A RESEARCH PAPER on Tackling the Burmese Regime’s Divide and Rule Policies by Elizabeth Hkawn Bu The views expressed in this paper are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Educational Initiatives. Introduction Burma has been well known in the international community as a country that has had a very long lasting dictatorship. Despite the existence of strong dissidents, the military regime has managed to survive for more than half a century. Since the birth of the military regime in the mid 20th century, there have also been many opposition groups, which fight for democracy and independence. Although opposition groups can be divided into two major categories—pro-democracy groups and ethnic minority groups— there are numerous fragmented groups within these categories. This situation allows the military regime to survive by exercising divide and rule policies. In this essay, I will first highlight the tactics of divide and rule policies practiced by the Burmese regime. The first section is meant to depict how the diverse interests of ethnic groups and different political approaches of political parties and ethnic armed groups generate the proper conditions for the military regime to implement divide and rules policies. In the second part, the weaknesses of pro-democracy groups and ethnic minority groups are discussed so as to point out what obstructs the democratization and national reconciliation processes in the country. Finally, I will attempt to draw some possible methods to bring about unity among ethnic groups and political parties and to reconcile the nation by suggesting that the National League for Democracy (NLD) should put more effort into dealing with ethnic issues and by encouraging ethnic groups to build up 1 alliances in fighting for democracy and genuine federalism through practicing more inclusive political approaches. Divide and Rule Policies of Burmese Regime Divide and rule policies are used for many purposes: for handling political and economic issues and strengthening the state’s control over the public. For example, divide and rule policies are obviously used in Burma by the military government so as to disunite the ethnic groups and opposition groups so that it would be much easier for the regime to remain dominant over all the aspects of the country and steer the polity at will. Burma is made up of many different ethnic-groups. I will sketch out how the characteristics of multi-ethnicity give the regime opportunities to practice divide and rule policies. An ethnic group, a social group or category of the population, in a larger society, is set apart and bound together by common ties of race, language, nationality, or culture. Ethnic diversity is one form of the social complexity found in most contemporary societies. Burma is a very ethnically diverse country, and such characteristics influence the political issues of the country. All of the ethnic groups are uniquely different from one another, which is, in a way, a ground to set one particular group apart from others. As they have diverse languages, cultures and literatures, and live in geographically different places, their interests are not the same. Burma’s military regime uses this diversity to implement divide and rule policies in a very effective way. For example, the regime may give different favors to different ethnic groups, causing one group to feel discriminated against by other groups, which have supposedly better favors from the regime. As a result, there arises inequality and disunity among ethnic groups. These situations create the perfect conditions for the military regime to remain unchallengeable. The regime’s practice of divide and rule policies can be seen clearly in recent political reform processes. Take the ceasefire attempts of the government as an example. There are many armed groups such as the KNU, KIA, SSPP/SSA, and so on. In negotiations with these armed groups, the government’s ‘peace delegate’ to the KIO said the government wishes to talk to ethnic groups individually, refusing to talk to the groups together as an alliance. This is a clear sign that the union government is insincere toward ethnic nationalities, and is practicing ‘divide and rule’ policies towards the different ethnic groups. President Thein Sein is also playing the divide and rule game. We can see such acts of the president by observing his words about ethnic issues. He has said that each ethnic armed group should go and deal with its respective local state government individually to reach agreements for peace or ceasefires. Every ethnic political organization understands that the first step for peace is a ceasefire. However, to discuss ceasefires only with state governments would be 2 ineffective and pointless as the local governments have no power over the Burmese Army, which is attacking ethnic armed groups. The ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) is clearly concerned about any coordination between ethnic groups, even among ethnic political parties that contested the 2010 elections. Five ethnic political parties - the Chin National Party, All Mon Region Democracy Party, Salon-sawor Democratic Party, the Shan Nationalities Democratic Party, and the Arakan National Progressive Party - recently formed a ‘brotherhood of ethnic parties’, and demanded the government set in motion a ‘peace