DEGREE OF OPERATING LEVERAGE AS AN INDICATOR OF ECONOMIC READINESS OF SELECTED HOTELS IN CEBU DEGREE OF OPERATING LEVERAGE AS AN INDICATOR OF ECONOMIC READINESS OF SELECTED HOTELS IN CEBU Chapter 1 Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Chapter 4 Chapter 5 DEGREE OF OPERATING LEVERAGE AS AN INDICATOR OF ECONOMIC READINESS OF SELECTED HOTELS IN CEBU Chapter 1 Introduction Chapter 1 - RATIONALE • Tourism → hotel industry → comfortable lodging establishment • The study is aimed to obtain data on the relationship of a hotel’s operating leverage with its financial stability measured through sustained profits • Operating leverage → analysis of fixed costs and variable costs • High DOL growth dramatic improvement recession steeper erosion of income Chapter 1 - PROBLEM The research is aimed to establish DOL as an indicator of economic readiness of selected hotels operating in Cebu. Specifically, the researchers desire to answer: 1.How do the selected hotels classify their expenses as to either fixed or variable? 2.Based on the conducted survey, how can hotel expenses be generally classified as to either fixed or variable? Chapter 1 - PROBLEM 3. What are the break-even points (BEPs), margins of safety (MOSs), and degrees of operating leverage (DOLs) of the selected hotels from 2004 to 2010? 4. What is the relationship among the computed CostVolume-Profit Analysis tools? 5. Can the degree of operating leverage be used as an indicator of economic readiness? Chapter 1 - ASSUMPTIONS The researchers deem the following assumptions reasonable and necessary: 1.In the absence of Philippine-specific data regarding economic periods and events, international and/or United States-setting data shall be presumed to be applicable in the Philippines. Chapter 1 - ASSUMPTIONS 2. The recession began on December 2007 and started recovering at the beginning of 2010. 3. The researchers are primarily dealing with secondary data. Having no means of ascertaining that these data are free of misstatements, they are presumed to be true and correct at their face value. Chapter 1 - HYPOTHESES The researchers present the following hypotheses: 1.The ↓ BEP, ↑ MOS, ↑ amount by which sales can drop before the hotel incurs financial losses 2.The MOS is inversely related with DOL 3.The DOL can be used as an indicator of the hotel’s economic readiness by citing the DOL’s relationship with the hotel’s BEP and MOS Chapter 1 – SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY This study may be beneficial to the following stakeholders: 1. Hotels 2. Hotel Associations and Department of Tourism 3. National Economy 4. Academic Researchers Chapter 1 – SCOPE AND LIMITATIONS 1. Criteria for selection of hotels: • must be operating in Cebu. • must be a member of the Hotel, Resort, and Restaurant Association of Cebu (HRRAC). • must be registered with the Department of Tourism (DOT). • must have filed their annual financial reports to the SEC Cebu for the period 2004 – 2010 2. Limitated to secondary information, cost classification being internal in nature Chapter 1 – DEFINITION OF TERMS 1. Break-even Point • the point where total contribution margin equals total fixed costs • the level of sales at which profit is zero 2. Degree of operating leverage: • is a measure, at a given level of sales of how a percentage change in sales volume will effect profits Chapter 1 – DEFINITION OF TERMS 3. Economic Readiness • a hotel’s ability to profit, and sustain the same, despite fluctuations in room demand, pricing strategies, and operating costs 4. Fixed Costs • a periodic cost that remains more or less unchanged irrespective of the output level or sales revenue, such as depreciation, insurance, interest, rent, salaries, and wages Chapter 1 – DEFINITION OF TERMS 5. Margin of Safety • the excess of budgeted (or actual) sales dollars (pesos) over the break-even volume of sales dollars (pesos) 6. Variable Costs • a cost that changes in proportion to a change in a company's output level or sales revenue. Chapter 2 Theoretical Background Chapter 2 – REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE • Tourism - an integral part of the Philippine economy Iris Ng, 2004 • 136 hotels listed nationally, 19 are in Cebu www. dot.gov.ph • Hotel, Resort & Restaurant Association of Cebu (HRRAC) - the umbrella organization that speaks or the hospitality industry in Cebu www.hrrac.net Chapter 2 – REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE • Global Recession - began on December 2007 and intensified on September 2008 National Bureau of Economic Research Business Cycle