CONCEPT PLAN REPORT CAPITAL ASSET REFERENCE GUIDE: TEMPLATE 4 Ministry of Advanced Education Version 1.2 March 31, 2014 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................................iii 1.0 PROJECT DESCRIPTION......................................................................................................................... 4 2.0 BACKGROUND INFORMATION ........................................................................................................... 5 3.0 STRATEGIC ALIGNMENT ........................................................................................................................ 6 4.0 ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS ..................................................................................................................... 7 5.0 PROGRAM DELIVERY OPTIONS ANALYSIS ......................................................................................... 8 6.0 CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS ......................................................................................... 19 7.0 IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY ............................................................................................................. 20 OTHER RESOURCES FOR THE CONCEPT PLAN REPORT .............................................................................. 23 APPENDICES FOR THE CONCEPT PLAN REPORT ......................................................................................... 24 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Provide a summary for each section of the Concept Plan Report PROJECT DESCRIPTION BACKGROUND INFORMATION STRATEGIC ALIGNMENT ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS PROGRAM DELIVERY OPTIONS ANALYSIS CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY Concept Plan Report | iii 1.0 PROJECT DESCRIPTION 1.1 Project Objectives Update the project description from the Opportunity Assessment Report, including the opportunity in the context of strategic and business drivers, project objectives 1.2 Project Scope Update project scope from the Opportunity Assessment Report, including user needs, and space requirements, as follows: - Category 1: New Priority Projects, driven by growth accommodation and labour market demand-driven capacity, resulting in new system capacity, IM/IT, skills training, etc. Indicate the number of new FTEs the project will accommodate - Category 2: Whole Asset Replacement & Renewal Projects which improve the physical asset condition and reduce deferred maintenance backlog. 50% or more of the asset is replaced1, resulting in increased system capacity from improved functional efficiency Indicate the number of additional FTEs the project can accommodate due to functional improvements, if applicable 1.3 Project Outcomes Update the project outcomes from the Opportunity Assessment Report, including the concrete results necessary to meet the project objectives Note: Projects greater than $50M must be evaluated by Partnerships BC for public private partnership (P3) viability during the Concept Plan Report activity. Institutions are instructed to coordinate with the Ministry for any services provided by Partnerships BC. While it is not mandatory to use PBC’s services to plan, deliver and oversee project delivery, they do offer those services. Please refer to Section 13.0 Governance in the CARG and http://www.partnershipsbc.ca. RESOURCES Approved Opportunity Assessment Report Institutional Accountability Plan & Report 5 Year Capital Plan FTE and space utilization rates Ministry’s Space Standards Ministry’s Budget Model 1 This threshold is provided as a guideline, not as a rule. In some instances, the Ministry may determine that it is prudent to undertake projects that do not meet the threshold. Concept Plan Report |Page 4 of 24 2.0 BACKGROUND INFORMATION 2.1 Current Situation Update the current situation from the Opportunity Assessment Report, including the circumstances and events leading up to the opportunity, as well as the risks of status quo 2.2 Demand Update the forecast demand from the Opportunity Assessment Report Analyze relevant reports, data, or trends using tables/figures relating to the opportunity, including those identified in the following: - BCStats Population Projections (P.E.O.P.L.E.) - Provincial data on labour trends RESOURCES Approved Opportunity Assessment Report BCStats Population Projections (P.E.O.P.L.E.) Provincial data on labour trends Concept Plan Report |Page 5 of 24 3.0 STRATEGIC ALIGNMENT 3.1 Stakeholder Identification Update the internal and external stakeholders identified in the Opportunity Assessment Report Stakeholder Table 3-1. Stakeholder Identification Internal/External (I or E) Role The Ministry Stakeholder #2 Stakeholder #3 Stakeholder #4 Stakeholder #5 Stakeholder #6 3.2 Stakeholder Alignment Evaluate each stakeholder (e.g., business plan, etc.) to determine how the opportunity supports their goals Table 3-2. Stakeholder Alignment The Ministry Goal How the Institution’s Opportunity Supports the Stakeholder’s Goals Impact (High, Medium, Low) 1. 2. 