dialogue’ with all ethnic armed groups. Following the group’s statement, the parties received pressure from the government to resign from the ethnic alliance. The members of parliament of the ethnic parties, who had been appointed as ministers in state governments, were encouraged to tell their mother parties to quit the ‘brotherhood’1. This proves that the USDP is attempting to not only divide ethnic groups but also to hinder their efforts to cooperate. There is another kind of separatist consequence of the 2008 constitution, which is affecting the six self-administered zones. Those newly formed self-administered zones are Palaung (Namshan and Manton townships), Kokang (Konkyan and Laukkai townships), Pao (Hopong, Hshihseng and Pinlaung townships), Danu (Ywangan and Pindaya townships), Wa selfadministrated division (Hopang, Mongmao, Panwai, Pangsang, Naphan and Metman townships) and Naga (Leshi, Lahe and Namyun townships). While most of these ethnic groups demand certain autonomy or the rights to administer their regions, granting such self-administrative power only to those particular regions should be interpreted as nothing other than evidence of separatist policies. Therefore, this too is an obvious example of divide and rule policies. As a result of these kinds of self-administered zones, the rival interests of political parties and ethnic minorities arise, which lead to ethnic conflicts. The regime also deals with urban and rural areas unequally. We can clearly see that the government is implementing suppressive policies in rural areas, most of which are home to ethnic minorities. One obvious example of such suppressive acts is taking place in Shan state. The Burmese Army has reactivated the “four cuts” policy since the ceasefire groups in Shan state dismissed the Border Guard Force program. The “four cuts” policy involves: (1) Cutting and blockading of communications between armed rebel groups; (2) Embargo restricting people and consumer goods entering rebel territories; 1 Independent Mon News Agency, ‘’Ethnic groups must be cautions of UNDP Government’s new ‘Divide and Rule’ policies’’, accessed on August 26,2011.www.monnwes.org 3 (3) Search for and destruction of core members responsible for supply, information, funds and recruits; and (4) Embargo on trade to reduce rebel revenue. The previous four cuts campaign launched in 1996-98 was unsuccessful. It caused the displacement of more than 300,000 people in 1,500 villages in 11 townships in Shan State. This kind of suppressive policy threw the people in these impacted areas into despair. The victimized rural dwellers, mostly ethnic minorities, have to struggle for their survival while people in the urban areas are seeking opportunities to strengthen their prosperity. Here, we can see that urban and rural areas are treated so dissimilarly by the regime that they are as different as black and white. Obstacles to democratic Burma Amid the reforms so far initiated, obstacles to democratization have also become more obvious as reformists’ efforts are being attacked by hardliners. It has been made clearer what prevents us from becoming a democratic country. Reforms will be analyzed to highlight what obstacles we are facing regarding the ongoing democratization processes in Burma. One of the major obstacles lies in the very core of newly formed parliamentary. Before the 2010 election, military officers took their uniforms off and put on the suits of the Union of Solidarity and Development Party on in order to keep their positions as elected officials through the fake election. This has resulted in a quasi-civilian government, which is composed of exmilitary officers, including the so-called reformist president Thein Sein. The government is not a genuine civilian government. Therefore, the very existence of ex-military generals and their partners in the parliament stands as an obstacle to achieving democracy in Burma. No one can deny that some changes have taken places in Burma, but it remains questionable whether these changes will result in the genuine reform that the public wants or broaden the democratic practices of the government. These attempts at democratization are largely under the control of ex-military officers who would rather escape punishment for their past abuses of power than cede ground to reformists. The weakness of the main opposition party, the National League for Democracy, can also be seen as a preventive factor for national unity in Burma. As the regime in power is exercising divide and rule policies, disunity among opposition groups or democratic forces allows the regime to grow. Thus, this kind of fragmentation among opposition groups is an obstacle to Burma’s transition to democracy, as it prolongs the life of the regime. The NLD is the strongest opposition party and is said to be leading the democratization process in Burma. All opposition parties and ethnic armed groups have been fighting for real democracy 4 in Burma as well as their own ethnic rights. In general, we are all riding in the same boat which boards on a democratic bank and encompasses minorities’ interests, but the NLD seems to concentrate only on democracy and neglects ethnic minorities’ interests. For instance, regarding the ongoing civil war in Kachin state and sectarian conflict between the Arakan and Rohingya, the NLD has only given speeches, issued