Rainfall Temperature Maximum temperature Minimum temperature 700 35 600 30 500 25 400 20 300 15 200 10 100 5 0 0 J (b) F M A M Irradiance J J A S O N D Day-length 600 16 14 Irradiance (MJ/m 2) 500 12 400 10 300 8 6 200 4 100 Day length (hr) Precipitation (mm) (a) Temperature (ºC) Figures 2 0 0 J F M A M J J A S O N D Fig. S1. Main climatic variables at the Fushan subtropical rain forest, Taiwan (22-year average, 1991–2012). (a) Mean monthly rainfall and temperature (including mean, maximum, and minimum temperature); (b) total monthly irradiance and mean monthly day length. All climatic variables were measured at the Fushan meteorological station, located 3 km to the east of Fushan FDP. 1 Fig. S2. Monthly time series of the local climatic variables (including mean, maximum, and minimum temperature, rainfall, and irradiance) at the Fushan subtropical rain forest, Taiwan, and the ENSO indices (including ENSO34, ENSO4, and SOI indices) from September 2002 to August 2012. 2 Fig. S3. Correlation matrix for the five local climatic variables (mean, maximum, and minimum temperature, rainfall, and irradiance) at the Fushan subtropical rain forest. The correlation coefficients and 95% confidence limits are listed in the upper triangular matrix. The 95% confidence limits is computed by using stationary bootstrap (5000 times). Correlation coefficients significantly different from zero are indicated in red. The lower triangular matrix is the scatter plots between the paired climatic variables. 3 Fig. S4. Cross correlations between the number of species flowering (left panel)/fruiting (right panel) and the local climatic variables recorded in the Fushan weather station (panels from top to bottom: irradiance, rainfall, mean temperature, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature). Significant and insignificant correlations are indicated by solid and open circles, respectively. Shaded areas are the 95% confidence limits. 4 Fig. S5. Cross correlations between the number of species flowering (left panel)/fruiting (right panel) and the indices of the El Niño Southern Oscillation variables (panels from top to bottom: ENSO34, ENSO4, SOI). Significant and insignificant correlations are indicated by solid and open circles, respectively. Shaded areas are the 95% confidence limits. 5 Fig. S6. Cross correlations between the local climatic variables recorded in the Fushan weather station (panels from top to bottom: irradiance, rainfall, mean temperature, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature) and the indices of the El Niño Southern Oscillation variables (panels from left to right: ENSO34, ENSO4, SOI). Significant and insignificant correlations are indicated by solid and open circles, respectively. Shaded areas are the 95% confidence limits. 6 Fig. S7. Frequency distributions of the best predictive time window of six climatic variables for flower (a) and seed (b) production. Different time windows are indicated by different colors. 7 Fig. S8. Phylogenetic distribution of correlations between flower production and climatic variables on the PHYLOMATIC phylogenetic tree for 44 studied species. Branches are shaded in proportion to the weighted mean of trait values of descendent tips simply for the illustration, and ancestral states should not be over-interpreted. Species abbreviation can be found in Table S1. 8 Fig. S9. Phylogenetic distribution of correlations between seed production and climatic variables on the PHYLOMATIC phylogenetic tree for 28 studied species. Branches are shaded in proportion to the weighted mean of trait values of descendent tips simply for the illustration, and ancestral states should not be over-interpreted. Species abbreviation can be found in Table S1. 9 Fig. S10. Cross correlations between the number of species flowering (left panel)/fruiting (right panel) and the local climatic variables with different moving-average windows (panels from top to bottom: irradiance, rainfall, mean temperature, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature). Significant and insignificant correlations are indicated by solid and open circles, respectively. Shaded areas are the 95% confidence limits. 10 Fig. S11. Cross correlations between the local climatic variables recorded with different moving-average windows (panels from top to bottom: irradiance, rainfall, mean temperature, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature) and the indices of the El Niño Southern Oscillation variables (panels from left to right: ENSO34, ENSO4, SOI). Significant and insignificant correlations are indicated by solid and open circles, respectively. Shaded areas are the 95% confidence limits. 11