he believes between 10 and 20 percent of the supply of certain crops from the state could be lost. Drought harm ag Californian farmers hurting from drought Welsh, 7/15 Jennifer. "California's Drought Is 'The Greatest Water Loss Ever Seen,' And The Effects Will Be Severe." Business Insider. Business Insider , 15 July 2014. Web. 17 July 2014. <http://www.businessinsider.com/californias-drought-cost-state-22-billion-2014-7> California's current drought will cost the state $2.2 billion and 17,000 jobs, researchers announced at a press conference July 15 in Washington, D.C. The findings are from a new report from the UC Davis Center for Watershed Science. California is one of the U.S.'s biggest food producers — responsible for almost half the country's produce and nuts and 25% of our milk and cream. Eighty percent of the world's almonds come from the state, and they take an extraordinary amount of water to produce — 1.1 gallons per almond. But this food-rich state is in its third year of drought. In May, 100% of the state was in drought and the food-producing Central Valley was in an "exceptional drought."Because of this drought, the farmers are getting only one-third of the usual amount of surface water. To keep their crops alive, farmers are switching from using water from rivers and reservoirs to using underground water sources. The problem? This groundwater won't last forever, especially as these droughts continue.While the drought itself is the third-worst ever seen, it's responsible for the greatest water loss ever seen in the area, likely because farmers are using more water than ever before. The above-ground water available for farms decreased by one-third because of decreased rain, missing snow, and snow caps melting in the mountains.In total, California will lose including about 3% of the total agriculture value of the state. That includes 17,000 jobs from, according to Jay Lund of UC Davis, "the sector of the population with the least ability to roll with the punches," he said. "You will get your fruits, nuts, vegetables, and wine, but there are pockets of deprivation in the Central Valley who are out of water and out of jobs Severe drought in California causes major harm to agricultural industry, desalinization is the answer to irrigation problems. Walsh 14’, Bryan Walsh, February 2014, Times Reporter, “Californias Farmers need more water. Is desalinization the answer?” Time Magazine, http://time.com/7357/california-drought-debate-overdesalination/ President Obama will get to see California’s disastrous drought first hand today on a visit to the farming city of Fresno. It won’t be a pretty sight. While the conditions are arid across the state, with 91.6% of California in severe to exceptional drought, agricultural areas are suffering the worst. The state’s Central Valley has long been the fruit and vegetable basket of the country, growing nearly half of U.S. produce. But farms in the valley exist only thanks to irrigation—the Central Valley alone takes up one-sixth of the irrigated land in the nation. And thanks to the drought, there’s been little rain, and irrigation has been virtually cut off. California officials have already said that they won’t be able to offer any water to farmers through the state’s canals, and the expectation is that federal reservoirs won’t be of any help either, leaving farmers to their own dwindling supplies of groundwater. The California Farm Water Coalition estimates that the drought could translate to a loss of $11 billion in annual state revenue from agriculture. Obama will try to offer some help in his visit to Fresno, announcing that the federal government will make available up to $100 million in aid for California farmers who’ve lost livestock to the drought, as well as $15 million in aid to help farmers and ranchers implement water conservation policies. while efficiency and conservation can go a long way to stretching dwindling supplies of water, the reality is that California is an arid state that consumes water—80% of which goes to agriculture—as if it But If it wants to continue as the nation’s number one farming state—producing a record $44.7 billion in agriculture receipts last year—it’s going to need more water. And if scientists are right that the current drought is the worst California has faced in 500 years, and that the state could be on the brink of a prolonged dry period accentuated by climate change, that water is going to have to come from new sources. As it happens, California sits next to the biggest source of water in the world: the Pacific Ocean. The problem, of course, is that seawater is far too salty to drink or use for irrigation. Desalination plants can get around that, using large amounts of electricity to force seawater through a membrane filter, which removes the salt and other impurities, producing fresh water. There are already half a dozen desalination plants in California, and around 300 in the U.S., but the technology has been held back by cost and by environmental concerns. A $1 billion desalination plant capable of producing 50 million gallons of water a day is were a wetland. being built in the California town of Carlsbad, but San Diego will be buying water from the facility for about $2,000 per acre-foot, twice as much as the city generally pays for imported water, while producing enough water for 112,000 households. Desalination can have a major carbon footprint—the Carlsbad plant will use about 5,000 kilowatt hours of electricity to produce an acre-foot of water. And because desalination plants in general needs about 2 gallons of seawater to produce a gallon of fresh water, there’s a lot of highly salty brine left over, which has to be disposed of in the ocean, where it can pose a threat to marine life. Still, while efficiency and conservation will always be lower cost and lower impacts solutions to any water crisis, it’s hard not to see desalination playing a bigger and bigger role in California’s efforts to deal with lingering drought. The process of desalination is improving—the Carlsbad plant uses reverse osmosis technology, which is more energy efficient and environmentally friendly than older methods —and it has the advantage of being completely drought-proof. In a world where water is more valuable and more valued, desalination can begin to make more sense. “Desalination needs to be judged fairly against the other alternatives,” says Avshalom Felber, the CEO of IDE Technologies, an Israeli company that is helping to construct the Carlsbad plant. If desalination could be powered by renewable energy, some of those environmental concerns would melt away. And that’s what a startup called WaterFX is trying to do in the parched Central Valley. While farmers in the valley generally depend on irrigated water brought in from hundreds of miles away, the land itself isn’t short of groundwater. But most of that water is far too salty for use in farming. WaterFX’s technology uses a solar thermal trough—curved mirrors that concentrate the power of the sun—to evaporate salty water. The condensate that’s later collected and cooled becomes freshwater, leaving salt and other impurities behind. “Solar stills are an old technology, but