statements and offered some humanitarian aid to the affected areas, rather than offer hands-on participation. Based on this kind of negligence regarding ethnic issues, ethnic minority groups have lost confidence in the NLD. This situation makes an alliance among democratic forces, opposition groups and ethnic minorities hard to achieve. Ethnic leaders do not want to affiliate with the NLD because they think that their roles will simply be lost if they do. Although most people admire Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, strong nationalism undermines her role and prestige because she is a member of the Burmese ethnic group which is has historically been the main enemy of the ethnic minorities. Therefore, it is evident that disunity among ethnic minorities and the main political party, and lack of mutual trust among them, are obstructive to the democratization process in Burma. Poverty and lack of education also weaken the attempts to democratize the country. The people of Burma have lived under the authoritarian regime for more than five decades. They were living in darkness because people were provided no electricity, poor education, no access to the Internet, no freedom of expression, no freedom of press, and insufficient employment. They have been stricken with such poverty that they do not even know their rights. People have been brainwashed by the ruthless government’s violent actions. They have been forced to become accustomed to this system year by year. The education system has also deteriorated since 1988. This worsens poverty by diminishing the peoples’ employability. Making the public uneducated and extremely poor is one of the most effective suppressive tactics of the ruthless military government. Finally, the weak political participation of the public is also a factor that slows down democratization in Burma. Because of the poor education system, the people lack knowledge of politics which makes them fall prey to the military government. Furthermore, people become uninterested in political issues and are even hostile to political activities because the government has been prosecuting political activists very seriously. Witnessing the punishment and torture of politicians has deterred the public from participating in the political process. As a consequence, the role of civil society in the country’s changing political system has been weakened, and the democratization processes are taking much longer than they should. In short, the existence of hardliner ex-military generals in the core of parliament seeking to protect themselves from reformists is the major obstacle for democratization in Burma. The fact that the major opposition party, the National League for Democracy, ignores ethnic 5 minority interests is also a factor that weakens democratic alliances in pressurizing the regime to transform into a democratic government. In addition, the diverse political interests of numerous ethnic groups causes many conflicts among the ethnic groups themselves and among political parties. This has resulted in the instability of democratization processes and the longevity of the regime’s divide and rule policies. Finally, poverty, poor education, public hostility to politics, and weak civil society make the government undemocratic. Road maps to reconciliation In the transitional period, we have an example in the 2010 election of a political process which was neither fair nor free. There was a lack of voter education and many people did not know how to vote or participate. It is, in my opinion, extremely important to adequately prepare for the upcoming 2015 election. The 2015 election will be the best opportunity for pro-democracy forces to gain seats in the parliament. Therefore, I think we need to have a strategic plan in place in order to bring about the best possible results for this election. In order to make a strategic plan for a transition to democracy and national reconciliation, negotiation between democratic forces, ethnic political parties and armed groups should be undertaken as the first step in order to create common political ground. This is the most challenging task for both ethnic minorities and opposition parties. National reconciliation does not appear to be an easy task for Burma. However, there was an occasion in which ethnic minorities and the Burmese ethnic majority reached an agreement. Looking to history, the 1947 Panglong Conference was a milestone in the politics of Burma because it was the very precondition by which Burma gained independence from the British colonial government. I think this kind of negotiation would be a very effective way to bring about another national reconciliation in contemporary Burma. In the 1947 conference, leaders from ethnic minorities such as the Chin, Kachin, and Shan signed the Panglong agreement in order to gain independence from British colonial rule. General Aung San and four ethnic leaders agreed to sign, promising “right to exercise political authority of administrative, judiciary, and legislative powers in their own autonomous national states and to preserve and protect their languages, cultures, and religions in exchange for voluntarily joining the Burman in forming a political union and giving their loyalty to a new state” (Silverstein in Lehman, 1981: 51). Realizing the merit of the Panglong Agreement