3. STAKEHOLDER #2 Goal How the Institution’s Opportunity Supports the Stakeholder’s Goals Impact (High, Medium, Low) Goal How the Institution’s Opportunity Supports the Stakeholder’s Goals (High, Medium, Low) 1. 2. 3. STAKEHOLDER #3 Impact 1. 2. 3. RESOURCES Approved Opportunity Assessment Report Ministry Business Plans Cross-ministry initiatives Concept Plan Report |Page 6 of 24 4.0 ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS 4.1 Environment Scan Identify similar initiatives to the proposed project and summarize the findings in the table below Table 4-1. Similar Initiatives in Other Jurisdictions Summary Post-secondary Type of Project Programs Institution/ Scope Cost Risks (New Build, Expansion, Delivered Maintenance, etc.) Project Name Institution #1 Institution #2 Institution #3 Institution #4 Institution #5 Impact on Job Creation 4.2 Lessons Learned Summarize the lessons learned from the environment scan exercise performed in 4.1 Similar Initiatives in Other Jurisdictions Summary Table 4-2. Lessons Learned Summary Post-secondary Institution/ Lessons Learned Project Name Institution #1 Institution #2 Institution #3 Institution #4 Institution #5 RESOURCES Approved Opportunity Assessment Report Post-secondary institutions and similar clients in BC and other jurisdictions (provinces, states, international) Concept Plan Report |Page 7 of 24 5.0 PROGRAM DELIVERY OPTIONS ANALYSIS The program delivery options analysis can be summarized in three steps, as follows: Step 1– Identify All Options: List all options identified in the approved Opportunity Assessment Report including status quo. These are evaluated against mandatory criteria to determine which options are viable and should undergo further analysis Step 2 – Evaluate Viable Options: Options that meet mandatory criteria undergo rigorous testing: 1. Options are compared using quantitative (cost/benefit) and qualitative (advantages and disadvantages) analysis 2. Identification of financing sources for each viable option 3. Preliminary risk assessment for each viable option Step 3 – Summary of Options: The options analysis will be used to select one option as “preferable”, for which an implementation strategy will be developed Concept Plan Report |Page 8 of 24 Table 5-1. Options Analysis Methodology STEP 1 Identify All Options Determine if any mandatory criteria exist. If so, does the option meet the mandatory criteria? No Option does not move forward for further analysis Yes STEP 2 Evaluate Viable Options Cost/Benefit Analysis STEP 3 Quantitative Analysis (Financial) Preliminary Financing Preliminary Risk Assessment Qualitative Analysis (NonFinancial) Summary of Options Concept Plan Report |Page 9 of 24 5.1 Step 1: Identify All Options List all options (both capital and non-capital options) as identified in the approved Opportunity Assessment Report Include “do nothing” as an option to identify the costs and disadvantages of maintaining status quo Table 5-2. Summary of Options from the Opportunity Assessment Report OPTIONS Option Type of Project Capital (include category of project) or Non-Capital Description Status Quo Option #1 Option #2 Option #3 Identify mandatory criteria that the options must meet. For example, mandatory criteria may include: - Infrastructure Improvements: FCI improvement and/or reduction of life safety & occupational health risks - Cost Effectiveness: Funding partnerships and/or cost benefits throughout lifecycle - Innovation: Demonstrates sustainable solutions and/or collaboration - Strategic Alignment: Alignment with government priorities (e.g. Ministry Service Plan) and Institutional priorities (e.g., mission statement, master planning etc.) - Quality Education: Improves student learning outcomes, and/or improve access to learning and/or student full time equivalents (FTE) and space utilization rates Options are evaluated against mandatory criteria to determine if any options can be dismissed. For example: - Strategic – the option does not conform to the Institution’s Campus Master Plan, etc. - Quality Education – the option does not accommodate the FTE forecast at maximum student full time equivalents (FTE) and space utilization rates 5.2 Step 2: Evaluate Viable Options Options that meet mandatory criteria are evaluated through quantitative (cost/benefit) analysis, qualitative (advantages/disadvantages) analysis, financing, and preliminary risk assessment Concept Plan Report |Page 10 of 24 5.2.1 Quantitative (Cost/Benefit) Analysis 2 A quantitative analysis provides a preliminary estimate of annual capital and operating costs, including program/service delivery and facility lifecycle costs Prepare a net present value cash flow analysis for the shortlisted viable options. The term of the cash flow analysis should equal to one of the following: - If asset is financed with debt – use the term for the debt/mortgage. - If no debt financing required – use the expected life of the new asset. Ensure that assumptions are adequately disclosed for revenue and cost estimates Include schedules detailing the annual principal and interest payments to accompany the cash flow forecast, as well as