this has a new twist that makes it very efficient and very cost effective,” says Aaron Mandell, the CEO of WaterFX. Because it uses solar power, WaterFX’s desalination has virtually no carbon footprint, and the company says that it has a 93% recovery rate, much higher than conventional desalination. But its biggest advantage might be its modularity—Water FX’s solar stills can be set up locally, allowing farms to recycle their own runoff, rather than having freshwater pumped in from afar. That saves energy and money. “You can create a closed loop where the water is reused over and over again,” says Mandell. Right now the company is working on a pilot with the Panoche Water District in the Central Valley, producing almost 500 gallons of clean water a day. WaterFX has plans to expand to a commercial plant with a 2 million gallon capacity. Of course, the technology would have to be scaled up massively to even make a dent in California’s irrigation needs, given that the state sends billions and billions of gallons of water to farms each year. But if California really is on the edge of a great dry, every drop will help. Water is increasingly becoming a more rare resource; could potentially lead to wars and conflits within nations. Chellany in October 2013, Brahma, Geostrategist and author, “The coming water wars”, The Fresno Bee, http://www.fresnobee.com/2014/04/18/3884370/californias-water-wars-reach-new.html As competition for the precious resource grows, water will be a key to war and peace.In an increasingly water-stressed world, shared water resources are becoming an instrument of power, fostering competition within and between nations. The struggle for water is escalating political tensions and exacerbating impacts on ecosystems. The Budapest World Water Summit, which opens Tuesday, is the latest initiative to search for ways to mitigate the pressing challenges. Consider some sobering facts: Bottled water at the grocery store is already more expensive than crude oil on the spot market. More people today own or use a mobile phone than have access to water-sanitation services. Unclean water is the greatest killer on the globe, yet one-fifth of humankind still lacks easy access to potable water. More than half of the global population Adequate access to natural resources, historically, has been a key factor in peace and war. Water, however, is very different from other natural resources. A person can live without love, but not without water. There are substitutes for a number of resources, including oil, but none for water. Countries can import, even from distant lands, fossil fuels, mineral ores and resources originating in the biosphere, such as fish and timber. However, they cannot import the most vital of all resources, water — certainly not in a major or sustainable manner. Water is essentially local and very expensive to ship across seas. Scarce water resources generate conflict. After all, the origin of the word “rival” is tied to water competition. It comes from the Latin word, “rivalis,” or one who uses the same stream. The paradox of water is that it is a life preserver, but it can also be a life destroyer when it becomes a carrier of deadly bacteria or takes the currently lives under water stress — a figure projected to increase to two-thirds during the next decade. form of tsunamis, flash floods, storms and hurricanes. Many of the greatest natural disasters of our time have been water-related. One recent example is the Fukushima disaster in Japan, which triggered a triple nuclear meltdown. If climate change causes oceans to rise and the intensity and frequency of storms and other extreme weather events to increase, potable water would come under increasing strain. Rapid economic and demographic expansion has already turned potable water into a major issue across large parts of the world. It is against this background that water wars in a political and economic sense are already being waged between competing states in several regions, including by building dams on international rivers or, if the country is located downstream, by resorting to coercive diplomacy to prevent such construction. U.S. intelligence has warned that such water conflicts could turn into real wars. According to a report reflecting the joint judgment of U.S. intelligence agencies, the use of water as a weapon of war or a tool of terrorism could become more likely in the next decade in some regions. The InterAction Council, comprising more than 30 former heads of state or government, meanwhile, has called for urgent action, saying some countries battling severe water shortages risk failure. The State Department, for its part, has upgraded water to “a central U.S. foreign-policy concern.” Water stress is imposing mounting socioeconomic costs. For example, commercial or state decisions in many countries on where to set up new manufacturing or energy plants are increasingly being constrained by inadequate local water availability. The World Bank has estimated the economic cost of China’s water problems at 2.3 percent of its gross domestic product. China, however, is not as yet under water stress — a term internationally defined as the availability of less than 1,700 cubic meters of water per person per year. The already water-stressed economies, stretching from South Korea and India to Egypt and Morocco, are paying a higher price for their water problems. Water is a renewable but finite resource. Nature’s fixed water-replenishment capacity limits the world’s renewable freshwater resources to nearly 43,000 billion cubic meters per year. But the human population has almost doubled since 1970 alone, while the global economy has grown even faster. Consumption growth has become the single biggest driver of water stress. Rising incomes, for example, have promoted changing diets, especially a greater intake of meat, whose production is notoriously water-intensive. For example, it’s about 10 times more water-intensive to produce beef than cereals.In this light, Although no modern war has been fought simply over water, this resource has been an underlying factor in several armed conflicts. With the era of cheap, bountiful water having been replaced by increasing supply and quality constraints, the risks of overt water wars are now increasing. Averting water wars demands rules-based cooperation, water sharing and dispute-settlement mechanisms. However, there is still no international water law in force, and most of the regional water agreements are toothless, lacking monitoring and enforcement rules and provisions formally dividing water among users. Worse still, unilateralist appropriation of shared resources is water is becoming the world’s next major security and economic challenge. endemic in the parched world, especially where despots rule. The international community thus confronts a problem more pressing than peak oil, economic slowdown and other oft-cited challenges. Addressing this core problem indeed holds the key to dealing with other challenges because of water’s nexuses with energy shortages, stresses on food supply, population pressures, pollution, environmental degradation, global epidemics, climate change and natural