Minimum Variance Portfolio Weight Weight BOND 2 S 2 s s B S , B B2 2 s B S , B Portfolio Variance with Weights and Standard Deviations P2 wS2 S2 wB2 B2 2wS wB S B S , B Optimal Portfolio (Weight in Bonds) Er r Er r Er r Er r Er r Er r B B f 2 S 2 S f S f S 2 B f B S B f S, B S Covariance and Correlation Coefficient Covariance (rS , rB ) = σS σB ρS,B Or ρS,B = Covariance (rS , rB ) / (σS σB ) Correlation Coefficient = ρS,B f S B S,B Portfolio Problem Use the following two portfolios to answer parts one to four. Portfolio Bond Portfolio Stock Expected Return 6% 13% Standard Deviation 10% 30% If the correlation coefficient () is -0.40 for these two risky assets, what is the minimum variance portfolio you can construct? (Hint: What percent of your wealth is invested in each portfolio?) 0.30 Weight BOND .30.10 0.4 0.102 0.8226 .302 0.102 2 .300.10 0.4 0.124 2 Weight in the stock is 1 minus weight in the bond or 1 – 0.8226 = 0.1774 82.26% in Bond, and 17.74% in Stock What is the expected return on the MVP (minimum variance portfolio) in part one using your allocation of wealth to bonds and stocks? E(rMVP) = (0.8226) x (0.06) + (0.1774) x (0.13) = 0.0724 or 7.24% What is the standard deviation of the minimum variance portfolio? σ2 = (.1774)2 (0.30)2 + (0.8226)2 (0.10)2 + 2 (.8226) (.1774) (0.30) (0.10) (-0.4) σ2 = 0.002833 + 0.006766 - 0.003593 = 0.006097 0.006097 0.078082 7.8082% Hint, must be less than 10% the standard deviation of the bond portfolio. What is the optimal portfolio of these two assets if the risk-free rate is 3% (i.e., how do you allocate of your wealth in stocks and bonds)? Wb 0.06 - 0.030.302 0.13 0.030.300.10 0.4 0.06 - 0.030.302 0.13 0.030.102 0.06 0.03 0.13 0.030.300.10 0.4 Wb 0.0027 0.0012 0.0039 0.7414 74.14% 0.0027 0.001 0.00156 0.00526 And the weight in the stocks is 1 – 0.7414 or 0.2586 or 25.86% The expected return on the optimal portfolio is: E(rOPT) = (0.7414) x (0.06) + (0.2586) x (0.13) = 0.0781 or 7.81% And the standard deviation of the optimal portfolio is: σ2 = (.2586)2 (0.30)2 + (0.7414)2 (0.10)2 + 2 (.2586) (.7414) (0.30) (0.10) (-0.4) σ2 = 0.006017 + 0.005497 - 0.004601 = 0.006913 0.006913 0.083145 8.3145%