Module 2 Managing Material flow 5 Inventory Management Content……. • • • • • • • Introduction Type of inventory Inventory related costs Managing cycle stock Managing saftey stock Managing seasonal stock Analysing impact of supply chain redesign on the inventory • Managing inventory for short life cycle products • Multiple item, multiple location inventory management Sector-wise Inventory Performance 10 inventory turnover ratio 9 1991 1996 2001 2006 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 chemical textile machinery non metallic mineral years transport metal and metal products food and beverages Sector-wise Performance on Inventory Turnover Ratio in India Types of Inventory • • • • Cycle Stock : Economies of scale Safety Stock Decoupling stocks Anticipation Stock – Seasonal Stock – Speculative Stock • Pipeline Inventory • Dead stock Cycle Stock • The inventory resulting from the production or purchase in batches is called cycle stocks. Safety Stock • Stocks which are maintained as a safeguard against uncertainties of demand and supply is called safety stock. Decoupling Stock • In most organization internal supply chain is divided into three decision units, materials, manufacturing and distributions which take care of the buy, make and deliver functions, respectively. Some organizations hold inventories at organizational as well as departmental boundaries, this is called decoupling stocks. Anticipation Stock • Anticipation inventories consists of stock accumulated in advance of expected peak in sales or that which takes care of some special event that does not occur on a regular basis. – Seasonal stock – Speculation stock Pipeline Inventory • Production and transportation activities take certain finite time, firms need to carry pipeline or in-transit stock. • Pipeline inventory consists of materials actually being worked or being moved from one location to another in the chain Dead stock • Dead stock refers to that part of the nomoving inventory that is unlikely to be of any further use in supply chain operations or markets. • Dead stock essentially includes items tat have become obsolete because of changes in customer taste, design or production processes. Drivers of Inventory Type of Inventory Driver ( Logic) Cycle Stock Economies of Scale Safety Stock Uncertainty in demand & Supply Seasonal stock Mismatch between demand and supply rate Speculation Stock Uncertainty in price of material Pipeline Stock Lead-time in production/transportation process Dead Stock Judgmental error/ Change in economic or technological environment Inventory Management: Key Decisions • • • • How much to order? When to order? Where to hold inventory? When to review? – Continuous review systems ( Fixed order quantity) – Periodic review systems Inventory in Chain • Supply chain consists of series of stock points connected by processes ( conversion processes and transportation processes) • Each stock point has demand process and supply process • Inventory at stock point : cycle stock, safety stock, seasonal stock • Inventory within conversion and transportation processes: pipeline inventory Inventory Management: Relevant Cost • Ordering cost/setup cost • Inventory carrying cost • Stockout cost – Lost sale cost – Backorder cost Ordering cost/setup cost • It include all fixed cost associated with placing an order – Administration costs involved in placing the order – Transportation cost – Receiving cost Inventory carrying cost • It capture all the actual and opportunity costs that are incurred because of holding inventory – Financing cost – Storage and handing cost – Inventory risk Stockout cost • It captures the economical consequences of running out of stock – Lost sale cost – Backorder cost Cycle-stock Inventory Fixed Order Quality Model ( Cont. Review Model) Q=Order Quantity, Reorder point= L*d Average cycle stock = Q/2 Optimal Order Quantity Trade-offs Inventory Models: Cycle Stock __________ Q =2AD/i C A = Ordering Cost / Cost of setup D = Annual Demand i = Inventory carry cost C = cost of item Q= Optimum order quantity Optimum Order Quantity Daily Demand = 100 Working days in year=300 Ordering cost = 256 Rs. Cost of item = 30 Rs. Inventory-carrying cost = 0.2 Rs./Rs./Year Supplier LT = 15 Days Optimum order Qty. = _______________________ (2*256*100*300/(30*0.20 ) = 1600 Average cycle stock= 0.5* 1600 = 800 units Reorder point= 15*100 =1500 Insight from cycle stock inventory model • Fast vs. slow moving products • Importance of volume • Focus on reduction in ordering cost/set up cost Safety Stock R= reorder point Distribution of Demand During Lead Time Safety Stock Basic Demand and Lead-time Data Demand Data d1 Demand 115 Lead-time data L1 Lead12 time d2 d3 d4 d5 d6 d7 95 150 125 28 90 93 d8 115 d 9 d10 93 96 L2 L3 15 4 L8 18 L 9 L10 19 20 L4 21 L5 L6 L7 18 11 12 Ordering Policy in Case of Demand and Supply Uncertainty Order quantity = Q* = Optimum order quantity Reorder point= D * L + K Lead Time Demand K = Safety factor Safety