disasters. Lack of water negatively impacting communities, agriculture, and endangered species Levy, 13 Pema. "Water Wars In The U.S. South: Fighting To Keep The Flint River From Going Dry In Georgia And To Save Apalachicola Bay."International Business Times. International Business Times, 9 Aug. 2013. Web. 17 July 2014. <http://www.ibtimes.com/water-wars-us-south-fighting-keep-flint-river-going-drygeorgia-save-apalachicola-bay-1374433>. Increasingly, the city’s withdrawals from the rivers and reservoirs of northern Georgia are depriving downstream residents of their share of water for drinking, development and environmental health. As an advocate for the Flint River, Atlanta’s neighbor, Rogers is working to restore the picturesque river’s flow before low water levels cause irreversible economic and ecological damage throughout the state. The fight to save the Flint is a less-heralded part of a much larger, decadeslong tristate water war that pits Atlanta -- and its massive population growth -- against much of the rest of Georgia as well as sections of Alabama and Florida. Atlanta’s metropolitan area encompasses more than 5 million people and 8,000 square miles, and, crucially, it lies near the headwaters of several rivers and major streams. It also uses water from two federal reservoirs just north of the city that are intended to control water flow all the way down to the Gulf of Mexico. Critics contend that Atlanta is increasingly monopolizing water supplies that should be going to communities south and west of the city and that certain critical ecosystems, like the Apalachicola region in the Florida Panhandle, are collapsing from a lack of fresh water. One of several rivers that have lost a substantial amount of water in recent years, the Flint -- No. 2 among “America’s Most Endangered Rivers 2013,” according to the conservation-minded American Rivers -- runs nearly 350 miles from just south of Atlanta to Lake Seminole on the border with Florida. As it wends its way south , the Flint is an economic boon to the communities along its banks, wherefishing and paddle sports draw tourists who buoy local businesses and property values. Downstream, the river is integral to industry and energy. And in southern Georgia, the Flint is the lifeblood of a multibillion-dollar agriculture business with some 10,000 farms. All this activity means that by the time the Flint reaches its mouth in the Lake Seminole reservoir, a lot of water has been swallowed up by Georgian communities. This is a particular problem for Florida’s Apalachicola River, which runs from Lake Seminole to the Gulf Coast and empties into Apalachicola Bay, where depleted water flows are threatening one of the world’s most diverse estuaries and a community that has built a way of life around oysters and vacationhomes. Indeed, much of the noise surrounding the tristate water war has been about the peril to Apalachicola. Rogers said that although the “Atlanta lobby” -- as he calls business and government interests that support Atlanta’s water-consumption rights in this debate -- “has successfully cast the argument as looking at it through a Florida-line lens,” that view is myopic. “I dispute that Atlanta’s interest is necessarily Georgia’s interest,” he said. With drought threatening Atlanta’s water supply in 2008, two members of Georgia’s congressional delegation revived a decades-old proposal to build reservoirs on the upper Flint, which would limit flows to communities downstream. The threat to the river spurred the creation of the Flint Riverkeeper group that year, which brought together stakeholders from up and down the Flint dedicated to protecting the river. Rogers serves as the group’s executive director and in the post of riverkeeper. The group is lobbying the state’s Legislature and regulatory agencies to try and preserve the health of the river. If those efforts fail, it has a legal strategy prepared to defend the river in court. “There are some areas that are immediately downstream of Atlanta that are really suffering,” Rogers said. “The ability to use the river by property owners downstream from Atlanta, I’m not exaggerating, it’s just evaporated.” This year, Georgia has seen heavy rainfall after years of drought, but the river is still not flowing strong. Drought years, increasingly frequent, sometimes reduce portions of the river to dry dirt. Businesses and property values, as well as the ability to generate energy, have taken a hit in upstream communities. “I have landowners -- people on my board, people in our general membership -- that have been fishing and paddling in front of their family property, some of these guys are 80 years old, 82, 83 years old, literally all their life. And that’s been taken away from them. That’s the effect. Where there once was a river even during droughts, there is now not a river,” Rogers said. Farther south, rainwater and more tributaries help offset some of the effects of Atlanta’s water consumption. But, in southwestern Georgia, industrial agriculture draws heavily from the river to irrigate corn, cotton and peanut crops, depleting the river again downstream. To protect the river, the group is urging the state Legislature to revise the Flint River Drought Protection Act, which allows the state to pay farmers in southern Georgia not to irrigate their land during drought years, so that the act protects the whole river. The group hopes that the state Environmental Protection Division, run by Director Judson H. Turner, will be an ally in pushing for at least incremental protections for the entire river. In a set of written responses to questions, EDP’s communications office said it “does not make sense” to expand the act to include the whole river, but that studies commissioned by a revised version of the law, if it passes, “will point us toward and support some set of whole basin approaches in the next 3-5 years.” If the Flint Riverkeeper’s legislative and regulatory efforts to save the river fall apart, the group is prepared to go to court. In a letter to EPD’s Turner in February, the group laid out two legal cases it will use as a last resort. The first case would challenge the state’s allotment of the Flint’s water under state law, charging that the large withdrawals for Atlanta and big agriculture violate the right of all Georgians along the river to make use of the water. Current water allocation has “created winners and losers in the regulatory system: It’s disadvantaged some while it’s advantaged others,” Rogers said. “It’s a pretty straightforward legal argument.” Rogers also discussed the issue in terms of the property rights of the landowners along the river. “It’s taken their property rights away,” he said. “Of course, in a red state, that’s a red flag, you know. People get really ticked off when somebody takes their property rights away.” The second case prepared by the group would be pursued by allowing overuse of the river to the point that it is killing the endangered species that live in the Flint. Rogers conceded that this second case, in federal court: It would charge the state with violating the Endangered Species Act if brought to court, would turn public sentiment against the group