and implementing those policies could bring about a genuine union in contemporary Burma. The breaking of promises made in the Panglong Agreement greatly contributed to the separation of the country into several parts and diminished the confidence of minorities in Burmese politicians. Thus the best potential way to reconcile the country might be to revive the 6 values of the Panglong Agreement and/or to initiate a Panglong-style conference, as Aung San Suu Kyi has said. In addition, we need to work on reconciliation within ethnic minorities in order to create a common political stance. There is a high degree of diversity in Burma. For example, Burma is made up of seven divisions and seven regions, five self-administered zones and one selfadministered division. Each state is rich in different natural resources. An abundance of jade exists in Kachin state and Arakan state is rich in natural gas. Therefore, the different conditions in ethnic regions require different policies. Nevertheless, all of the ethnicities have a similar ambition, which is to have genuine federal democracy. This is the ground on which we can build an alliance in democratizing the country. If democracy is perceived by all of the ethnic and political parties as their chief political goal, reconciliation could be achieved. However, it is very important for pro-democrats and federalists to educate the public in a more effective way than they are doing now. A better understanding of nationalism and democracy should be conveyed to the public to prepare for reconciliation. In my point of view, religion also plays an essential role in Burmese politics. 80 percent of the people are Buddhists, and the rest believe in Christianity, Hinduism and Islam. Therefore, religious leaders can play influential roles in advocating a unified vision to ethnic leaders. For instance, the Mon National Democratic Front (1990 winner party) and the All Mon Regions Democracy Party (which won some seats in 2010 election) merged into one due to pressure from their religious leaders. This shows that religion is an effective tool for unification in ethnic and sub-ethnic groups. To present a unified democratic front, it is crucial to convince religious leaders to lead their respective followers into such an alliance. This can be done by eliminating tension among ethnic groups through religious teachings. Upon relaxation of tension among ethnic groups and pro-democracy forces, conditions would be more suitable to achieving national reconciliation. However, equality should be carefully taken into account while negotiating with ethnic groups since they are very much afraid of the ‘tyranny of majority’. Therefore, in the formation of any alliance between ethnic groups and different political parties, each group should be represented equally and combine only for their common goal. The NLD should first conduct trust building work with ethnic minorities. Obviously, it should continuously pressure the government to stop fighting in ethnic regions. Most people are expecting the NLD to not only democratize the country but also to protect ethnic minorities’ rights. Therefore, the NLD should not act in a way that is solely focused on achieving democracy and downplays ethnic minorities’ interests. To solve the political problems of Burma, it is necessary to approach democratization and national reconciliation in a balanced way that 7 promotes political stability. This approach will enhance the democratization process, and vice versa. Another important thing that the NLD should do is prepare for the 2015 election by attracting the confidence of ethnic minorities. Though ethnic groups are suspicious of the NLD’s political stance, most people realize that the NLD is the strongest opposition party in the country and that they diligently fight for democracy. Here, the NLD should put more effort into dealing with the interests of ethnic groups so that it can earn their confidence. If the NLD could gain the confidence of diverse minorities, it is very likely that it will at least gain a good number of parliamentary seats through 2015 election, if not defeat the USDP outright. The problems of the country would be dealt with more democratically as a large number of NLD members take positions in the parliament. The ongoing transition to democracy generates a good condition for the ethnic groups and opposition groups to be engaged in democratization processes, which necessitates them building a strong alliance to enforce the reformists’ initiatives. Without mutual trust among them, there will remain difficulties in democratizing the country as it struggles with the hardliner stakeholders of the ruling fake civilian government. Democracy education is crucial to laying the seeds of democracy because the processes of democratization will be significantly accelerated if people are more exposed to knowledge of democracy. The whole population of Burma should be well-informed about democracy and democratic government. This also demands strong consciousness-raising activities for the public. In my opinion, the concept and principle of democracy should be introduced in the beginning of the school curriculum. This kind of democracy education initiative can make the public understand what democracy is and how a democratic government work. If they know about democracy, they will become