Valuation Methods focus on conventional market approaches Session Objectives: • Identify key steps in valuing the environment • Use selected methods to analyze environmental issues Agenda • Explain major valuation methods • Exercises • Discussions Concepts of Techniques • • • • Doze response Human capital Replacement cost Prevention cost • • • • Travel cost Hedonic pricing Benefit transfer Contingent valuation Dose-Response Method • Dose - cause of an environmental impact such as pollution • Response - resulting environmental impact • Impact shows up in changes in quantity or price of marketed inputs or outputs • Measures the value of impact in terms of changes in total surplus (consumer plus producer surplus) Changes in Total Surplus P S’ S Consumer Surplus Producer Surplus D Q Application of D-R Method • Often used if causal relationships are known (effects of pollution on health, physical effects on materials/building, aquatic ecosystems, vegetation, and soil erosion) • Physical dose-response function multiplied by a unit “price” or value per unit of physical damage to give a “monetary function”. Illustration of D-R Method • Doze-response:1 ton of untreated water > loss of fish catch 50 kg per fishing season • Average market price = $5 • Total discharge of untreated water 200 tons • Value of damage caused by untreated water: 200 x 5 = $1,000 • If the response leads to a change in existing market price, use a predicted new price Limitations • A dose may lead to responses from different input & output sectors - difficult to predict the new price • A response may be due to different types of doses - difficult to isolate the effects • The method cannot estimate non-use values • Mostly used in estimating pollution-related damages only. Human Capital Method • A sub-set of the Dose-Response method • Assess the health effect of an environmental change • Estimate the loss of working days or statistical life for the affected population • Estimate the total present value of forgone income Replacement Cost • Estimate the cost of replacing or restoring a damaged environmental asset to its original state or an established standard • A measure of the cost of damage or benefit of restoration (WTP for restoration)? • Applicable if there is an environmental standard that must be met • Efficient if the standard meets MB=MC Prevention Cost • Get data on an environmental change & related preventive measures • Observe people’s expenditures on associated preventive measures • Reflect the value people attach to environmental quality, or benefits of reduced environmental damage • Assume prevention is technically possible Prevention Cost: Illustration • • • • • • • Environmental change: soil erosion Associated preventive measure: plant trees For reducing soil erosion by 1m3, plant 2 trees Cost of planting a tree = $5 Value per 1m3 of soil erosion = $10 Observed soil erosion = 500m3 Total prevention cost: 500 x 10 = $5,000 Travel Cost • Estimate recreational (use) value of natural resources and their quality changes • Value expressed in terms of the costs of travel and time • Costs estimated through surveys • There are many different models • Expensive to carry out travel cost studies Travel Cost: Illustration I C ity P o p u la tio n (P o p ) T o ta l V isits Per year (V ) T ra v e l C o st P e r v isit (T C ) V isita tio n R a te (V /P o p ) A 1000 450 $1 0 .4 5 B 2000 600 $2 0 .1 5 C 3000 700 $3 0 .3 5 D 4000 200 $4 0 .0 5 Travel Cost: Illustration II • Postulate a linear relationship: – V/Pop = a - b x TC (for each city) • Regression analysis (Ordinary Least Square) gives the equation: – V/Pop = 0.5 - 0.1TC (for each city) Travel Cost: Illustration I C ity T ra v e l C o st p e r v isit P re d ic te d A n n u a l V isits p e r c a p ita P e r C a p ita C o n su m e rs' S u rp lu s T o ta l C o n su m e rs' S u rp lu s A $1 0 .4 0 0 .8 0 800 B $2 0 .3 0 0 .4 5 1800 C $3 0 .2 0 0 .2 0 400 D $4 0 .1 0 0 .0 5 200 Travel Cost: Illustration IV Travel cost per visit 5 1 4 2 3 3 2 4 1 Per capita visit 01 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Hedonic Pricing • Different prices of the same product may reflect different environmental quality of the product (such as a house) • Isolate the price differences attributable only to different environmental quality (such as air quality) using econometric techniques • The difference is the value of the difference in environmental quality (benefit of improvement) • Can be applied to different wages due to different job-related environmental risks Benefit Transfer • Find previous studies that have estimated economic benefits of a similar environmental change • Transfer those estimates to the site of interest with adjustments to account for differences in social, economic, and environmental characteristics between the previous sites and the new site • It is an inexpensive approach, still in its infancy Contingency Valuation • A hypothetical scenario of the specific terms under which the good/service is to be offered • Give the description to respondents & ask them their WTP for environmental improvement or WTA to avoid deterioration under the specific terms • Ask questions on socio-economic and demographic characteristics for econometric analysis • Not easy to do!