Introduction to Management Science 8th Edition by Bernard W. Taylor III Chapter 16 Inventory Management Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 1 Chapter Topics Elements of Inventory Management Inventory Control Systems Economic Order Quantity Models The Basic EOQ Model The EOQ Model with Non-Instantaneous Receipt The EOQ Model with Shortages EOQ Analysis with QM for Windows EOQ Analysis with Excel and Excel QM Quantity Discounts Reorder Point Determining Safety Stocks Using Service Levels Order Quantity for a Periodic Inventory System Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 2 Elements of Inventory Management Role of Inventory (1 of 2) Inventory is a stock of items kept on hand used to meet customer demand.. A level of inventory is maintained that will meet anticipated demand. If demand not known with certainty, safety (buffer) stocks are kept on hand. Additional stocks are sometimes built up to meet seasonal or cyclical demand. Large amounts of inventory sometimes purchased to take advantage of discounts. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 3 Elements of Inventory Management Role of Inventory (2 of 2) In-process inventories maintained to provide independence between operations. Raw materials inventory kept to avoid delays in case of supplier problems. Stock of finished parts kept to meet customer demand in event of work stoppage. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 4 Elements of Inventory Management Demand Inventory exists to meet the demand of customers. Customers can be external (purchasers of products) or internal (workers using material). Management needs accurate forecast of demand. Items that are used internally to produce a final product are referred to as dependent demand items. Items that are final products demanded by an external customer are independent demand items. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 5 Elements of Inventory Management Inventory Costs (1 of 3) Carrying costs - Costs of holding items in storage. Vary with level of inventory and sometimes with length of time held. Include facility operating costs, record keeping, interest, etc. Assigned on a per unit basis per time period, or as percentage of average inventory value (usually estimated as 10% to 40%). Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 6 Elements of Inventory Management Inventory Costs (2 of 3) Ordering costs - costs of replenishing stock of inventory. Expressed as dollar amount per order, independent of order size. Vary with the number of orders made. Include purchase orders, shipping, handling, inspection, etc. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 7 Elements of Inventory Management Inventory Costs (3 of 3) Shortage, or stockout costs - Costs associated with insufficient inventory. Result in permanent loss of sales and profits for items not on hand. Sometimes penalties involved; if customer is internal, work delays could result. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 8 Inventory Control Systems An inventory control system controls the level of inventory by determining how much (replenishment level) and when to order. Two basic types of systems -continuous (fixed-order quantity) and periodic (fixed-time). In a continuous system, an order is placed for the same constant amount when inventory decreases to a specified level. In a periodic system, an order is placed for a variable amount after a specified period of time. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 9 Inventory Control Systems Continuous Inventory Systems A continual record of inventory level is maintained. Whenever inventory decreases to a predetermined level, the reorder point, an order is placed for a fixed amount to replenish the stock. The fixed amount is termed the economic order quantity, whose magnitude is set at a level that minimizes the total inventory carrying, ordering, and shortage costs. Because of continual monitoring, management is always aware of status of inventory level and critical parts, but system is relatively expensive to maintain. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 10 Inventory Control Systems Periodic Inventory Systems Inventory on hand is counted at specific time intervals and an order placed that brings inventory up to a specified level. Inventory not monitored between counts and system is therefore less costly to track and keep account of. Results in less direct control by management and thus generally higher levels of inventory to guard against stockouts. System requires a new order quantity each time an order is placed. Used in smaller retail stores, drugstores, grocery stores and offices. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 11 Economic Order Quantity Models Economic order quantity, or economic lot size, is the quantity ordered when inventory decreases to the reorder point. Amount is determined using the economic order quantity (EOQ) model. Purpose of the EOQ model is to determine the optimal order size that will minimize total inventory costs. Three model versions to be discussed: Basic EOQ model EOQ model without instantaneous receipt EOQ model with shortages Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 12 Economic Order Quantity Models Basic EOQ Model (1 of 2) A formula for determining the optimal order size that minimizes the sum of carrying costs and ordering costs. Simplifying assumptions and restrictions: Demand is known with certainty and is relatively constant over time. No shortages are allowed. Lead time for the receipt of orders is constant. The order quantity is received all at once and instantaneously. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 13 Economic Order Quantity Models Basic EOQ Model (2 of 2) Figure 16.1 The Inventory Order Cycle Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 14 Basic EOQ Model Carrying Cost (1 of 2) Carrying cost usually expressed on a per unit basis of time, traditionally one year. Annual carrying cost equals carrying cost per unit per year times average inventory level: Carrying cost per unit per year = Cc Average inventory = Q/2 Annual carrying cost = CcQ/2. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 15 Basic EOQ Model Carrying Cost (2 of 2) Figure 16.4 Average Inventory Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 16 Basic EOQ Model Ordering Cost Total annual ordering cost equals cost per order (Co) times number of orders per year. Number of orders per year, with known and constant demand, D, is D/Q, where Q is the order size: Annual ordering cost = CoD/Q Only variable is Q, Co and D are constant parameters. Relative magnitude of the ordering cost is dependent on order size. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 17 Basic EOQ Model Total Inventory Cost (1 of 2) Total annual inventory cost is sum of ordering and carrying cost: TC Co D Cc Q Q 2 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 18 Basic EOQ Model Total Inventory Cost (2 of 2) Figure 16.5 The EOQ Cost Model Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 19 Basic EOQ Model EOQ and Minimum Total Cost EOQ occurs where total cost curve is at minimum value and carrying cost equals ordering cost: TC min CoD Cc Qopt Qopt 2 Qopt 2CoD Cc The EOQ model is robust because Q is a square root and errors in the estimation of D, Cc and Co are dampened. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 20 Basic EOQ Model Example (1 of 2) I-75 Carpet Discount Store, Super Shag carpet sales. Given following data, determine number of orders to be made annually and time between orders given store is open every day except Sunday, Thanksgiving Day, and Christmas Day. Model parameters : Cc $0.75, Co $150, D 10,000yd Optimal order size : Qopt 2CoD 2(150)(10,000) 2,000 yd Cc (0.75) Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 21 Basic EOQ Model Example (2 of 2) Total annual inventory cost : TC min Co D Cc Qopt (150)10,000 (0.75) (2,000) $1,500 Qopt 2 2,000 2 Number of orders per year : D 10,000 5 Qopt 2,000 Order cycle time 311 days 311 62.2 store days D / Qopt 5 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 22 Basic EOQ Model EOQ Analysis Over Time (1 of 2) For any time period unit of analysis, EOQ is the same. Shag Carpet example on monthly basis: Model parameters : Cc $0.0625 per yd per month Co $150 per order D 833.3 yd per month Optimal order size : Qopt 2CoD 2(150)(833.3) 2,000 yd Cc (0.0625) Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 23 Basic EOQ Model EOQ Analysis Over Time (2 of 2) Total monthly inventory cost : TC min Co D Cc Qopt (150) (833.3) (0.0625) (2,000) Qopt 2 2,000 2 $125 per month Total annual inventory cost ($125)(12) $1,500 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 24 EOQ Model Non-Instantaneous Receipt Description (1 of 2) In the non-instantaneous receipt model the assumption that orders are received all at once is relaxed. (Also known as gradual usage or production lot size model.) The order quantity is received gradually over time and inventory is drawn on at the same time it is being replenished. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 25 EOQ Model Non-Instantaneous Receipt Description (2 of 2) Figure 16.6 The EOQ Model with Non-Instantaneous Order Receipt Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 26 Non-Instantaneous Receipt Model Model Formulation (1 of 2) p daily rate at which the order is received over time d daily rate at which inventory is demanded d Maximum inventory level Q 1 p Q d Average inventory level 1 p 2 Total carrying cost Cc Q 1 dp 2 Q D d Total annual inventory cost Co Cc 1 p Q 2 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 27 Non-Instantaneous Receipt Model Model Formulation (2 of 2) Cc Q 1 dp Co D at lowest point of total cost curve Q 2 Optimal order size : Qopt Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 2CoD Cc(1 d / p) 28 Non-Instantaneous Receipt Model Example (1 of 2) Super Shag carpet manufacturing facility: Co $150 Cc $0.75 per unit D 10,000 yd per year 10,000/311 32.2 yd per day p 150 yd per day Optimal order size : Qopt 2CoD 2(150)(10,000) d 32 . 2 Cc1 p 0.751 150 2,256.8 yd Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 29 Non-Instantaneous Receipt Model Example (2 of 2) Q D d Total minimum annual inventory cost Co Cc 1 p Q 2 ( 10 , 000 ) ( 2 , 256 . 8 ) 32 . 2 (150) (.075) 1 $1,329 (2,256.8) 2 150 2,256.8 15.05 days Production run length Q p 150 Number of orders per year (productio n runs) D Q 10,000 4.43 runs 2,256.8 d 32 . 2 Maximum inventory level Q 1 p 2,256.81 1,772 yd 150 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 30 EOQ Model with Shortages Description (1 of 2) In the EOQ model with shortages, the assumption that shortages cannot exist is relaxed. Assumed that unmet demand can be backordered with all demand eventually satisfied. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 31 EOQ Model with Shortages Description (2 of 2) Figure 16.7 The EOQ Model with Shortages Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 32 EOQ Model with Shortages Model Formulation (1 of 2) 2 S Total shortage costs Cs 2Q 2 ( Q S ) Total carrying costs Cc 2Q Total ordering cost C0 D Q 2 2 ( Q S ) S Total inventory cost Cs Cc Co D Q 2Q 2Q 2 CoD Cs Cc Optimal order quantity Qopt Cc Cs Cc Shortage level Sopt Qopt Cc Cs Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 33 EOQ Model with Shortages Model Formulation (2 of 2) Figure 16.8 Cost Model with Shortages Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 34 EOQ Model with Shortages Model Formulation (1 of 3) I-75 Carpet Discount Store allows shortages; shortage cost Cs, is $2/yard per year. Co $150 Cc $0.75 per yd Cs $2 per yd D 10,000 yd Optimal order quantity : 2 ( 150 )( 10 , 000 ) 2 0.75 2 CoD Cs Cc Qopt 2,345.2 yd Cc Cs 0.75 2 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 35 EOQ Model with Shortages Model Formulation (2 of 3) Shortage level: 0.75 Cc Sopt Qopt 639.6 yd 2,345.2 Cc Cs 2 0.75 Total inventory cost : 2 2 ( Q S ) S TC Cs Cc Co D Q 2Q 2Q 2 (0.75)(1,705.6)2 (150)(10,000) ( 2 )( 639 . 6 ) 2(2,345.2) 2(2,345.2) 2,345.2 $174.44 465.16 639.60 $1,279.20 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 36 EOQ Model with Shortages Model Formulation (3 of 3) Number of orders D 10,000 4.26 orders per year Q 2,345.2 Maximum inventory level Q S 2,345.2 639.6 1,705.6 yd Time between orders t days per year 311 73.0 days number of orders 4.26 Time during which inventory is on hand t1 Q S 2,345.2-639.6 0.171 or 53.2 days D 10,000 Time during which the re is a shortage t 2 S 639.6 0.064 year or 19.9 days D 10,000 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 37 EOQ Analysis with QM for Windows Exhibit 16.1 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 38 EOQ Analysis with Excel and Excel QM (1 of 2) Exhibit 16.2 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 39 EOQ Analysis with Excel and Excel QM (2 of 2) Exhibit 16.3 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 40 Quantity Discounts Price discounts are often offered if a predetermined number of units is ordered or when ordering materials in high volume. Basic EOQ model used with purchase price added: TC Co D Cc Q PD Q 2 where: P = per unit price of the item D = annual demand Quantity discounts are evaluated under two different scenarios: With constant carrying costs With carrying costs as a percentage of purchase price Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 41 Quantity Discounts with Constant Carrying Costs Analysis Approach Optimal order size is the same regardless of the discount price. The total cost with the optimal order size must be compared with any lower total cost with a discount price to determine which is the lesser. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 42 Quantity Discounts with Constant Carrying Costs Example (1 of 2) University bookstore: For following discount schedule offered by Comptek, should bookstore buy at the discount terms or order the basic EOQ order size? Quantity Price 1- 49 $1,400 50 – 89 1,100 90 + 900 Determine optimal order size and total cost: Co $2,500 Cc $190 per unit D 200 Qopt 2CoD 2(2,500)(200) 72.5 190 Cc Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 43 Quantity Discounts with Constant Carrying Costs Example (2 of 2) Compute total cost at eligible discount price ($1,100): TC min CoD Cc Qopt PD Qopt 2 (2,500)(200) (190) (72.5) (1,100)(200) $233,784 (72.5) 2 Compare with total cost of with order size of $90 and price of $900: TC CoD Cc Q PD Q 2 (2,500)(200) (190)(90) (900)(200) $194,105 (90) 2 Because $194,105 < $233,784, maximum discount price should be taken and 90 units ordered. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 44 Quantity Discounts with Carrying Costs Percentage of Price Example (1 of 3) University Bookstore example, but a different optimal order size for each price discount. Optimal order size and total cost determined using basic EOQ model with no quantity discount. This cost then compared with various discount quantity order sizes to determine minimum cost order. This must be compared with EOQ-determined order size for specific discount price. Data: Co = $2,500 D = 200 computers per year Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 45 Quantity Discounts with Carrying Costs Percentage of Price Example (2 of 3) Quantity Price Carrying Cost 0 - 49 50 - 89 90 + $1,400 1,100 900 1,400(.15) = $210 1,100(.15) = 165 900(.15) = 135 Compute optimum order size for purchase price without discount and Cc = $210: Qopt 2CoD 2(2,500)(200) 69 Cc 210 Compute new order size: Qopt 2(2,500)(200) 77.8 165 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 46 Quantity Discounts with Carrying Costs Percentage of Price Example (3 of 3) Compute minimum total cost: TC CoD Cc Q PD (2,500)(200) 165 (77.8) (1,100)(200) Q 2 77.8 2 $232,845 Compare with cost, discount price of $900, order quantity of 90: TC (2,500)(200) (135)(90) (900)(200) $191,630 90 2 Optimal order size computed as follows: Qopt 2(2,500)(200) 86.1 135 Since this order size is less than 90 units , it is not feasible,thus optimal order size is 90 units. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 47 Quantity Discount Model Solution with QM for Windows Exhibit 16.4 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 48 Reorder Point (1 of 4) The reorder point is the inventory level at which a new order is placed. Order must be made while there is enough stock in place to cover demand during lead time. Formulation: R = dL where d = demand rate per time period L = lead time For Carpet Discount store problem: R = dL = (10,000/311)(10) = 321.54 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 49 Reorder Point (2 of 4) Figure 16.9 Reorder Point and Lead Time Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 50 Reorder Point (3 of 4) Inventory level might be depleted at slower or faster rate during lead time. When demand is uncertain, safety stock is added as a hedge against stockout. Figure 16.10 Inventory Model with Uncertain Demand Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 51 Reorder Point (4 of 4) Figure 16.11 Inventory model with safety stock Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 52 Determining Safety Stocks Using Service Levels Service level is probability that amount of inventory on hand is sufficient to meet demand during lead time (probability stockout will not occur). The higher the probability inventory will be on hand, the more likely customer demand will be met. Service level of 90% means there is a .90 probability that demand will be met during lead time and .10 probability of a stockout. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 53 Reorder Point with Variable Demand (1 of 2) R d L Z d L where: R reorder point d average daily demand L lead time d the standard deviation of daily demand Z number of standard deviations correspond ing to service level probability Z d L safety stock Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 54 Reorder Point with Variable Demand (2 of 2) Figure 16.12 Reorder Point for a Service Level Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 55 Reorder Point with Variable Demand Example I-75 Carpet Discount Store Super Shag carpet. For following data, determine reorder point and safety stock for service level of 95%. d 30 yd per day L 10 days d 5 yd per day For 95% service level, Z 1.65 (Table A -1, appendix A ) R d L Zd L 30(10) (1.65)(5)( 10 ) 300 26.1 326.1 yd Safety stock is second term in reorder point formula : 26.1. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 56 Determining Reorder Point with Excel Determining the Reorder Point with Excel Exhibit 16.5 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 57 Reorder Point with Variable Lead Time For constant demand and variable lead time: R d L Zd L where: d constant daily demand L average lead time L standard deviation of lead time d L standard deviation of demand during lead time Zd L safety stock Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 58 Reorder Point with Variable Lead Time Example Carpet Discount Store: d 30 yd per day L 10 days L 3 days Z 1.65 for a 95% service level R d L Zd L (30)(10) (1.65)(30)(3) 300 148.5 448.5 yd Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 59 Reorder Point Variable Demand and Lead Time When both demand and lead time are variable: 2 2 2 R d L Z ( d ) L ( L) d where: d average daily demand L average lead time 2 2 2 ( d ) L ( L) d standard deviation of demand during lead time 2 2 2 Z ( d ) L ( L) d safety stock Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 60 Reorder Point Variable Demand and Lead Time Example Carpet Discount Store: d 30 yd per day d 5 yd per day L 10 days L 3 days Z 1.65 for 95% service level 2 2 2 R d L Z ( d ) L ( L) d (30)(10) (1.65) (5)(5)(10) (3)(3)(30)(30) 300 150.8 450.8 yds Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 61 Order Quantity for a Periodic Inventory System A periodic, or fixed-time period inventory system is one in which time between orders is constant and the order size varies. Vendors make periodic visits, and stock of inventory is counted. An order is placed, if necessary, to bring inventory level back up to some desired level. Inventory not monitored between visits. At times, inventory can be exhausted prior to the visit, resulting in a stockout. Larger safety stocks are generally required for the periodic inventory system. Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 62 Order Quantity for Variable Demand For normally distributed variable daily demand: Q d (tb L) Z d tb L I where: d average demand rate tb the fixed time between orders L lead time d standard deviation of demand Z d tb L safety stock I inventory in stock Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 63 Order Quantity for Variable Demand Example Corner Drug Store with periodic inventory system. Order size to maintain 95% service level: d 6 bottles per day d 1.2 bottles tb 60 days L 5 days I 8 bottles Z 1.65 for 95% service level Q d (tb L) Z d tb L I (6)(60 5) (1.65)(1.2) 60 5 8 398 bottles Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 64 Order Quantity for the Fixed-Period Model Solution with Excel Exhibit 16.6 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 65 Example Problem Solution Electronic Village Store (1 of 3) For data below determine: Optimal order quantity and total minimum inventory cost. Assume shortage cost of $600 per unit per year, compute optimal order quantity and minimum inventory cost. Step 1 (part a): Determine the Optimal Order Quantity. D 1,200 personal computers Cc $170 Co $450 Q 2CoD 2(450)(1,200) 79.7 personal computers Cc 170 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 66 Example Problem Solution Electronic Village Store (2 of 3) Q 1,200 79.7 D Total cost Cc Co 170 450 79.7 Q 2 2 $13,549.91 Step 2 (part b): Compute the EOQ with Shortages. Cs $600 2 ( 450 )( 1200 ) 600 170 2 CoD Cs Cc Q Cc Cs 170 600 90.3 personal computers Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 67 Example Problem Solution Electronic Village Store (3 of 3) Cc 170 S Q 19.9 personal computers 90.3 170 600 Cc Cs 2 CoD 2 ( Q S ) CsS Total cost Cc Q 2Q 2Q 2 2 ( 600 )( 19 . 9 ) ( 90 . 3 19 . 9 ) 1,200 170 450 2(90.3) 2(90.3) 90.3 $11,960.98 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 68 Example Problem Solution Computer Products Store (1 of 2) Sells monitors with daily demand normally distributed with a mean of 1.6 monitors and standard deviation of 0.4 monitors. Lead time for delivery from supplier is 15 days. Determine the reorder point to achieve a 98% service level. Step 1: Identify parameters. d 1.6 monitors per day L 15 days d 0.4 monitors per day Z 2.05 (for a 98% service level) Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 69 Example Problem Solution Computer Products Store (2 of 2) Step 2: Solve for R. R d L Z d L (1.6)(15) (2.05)(.04) 15 24 3.18 27.18 monitors Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 70 Chapter 16 - Inventory Management 71