more involved in political affairs and thus enhance the democratization processes of the country. Most importantly, I think it is a very good starting point for advocates of national reconciliation to cooperate with the recently formed United Nationalities Federal Council (UNFC). The UNFC, an alliance of ethnic armed groups founded in early 2011, aims to protect minorities’ rights against the threats posed by the government and military. As the UNFC’s core intention is to accelerate the progress of federalizing the country in a way that prioritizes the interests of diverse ethnic groups, multi-parties or multi-ethnic groups can begin the reconciliation process by participating in the UNFC’s work. Since the objective of the UNFC is to negotiate at the state level with the government, it is appropriate for ethnic groups and opposition parties to encourage the implementation of the UNFC’s plans. Though the UNFC should be praised for its work to effect positive changes in the 8 country, it seems to have been formed in a rather random manner. It should come up with more explicit approaches to its goals. For example, instead of only responding to the acts of the government, it should initiate negotiations or dialogues with both non-minority groups and the government. In my opinion, enhancing the workability of the UNFC and enforcing its cooperative attempts will propel the processes of national reconciliation and democratization in the country so as to fulfill popular desire for genuine federal democracy in Burma. Last but not least, I think that better participation of women in Burma’s political affairs is needed in order for negotiators to be better equipped in solving political problems. To me, weak engagement of women in politics leads to weak negotiating abilities. According to IDEA2, “women should be included around the negotiating table because their experiences, values and priorities, as women, can bring a perspective that can help find a solution to the conflict.” Therefore, I think that we should try to create a political approach which is more inclusive, giving equal opportunities to minority groups and women. Balanced participation of different political activists and different genders will be a valuable instrument in the transition to democracy and national reconciliation in Burma. Conclusion It is obvious that disunity among opposition parties and ethnic groups has been one of the major factors that enhances the effectiveness of the military regime’s divide and rule policies in Burma’s politics. The NLD’s inability to embrace ethnic groups in its democratizing processes and sole focus on tackling the regime make it easier for the regime to enact its separatist policies. Furthermore, the NLD’s emphasis on dealing with the military regime erodes minorities’ confidence in the NLD because all the ethnic groups feel that they are oppressed by Burmese military. This gap between the NLD and ethnic groups is the place where divide and rule policies are implemented. Ethnic groups’ strong desire to be independent from Burmese influence enhances the divisions among opposition forces. This is the consequence of long lasting suppression by the military government, which has imprinted a strong hatred in the mind of ethnic people. For example, as the government intensifies fighting against ethnic armed groups, the hostility of ethnic groups toward the Burmese government becomes so great that they come to hate the Burmese ethnicity. The consequence of this is the obvious growth of separatist spirit in the minds of ethnic minorities, which in turn provides the perfect conditions for the divide and rules policies of the regime. The NLD should recognize the ethnic groups’ deeply imprinted hatred as one of 2 Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA), 1998. 9 the largest obstacles in the democratization and national reconciliation processes. On the other hand, the ethnic groups should try to realize the nature of genuine federalism instead of trying to reach political goals, which are largely derived from their hatred of the military regime. To create democracy and genuine federalism in the country, opposition parties and ethnic groups should have a clear plan for long term political processes. Unification should be implemented through a binding law which will encourage coalition and cooperation among different parties. Women and minorities should also be given equal opportunities to participate in the political affairs of the country, both to protect their rights and to express their political stances. These kinds of inclusive political approaches would be instrumental in democratizing the country and for building unification among diverse groups. Upon understanding these aspects of Burmese politics, it becomes evident that the non-ethnicbased political parties - especially the NLD - and ethnic groups have to build a strong mechanism of cooperation between them. Finally, each political party and ethnic group should realize that peace and reconciliation can be achieved only through negotiation with so-called enemy parties or opponent parties. As the famous leader of South Africa, Nelson Mandela said, “You don’t make peace by talking to your friends; you have to make peace with your enemies.” Pro-democracy groups and ethnic groups in Burma should initiate dialogues with their opponents. 10