MANAGERIAL THEORIES BAUMOL THEORY • According to Baumol, sales revenue maximization is the most important goal of managers. Models Static Model of Sales Maximization Without Advertisement Dynamic Model of Sales Maximization With Advertisement STATIC MODEL OF SALES MAXIMISATION • Given minimum acceptable level of profit, the basic assumptions of the model are :-The time horizon of the firm is a single period. -The firm is aiming for only that particular period it ignores what will happen in the subsequent periods as a result of decision taken in current period. -The certain minimum profit constraint is determined by the market conditions. -Demand curve is downward sloping curve and average unit curve is U-shape. STATIC MODEL WITHOUT ADVERTISEMENT • In figure TC – Total Cost, TR – Total Revenue ∏- Profit. X1 – Output level where profit level is maximum.X2 – Output level where profit is less than at X1 but sales are more. • Sales maximiser sells at price lower than profit maximiser. • Firm will not increase its sales beyond X2, because if profit is less than ∏ SM , It will not be acceptable to share holder and other lending Institutions and Managers. STATIC MODEL WITH ADVERTISMENT • We assume that sales revenue increases with advertising expenses. • An Oligopolistic firm will prefer to go for sales maximization via an increase in advertisement rather than a price cut. • The sales maximiser decides on optimum advertisement by examining its impact on sales revenue. • TC – Total cost (CC1+AC), BC – Production cost, TR – Total Revenue, ∏ - Profit (TR-TC), ∏max - Maximum Profit, ∏SM =Sales maximization profit, A ∏ = Advertisement expenditure incurred by a profit maximiser, AS = Advertisement expenditure incurred by a sales maximiser. • This implies that with increase in advertisement expenditure, total cost, sales revenue and hence profit, all increase proportionately. • Production cost shown by BC line is assumed to be independent of advertising cost. • If price is such as to enable the firm to sell an output yielding profit above the minimum acceptable profit level, firms will go for higher advertisement expenditure and yield greater revenue. • However, if profit falls below ∏ SM , the firms cost become too high and firm will cut back on advertisement. • Thus sales maximiser will spend more on advertisement than a profit maximiser. LIMITATIONS OF STATIC MODEL • Assumption of constant price for all product is not realistic. • Production cost is assumed to be independent of advertising expenditure. However with advertisement, the sales increase and physical volume of output increases leading to economies of sale, a firm already producing at maximum possible efficiency may face diseconomies of sale. This will effect the production cost of the firm, whether it strives for sales maximisation or profit maximisation. DYNAMIC MODEL OF SALES MAXIMISATION • Assumption:The objective of the firm is to maximise the rate of growth of sales revenue over its lifetime. Sales revenue (R) grows at the rate of ‘g’ percent. Profit is not taken as a given exogenous variable, which acts like a constraint in the static. Demand and cost curves have traditional shapes as in the static model. • R,R(1+g), R(1+g)2, ----R (1+g)n The present value of this stream of future revenue is estimated by discount formula. 1 g 1 g 1 g R, R , R , R 1 i 1 i 1 i 2 n Where i is rate of discount. The total present (discounted) value of all future revenue is n S t 0 1 g R (n 0,1,2,-- - - n) 1 i t S = Future stream of sale • The growth function is derived from profit function, as growth of firm is mainly financed by retained profits. • Highest attainable growth rate is achieved when profit is maximised. • To find equilibrium a firm, we will use iso present value curve, which shows all present value of g & R which yield same value of S. S a1 g a 2 R a2 1 g SR a1 a1 1 a1 R S g a2 a2 • Point E in the figure represents the point of tangency of iso present value curve to the growth curve . Thus firm will choose ge & Re to get the highest possible level of S subject to the growth constraint. LIMITATIONS • It try to explain long run behaviour of sales maximising firm. However in long run market demand, prices of factors of production etc. change. This model does not take these changes into account. MARRIS MODEL OF MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS • Aim – firm’s aim at balanced rate of growth (G) • This can be achieved by maximization of rate of growth of demand for the product of firm (GD) and the rate of growth of capital supply (GS) • To achieve the above growth management faces two types of constraint on its growthManagerial Constraint Financial constraint Managerial