Local & Regional Economics Interregional Trade Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 1 Local & Regional Economics Lecture 8 Last lecture: - Industrial Location Theory This lecture: - Interregional Trade Aim: To discover why regions specialise in certain commodities Outcomes: Awareness of Ricardian and HeckscherOhlin theories of regional trade Awareness of more radical explanations of regional trade and specialisation Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 2 Local & Regional Economics Proposition - Regions need to trade if they are to be prosperous. All regions are becoming more “open” EU, GATT. Proportion of goods and services % GDP exported imported Luxembourg 93% 80% Belgium 75% 69% Greece 16% 24% Success breeds Success. Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 3 Local & Regional Economics Ricardian Trade Theory - regions can gain from trade by specialising in production and export of goods in which they have a “comparative advantage” Commodity Wheat Cars South 2 10 North 3 21 Possibility of mutually advantageous gains from trade. Exchange rate cars for wheat South 1:5 North 1:7 if world rate settles at 1:6 South exchanges one car for 6 tonnes of wheat can only get 5 tonnes at home North imports car for 6 tonnes of wheat but cost of home produced is 7 Regional and Local Economic Analysis (RALE) 4 tonnes Lecture slides – Lecture 8 Local & Regional Economics Question - what is the source of comparative advantage? Labour productivity (is this realistic?) Technology or capital stock? Could it be wages? Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 5 Local & Regional Economics Heckscher- Ohlin Trade Theorem Simple version only two factors of production K and L. Comparative advantage from initial factor endowment each region specialising in its rich factor. capital abundance in south leads to car production Labour abundance in north leads to wheat production. P of labour/ price of capital Fcs Fcn Wheat 1 unit Cars 1 unit Rcs Rcn Rws Rwn Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b Adapted from Armstrong and Taylor (2000) pp 125 Ratio of labour to capital L/K 6 Local & Regional Economics P ric e o f la b o u r P ric e o f c a p ita l (P L /P K ) Adapted from Armstrong and Taylor (2000) pp 125 Fs Fn W heat C a rs o f c a rs P n P ric e o f w h e a t (P c /P w ) P ric e Ps 0 R c c s R nR w s R w n R a tio o f la b o u r to c a p ita l (L /K ) Prediction South has an advantage in producing cars because it uses a lot of its cheaper factor (capital) North has advantage in Wheat because it uses a lot of its cheaper factor (Labour) Regional and Local Economic Analysis (RALE) The difference in the price ratios the8opportunity for trade Lecturecreates slides – Lecture 7 Local & Regional Economics Restrictive assumptions There are only two factors of production – labour and capital Factors of production are of the same quality in both regions Each region’s endowments of capital and labour are fixed Production functions are the same in each region (no regional advantage from superior technology) Production functions have constant returns to scale There is perfect competition in each region’s factor and commodity markets Trade is free of all obstructions (tariffs etc.) There is strong factor intensity at all sets of factor prices Tastes are identical in all regions and do not vary with regional income levels Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 8 Local & Regional Economics Relaxing the assumption of fixed factor endowment P ric e o f la b o u r P ric e o f c a p ita l (P L /P K ) Adapted from Armstrong and Taylor (2000) pp 130 More than two factors of production Factor quality (human capital) Strong factor intensities Constant returns to scale Factor migration Fs F* Fn W heat C a rs o f c a rs P n P * P ric e o f w h e a t (P c /P w ) P ric e Ps 0 R c c s R nR w s R w n R a tio o f la b o u r to c a p ita l (L /K ) Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 9 Local & Regional Economics Intra-industry trade theory (exchange of virtually identical products) Horizontal Wide range of choice may loose share in domestic market but openings in export markets Need high levels of output, economies of scale Highest in closely integrated economies Vertical In same industry but at different stages in the production chain Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 10 Local & Regional Economics Competitive Advantage Mutually reinforcing competitive advantage Importance of interactions between elements Not a formalised model but draws on case studies - not all regions will have all elements “in place”. F irm stra te g y, s tru c tu re & riv a lry F a cto r c o n d itio n s Adapted from Armstrong and Taylor (2000) pp 133 D e m an d c o n d itio n s R e la ted & s u p p o rtin g In d u s trie s Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 11 Local & Regional Economics New Economic Geography Home market effect Footloose labour/industries model Vertically linked industries model Centripetal forces Market-size Thick Labour market External economies See Krugman 1998 Centrifugal forces Immobile factors Land rents External diseconomies Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 12 Local & Regional Economics Conclusions - Why specialisation exists Ricardian opportunity cost advantage creates climate for trade. Heckschler-Ohlin theorem predicts local factor abundance as the reason for regional specialisation Intra-industry trade models explain observed behaviour Geography still matters. Next Week Inter-regional Labour Migration Regional and Local Economics (RALE) Lecture slides – Lecture 4b 13