Review 2 91.6.13 Chapter 10 Interval estimate, hypothesis tests, and p-value of the population mean difference 1 2 . Two methods, independent samples and matched samples, can be used for the population mean difference 1 2 . ANOVA for testing the equality of k population means. Example: To determine the effectiveness of a new weight control diet, ten randomly selected students observed the diet for 4 weeks with the results shown below. Dieter Weight (before) Weight (after) A 138 135 B 151 147 C 129 132 D 125 127 E 168 155 F 139 131 G 152 144 H 140 142 I 137 137 J 180 180 We like to test the hypothesis H 0 : 1 2 , where 1 and 2 are the mean weights of the students before and after taking the weight control diet, respectively. (a) For 0.1, test the above hypothesis using the classical hypothesis test. (b) For 0.05 , please use the confidence interval method to test the above hypothesis. (c) For 0.2 , please use p-value to test the above hypothesis. 1 [solution:] (a) d1 d2 d3 d4 d5 d6 d7 d8 d9 d 10 3 4 -3 -2 13 8 8 -2 0 0 Therefore, d 2.9, s d 5.322 . Thus, t d sd n 2.9 5.322 10 1.723 t 1.723 1.833 t 9,0.05 t n 1, . 2 We do not reject H 0 . (b) A 95% confidence interval for d t n1, Since sd 2 n 2.9 t9,0.025 1 2 is 5.322 5.322 2.9 2.262 2.9 3.807 0.907, 6.707 . 10 10 0 0.907, 6.707 , we do not reject H 0 . (c) p value PT n 1 t PT 9 1.723 0.2 PT 9 1.383 . Therefore, we reject H 0 . Example: The following data are the number of products of 3 different production lines. Line 1 Line 2 Line 3 Number of Products 210 215 205 180 160 195 145 170 165 2 180 190 160 175 170 155 190 155 175 Let 1 , 2 3 and be the mean number of products of the 3 production lines. Please test the hypothesis H 0 : 1 2 3 with 0.05 . [solution:] n1 n2 n3 6, nT n1 n2 n3 18 . and x1 195.83, x2 175, x3 161.6, x 177.5. Then, n x k MSB j j 1 x 2 j k 1 6 195.8 177.5 6 175 177.5 6 161.6 177.5 1779.4 3 1 2 2 2 and n 1s x k MSW k 2 j j j 1 nT k nj j 1 i 1 xj 2 j ,i nT k 210 195.82 190 195.82 180 1752 155 1752 145 161.62 175 161.62 18 3 216.91 Therefore, f MSB 1779.4 8.2 3.63 f 2,15, 0.05 f k 1,nT k , , MSW 216.91 we reject H 0 . 3 Chapter 11 Interval estimate, hypothesis tests, and p-value of the population mean difference p1 p2 . 2 test for proportions of a multinomial population and for the independence (contingency table). Example: The results of a recent poll on the preference of voters regarding two candidates are shown below: Candidate Voters Surveyed Voters Favoring This Candidate A 400 192 B 450 225 (a) Please construct a 90% confidence interval for the difference between the preference for the two candidates ( p1 p2 ). (b) With 0.05 , please test whether or not there is a significant difference between the preference for the two candidates ( H0 : p1 p2 ). [solution:] (a) p1 192 225 0.48, p 2 0.5 400 450 A 90% confidence interval for p1 p 2 z 2 p1 1 p1 p 1 p 2 2 n1 n2 0.48 0.52 0.5 0.5 400 450 0.2 1.645 0.0343 0.076498, 0.036498 0.48 0.5 z 0.05 4 (b) p n1 p1 n2 p2 400 0.48 450 0.5 192 225 0.4906 n1 n2 400 450 400 450 Thus, p1 p 2 z 1 1 p 1 p n n 2 1 0.48 0.5 1 1 0.4906 0.5094 400 450 0.582 Since z 0.582 1.96 z 0.025 z , 2 we do not reject H 0 . Example: The following data are the frequencies of products of throwing a dice 120 times: Point 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency 13 24 18 22 19 24 1 H : p p p 2 6 Please test if the dice is fair (i.e., 0 1 6 ) with [solution:] ei 120 1 20, i 1,2, ,6. 6 Then, 6 2 i 1 f i ei 2 13 202 24 202 18 202 ei 20 20 20 2 2 2 22 20 19 20 24 20 20 20 Since 5 20 4.5 2 4.5 11.0705 52,0.05 k21, , we do not reject H 0 . Example: The following data are the number of people who are in favor of, are not in favor of, and have no comment on, some proposal: Favor Not Favor No Comment Male 252 145 203 Female 148 105 147 Please test if female and male differ in their opinions about the proposal. [solution:] The column totals are 252 148 400,145 105 250,203 147 350 while the row totals are 252 145 203 600,148 105 147 400 . In addition, the total number is 1000. The table for the expected numbers eij is Favor Not Favor No Comment Male 600 400 240 1000 600 250 150 1000 600 350 210 1000 Female 400 400 160 1000 400 250 100 1000 400 350 140 1000 400 Column Total 400 250 350 1000 Thus, 6 Row Total 600 p m 2 i 1 j 1 f eij 2 ij eij 3 2 i 1 j 1 f eij 2 ij eij 2 2 2 252 240 145 150 203 210 240 150 210 2 2 2 148 160 105 100 147 140 2.5 160 100 140 Since 2 2.5 5.99 22,0.05 23121,0.05 2p1m1, , we do not reject H 0 . 7