stock= K Lead Time Demand Impact of Safety Factor on Service Level Safety factor (K) Service level 0 0.500 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 0.690 0.841 0.933 0.977 0.994 0.998 Impact of Service Level On Safety Stock Safety Stock: Demand Uncertainty Only S.S = K Lead Time Demand ______ Lead Time Demand = L D2 D = average Demand ,D = S.D. of Demand , L = Lead-time, K = Safety Factor Safety Stock : Demand and Supply Uncertainty S.S = K Lead Time Demand ____________ Lead Time Demand = L D2 + D2 L2 D = average Demand ,D = S.D. of Demand , L = Average Lead-time, L = S.D. of Lead-time K = Safety Factor Inventory Profile at Stock Point: Cycle Stock + Safety Stock Inventor y Average Inventory Cycle Inventory Safety Inventory Time Inventory Management Cycle and Safety Stock Daily Demand: Mean = 100 , SD = 30 Ordering cost = 256 Rs. Cost of item = 30 Rs. Inventory-carrying cost = 0.2 Rs./Year Supplier Performance Mean = 15 Days , SD = 5 Service Level = 98% • Service level is the probability that all orders will be filled from stock during the replenishment lead time or during the reorder cycle. This is also known as cycle service level Impact of Change in Demand and Supply Parameters Average Demand Standard deviation of demand Average Standard Safety leaddeviation stock time of lead- - units time Safety Remark stock in days of inventory 100 30 15 5 1026 10.3 Base case 100 30 15 0 232 2.3 100 0 15 5 1000 10 100 15 15 5 1006 10 100 30 15 2.5 526 5.3 100 30 7.5 5 1003 10 No supply uncertainty, No demand uncertainty Reduce demand uncertainty Reduce supply uncertainty Reduction in lead-time Managing Seasonal Stock • Capacity versus inventory tradeoff in seasonal demand/supply situation • Two basic approaches in aggregate planning (Sales and operations Planning) – Chase Option : Produce as per demand – Level Option: produce at the same level – Mix approaches Illustration: Managing Seasonal Stock Demand Level option Production Hiring Cost Inv. C. Cost Chase option Production Hiring Cost Inv. C. Cst Q1 8000 Q2 8000 Q3 8000 Q4 12000 9000 0 3000 9000 0 6000 9000 0 9000 9000 0 0 8000 0 0 8000 0 0 8000 0 0 12000 48000 0 Cost: level option= 18,000 Chase option= 48000 Centralized Versus Decentralized Systems • Inventory – Safety Stock – Cycle stock • • • • Service Level Overhead Costs Customer Lead Time Transportation Cost Centralized Versus Decentralized Systems: Illustration Demand distribution at each region ( 16 regions) Daily Demand: Mean = 100 , SD = 30 Ordering cost = 256 Rs. Cost of item = 30 Rs. Inventory Carrying cost = 0.2 Rs./Rs./Year Plant Lead time:= 15 Days ( No supply Uncertainty) Transportation: Decentralized- Rs. 1 per unit Centralized case: - 10% higher Decentralised system –16 stock points Centralised system –1 stock point Cycle stock/stock point = Q*/2 800 3200 Safety Stock per stock point 232 928 Total Inv. in units for the system (232+800) 16 = 16512 928+3200 = 4128 Total Inv. carrying cost 16512 6 = 99072 4128 6 = 24768 Incremental Transportation cost 300100160. 1 =48,000 Inventory for Short life-cycle Products • Short life cycle products is a special category of items where demand takes place during a sort period of item, and good are kept ready in stock to take care of demand. • Two kinds of products – Style goods (fashion goods) – Perishable goods (news papers) Newsboy model or Single Period Model Balancing cost of under-stocking versus cost of overstocking CU = Cost of under-stocking CO = Cost of overstocking Optimum service level = (CU *100/ (CU + CO ) Optimum Order size= Mean demand + K * Std. Dev. Demand K= optimum service level Optimum Order for a New Music CD CD purchase price = Rs. 200 CD sales price = Rs. 300 CD sales price after first weeks = Rs. 62. Demand: Average 100 and Standard Deviation 30 - What is optimum order quantity - If manufacturer offers buyback scheme , would your decision change? - Cost of administering return- Rs. 53 Selective Inventory Control techniques • ABC classification • FSN Classification • VED Classification ABC Classification Class Percentage of Percentage of items Total sales Value A 5-15 55-75 B 20-30 20-30 C 55-75 5-15 • ABC categorization has been used with success in following areas: – Allocation of managerial time – Improvement efforts – Setting up of service levels – Stocking decision in the distribution system ABC Classification: Kurlon Case 48 Improving Inventory Turns Type of Inventory Driver ( Logic) Improvement focus Cycle Stock Economies of Scale Reduce ordering/setup cost Safety Stock Uncertainty in demand & Supply Reduce demand & supply uncertainty & Reduce LT, supply chain redesign Seasonal stock Mismatch between demand and supply rate Reduce Seasonality in demand, Create flexible capacity Speculation Stock Uncertainty in price of material Risk management Pipeline Stock Lead-time in production/transportation process Reduce Lead Time Dead Stock Judgmental error/ Change in economic or technological environment Anticipate changes in demand structure