because it puts “man against critter.” But the board of Flint Riverkeeper isn’t afraid of being called “liberals,” he said, characterizing the board members politically as akin to Rush Limbaugh in their conservative views “They’re about getting water back in the river and using whatever tool it takes.” Water conflict impacting ranches NPR. 13 "Water Wars: Who Controls The Flow?." NPR. NPR, 15 June 2013. Web. 17 July 2014. <http://www.npr.org/2013/06/15/192034094/rivers-run-through-controversies-over-who-owns-thewater>. Prior appropriation has sparked controversy in Oregon. This week , water regulators ordered ranchers near the headwaters of the Klamath River in southern Oregon to shut down their irrigation pumps. The state says it was necessary to protect treaty rights of Indian tribes who live downstream. But the water shut-off jeopardizes a multimillion-dollar cattle ranching industry, reports Amelia Templeton from Oregon Public Broadcasting. The Sycan River is one of dozens of tributaries that join to form a massive lake in Southern Oregon's Klamath Basin, which in turn feeds the Klamath River. Tributaries like the Sycan provide water for salmon and suckerfish all along this river system. The Sycan is also where rancher Becky Hyde gets her water. "We irrigate out of the Sycan River, and water makes things magical wherever you end up putting it," she says. Hyde's ranch is a square of bright green that stands out in the dry juniper and sagebrush. She has a water right — a permit from the state to take water from the river every summer for her 500-acre ranch. Hyde uses the water to grow grass to feed beef cattle. Until last week, a giant pivoting sprinkler was irrigating a pasture where she's raising about 80 young cows. Now, Hyde is trying to figure out somewhere else to move the cattle. She's one of many ranchers along the upper tributaries of the Klamath River whom the state ordered to stop irrigating. The move came after the Klamath Indian Tribes, just downstream, said they needed more water left in tributaries to protect their fishery. Hyde is upset, but she also respects the tribes' right to the water. "This is a tragedy for this community and for our family personally," she says. "But it is also a wake-up call to say people besides agriculture have a water right." Californian drought impacting water usage, food prices, economic costs, and jobs Firozi, 7/16 Paulina. "How the worst drought in decades impacts Californians." USA Today. USA Today, 16 July 2014. Web. 17 July 2014. <http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2014/07/16/californiadrought-extreme-effects/12727163/>. As California grapples with its worst drought level in decades, residents feel its impact in areas ranging from the economy to daily water usage. The California State Water Resources Control Board approved a $500-a-day fine for watering down hard surfaces outdoors after a recent report that shows state water usage increased in the past year. The regulations will go into affect Aug. 1. Another report, by the University of California-Davis, suggests the drought will continue into 2015, even if an El Niño should come through. People in the Golden State have been asked to stop using water to wash down their driveways, sidewalks and landscapes. Using a hose to wash cars has also been prohibited. Companies such as Nestle continue to draw water from California springs despite the drought. An ongoing L.A. program is giving people $3 a square foot to replace their green lawns with drought-resistant turf. When it started in 2009, the program originally gave only $1, but the city increased the price two months ago. Martin Adams, deputy senior assistant general manager of water system at the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, said he's seen increased participation, and nearly 9 million square feet of lawn has been turned in. He said Los Angeles has had strict regulations on water conservation for five years, including restricting water lawns to three times a week for 8 minutes and limiting the water served in restaurants. In the last six months, Adams said the department has tried to reinforce that messaging to address excess water use outdoors. The LADWP also has a unit that patrols neighborhoods for excess water use, such as sprinklers left on at certain times. The unit gives out a couple warnings before fines. UC-Davis' report suggests consumer prices will stay unaffected by the drought. If prices increase, the report stipulates, the culprit will be market demand. Paul Wegner, president of the California Farmers Bureau Federation, said he doesn't quite buy that theory. Come fall, he says, when California is one of the only states producing seasonal crops such as melons, corn and peppers, prices should increase and affect what kinds of produce people buy at grocery stores. "If they go into the store and see the prices have risen, they're going to choose not to buy it," Wegner added. Chris Christopher, director of consumer economics at IHS, said there has been an increase in consumer food prices in February and that the drought in California is just one part of that equation. Nationally, Christopher says that lower income households have seen the largest impact on their wallets generally speaking when it comes to food buying."The higher income households don't spend as much on food at home," he said. The statewide economic cost of the 2014 drought is expected to total around $2.2 billion, the UC-Davis report showed. The report finds direct costs of $810 million from crop revenue loss, $203 million from the loss of livestock and dairy revenue and $454 million from the additional costs to pump groundwater to keep production going. 428,000 acres of irrigated cropland has gone out of production, the report finds, mostly in California's Central Valley, Central Coast and in Southern California. And with that, 17,100 part-time jobs have been lost, which is nearly 4% of farm unemployment. Solar is Cheaper Than Regular Desal Solar is More Cost Effective Alternative Kevin Fagan 3/18/14 (Reporter for San Francisco Chronicle) “Calfirnoia Drought: Soalr Desalination Plant Shows Promise” SF Gate – San Francisco Chronicle Quietly whirring away in a dusty field in the Central Valley is a shiny solar energy machine that may someday solve many of California's water problems. It's called the WaterFX solar thermal desalination plant, and it has been turning salty, contaminated irrigation runoff into ultra-pure liquid for nearly a year for the Panoche Water and Drainage District. It's the only solar-driven desalination plant of its kind in the country. Right now its efforts produce just 14,000 gallons a day. But within a year, WaterFX intends to begin expanding that one small startup plant into a sprawling collection of 36 machines that together can pump out 2 million gallons of purified water daily. Within about five years, WaterFX company co-founder Aaron Mandell hopes to be processing 10 times that amount throughout the San Joaquin Valley. And here's the part that gets the farmers who buy (t)his water most excited: (T)his solar desalination plant produces water that costs about a quarter of what more conventionally