2013-14 VICTORIAN BUDGET The Victorian Budget for 2013-14 was handed down on 7 May 2013. The Budget is notable for its predicted improvement in revenues, which strengthen the underlying financial position of the Victorian Government. The operating result is expected to improve markedly over the next four years, with a surplus of $224.5 million in 2013-14 and average surpluses forecast at $1.27 billion over the four years to 2016-17. The Budget is primarily concerned with ensuring sufficient cash flows to fund major infrastructure projects in the future without increasing borrowings. Net borrowings are expected to peak in 2014-15 in nominal terms, before reducing over time. Of the limited new funding initiatives included within the Budget, the Victorian Government has prioritised infrastructure investment, with allocations made in the following areas: Transport related infrastructure, including the first stage of the East West road project, new trains, level crossing upgrades, and re-funding road maintenance, and Additional capital spending for education and health facilities The most notable funding initiatives relevant to local government include the following: $34.5 million over four years for improvements to the enforcement of unpaid fines and infringements. Local government unpaid infringements exceed $100 million and reforms to the powers to collect fines will improve councils’ financial position and improve the integrity of the infringement system. $7 million in 2013-14 for kindergarten and children’s services infrastructure $12 million over four years for the implementation of the Victoria’s Waste and Resource Recovery Policy It is pleasing that the Country Roads and Bridges program and the Local Infrastructure programs have remained funded, despite the ongoing financial pressures for the State. It is understood that public library funding is being maintained in line with the deal negotiated between councils, the MAV and the Victorian Government, which includes future indexation of the program. At the time of writing, it was not clear what indexation rate will be applied to the program, although we have receive assurances that no funding cut or efficiency dividend will be applied to the program. While the Victorian Government has made a significant investment of $140 million for HACC over four years, it is understood that the whole of the funding is to maintain their current matched contribution in line with their agreement with the Commonwealth. The MAV will continue to monitor the funding of this program and will provide advice when more information is available. 1 Assessment against MAV Budget Submission The following table provides a comparison between the issues highlighted in the MAV submission and the funding commitments made in the 2013-14 Budget. In a tough budgetary environment, the proposals endorsed by the MAV only received limited support. Table 1: Assessment of MAV requests MAV REQUEST $7.6 million over four years for the continuation of the School Focused Youth Service $400 000 over four years for an MAV officer to progress youth service policy BUDGET 2013-14 No allocation Joint state/local government capital plan for children’s services $7 million in funding for children’s services and kindergarten facilities in 2013-14 DEECD to support councils’ joint infrastructure plans to feed into the joint infrastructure plan Continuation of the operational and capital funding by the Commonwealth and Victorian governments As above Continued Victorian Government support for community infrastructure in growth areas Investment in new education facilities in growth areas Long-term funded transport plan Large infrastructure investment across health, education and transport. No coordinated plan released which indicates priority funding initiatives Local regional infrastructure Continuation of the funding for the Regional Infrastructure Fund and the Country Roads and Bridges program Programs continued Domestic wastewater $20k per council to update their domestic wastewater management plans $150 000 for council training No allocation Funding for the implementation of the priorities of the White Paper No funding arising from the White paper Continuation of the Municipal Fire and Emergency Management Resourcing Program Funding for councils to undertake planning scheme amendments to recognise flood prone areas Further funding through the White Paper process for flash flood warnings to be allocated to the relevant control authority, not local government As above Youth Early years Community infrastructure in growth areas Emergency management No allocation As above No allocation As above As above INITIATIVES OF INTEREST TO LOCAL GOVERNMENT The following include initiatives of direct and indirect relevance to local government arising from the Budget. Infringements System $34.5 million over four years to reform the collection and enforcement of unpaid fines in Victoria. Funding will include increased enforcement capacity, sanctions and more payment options. Funding may be provided for ICT improvements. It is understood that consultation with the sector on the nature of the reforms will commence shortly. Community Services $7 million in 2013-14 for kindergarten and children’s services infrastructure $4.4 million over four years to attract qualified early education educators $140 million over four years for the Home and Community Care program. It appears that this funding is solely to provide the required matched state funding under the Commonwealth-state funding agreement. In the past, the Victorian Government has provided significant unmatched funding and it is understood that while this funding has been maintained, it has not been indexed. The indexation factor applied to the matched funding has yet to be announced. $12 million for the Services Connect program, which will join-up government services for at-risk communities $55.2 million over four years for increased pensioner concessions including utilities, council rates and the Fire Services Property Levy. It is understood that the funds reflect an increased number of pensioners and do not reflect an increase in the real value of concessions. $2 million over four