Dating Committee • Philippine Hotel Industry experienced growth during recession, unlike the global hotel industry Leo Reyes, 2008 Chapter 2 – REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE • The ability of hotel companies to maintain room rates as much as possible and to deliver the same service levels should have the most significant impact on their ability to weather the downturn Neil Salerno, 2008 • Operating Leverage – fixed vs. variable costs • high in companies with high fixed cost relative to variable costs Ben McClure, 2006 Chapter 2 – REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE • High DOL translates to more money from each additional sale if there is no need to increase costs Raleigh & Roginsky, 2006 • High DOL entails high BEP – profit increases rapidly as sales increase once the BEP is reached Garrison, et al., 2009 • BEP – revenue exactly equals costs Garrison, et al., 2009 Chapter 2 – REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE • Margin of Safety (MOS) – measures how far the company is operating from its BEP Garrison, et al., 2009 Chapter 2 – THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK • Common tools used in CVP analysis: o BEP – level of sales at which total revenue equals total expenses o MOS – amount by which sales can drop before incurring losses o DOL – measure at a given level of sales of how a percentage change in sales volume will affect profits Chapter 2 – THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK • A company incurring high fixed costs (CM constant) will demonstrate high BEP, which when deducted from total revenue, generates low MOS • DOL – highest in companies with high fixed cost • Hotels – businesses incurring significant fixed operating cost Chapter 2 – THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK High Fixed Costs High BEP High DOL Low MOS Increased likelihood of future losses Decreased economic readiness Low Fixed Costs Low BEP Low DOL High MOS Decreased likelihood of future losses Decreased economic readiness Chapter 2 – CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK Independent Variables Sales Fixed Cost Variable Cost Intervening Variables DOL Economic Readiness Economic Boom • Management philosophy Gov’t Intervention HRRAC practices Economic Recession DOL Economic Readiness Chapter 3 Research Methodology Chapter 3 – RESEARCH DESIGN • Descriptive research design o to determine the DOL of selected hotels in Cebu and DOL’s relationship to the economic readiness of these hotels Chapter 3 – RESEARCH ENVIRONMENT • focused particularly on hotels located in Cebu because of its convenience and being the 2nd biggest growth center in the country Chapter 3 – RESEARCH RESPONDENTS The selection was based on the criteria set to limit the scope of the study. The respondents were: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Cebu City Marriot Hotel Cebu Grand Hotel Century Plaza Hotel Golden Valley Hotel Montebello Villa Hotel Waterfront Cebu City Hotel Chapter 3 – RESEARCH INSTRUMENTS • Survey questionnaire - to obtain information of each hotel’s treatment of expenses, whether fixed or variable • Secondary Data - financial statements (FS) obtained from SEC to calculate the DOL, BEP, and MOS of the hotels subjected to this study Chapter 3 – RESEARCH PROCEDURES • Gathering of Data - two researchers were assigned to obtain the selected hotels’ FS from the year 2004 to 2009 - from the statement of comprehensive income, a listing of expense accounts was drawn. - survey was conducted after sending a request letter Chapter 3 – RESEARCH PROCEDURES • Treatment of Data - each hotel’s treatment of variable and fixed costs were tabulated - Using the FS, the researchers computed the DOL, BEP, and MOS of the selected hotels • The following formulae were used: BEP = Fixed Costs Contribution Margin Contribution Margin DOL = Net Operating Income or EBIT MOS = Sales − BEP Chapter 4 Presentation, Analysis, and Interpretation of Data Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA • Survey Results - of the six hotels selected, only four responded: Cebu Grand Hotel, Century Plaza Hotel, Golden Valley Hotel, and Montebello Villa Hotel. Fixed Costs - audit professional fees - cable TV services - directors’ fees - employee retirement expenses Variable Costs - bedroom supplies - food and beverages - laundry services - light, power and water, - office supplies - repairs and maintenance - representation expense Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Cost Classification Mixed Cost Account Title Fixed Cost F % Advertising expense