desalinated water costs: $450 an acre-foot versus $2,000 an acre-foot. An acre-foot is equivalent to an acre covered by water 1 foot deep, enough to supply two families of four for a year. That brings Mandell's water cost close to what farmers are paying, in wet years, for water from the Panoche and other valley districts - about $300 an acre-foot. And that makes it a more economically attractive option than any of the 17 conventional desalination plants planned throughout California. If Mandell can pull it off, the tiny farming town where he is starting his enterprise could be known as ground zero for one of the most revolutionary water innovations in the state's history. "Eventually, if this all goes where I think it can, California could wind up with so much water it's able to export it instead of having to deal with shortages," Mandell said, standing alongside the 525-foot-long solar reflector that is the heart of his machine. "What we are doing here is sustainable, scalable and affordable." manager of the Panoche district, and many of the 60 farmers that constitute his customer base say the sooner WaterFX expands, the better. Panoche expects to deliver about 45,000 acre-feet of water this year to its growers. That total is half of what the growers get in wetter years - but because drought and environmentally driven water mandates are not unique to 2014, the district's farmers are already ahead of the curve on water preservation techniques. Most use drip irrigation instead of water-intensive sprinklers and are hooked up to an unusual drainage system that captures used irrigation water and directs it into fields of wheatgrass, a salt-tolerant crop sold for cattle feed. But that drainage system is little more than a creative way to get rid of irrigation water that's too salty for most uses once it leaches through farm soil. Finding a way to make it suitable for people to drink and use on the crops they eat would be a breakthrough, Falaschi said. as we think he can, "It appears this solar system will be cost-effective, and if Aaron can perform it can make a huge difference - be a great supplement at the very least," he said. "We're talking about basically unusable drainage water that is in everybody's interest to mine. "This solar plant could be a very important part of where we want to be in terms of being self-sufficient in the valley." Solar Desalination is useful for farmers, and cheaper than normal desalination Daniel, Alice, 2014, Staff Writer for KQED Science, “Drought Tech: How Solar Desalination Could Help Parched Farms,” http://blogs.kqed.org/science/2014/05/09/drought-tech-how-solar-desalination-couldhelp-parched-farms/ “Over the course of the last 15 years, we must have tried out 20-to-25 different treatment processes and you know, you end up spending a lot of time and a lot of hours on something that just doesn’t work,” he says. But now there’s one idea that’s starting to look a little brighter. Falaschi points to a row of curved mirrors that stretch out near a field of wheatgrass. “The equipment that we’re looking at here — with the exception of the solar panels — is pretty much shelf-item stuff,” he says. “I mean, you know, you’re looking at a boiler, and then you have a plumbing system that actually runs through.” It’s an experimental solar desalination plant, funded by the district with a million-dollar state grant. The project looks a bit like a spaceship on this vast expanse of land. “If we can treat this water, we’ve managed our drainage problem, but we’ve also created supplemental water,” says Falaschi. “That’s why we’re excited.” “It’s actually a lot like back when you were a kid and you would play with a magnifying glass on the sidewalk to burn things,” explains Aaron Mandell, the founder of WaterFX, which designed the solar plant. “We don’t actually burn things but it’s the same concept; you concentrate solar energy and you can generate very high temperatures.” An absorption pump that Mandell and his team designed reduces by half the energy it takes to evaporate water. The project also uses a reflective mirror-like film to focus the sun on long tubes containing mineral oil. The heat from the oil is piped into evaporators to generate steam. “So the heat that we generate from the sun basically separates water and salt,” he says. The process produces potable water which the company can then sell, along with some of the minerals distilled out, like selenium and even boron. The project is timely with California three years into a drought, but Mandell says, that wasn’t his motivation. “Even if the drought were to end right now, we would still need desalination as a more reliable source of water going forward,” he says. “Because the real problem is that the water supply in California and many of the Western states is actually no longer reliable.” WaterFX will soon build a much larger plant, this one funded by investors. It’s slated to treat about 2 million gallons a day. Mandell says it will cost about $450 to produce an acre-foot of water. That’s more than farmers here pay for surface water but about half the total operating costs of a conventional desalination plant that uses reverse osmosis. Dennis Falaschi says his water district will provide the 75-acre site and probably be the main customer. Farmers this year received no water from the federal Central Valley Project, so the onus, he says, is on Water FX. “You showed us the baby steps you can perform. Now go out and do the big steps,” says Falaschi. “And if you perform? That’s why the world goes around. I get water, you get money.” States Fight Water War beings to repeat itself in California and Arizona. Water is in an extreme shortage and is nowhere near to being solved, if this continues Arizona will be overcome by California and lose a major water source. Hiltzik 14’,Michael Hiltzik , June 2014 , Reporter at the LA Times, “Water war bubbling up between California and Arizona”, The Los Angeles Times, http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-hiltzik-20140620column.html#page=1 Once upon a time, California and Arizona went to war over water. The year was 1934, and Arizona was convinced that the construction of Parker Dam on the lower Colorado River was merely a plot to enable California to steal its water rights. Its governor, Benjamin Moeur, dispatched a squad of National Guardsmen up the river to secure the eastern bank from the decks of the ferryboat Julia B. — derisively dubbed "Arizona's navy" by a Times war correspondent assigned to cover the skirmish. After the federal government imposed a truce, the guardsmen returned home as "conquering heroes." The next water war between California and Arizona won't be such an amusing little affair. And it's coming soon. The issue still is the Colorado River. Overconsumption and climate change have placed the river in longterm decline. It's never provided the bounty that was expected in 1922, when the initial allocations among the seven states of the Colorado River basin were penciled out as part of the landmark Colorado River Compact, which enabled Hoover Dam to be built, and the shortfall is growing. The signs of decline are impossible to miss. One is the wide white