Perspective on the current state-of-knowledge of mode of action as it relates to the dose response assessment of cancer and noncancer toxicity Jennifer Seed, PhD Office of Pollution Prevention & Toxics US EPA This presentation represents the view of presenter & does not necessarily represent the decisions or stated policies of the EPA. Evolution of Risk Assessment 1980s 2000s 1990s 21st Century RA/RM Paradigm Mode of Action Toxicity Pathways Guidelines/Methods Susceptible Populations Integrated Approaches Dosimetry/PbPK Mixtures CompTox 1983 2007 1994 2 2009 Mode of Action information is core to the risk assessment paradigm and its evolution into the 21st century Understand Human Relevance Susceptibility Dose Extrapolation Mode of Action Toxicity Pathways Identify Key Events Characterize Uncertainty Promote Harmonized approach for all endpoints Inform Multiple Chemical Risks 3 How do you determine the Weight of Evidence for establishing MoA? Needs to be based around specific hypothesis judged against data International Framework Introduced by USEPA & IPCS (1999, 2001) ILSI builds on EPA/IPCS work (2003, 2005) IPCS continues work (2006, 2008) Based on Bradford Hill Criteria for Causality Distinguishes MoA vs Mechanism Human Relevance (Concordance) Analysis 4 Mode of Action/Human Relevance (MoA/HR) Framework Why is it important? – Increases predictive capacity and utility of risk assessment – Provides rigor and structure to analysis and consistency of documentation – Provides transparency – Guides and focuses research/testing 5 5 Assemble Health Effects Data Endpoint Assessment • Identify adverse effects, focusing on those of concern for exposed populations • Identify precursors and other upstream indicators of toxicity • Identify gaps – for example, endpoints or lifestages under assessed or not assessed MOA Assessment (for each endpoint of concern) • Research MOAs for endpoints observed in animals and humans • Evaluate the sufficiency of the MOA evidence • Evaluate endogenous processes contributing to MOA Vulnerable Populations Assessment Identify potentially vulnerable groups and individuals, considering endpoints, the potential MOA, background rate of health effect, and other risk factors Background Exposure Assessment • Identify possible background exogenous and endogenous exposures • Conduct screening level exposures and analysis focusing on high end exposure groups Conceptual Model Selection Develop or select conceptual model: • From linear conceptual models unless data sufficient to reject low dose linearity • From non-linear conceptual models otherwise Dose Response Method Selection Select dose response model and method based on: • Conceptual model • Data availability • Risk management needs for form of risk characterization Dose-Response Modeling and Results Reporting Figure 5.8 New unified process for selecting approach and methods for dose-response assessment for cancer and noncancer end points. Mode of Action Human Relevance (MoA/HR) Framework (v.IPCS) Dose Response & Species Extrapolations Exposure Assessment Compare “Key Events” & relevant biology between animals & humans 7 Question 1: Sufficient Weight of Evidence to establish MoA in animals? Postulated MoA (hypothesis) – Describe sequence of Key Events (measurable) – Consider other possible MoAs Experimental support for key events – Concordance of dose-response relationships – Temporal association – Strength, consistency and specificity of association of toxicological effect with key events – Biological plausibility and coherence Uncertainties, inconsistencies, missing data 8 Cacodylic Acid: Sequence of “Key Events” in MOA Measurable Key Events in Target Tissue DMAIII Metabolite Urothelial Toxicity Urinary bladder from a female F344 rat treated with 100 ppm DMAV Sustained Regenerative Proliferation Other MoAs: DNA damage via ROS? BrdU Labeling Urinary Bladder Tumors Hyperplasia 9 Q1: WoE Sufficient to Establish MoA? Temporal Postulated mode of action 6 hrs – Sequence of key events Experimental support – Relationship