Audit professional fees 4 100 Bad debt expense 1 25 Variable Cost F % 3 75 Mostly Fixed F % Mostly Not Applicable Totals Variable F % 1 25 F % F % 4 100 4 100 1 25 2 50 4 100 Bank charges 3 75 1 25 4 100 Bedroom supplies 4 100 4 100 4 100 4 100 4 100 4 100 Cable TV services 4 100 Data processing 1 25 Depreciation expense 2 50 Directors' Fees 4 100 3 2 75 50 Table 4.1 Classification of Hotel Costs (by the selected hotels) Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA • Researchers’ classification of costs based on academic theory Fixed Costs Variable Costs - Cable TV services - Bedroom supplies - Depreciation expense - Food and beverage - Employee retirement expense - Fuel and oil - Employee SSS, PHIC, HDMF - Bank charges - Janitorial service - Laundry services - Medical expense - Advertising expense - Rent expense - Office supplies - Salaries and wages - Repairs and maintenance Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Difference of Treatments 1. Light, power, and water - usually semi-variable, in practice, entirely variable costs. 2. Insurance • property liability - fixed cost • health and accident insurance - semi-variable costs, in practice, entirely fixed costs. Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Hotels Cebu Grand Hotel Century Plaza Hotel Golden Valley Hotel Marriot Hotel Montebello Villa Hotel Waterfront Cebu City 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 21,803,689 23,534,330 25,101,155 25,755,624 26,372,012 29,879,119 4,502,869 7,577,459 5,022,963 7,041,894 6,425,926 7,590,098 5,824,797 12,330,503 11,270,089 11,067,101 10,864,455 10,389,350 171,863,661 178,592,371 193,484,544 195,670,764 157,016,858 227,619,796 48,988,731 49,373,500 50,824,128 55,168,635 60,273,516 69,016,893 591,133,311 559,717,221 730,822,462 667,163,891 745,077,510 809,463,497 Table 4.2 Break-even Points of Selected Hotels Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Break-even Point Formula: BEP = Fixed Costs Contribution Margin Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 90,000,000.00 80,000,000.00 Amount (in Philippine Pesos) 70,000,000.00 60,000,000.00 Cebu Grand 50,000,000.00 Century Plaza Golden Valley 40,000,000.00 Marriot Montebello 30,000,000.00 Waterfront 20,000,000.00 10,000,000.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year Figure 4.1 Break-even Point Graph 2009 Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Margin of Safety Formula: MOS = Sales − BEP in sales Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Hotels Cebu Grand Hotel Century Plaza Hotel 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 6,424,766 16,408,065 16,408,065 18,044,260 12,987,388 11,437,352 (2,194,803) 824,641 5,395,294 1,210,611 (1,878,127) 579,318 Golden Valley Hotel Marriot Hotel Montebello Villa Hotel 3,751,265 3,619,319 3,619,319 3,848,704 3,565,165 2,536,805 136,173,329 148,009,631 218,047,213 238,768,610 218,066,831 164,952,851 9,311,117 21,051,850 21,051,850 35,092,798 31,332,536 20,905,935 Waterfront Cebu City (123,386,438) (18,878,565) (18,878,565) 43,136,407 232,675,644 72,234,173 Table 4.3 Margin of Safety Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 60,000,000 50,000,000 Amount (in Philippine Pesos) 40,000,000 30,000,000 Cebu Grand Century Plaza Golden Valley 20,000,000 Marriot Montebello 10,000,000 Waterfront 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (10,000,000) (20,000,000) Year Figure 4.2 Margin of safety graph 2009 Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Degree of Operating Leverage Formula: Contribution Margin DOL = Net Operating Income or EBIT Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Hotels Cebu Grand Hotel Century Plaza Hotel Golden Valley Hotel 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 5.04 2.49 2.82 2.28 2.72 2.79 (2.46) 8.79 7.66 5.15 (3.03) 8.77 3.77 4.00 3.99 3.93 4.46 3.30 7.77 2.86 2.28 2.71 3.95 6.41 3.43 3.00 2.52 2.39 1.82 2.08 Montebello Villa Hotel Waterfront Cebu City Table 4.4 Degree of Operating Leverage Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 10.00 9.00 Amount (in Philippine Pesos) 8.00 7.00 6.00 Cebu Grand Century Plaza 5.00 Golden Valley Marriot 4.00 Montebello Waterfront 3.00 2.00 1.