bathtub ring around Lake Mead, the reservoir behind Hoover Dam, showing the difference between its maximum level and today's. Lake Mead is currently at 40% of capacity, according to the latest figures from the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, which operates the dam. At 1084.63 feet on Wednesday, it's a couple of feet above its lowest water level since it began filling in 1935. But the rules governing appropriations from the river are unforgiving and don't provide for much shared sacrifice among the states, or among farmers and city dwellers. The developing crisis can't be caricatured as farmers versus fish, as it is by Central Valley growers irked at environmental diversions of water into the region's streams. It can't be addressed by building more dams, because reservoirs can't be filled with water that doesn't come. And it can't be addressed by technological solutions such as desalination, which can provide only marginal supplies of fresh water, and then only at enormous expense. Nor can a few wet years alleviate the need for long-term solutions. "We had a solid year this year, which takes a bit of the panic out," says Jeffrey Kightlinger, general manager of the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, which serves 19 million residents and gets about half of its water supply from the Colorado. But because "demand outstrips supply, we expect a long-term decline. And possibly because the crisis has been developing slowly, we're nowhere near a solution." What will be necessary is a fundamental reconsideration of 100 years of water-appropriation practices and patterns. Farmers, whose claims on Colorado river water are senior to all others, may have to give up, or sell off, some of their rights. Strict legal provisions that would turn whole swaths of the inhabited Southwest back into desert to slake the thirst of California cities will have to be reconsidered. "Nineteenth century water law is meeting 20th century infrastructure and 21st century climate change," says Bradley Udall, a senior fellow at the University of Colorado Law If the Western drought continues, Arizona would have to bear almost the entire brunt of water shortages before California gives up a drop of its appropriation from the river. Few observers of Western water affairs believe that's politically practical, but few have offered practical alternatives. A quick School, "and it leads to a nonsensical outcome." history lesson: The Colorado Compact, reached by six of the seven basin states in 1922 under then-Commerce Secretary Herbert Hoover, aimed to replace the tangle of state water allocation laws with a single legal regime in order to get the dam built. (Arizona finally signed the deal in 1944.) But the compact was based on a fraud — an estimate of river flows that Hoover and the states' negotiators almost certainly knew was wildly optimistic. Many times, the compact has been revised and supplemented to meet changing conditions. In 1968, Congress authorized construction of the Central Arizona Project, a massive aqueduct serving Phoenix and Tucson, by passing the Colorado River Basin Project Act. Tensions grow between states for access to water sources during times of drought. Gleick 13’, Peter H. Gleick, March 2013,President of Pacific Institute, “Water Wars? Here in the US”, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/peter-h-gleick/water-wars-here-in-the-us_b_2789784.html OK, put away your guns. We're not talking shooting wars, at least not yet, at least not in the U.S. We're talking politicians shooting off their mouths, political wars, and court battles. But water is serious business. But it is a different story around the world, where there is a long and sad history of violent conflict over water. At the Pacific Institute we maintain the Water Conflict Chronology, documenting examples As others have pointed out, water can be -- and often is -- a source of cooperation rather than conflict. But conflicts over water are real. And as populations and economies grow, and as we increasingly reach "peak water" limits to local water resources, I believe that the risks of conflicts will increase, even here in the United States, and not just in the water-scarce arid west. Recently, tensions over water bubbled up in an unlikely spot: the Georgia-Tennessee border. There has been a bit of a border dispute in this region for a long time. Nearly two hundred years actually. Until recently, no one paid much attention to it, and it going back literally 5,000 years. hasn't been an issue with any particular salience or urgency. There was a flurry of attention around the issue during a severe drought in 2008, and then it died down again. Until now. What is the issue? If the border can be redrawn (or "corrected" as Georgia puts it), it would give them access to the northernmost bank of the Tennessee River, and a new right to water resources that Georgia would now, desperately, like to tap to satisfy growing demands in the Atlanta region. In mid-February, the Georgia House of Representatives voted 171-2 to adopt a resolution seeking to reopen the controversy and regain access to the Tennessee River. At the moment, Tennessee lawmakers are more amused than alarmed, but they also say they will act to protect their water from "Peach State poachers." An editorial in the Chattanooga Times Free-Press said, "We hope Atlanta can find an appropriate solution. But the river in our backyard is not it." And recently elected Tennessee Gov. Bill Haslam pledged in his campaign that he would "protect our precious resources and will fight any attempt to ... siphon off our water." This isn't the only water dispute involving Georgia. For decades, the state has been in a legal battle with Alabama and Florida over the shared Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint river system (I can say that fast, out loud, but it took practice). That dispute has been before the U.S. Supreme Court for years. And this isn't the only state-to-state water dispute in the U.S. to flare up in recent months. [For a hint of where to look for water tensions, take a look at Figure 1: the U.S. Drought Monitor.] The Republican River flows through the states of Colorado, Nebraska, and Kansas, but sharing the river has been a recurring political dispute for decades. In the latest chapter, the Special Master overseeing an agreement forged in 1943 recently rejected a request by Kansas to punish Nebraska for using too much water. Kansas asked for $80 million from Nebraska for violations of the Republican River Compact of 1943. The Special Master agreed that Nebraska farmers violated the compact in 2005 and 2006 and took 71,000 acre-feet of water too much, but only proposed awarding a payment of only $5 million. He also denied a Kansas request to shut off water for some Nebraska farmers along the river. And don't get me started on the Colorado River, shared by seven U.S. states and Mexico, or the Great Lakes, shared by eight states and Canada. The fact that these disputes in the U.S. head to court rather than the gun rack is good news. Similar disputes in India, China, and parts of Africa over access and allocation of water too often Water wars don't have