Appendix: additional material for model

advertisement
1
2
3
Appendix: additional material for model-data comparisons
Fig.1A shows the time-series comparisons of FC transport between model, cable
4
data and HYCOM counterparts. FC transport is monitored by a cable between the
5
U.S. east coast and the Bahamas (pink line in Fig. 1), and the data is made available
6
online at: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/floridacurrent/data_access.php.
7
Comparisons with observational data suggest that the model was able to capture the
8
variability of FC transport reasonably well. One caveat we note is that the simulated
9
four-year mean FC transport was 28.4Sv (1Sv= 106 m3 s-1), as compared to the
10
observed average of 31.3Sv. This bias is likely from the global HYCOM data that
11
were used to drive the boundary inflows, which also underestimated FC transport,
12
with a mean transport value of 26.5Sv.
13
We also compared model simulated and satellite (AVISO) observed mean Eddy
14
Kinetic Energy (EKE) fields over the four-year study period (Fig.2A). The EKE was
15
calculated based on the geostrophic velocity anomaly 𝑈𝑔′ and 𝑉𝑔′ :
EKE 
16
1
U g '2  Vg '2 

2
17
Both AVISO and the model presented stronger EKE in the Loop Current and Gulf
18
Stream areas and weaker EKE along the coast and in the open ocean of the Sargasso
19
Sea. We note that model shows weaker EKE than AVISO near coastal GOM. This
20
discrepancy can be attributed to the fact that AVISO has a spatial resolution of 1/3º
21
and its ability to resolve the coastal dynamics is limited. Nonetheless, the model is
22
able to resolve the kinetic structure of the circulation reasonably well.
23
In addition, NOAA National Ocean Service (NOS) sea level data were also used
24
to assess model performance in coastal areas. We compared 26 sea level stations along
25
the IAS coast from the GOM coast of Florida to the SAB to compare model with
26
observations. For demonstration purposes, only six stations are shown (Fig. 3A). The
27
model clearly captured major features of sea level variability. Correlation coefficients
28
between model and observations were all statistically significant (>0.6, p=0.05), and
29
the model was in good overall agreement with observations at both seasonal to
30
interannual time scales.
31
Model hindcast solutions were further gauged against ship CTD casts in the GOM
32
collected in 2010. A total of 1,643 temperature and salinity profiles collected during
33
April 22, 2010 to October 18, 2010 were utilized (Fig.4A). The linear regression of
34
temperature and salinity (not shown) showed that the model reproduced observed
35
temperature and the water mass reasonably well. A more statistically-robust
36
temperature and salinity comparison is given in a Taylor diagram (Fig.5A), on which
37
the standard deviation (STD), correlation coefficient and root mean square errors
38
(RMSD) were presented. The temperature comparison shows that the model was able
39
to reproduce most of the observations (1531 out of 1643 profiles) with RMSD much
40
less than 1, STD close to 1, and correlation coefficients > 0.95. The salinity
41
comparisons had a more scattered distribution in the Taylor diagram. Nevertheless, all
42
modeled solutions were still within 2 times the STD of observations and had an
43
RMSD < 1. These statistical comparisons further confirmed that the model was in
44
good agreement with observations.
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
List of Appendix Figures
Fig. 1A. Comparsions between observed and modeled (by IAS ROMS and HYCOM,
respectively) Florida Current transport. Upper panel show the absolute transport
value; lower panel show the transport anomalies with means removed
Fig. 2A. Four-year mean Eddy Kinetic Energy (EKE) comparison between IAS model
hindcast and 1/3º AVISO Altimeter observations. EKE values are scaled in log10 for
better visualizations (units: m2s-2).
Fig. 3A. Sea level comparisons between model and tidal stations; x-axis is time
(month/year).A 36-hour low-pass filter was applied to yield sub-tidal signals. In each
panel, the correlation coefficient between model and observations is shown.
Fig. 4A. Locations of ship CTD observations in the GOM during April 22-October 18,
2010.
Fig. 5A. Taylor diagram for temperature (left panel) and salinity (right panel)
comparisons; the color coding responds to their locations in Fig.7. All points are
normalized by their corresponding observation points denoted by an asterisk. The
radial distances from the origin are proportional to the ratio of standard deviations; the
azimuthal positions indicate the correlation coefficient; and the distance between the
modeled and observed points indicates the centered root mean squared difference
(RMSD).
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
Appendix Figures
Fig. 1A. Comparsions between observed and modeled (by IAS ROMS and HYCOM,
respectively) Florida Current transport. Upper panel show the absolute transport
value; lower panel show the transport anomalies with means removed.
80
81
82
83
84
Fig.2A. Four-year mean Eddy Kinetic Energy (EKE) comparison between IAS model
hindcast and 1/3º AVISO Altimeter observations. EKE values are scaled in log10 for
better visualizations (units: m2s-2).
85
86
87
88
89
90
Fig. 3A. Sea level comparisons between model and tidal stations; x-axis is time
(month/year).A 36-hour low-pass filter was applied to yield sub-tidal signals. In each
panel, the correlation coefficient between model and observations is shown.
91
92
93
94
95
Fig. 4A. Locations of ship CTD observations in the GOM during April 22-October 18,
2010.
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
Fig.5A. Taylor diagram for temperature (left panel) and salinity (right panel)
comparisons; the color coding responds to their locations in Fig.7. All points are
normalized by their corresponding observation points denoted by an asterisk. The
radial distances from the origin are proportional to the ratio of standard deviations; the
azimuthal positions indicate the correlation coefficient; and the distance between the
modeled and observed points indicates the centered root mean squared difference
(RMSD).
Download