for total capital cost estimate The cash flow analysis should reflect the total ‘incremental’2 costs and revenues associated with each project option being evaluated, not the ‘full cost’ including existing programs and facilities. However, in cases where the new project/program also results in additional costs or cost savings in existing facilities or programs, these amounts are also to be included in the project incremental cash flow Incremental costs refer to the additional costs associated with the new program only. Costs for the existing programs prior to the new development would not be included. Concept Plan Report |Page 11 of 24 Table 5-3. Summary Table of a Quantitative Cost/Benefit Analysis OPERATING YEAR CASH FLOW FORECAST – Viable Option 1 Inflow/(Outflow) Year 1 201x Year 2 201x Year 3 201x Years 4….19 Year 20 201x Operating Cash Flows Incremental program revenues, by source Incremental program costs, by source Incremental facility operating costs, by source Interest expense on new debt financings * Total Operating Cash Flows $ xxx $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ xxx $ xxx $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ xxx $ xxx $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ xxx Investing (Capital) Cash Flows Total capital cost Annual capital renewal, by source Total Investing Cash Flows $ (x,xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) …….. …….. $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ x, xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ (xxx) $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ (xxx) $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ (xxx) $ xxx …….. …….. …….. …….. $ xxx $ xxx $ (xxx) $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx …….. $ xxx …….. …….. …….. …….. …….. $ xxx $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ (xxx) $ xxx Financing Cash Flows New debt financing3 Internal financing External financing Annual debt repayments Total Financing Cash Flows Net Cash Inflow/(Outflow) Net Present Value – 20 years at x % 3 $ xxx Although debt financing may not be used for specific projects, there is still an opportunity cost of using available cash flow for project funding. Concept Plan Report |Page 12 of 24 A supporting schedule detailing the annual principal and interest payments should accompany the cash flow forecast. For example: LONG TERM DEBT – Continuity Schedule Long term debt, opening balance DEBT TERM Year 1 201x Year 2 201x Year 3 201x Years 4 to 19 Year 20 201x $ xx,xxx $ xx,xxx $ xx,xxx …….. $ x,xxx xxx (xxx) xxx (xxx) xxx (xxx) …….. …….. xx (xxx) $ xx,xxx $ xx,xxx $ xx,xxx …….. $ - Annual debt payment: Interest expense Principal repayment Long term debt, closing balance * * Closing balance = Opening balance less Principal Repayment A supporting schedule detailing the total capital cost estimate should also be included. For example: CONSTRUCTION YEAR CAPITAL COST ESTIMATE Year 1 201x Year 2 201x Year 3 201x TOTAL Land: Acquisition cost Site preparation Parking and improvements Total Land Costs $ xx,xxx x,xxx $ xxx,xxx $ x,xxx xxx $ xxx,xxx $ xx,xxx $ xxx,xxx xx,xxx x,xxx xx,xxx $ xxx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx xxx,xxx xx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx xx,xxx x,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx x,xxx x,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx x,xxx,xxx xx,xxx xx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx $ x,xxx xx,xxx $ xxx,xxx $ xxx,xxx $ xx,xxx xxx,xxx $ xxx,xxx xx,xxx xxx,xxx $ xxx,xxx Add: Inflation during construction $ xxx $ x,xxx $ xx,xxx $ xx,xxx Add: Construction financing costs $ xxx $ x,xxx $ xx,xxx $ xx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx $ x,xxx,xxx Buildings: Hard costs (construction materials and labor) Soft costs (design, engineering, PM/CM etc.) Construction contingency Total Building Costs Furniture, Fixtures & Equipment Furniture and fixtures Equipment Total F,F&E Sub-total Total Capital Cost Concept Plan Report |Page 13 of 24 5.2.2 Qualitative Analysis A qualitative analysis is required to evaluate the non-financial costs (disadvantages) and benefits (advantages) of each viable option, including physical, social, environmental, and risk considerations Determine a list of qualitative criteria. Examples include: - Operational – criteria related to expected facility or program operational improvements, such as: ability to meet student needs and enrollment demand ability to attract new learners (e.g. First Nations, out-of-country) improved staff recruitment and retention integration of new and existing programs ability to implement new technologies and learning methodologies impact on other areas of the Institution such as parking, food services, recreation, housing, student, and health services improved operations and maintenance facility costs, e.g., energy efficiency, improved FCI - Physical – criteria related to increased or decreased facility functionality, efficiency etc., such as: effectiveness of facilities for meeting existing and new program needs integration with existing facilities improved access