to be inevitable, but we're going to have to work harder at defusing tensions around the fair and equitable allocation of our limited water. end in violence, injuries, and deaths. Western states go to war over limited water sources, due to major drought in the Western Region. B. Pierson 13’, August 2013, Natural News Reporter, “Devistating long-term drought haunts US Southwest: Water wars underway between Texas, New Mexico, Colorado and Wyoming”, Natural News, http://www.naturalnews.com/041618_drought_water_wars_texas.html# Climate change is taking a toll on grasslands across the West. Almost 87% of the region is in a drought. Nevada is removing wild horses and stocks of cattle from federal rangelands, Wyoming is seeding clouds as part of a long-term "weather modification program," Dust Bowl conditions have been reported in Colorado's southeastern plains, and the entire western U.S. has been beset more frequently by devastating wildfires across an increasingly flammable landscape. New Mexico is experiencing the worst of the dry conditions though. The entirety of New Mexico is officially in a drought, nearly 75 percent of which is categorized as extreme or exceptional. Statewide, reservoirs are 83% lower than normal, the lowest figures in the West. In some towns, residents subsist on water brought in on vehicles, while others are drilling deep wells with costs upwards of $100,000. Wildlife managers desperately carry water to elk herds in the mountains and blame the drought for the unusually high number of deer and antelope killed on New Mexico's highways, postulating that the animals are taking greater risks to find water. Countless trees in Albuquerque have died from lack of watering under city water restrictions. In New Mexico's agricultural belt, low yields and crop failures have become a regular occurrence. Populations of livestock in many areas are 80% less than they used to be and now ranchers losing their livelihood face having to buy hay at inflated prices, moving away or selling their herds. The last three years have gone on record as the driest and warmest since at least 1895, when records were first kept in New Mexico. Chuck Jones, a senior meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Albuquerque, said even the state's recent above-average monsoon rains "won't make a dent" in the drought; deficits will require several years of normal rainfall to erase, should normal rain ever arrive. With the supply of water in the West dropping, states are getting ready to fight over who the limited resources should go to. The state of Texas filed a lawsuit against New Mexico, arguing that their groundwater pumping has reduced Texas' share of the Rio Grande. The Supreme Court has already rejected a case that Texas brought up against Oklahoma regarding the water supply from the Red River basin. The Rio Grande has gotten so low that in New Mexico it is often referred to as the "Rio Sand." Experts are unsure whether the persistent drought conditions are part of a natural weather cycle or is caused by climate change. Jones, who is also a member of the governor's drought task force, is cautious about identifying the three years of extreme drought as representative of an emerging climate pattern in New Mexico. Many farmers, ranchers and land managers have developed long-term plans that deal with the drought conditions as a permanent obstacle. John Clayshulte, a third generation rancher and farmer near Las Cruces, removed all his cattle from his federal grazing allotment. "There's just not any sense putting cows on there. There's not enough for them to eat," he said. "It's all changed. This used to be shortgrass prairies. We've ruined it and it's never going to come back." The 140,000 square mile Chihuahuan Desert was once covered with Black Grama grass. Overgrazing and persistent drought have reduced the grass to small, sparsely place, stiff tufts that offer little forage for wildlife or livestock. In the absence of grazing grass, hungry livestock have taken to consuming seed pods of hardy mesquite plants. "They are not terribly nutritious," said Kris Havstad, a range expert with the U.S. Department of Agriculture. "It's like being the last one at the buffet and the only thing left is snow peas." With only unwholesome shrubs available, the land is losing its ability to feed cattle. There is so little grass remaining that a square mile can only feed three to five cows in current conditions. The Bureau of Land Management oversees much of the region which includes one of the largest public grazing areas in the country. The agency has asked ranchers to remove their cattle from a number of pastures for a year or two to allow the land to rest. Many ranchers have taken the initiative to remove their livestock voluntarily. Not all the damage is attributable to grazing cattle and it will take more than just their simple removal to heal the environment. "In the old days, we used to think if we built a fence around it, it will be OK," said Brandon Bestelmeyer, who conducts research on the Jornada for the Department of Agriculture. "That thinking didn't take into account climate change. These kind of state changes are catastrophic changes. They can be irreversible." The Chihuahuan Desert is set to expand as more vegetation dies, accelerating the rate of desertification. Bestelmeyer, a landscape ecologist, describes what's at stake: "If we lose the grasslands, grazing is over, and the generations of people who depend on grazing will lose their livelihoods." Wildlife species will either migrate or die off, leading to a decline in biodiversity. The empty landscape will further lose its ability to transport water to recharge aquifers, making conditions even more arid. Finally, Bestelmeyer said that without vegetation to hold soils in place, dust and sand will be on the move and encroach onto roads, crops, homes and businesses. "You don't want a Sahara here," Bestelmeyer said. Climate Change No impact from desal on enviroment Solar Desalination is zero-emmision Walker 13’, How Solar Desalination Can Help the Environment, Kris Walker in 2013, http://www.azocleantech.com/article.aspx?ArticleID=344 Solar desalination is primarily a zero-carbon emission process and the advancements in solar technology enables overcoming previously existing problems like dust and high temperatures, which affected the efficiency of previously used solar panels. In 2011, the Environment Agency-Abu Dhabi (EAD) tested cutting-edge solar technologies for desalinating water in the desert. The trial conducted at 30 sites in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi was said to be the largest across the globe. Each unit set at the solar desalination facilities in Sweihan and Hameem could generate 35 kW/h of energy on average and thus produce 1050 kW/h of energy on the whole. This shows that the negative impact of desalination process on the environment as well as the cost of producing water can be reduced using the solar desalination technology. In another research carried out by Jijakli et al from the Masdar Institute of Science and Technology in 2011, three desalination based alternatives such as a solar still, a photo-voltaic (PV) powered reverse osmosis (RO) unit and water delivered from a central RO plant using truck were compared and assesed for their environmental footprint. It was found that the PV-RO unit had the lowest impact on environment. This study helps in promoting the low-carbon desalination technologies. Desalination plants that use Solar Radiation uses half the energy and costs half as much as fossil fueled plants. Madeline Clark, May 2014, Mastery of Global Policy student at UT Austin, “Shifting the cost of dealination to renewables: how the private sector is getting involved in US and India”,Major Eonomies and Climate change research group, http://blogs.utexas.edu/mecc/2014/05/10/shifting-the-cost-of-desalination-to-renewables-howthe-private-sector-is-getting-involved-in-the-us-and-india/ The world’s largest concentrated solar plant (CSP) opened earlier this year in California, and the United States is not alone in its quest to become a major supplier of solar power, and to shift the demand for power necessary to desalinate onto renewables.In California, where drought has reached an all-time record, companies are currently investing in using renewables to treat brackish wastewater and groundwater. In the San Joaquin Valley, for instance, entrepreneurs at WaterFX have constructed an experimental solar-powered desalination plant that uses the power of solar radiation to generate high enough temperatures to separate salt from water recycled from irrigation runoff. This plant, which uses about half the energy necessary to desalinate water via reverse osmosis at half the cost, could inspire a revolution in a water hungry state. Reduction in energy use, particularly from thermally-generated electricity, could also do a lot to abate GHG emission production Other regions stand to benefit from using renewables like solar power in water production. In the water-scarce MENA, there are already investments in solar powered desalination plants scheduled to come online. Solar-powered groundwater pumps and irrigation systems are also being evaluated as a long-term option to sustainably manage growing energy demands from agriculture in India. Early this year, there were talks in India to replace 26 million diesel-powered groundwater pumps with solar powered ones, resulting in a projected $6 billion USD a year savings in power and diesel subsidies. Redirected electricity production from solar power will also take pressure off of India’s fragile and unpredictable energy grid. Solar powered pumps will also result in a lot of co-benefits for local stakeholders and small scale farmers. To prevent excessive water use, solar powered pumps are often subsidized in an agreement to use drip rather than flood irrigation. Anything that can lead emerging economies like India to move toward phasing out fossil fuel subsidies is a step in the right direction. India expended more than 40 billion dollars in oil, natural gas, coal, and electricity subsidies and with the elections this year, a reversal through political channels is not likely. This is why the private sector is stepping in- with India listed as one of the top ten most attractive places for investment in solar power, international and Indian firms BlackRock Inc (BLK), SunEdison Inc. (SUNE), Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. (JI), Claro Energy Pvt., and Tata Group’s solar unit are looking to start building. These changes are slated to occur in the next five years with 100 billion rupees of investment from players like those listed above according to government estimates, and so it will be crucial to keep momentum going. Solar Desalination Will Save the Day Kevin Fagan 3/18/14 (Reporter for San Francisco Chronicle) “Calfirnoia Drought: Soalr Desalination Plant Shows Promise” SF Gate – San Francisco Chronicle Panoche, like many districts in the Central Valley - the nation's most productive agricultural zone - has traditionally bought most of its water from the federally run Central Valley Project. But in this drought year, farmers are likely to get zero allocation from the project. If that happens, Panoche will have to draw from leftover supply, the expensive spot water market and wells. All of that is pricier than usual, with the spot market alone charging as much as $3,500 an acre-foot. Studies on plants in Cyprus show the environmental impact of desalination to be minimal Tsiourtis 01’, Nicos, 2001, Director of NT Water Pros, “Desalination and the environment” http://ac.els-cdn.com.proxy.library.umkc.edu/S0011916401850013/1-s2.0-S0011916401850013main.pdf?_tid=b784d194-0d2e-11e4-a59800000aacb35e&acdnat=1405545683_06a7911d49e1596cd32a7cd39c5b0365 The findings of the mathematical model and the impact of the brine on the marine environment could be checked with the execution of a monitoring program during the operation of the plant. For the Dhekelia plant in Cyprus, the monitoring results carried out every 6 months for 4 years have shown that the situation around the outfall point is steady and that the effect on benthos life has been minimal and confined to an area within a radius of 200 m. Improving Energy Efficiency WEF (Water Education Foundation) 6/10/14 “Desalination” Water Education Foundation http://www.watereducation.org/doc.asp?id=388 The process of removing dissolved minerals, such as salt, from sea water and brackish groundwater is gaining favor as a method of augmenting urban water supplies. Estimates are that seawater and brackish water desalination will increase by 10 to 20 percent in the next decade, with existing and envisioned operations eventually generating an estimated 700 million gallons per day. About two dozen seawater desalination plants are proposed along the California coast. Desalination has been a cost-prohibitive exercise due to the high amount of energy needed to push water through dense, compact micro filters that remove salt molecules from the water. Improvements in membrane technology have produced filters that last longer and are more energy efficient than previous models. Desalting brackish underground water, which is considerably less costly than seawater desalination, has been used for decades to increase fresh water supplies. Concentrated brine from desalination plants helps restore wetlands Water Resources Research Center, 2011, “Environmental Concerns Temper Enthusiasm for Desalination,” https://wrrc.arizona.edu/awr/s11/concerns On the other hand, desalination can also have environmental benefits. Desalination plants can provide a secure source of water, albeit salty water, for environmental purposes. Salt tolerant wetlands plants can thrive on concentrate from inland desalination and provide an ecosystem supporting marsh birds and other wildlife. James Lozier, of CH2MHill, reported that the Oxnard, California Concentrate Treatment Wetlands demonstrates the ability of an engineered natural treatment system to utilize concentrate for environmental benefit. This is accomplished by employing salt-tolerant, brackish marsh species to remove nutrients and heavy metals and to provide volume reduction. With appropriate methods, it may be possible to restore or create new wetlands habitat using concentrate as a sustainable water source.