years for the Driving Youth Enterprise program, which provides funding for three Victorian local government areas to manage safer annual school-leaver celebrations. The program also supports the involvement of business and enterprise of people aged 18-25. $3 million over two years for the State Library of Victoria to drive a long-term vision and strategy. Emergency Management $60.8 million over two years for CFA facilities under the ‘Bushfire response – emergency services’ initiative $33.7 million for an increase in planned burning $7 million over two years for the removal of fire-affected trees on public land Transport and Infrastructure $80 million for rural road maintenance for the arterial road network over two years $3.7 million over two years for the continuation of the Melbourne Bike Share scheme $177.4 million over four years for the implementation of the Road Safety Strategy 2013-2022. Further funding is anticipated for the remainder of the Strategy. $5.7 million over two years for the cycling strategy $19.1 million over four years for the Darebin Creek Bike trail $294 million over two years for the first stage of East West Link. The project is anticipated to cost $6 to $8 billion and will be delivered with the support of the Commonwealth and private sector. The first stage will link the Eastern Freeway with CityLink and will be put to market in late 2014. $4.5 million over two years for improved train network signalling $53.2 million over two years for the metro level crossing blitz program $178.1 million over three years for eight further trains $110 million over four years for the Port of Hastings development $90 million over three years for the targeted road restoration program, which will upgrade roads on high priority routes Environment $12 million over four years for the Victoria’s Waste and Resource Recovery Policy, which will provide funding for improving waste management infrastructure, environmental performance of landfills and improved littering compliance. $9.2 million over four years for the Coastal Environments program, for the protection of assets across coastal regions in Victoria, including Port Phillip Bay and Western Port $7.2 million over four years for the implementation of the Cleaner Yarra River and Port Phillip Bay Action Plan, which will fund communities, councils and businesses to protect the health of the Yarra and Port Phillip Bay $16 million over two years for grants to landholders, Landcare groups, Catchment Management Authorities to protect key environmental assets, native vegetation and threatened species Regional and rural Victoria $8 million over four years for increased regional tourism marketing Revenue measures $183.4 million over four years will be collected through an expansion of the Congestion Levy to short-term car parks in Melbourne The efficiency dividend has been increased to 2.5 per cent from 2 per cent which will apply to non-frontline staff, forecast to save $400 million over four years OVERALL ECONOMIC POSITION Victoria’s economic outlook has continued to decline since the last Budget. Weaker growth in real state product is expected in the current financial year, before a rapid return to trend growth by 2014-15. Employment growth is expected to return strongly in 2013-14, with an associated reduction in unemployment. The Government is forecasting an operating surplus of $224.5 million in 2013-14, increasing to $2.55 billion by 2016-17. Victoria’s gross state product is expected to grow by a limited 1.5 per cent in 2012-13 and by 2.25 per cent in 2013-14. Table 2: Victorian economic projections Real gross state product Employment Unemployment rate Consumer price index Wage price index Population 2011-12 Actual 2.3 0.8 5.4 2.3 3.5 1.6 2012-13 Forecast 1.50 0.5 5.75 2.25 3.50 1.70 2013-14 Forecast 2.25 1.50 5.50 2.50 3.50 1.70 2014-15 Forecast 2.75 1.75 5.25 2.50 3.50 1.70 2015-16 Forecast 2.75 1.75 5.00 2.50 3.50 1.70 2016-17 Forecast 2.75 1.50 5.00 2.50 3.50 1.70 Source: Budget Paper Number 2, p13 Grants and Transfers to Local Government As shown in the table below, total grants and transfers to local government are expected to remain stable in 2013-14. A major restructure of the departments have made comparison between years difficult. Some caution should be exercised in interpreting these data however, as it incorporates a range of funding programs including the Commonwealth financial assistance and road grants. The Financial Assistance Grants program has included early payments in recent years which influence comparisons over time. HACC and MCH funding programs are excluded from these figures. In addition, major grants deriving from the Department of Treasury and Finance relate to disaster reimbursements and are therefore only provided in the aftermath of major disaster events. Table 3: Grants and transfers to local government ($ thousand) Department of Business and Innovation Department of Education and Early Childhood Development Department of Environment and Primary Industries Parks Victoria Catchment Management Authorities Department of Health Department of Human Services Department of Justice Country Fire Authority Department of Planning and Community Development Department of Premier and Cabinet Department of Primary Industries Department of State Development, Business and Innovation Department of Sustainability and Environment Department of Transport Department of Transport, Planning and Local Infrastructure Department of Treasury and Finance Total grants 2012-13 Budget 3 987.9 503.0 2012-13 Revised 9 9036.9 503.0 2013-14 Budget na 7 529.2 na 1 110.2 765.0 .. 3 908.3 8 226.4 882.6 687 544.3 na 62.5 765.0 .. 3 908.3 5 064.4 882.6 447 147.1 21 790.7 62.5 765.0 .. 4 006.0 6 164.4 926.7 na 8 046.5 611.0 na 5 046.5 232.0 na 10 495.6 na 69 312.9 6 865.0 72 447.0 na 15 554.3 89 771.0 na na na 732 778.2 175 932.0 975 829.2 280 019.0 858 892.6 14 704.0 859 535.1 Source: Budget Paper 3, p339. FURTHER INFORMATION All State Budget papers and media releases listed by Ministerial responsibilities are available on the Victorian Government’s budget website. For further information about the members brief, contact Owen Harvey-Beavis. Website link: www.budget.vic.gov.au