of key events & adverse effects – Dose-response – Temporal response Biological plausibility & coherence Strength, consistency & specificity Metabolism DMAVDMAIII + 0.2 (wk 3-0.03 ± 0.01 uM) (2 ppm) Dose Response Dose (mg/kg bw/day) + 1 (wk 3-0.12 ± 0.02 uM) (10 ppm) + 4 (wk 3-0.28 ± 0.09 uM) (40 ppm) 8 wk 104 wk Regenerative Proliferation Urothelial Hyperplasia Transitional Cell Carcinoma - - - - - + (wk 10-6/10, grade 3 or 4) + (wk 3-2/7, grade 3) (wk- 10; 8/10, grade 3 or 4) slight (wk 10-1.5X inc) + (wk 3-7/7, grade 3) (wk 10-5/10, grade 3 or 4) + (wk 10-4.3X inc) + (wk 10- 4/10) - + + 9.4 (wk 3-0.55 ± 0.15 uM) (100 ppm) Urothelial Toxicity 1 wk Identify uncertainties 10 (6 hrs-6/7, grade 3) (24 hrs-4/7, grade 3 or 4) (wk 2 6/10, grade 5)(wk 10-0/10, grade 4 or 5) + (wk 1- 2.2X inc) (wk 23.9X inc) (wk 10-4.2X inc) + + (wk 8-7/10) (wk 10-9/10) (papilloma first obs at wk 107; carcinoma first obs at wk 87) Q.2 & 3 Evaluation of Human Relevance Q1. Weight of evidence sufficient to establish MoA in animals? Compare Q2. Fundamental qualitative “Key Events” differences in key events? & relevant biology Q3. Fundamental quantitative between differences in key events? animals & humans *Use all existing knowledge: chemical specific & generic (e.g., genetic/disease models, related cpds) 11 11 Q. 2 & 3 The Concordance Analysis Qualitative Concordance Key Event Animals Bladder tumours Strength Humans Yes, Data DMAIII present following exposure to iAs; Direct exposure to DMAV? Considerable In animals; but limited data in humans Yes, Data Unknown: Potential if sufficient DMAIII and cytotoxicity is produced Considerable No data in animals, possible in humans but no Presence of DMAIII in urine Sustained urothelial cell damage and regenerative proliferation Humans Quantitative Concordance Yes, Data PbPK Model--based on use of DMAIII dosimetry at the target tissue because it represents the rate-limiting event leading to proliferation data Possible Considerable in animals; plausible in Limited evidence indicates significantly less DMA III produced humans 12 12 Carrying MoA information forward into the dose-response analysis MoA-Based vs Default Q1. Weight of evidence sufficient to establish MoA in animals? Q2. Fundamental qualitative differences in key events? Dose extrapolation based on MoA understanding Key events - shape of the dose-response curve & points of departure Q3. Fundamental quantitative differences in key events? 13 13 Point of Departure for Cacodylic Acid: Benchmark dose modeling using key events Key Events BMD10 (mg/kg/day) Urothelial cytotoxicity (3 wk; 10 wk) Proliferation (10 wks) 0.7; 0.02 BMDL10 (mg/kg/day) 0.2; 0.0008 PoD that provides a level of exposure that 0.9will not trigger regenerative proliferation 0.4 . Hyperplasia (10 wks) Tumors (104 wks) 14 2.0 1.5 7.7 6.0 Carrying MoA information forward Implications for inter- and intra- species extrapolation Default = 10X Default = 10X Interspecies Dynamics (2.5) Human Variability in Disposition (3) Interspecies Kinetics (4) Human Variability in Sensitivity (3) Data Derived Extrapolation Factors 15 IPCS Harmonization Guidance Relevant to MoA-Based Risk Assessment Conceptual Framework for Evaluating a Mode of Action for Chemical Carcinogenesis Human Relevance Framework for Cancer Non-cancer Human Relevance Framework Principles of Characterizing and Applying PBPK Models in Risk Assessment Chemical Specific Adjustment Factors Combined Exposures to Multiple Chemicals information can be found at: http://www.who.int/ipcs/methods/harmonization/en/index.html 16 2007 NRC Toxicity Testing in the 21st Century Dose Response Assessment Chemical Characterization Mode of Action Compounds Affected Pathway Assess Biological Perturbation Metabolite(s) Population Based Studies Dose Response Analysis for Perturbations of Toxicity Pathways Calibrating in vitro and human Dosimetry Measures of dose in vitro Human Exposure Data Hazard Characterization Exposure Assessment Risk Characterization Fig 3-7 Risk Assessment Components 17 Exposure Guideline