Potential for Transit-Oriented Development in San Diego: Where should agencies facilitate TOD and how can they collaborate? Katie Lemmon UP 206A, W11 Prof. Estrada March, 2011 1 Introduction San Diego County has many transit options including trolley, bus rapid transit, commuter rail and regular bus service. Bus rapid transit is one proposed solution to combat region-wide mobility issues in San Diego. With this in mind, this project seeks to spatially analyze the City of San Diego to identify specific areas that would be excellent locations for transit-oriented development. San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) plans the region’s transit and yet the City has jurisdiction over approving specific projects that would contribute to transit ridership. This project explores the following question: Where should SANDAG and the City of San Diego work together to prioritize transit-oriented development and what tools will help these agencies collaborate? For this project I identified a few characteristics that need to be present for successful transit-oriented development (TOD): high density of people, access to transit and amenities inhabitants who will actually take transit or non-car modes Given these characteristics I also wanted to identify areas with a high potential for successful TOD within ¼ mile of bus rapid transit and express bus stops and routes. This includes a proposed bus rapid transit line. Methodology To address the policy question, this project followed these steps: Identify express bus routes and stops in San Diego Rank census tracts based on TOD demographics: o Population density – weighted 1 because it’s an important component of TOD o Workers who commute using alternatives to cars – weighted 2 because it is more important than density o Workers with no vehicles – weighted 2 because indicates transit need and is as Within identified census tracts, create ¼ buffer around existing express bus stops and proposed rapid route Identify redevelopment areas, if any Identify and create online tool for inter-agency collaboration 2 Layout 1: This layout shows an inset map locating the City of San Diego and putting the study area in context. The City of San Diego is on the coast in the southwesternmost corner of the county. Skills - Inset map, Geoprocessing (clipping) Layout 2: The second layout highlights the existing express bus routes in the city. Location of express bus routes is one of the components that will be considered in answering the policy question. Skills - Attribute sub-set selection, selected express bus routes and stops from dataset of all transit modes 3 Layout 3: In this map I created an index of necessary census tract characteristics for TOD. To do this, I aggregated the alternative commuter modes from census data into one field called alternative means to work. The index gave population density (number of people per square mile – also a newly created field) a weight of 1, alternative means to work a weight of 2, and workers with no vehicles a weight of 2. Census tracts that ranked higher in the index are darker red in this layout. This layout also includes the express bus routes so the viewer can visually compare high-potential tracts with express bus routes. Using the index, the top 5 highest potential tracks are outlined in bright green. Skills - Aggregating attribute fields, Created index Layout 4: This layout focuses on the area determined as having the highest potential for TOD by the ranking index. It also shows the existing express routes that go through the tracts and the express stops. The yellow half circles show a quarter-mile buffer around the existing stops but within the census tracts. Skills - Buffering – ¼ mile radius around express bus stops, Geoprocessing – intersect tool to show areas within census tracts that are ¼ mile from express bus stops 4 Layout 5: This layout speaks to how the City can think about its involvement in facilitating TOD. The redevelopment areas for the City are shown. Four out of five of the highlighted census tracts fall within the same redevelopment area, MidCity. The fifth census tract is not within a quartermile of an express route stop and is not within a redevelopment area so it is dropped from the study at this point. Skills - Attribute sub-set selection, Geoprocessing Layout 6: This layout is original data showing the proposed bus rapid transit route and stops in the Mid-City neighborhood of San Diego. Both the stops and route shapefiles were drawn in ArcGIS. The accompanying metadata is shown below. Skills – Original Data, Metadata 5 Layout 7: Combining the original data from the previous layout with the high priority census tracts and existing express routes, this layout paints a picture of the future rapid transit connectivity in the Mid-City neighborhood. A quarter-mile buffer around the proposed route is shown in light green. The combination of this buffer and the quarter-mile buffer around existing express stops will show the priority area within which the City should facilitate TOD. Skills - Buffering – ¼ mile radius around proposed route, Seven Layers Layout 8: The orange area shows the combined buffers that represent the priority area for the two agencies to collaborate on and encourage TOD. Skills – Geoprocessing, intersect, merge, and dissolve 6 Layout 9: Using the area created above, this layout shows which parcels are within the priority area. This is another way to think about how the City can facilitate more TOD in the area. Skills - Geoprocessing 7 Collaboration Tool Beyond identifying where TOD should be located in the City, given the relationship between land use and transportation, interagency collaboration is also important to facilitate TOD. To this end, I created a model to streamline the process of writing HTML code to create an online collaboration tool. The following model took multiple layer files and converted them to KML files for use in the HTML code. Steps to creating Google mash-up: Model 1. Create model to convert files to KMZ 2. Research for-sale parcels online as of 3/14/11 3. Geocode for-sale parcels 4. Write html 5. Display layers on Google map 6. SANDAG and the City can share maps In addition to the data files from the layouts created, information on for-sale parcels was needed. Using the online real estate website, Loopnet, I identified four for-sale properties within or near the priority project area identified in the spatial analysis. The properties from this online search were included in the HTML code to produce the resulting Google mash-up map. Loopnet.com for location of for-sale properties Google Mash-Up: Online Collaboration Tool 8 Conclusion/Recommendations The priority area identified by this spatial analysis is important information for agencies to determine where to facilitate and encourage transit-oriented development. This development will support the transit that serves it. Because the transit planning function and permit approval process are siloed in different agencies, this is an opportunity for collaboration. One project can support the other. To streamline collaboration and also potentially provide information to the private developers or the public, a Google mash-up will aid SANDAG and the City of San Diego. Sources The data in this project is from the following sources: • SANDAG • SanGIS • UCLA MapShare • ESRI-TIGER • American Community Survey • US Census • Bing maps • Google maps 9