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Figure 4.3 Degree of Operating Leverage Graph Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Relationship among BEP, MOS and DOL - the higher the BEP, the lower the MOS, the greater the DOL Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 Break-even point Margin of Safety 0.40 Degree of Operating Leverage 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Figure 4.10 Cebu Grand Hotel’s BEP and MOS (expressed as a percentage of sales); and DOL (expressed in tenths) Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 Break-even point 0.50 Margin of Safety 0.40 Degree of Operating Leverage 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 2004 2006 2007 2008 Year Figure 4.11 Century Plaza Hotel’s BEP and MOS (expressed as a percentage of sales); and DOL (expressed in tenths) Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 Break-even point 0.40 Margin of Safety Degree of Operating Leverage 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Figure 4.12 Golden Valley Hotel’s BEP and MOS (expressed as a percentage of sales); and DOL (expressed in tenths) Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 Break-even point Margin of Safety 0.30 Degree of Operating Leverage 0.20 0.10 0.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Figure 4.13 Cebu City Marriott Hotel’s BEP and MOS (expressed as a percentage of sales); and DOL (expressed in tenths) Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 Break-even point 0.50 Margin of Safety 0.40 Degree of Operating Leverage 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Figure 4.14 Montebello Villa Hotel’s BEP and MOS (expressed as a percentage of sales); and DOL (expressed in tenths) Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 Break-even point 0.40 Margin of Safety Degree of Operating Leverage 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Figure 4.15 Waterfront Cebu City Hotel and Casino’s BEP and MOS (expressed as a percentage of sales); and DOL (expressed in tenths) Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA From figures 4.9 – 4.14, it could readily be seen that DOL is inversely related to MOS; while DOL is directly related to BEP. Chapter 4 – PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Hotel Correlation Coefficient Cebu Grand Hotel -0.9857 Century Plaza Hotel -0.9943 Golden Valley Hotel -0.9936 Cebu City Marriott Hotel -0.9941 Montebello Villa Hotel 0.1903 Waterfront Cebu City Hotel and Casino -0.9893 Table 4.5 Coefficient of Correlation between MOS (as a percentage of sales) and DOL DOL is negatively correlated with MOS, with an exceptions. This means that, if DOL increases, one can anticipate for a decrease in MOS. Chapter 5 Summary of Findings, Conclusion, and Recommendation Chapter 5 – SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION, AND RECOMMENDATION • Summary of Findings 1. DOL is inversely related to MOS. 2. DOL is directly related to BEP, though at varying degrees, with some exceptions. 3. The higher the BEP, the lower the MOS, and the greater the DOL, with one exception 4. DOL was highly negatively correlated with MOS. 5. DOL was positively correlated with BEP. Chapter 5 – SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION, AND RECOMMENDATION Conclusion The classification of expenses, as to fixed and variable is not constant among hotels, depending on the nature of the expense and the viewpoint of hotel management. • Hotels with higher BEP’s have the tendency to increase their BEP’s in the years to come. • Hotels with lower BEP’s tend to demonstrate relatively static BEP’s • Chapter 5 – SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION, AND RECOMMENDATION Conclusion The higher the BEP, the lower the MOS, the greater the DOL. However, such relationship is not linear; the degree of change in one does not result to a proportional change in another.Moreover, DOL is highly negatively correlated with MOS, and is positively correlated with BEP. Chapter 5 – SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION, AND RECOMMENDATION Conclusion A high DOL indicates low MOS and lesser ability to handle and survive drastic falls in sales. Thus, the researchers conclude that DOL can be used as an indicator of economic readiness of hotels. Chapter 5 – SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION, AND RECOMMENDATION Recommendations 1. Future researchers - conduct further study on DOL as an indicator of economic readiness of industries other than the hotel industry. 2. Hotel managers and executives - use this study to design a cost strategy responsive to business cycle fluctuations 3. Accounting students – use this study to help future employers manage company costs 4. All stakeholders – conduct further readings on DOL Thank you. DEGREE OF OPERATING LEVERAGE AS AN INDICATOR OF ECONOMIC READINESS OF SELECTED HOTELS IN CEBU Mr. Jun Alipe Ms. Jovelyn Q. Yu, CPA, MBA Mrs. Concepcion Rasalan-Racaza, CPA, MSA