and mobility flexibility to adapt to changing demands in the future - Environmental – criteria related to the impact that the project and subsequent operations is expected to have on the local environment, such as: increase/decrease in noise levels Increase/decrease in local traffic levels Impact on GHG emissions, waste levels etc. - Strategic – criteria related to impact that the project and subsequent operations is expected to have on key stakeholders, such as: government education and training goals response to industry requirements attracting research funding now or in future program or Institution prestige public/student perception of the program(s) and/or the Institution public and private sector perception of the Province/the Ministry perception of other provincial and national Institutions Concept Plan Report |Page 14 of 24 For each viable option, compile qualitative analysis findings in a summary table. For example: Viable Option 1: NAME Summary of Qualitative Analysis Advantages Operational Physical Environmental Strategic Disadvantages Viable Option 2: NAME Summary of Qualitative Analysis Advantages Operational Physical Environmental Strategic Disadvantages Concept Plan Report |Page 15 of 24 5.2.3 Preliminary Financing For each viable option, identify intended sources of capital and operating funding, including direct capital funding (e.g., provincial grants), federal grants, own resources, debt financing, private financing, disposition of surplus property, etc. Financing must include details of conditions, associated with external funding, borrowing assumptions, and planned commercial revenues For each source of capital financing, include a table showing the required financing draws for each year of the construction, matching the applicable categories in the cash flow forecast, as follows: Table 5-4. Sources of Funding for Each Viable Option Project Financing Sources of Financing Direct capital funding Source A Source B New debt financing Source A Source B Internal financing Source A Source B External financing Source A Source B Total Project Financing Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Total $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx $ xxx Concept Plan Report |Page 16 of 24 5.2.4 Preliminary Risk Assessment For each viable option, update the risks identified in the initial risk register completed in the approved Opportunity Assessment Report by evaluating the risks in terms of probability, impact, risk owner, and mitigation strategies Include new risks, if applicable A risk register is in accordance with project management best practices as described in the Ministry’s Risk Management Guide . Refer to CARG Template 9: Risk Register for further details and examples of risk identification and evaluation Note that risk response, risk monitoring & control, and risk evaluation (with response) are completed in the Business Case Report and implementation phase of the proposed project Table 5-5. Risk Register- Risk Identification & Evaluation (Inherent) RISK IDENTIFICATION RISK RESPONSE (Inherent) Risk Identification Details Risk Evaluation (Inherent) Risk Response Details Risk Monitor & Control Risk Ra nk ing w ith Risk Response Im pa ct w ith Risk Response N otes on Risk Response (progress, effectiveness, other notes) Proba bility w ith Risk Response Response Percenta ge Com plete Due Da te of Risk Response Ex pected Risk Results of Risk Response Response Response Cost O w ner O rga niza tion Risk O w ner Sta tus Risk Ra nk ing Risk Im pa ct Consequence on Project Perform a nce Risk Proba bility Trigger / Root Risk Event Ca use Risk Response N otes Life Cy cle Risk ID Risk Identifica tion Risk Evaluation (With Response) At this stage of the planning phase, Institutions should engage the Province to determine the level of oversight and approval required. Complete the Capital Project Risk Screen Tool (CARG Template 8). RESOURCES Ministry’s Risk Management Guide Ministry’s Risk Register Capital Project Risk Screen Tool (CARG Template 8) Concept Plan Report |Page 17 of 24 5.3 Step 3: Summary of Options Typically, the preferred option is the lowest net cost option on a net present value basis. However, other considerations including those identified in the qualitative analysis, financing, and risk assessment may surface another viable option with a higher net cost as the preferred option Summarize the results from Sections 5.1-5.2, providing advantages, disadvantages, and key findings to select a preferred option Key Findings Viable Option 1 Viable Option 2 Net Present Value $ $ Qualitative Advantages Qualitative Disadvantages Financing Risk Assessment Concept Plan Report |Page 18 of 24 6.0 CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS 6.1 Conclusions List major conclusions based on Section 5.0 Identify a preferred option that has been selected 6.2 Recommendations List recommended next steps, including a corresponding budget for a comprehensive Business Case Report for the following activities: - Initial Functional Program - Indicative Design - Quantity Surveyor Cost Estimate - Geotechnical Report - Environmental Assessment - Engineering Feasibility Studies An implementation strategy is developed for the preferred option identified in Section 6.0 Conclusions & Recommendations Concept Plan Report |Page 19 of 24 7.0 IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY 7.1 Project Delivery Models Provide a preliminary analysis of alternate project delivery models (e.g., designbid-build, design-build, construction management, P3, etc.) Summarize findings to arrive at a preferred project delivery model for procurement purposes Refer to the Project Delivery Option Analysis Tool (CARG Templates 13). Table 7-1. Summary of Procurement Models Project Delivery Models Advantages Disadvantages Procurement Model 1 Procurement Model 2 Procurement Model 3 7.2 Preliminary Schedule Create a Gantt chart that identifies the expected duration of each project phase leading to implementation Table 7-2. Examples of Schedules Based on Project Delivery Model4 Number of Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Design-Bid-Build Tender & Award Arch./Eng'r & Consultants Design Tendar & Award Gen. Construction Contract Construction Design-Build Tender & Award Owner's Consultants Prepare Design-Bid Specification Design-Build Tender & Award Design Award Trade Contracts Construction Construction Manager At Risk – GMP Tender & Award Arch./Eng'r & Consultants Design Tender & Award GMP Contract Negotiate & Award GMP Contract Tender & Award Trade Contracts Construction Construction Manager – Fixed Fee (CM as Agent) Tender & Award Arch./Eng'r & Consultants Design Tender & Award Construction Manager Tender & Award Trade Contracts Construction T&A Design ( 12 months) T&A 40 Consturction (24 months) T&A Spec T&A Design ( 12 months) Award Trade Contracts 36 Consturction (24 months) T&A Design ( 12 months) T&A N&A T&A Trade Contracts 37 Consturction (24 months) T&A Design ( 12 months) T&A T&A Trade Contracts 32 Consturction (24 months) 4 Projects greater than $50 M must be evaluated by Partnerships BC for public private partnership (P3) delivery. Institutions are instructed to coordinate with the Ministry for any services provided by Partnerships BC. While it is not mandatory to use PBC’s services to plan, deliver and oversee project delivery, they do offer those services. Further details about Partnerships BC can be found at http://www.partnershipsbc.ca. Concept Plan Report |Page 20 of 24 7.3 Project Governance The appropriate project governance structure is based on the complexity and size of the project. Figures 7-1 and 7-2 provide examples of organization charts for a small and large project The organization structure identifies relationships and communication lines between project members, and is intended to: - Encourage appropriate input from a wide range of sources - Facilitate timely decisions - Fulfill all Institutional and government requirements - Ensure good business practice in accordance with government contract guidelines and financial and signing authority controls - Focus on making design and equipment decisions within the boundaries of key project parameters such as budget, schedule and project scope A project board may be required depending on the scope, complexity and risk profile of the project, and may include members from the Institution, the Ministry and/or Ministry of Finance. The requirement of a project board will be identified upon completion of the Capital Project Risk Screen Tool (CARG Template 8), which identifies both organizational and project risks. Whereas the Capital Project Risk Screen Tool determines the level of oversight required by the Ministry, a project risk register is project specific and is updated in each phase of the project lifecycle Figure 7-1. Example of an Organizational Structure for a Small Project Institution Stakeholders Project Manager Designers Contractors Supplier Concept Plan Report |Page 21 of 24 Figure 7-2. Example of an Organizational Structure for a Large Project Board of Governors Campus Development Committee President & Executive Committee Project Steering Committee President’s Council Capital Projects Construction Manager Special Consultants Functional Programmer Finance & Audit Committee Academic Schools & Service Units Prime Consultant Program Staff Subconsultants Sub-trades (Structural, Mechanical, Electrical) Concept Plan Report |Page 22 of 24 OTHER RESOURCES FOR THE CONCEPT PLAN REPORT Approved Opportunity Assessment Report Institutional Accountability Plan & Report 5 Year Capital Plan Campus Master Plan Student full time equivalents (FTE) and space utilization rates Ministry’s Space Standards Ministry’s Budget Model BCStats Population Projections (P.E.O.P.L.E.) Provincial data on labour trends Ministry Business Plans Cross-ministry initiatives Partnerships BC Ministry’s Risk Management Guide Concept Plan Report |Page 23 of 24 APPENDICES FOR THE CONCEPT PLAN REPORT The following should be appended to the Concept Plan: Initial Programming Information Concept Options/Drawings Engineering Pre-feasibility Studies BC Budget Model Output Quantity Surveyor Cost Estimate Capital Project Risk Screen Tool (CARG Template 8) Concept Plan Report |Page 24 of 24