MATH 116 - TAKE HOME ASSIGNMENT – CHAPTERS 8 & 9 Problem 1 (1) DEFINE BOTH POPULATIONS AND THE VARIABLE UNDER CONSIDERATION Population 1 - 30-40 year olds who do not exercise regularly Population 2 - 30-40 year olds who exercise regularly Variable: Resting pulse rate (2) Write the SUMMARY STATISTICS (3) FIND THE POINT ESTIMATE and THINK AS A SCIENTIST Our samples indicate that the resting pulse rate is higher for people who DNER Is it higher by chance or significantly higher? The p-value will tell us the likelihood of such a results or a more extreme one. (4) WRITE BOTH HYPOTHESIS, GRAPH, SHADE, LABEL (5) USE A FEATURE OF THE CALCULATOR TO TEST THE HYPOTHESIS – WRITE RESULTS The p-value indicates that a point estimate of 4 is a likely event. At the 5% significance level, the samples do not provide enough evidence to support the claim that people who do not exercise regularly have a higher resting pulse than people who exercise regularly. Problem 2) a) Use the data from problem 1 to construct a 90% confidence interval estimate for the difference between the resting pulse rate of people who do not exercise regularly and people who exercise regularly from the 30-40 age group. Do the problem completely with the calculator; specify the feature used and the results. Indicate the point estimate, the confidence interval, and the margin of error. b) Complete the following: The obtained interval provides plausible values for .............................. We are ..............% confident that the difference between the resting pulse rate of people who do not exercise regularly and people who exercise regularly from the 30-40 age group...........is somewhere between ...........................and......................... c) What does the interval suggest? Circle the correct choices below: u1 < u2 YES NO u1 may be equal to u2 YES NO u1 > u2 YES NO Very clearly explain your choice. Since the interval contains zero, the mean resting pulse of both populations may be equal d) Are the results of the interval consistent with the hypothesis testing result? YES NO Problem 3 (1) DEFINE BOTH POPULATIONS AND THE VARIABLE/ SUCCESS ATTRIBUTE Population 1 – people vaccinated with the drug Population 2 – people vaccinated with a placebo Success Attribute: Develop the disease (2) Write the SUMMARY STATISTICS (3) FIND THE POINT ESTIMATE and THINK AS A SCIENTIST Our samples indicate that the proportion of people who develop the disease is lower in the group that receives the actual vaccine. We wonder, is it lower by chance or significantly lower? The p-value will tell us the likelihood of such a result or a more extreme one. (4) WRITE BOTH HYPOTHESIS, GRAPH, SHADE, LABEL (5) USE A FEATURE OF THE CALCULATOR TO TEST THE HYPOTHESIS – WRITE RESULTS The p-value indicates that a point estimate of -.001 is a likely event at the 2% significance level. At the 2% significance lever the samples do not provide enough evidence to support the claim that the proportion of people who develop the disease is lower in the group that receives the actual vaccine. We can’t conclude that the vaccine is effective in lowering the incidence of the disease. Problem 4 a) Use the calculator to find the interval. Write all answers as percents with one decimal place. The observed difference between sample proportions is________%__ The 96% confidence interval is (__________%, _________%) The margin of error is ___________% (Use the interval to obtain this. Show work!) b) What does the interval suggest? Circle the correct choices below: p1 < p2 YES NO p1 may be equal to p2 YES NO p1 > p2 YES NO Very clearly explain your choice. Since the interval contains zero, the proportion of people who develop the disease may be equal for both populations c) Does the interval suggest that the vaccine is effective in lowering the incidence of the disease? We can’t conclude that the vaccine is effective in lowering the incidence of the disease. Problem 5 (1) DEFINE BOTH POPULATIONS AND THE VARIABLE UNDER CONSIDERATION Population 1 – Students from college A Population 2 – Students from college B Variable: GPA (2) Write the SUMMARY STATISTICS (3) FIND THE POINT ESTIMATE and THINK AS A SCIENTIST Our samples indicate that the GPA of the students in college A is lower than the GPA of students in college B Is it lower by chance or significantly lower? The p-value will tell us the likelihood of such a results or a more extreme one. (4) WRITE BOTH HYPOTHESIS, GRAPH, SHADE, LABEL (5) USE A FEATURE OF THE CALCULATOR TO TEST THE HYPOTHESIS – WRITE RESULTS The p-value indicates that a point estimate of -0.401 is an unlikely event at the 5% SL. At the 5% significance level, the samples provide enough evidence to support the claim that the students from college A have a lower GPA than students from college B. Problem 5 – continued b) USE THE DATA FROM THE LAST PROBLEM Determine a 90% confidence interval for the difference, between the mean GPA of all college A students and the mean GPA of all college B students. USE THE DATA OPTION IN YOUR CALCULATOR The observed difference between the sample means is____________ The 90% confidence interval is ______________________________ The point estimate for the difference between the two population means is ________ The margin of error is _____________ c) Write the interpretation: We are 90% confident that d) What does the interval suggest? Circle the correct choices below: u1 < u2 u1 may be equal to u2 u1 > u2 YES YES NO NO YES NO Very clearly explain your choice. The interval provides plausible values for zero, it indicates that . Since the interval is completely below