Fin 3322: Cashman CAPM In-class 1. You have a $25,000 portfolio comprised of three assets, Treasury Bills, Google, and Ford. If you want a portfolio β of 1.3, the β’s of Google and Ford are 2.5 and 0.8, respectively, and you have $12,000 invested in Google. How much do you have invested in each asset? What are the portfolio weights? 1.3 = (12 / 25)*(2.5) + (Ford / 25) *(0.8) + (TB / 25)*(0) 1.3 = (12 / 25)*(2.5) + (Ford / 25) *(0.8) + 0 1.3 = (12 / 25)*(2.5) + (X) *(0.8) + 0 1.3 = 1.2 + 0.8X 0.1 = 0.8X X = 1/8, so 1/8 of the portfolio is invested in Ford. The $ investment = 25,000/8 = 3,125 So we have 25,000 – 12,000 – 3,125 = $9,875 invested in TB Google Ford TBs $12,000 $3,125 $9,875 48% 12.5% 39.5% 2. Stock P and stock Q have had annual returns of -10%, 12%, 28% and 8%, 13%, 24% respectively. Calculate the covariance, and correlation coefficient of returns between the securities. Expected Return P = 10% Expected Return Q= 15% Var (P) = (1/3)*(-0.1-0.1)2+(1/3)*(0.12-0.1)2+(1/3)*(0.28-0.1)2 = 0.0242667 Std Dev (P) = 0.0242667^(0.5) = 0.156 Var (Q) = (1/3)*(0.8 -0.15)2+(1/3)*(0.13-0.15)2+(1/3)*(0.24-0.15) 2 = 0.00446667 Std Dev (Q) = 0.009933^(0.5) = 0.067 Covar(P,Q) = (1/3)*(-0.1-0.1)* (0.8 -0.15)+(1/3)*(0.12-0.1)* (0.130.15)+(1/3)*(0.28-0.1)* (0.24-0.15) = 0.009933 Correlation Coefficient = 0.009933/(0.156*0.067) = 0.95 3. If the correlation coefficient between stock C and stock D is +1.0 and the standard deviation of return for stock C is 15% and that for stock D is 30%, calculate the covariance between stock C and stock D. Correlation Coefficient = Covariance / (StdDevC * StdDevD) 1 = Covar / (0.15 * 0.3) Covar = 0.15 * 0.3 = 0.045 4. An investor wants to evaluate the $2.5 million portfolio described below: The market rate of return is 11.5 % and the risk free rate is 5.25%. Stock's Beta 1.3 0.7 1.25 1.1 0.9 Portfolio Composition $750,000 $250,000 $500,000 $500,000 $500,000 $2,500,000 a. Compute the expected return of the 5-asset portfolio. Stock I II III IV V Stock's Expected Return 15% 8% 16.25% 12.50% 9% Proportions 0.30 0.10 0.20 0.20 0.20 Expected Return =0.3*0.15 + 0.1*0.08 + 0.2*0.1625 + 0.2*0.125 + 0.2*0.09 Expected Return: 0.1285 b. Compute the weighted-average beta and the expected return according to CAPM for this 5-asset portfolio. Portfolio Beta = 0.3*1.3 + 0.1*0.7 + 0.2*1.25 + 0.2*1.1 + 0.2*0.9 Portfolio Beta = 1.11 CAPM predicted return = 0.0525 + 1.11 (0.115 – 0.0525) = 0.121875 CAPM predicted return = 12.1875% c. Based on the above calculations, would you recommend for or against investing in this portfolio. Briefly explain your answer. Plot on the SML. Expected Return I would recommend that we invest in the portfolio, as the expected return is greater than the return predicted by CAPM Portfolio SML SL LL ML LL Rf β 5. Suppose the current risk free rate is 7.6%. Potpourri Inc. stock has a beta of 1.7 and an expected return of 16.7%. (Assume CAPM is true) a. What is the market return, and the market risk premium? Return = 0.167 = 0.076 + 1.7 * (market return – 0.076) Market return = 12.95% Market Risk Premium = 5.35% b. Magnolia Industries stock has a beta of 0.8. What is Magnolia stock’s expected return? Expected Return = 0.076 + 0.8 * (0.0535) = 0.1188 = 11.88% c. Suppose you have invested a total of $10,000 in both Potpourri and Magnolia, and the beta of the portfolio is 1.07. How much did you invest in each stock? What is the portfolio’s expected return? Port Beta =1.07=Weight (Potpourri)*1.7+(1-Weight (Potpourri))* 0.8 1.07 = 1.7*W + 0.8 - 0.8*W 1.07 = 0.9W + 0.8 0.9W = 0.27 W = 0.27 / 0.9 = 0.3 = 30% $3,000 invested in Potpourri, the remaining $7,000 in Magnolia Portfolio’s Expected Return = 0.3 * 0.167 +0.7 * .1188 = 0.1333 Portfolio’s Expected Return = 13.33% OR Port Beta = 0.3*1.7 + 0.7*0.8 = 1.07 Return = 0.076 + 1.07 * .0535 = 13.33%