Constraint • Decision making and planning skills of the manager • Co-ordination, cooperation and good team work – this requires experience • Research and development Financial Constraint • Job security • Fear of takeover and merger To avoid these risk, manager should choose a prudent financial policy consisting of three financial ratios – Debt equity ratio – value of debts to total assets Lower the value better it is Liquidity ratio – total liquid assets to total assets ratio is too low – risk of insolvency ratio is too high – risk of take over Retention ratio – retained profit to total profit important source of finance for growth of capital, but firms needs to distribute a part to satisfy the shareholders Equilibrium of firm • U managers = f(GD) • U owners = f(GS) • Condition of equilibrium is GD = GS = G Where GD = f(d,k) and GS = r(∏) d= diversification / differentiation of product k= success rate of new product r= financial security ratio assumed to be constant proportion of profit(∏) Critical Evaluation • Marris assumes cost structure and price to be given, thus profit as given which is not true • Marris theory does not account for the interdependence in firm’s decision making • During industrial slowdown the manager’s aim will be to retain the existing power in the market rather than a balanced rate of growth • During industrial slowdown process firm may not be doing well not because of managerial inefficiency but because the overall atmosphere is not conducive to business • Marris talks about only two constraint. In real life – firm face social, cultural, environmental etc BEHAVIOURAL MODEL • Behavioral theory view business firm engaging in non- maximizing behavior. Firm emerges as a satisfier rather than maxi miser. • Simaon Satisfying Model • Cyert and March Model Simon Satisfying Model • Constraint of incomplete information, imperfect data and uncertainty about future creates difficulty for managers to get to optimum decision • Thus managers look for the second best situation, which is called the satisfying behavior. • Thus manager look for satisfactory level of profit rather than profit maximizing behavior and satisfactory level of cost rather than cost minimizing behavior. Critical Evaluation • Simon assumed that organizational behavior and individual behavior are comparable. • Model is not concrete – talks about incomplete knowledge and information but doesn’t specify the kind of information • Model talks about satisfactory level – subjective concept Model of Cyert and March • They have stressed on decision making process of multi product firm under uncertainty in an imperfect market • Assumptions – In a firm there are many groups with conflicting behavior on interest. One has to develop the goals of various groups One has to develop the overall environment of the firm There has to be treatment of uncertainty Goals of individual group • Firm is considered to have multi- goal • Organization comprises of workers, managers, shareholders, suppliers, customers, bankers, tax collectors each having different goals. • To know the goals one needs to know the origin and decision making process which leads to their formation Goal of the firm Demand of the members of the coalition Factors such as aspirations of the members, past achievements, their expectations, the achievements of other groups in same or other firms, the information available to them. • The demand of the different groups are competing for the given resources of the firm, and there is a continuous conflict • The relationship between demand (aspirations ) and the past achievements depends on the performance of the firm and the changes in the environment Steady situation – aspirations tend to be equal to past achievements. Dynamic situation – aspirations lag behind achievements excess profit / surpluses. Recession situation - aspirations are larger than past achievements Goal of the firm • The five main goal set by the firm are – Production goal Inventory goal respective dept. Market share goal Profit goal top management Resolution of conflict • • • • • Money payments Side payments monetary Slack payments Sequential hearing to demand Decentralizing decision making qualitative Treatment of uncertainty • Market uncertainty Due to - incomplete information about changing taste & preferences, changes in methods of production. Minimize -market survey and R& D • Uncertainty about competitor’s reaction Minimize – by forming collusion with rivals Critical Evaluation • The model fails to address as to how interdependence of firms will influence the action taken by top management to solve various conflicting situations. • Cyert and March deal with one form of slack i.e. the managerial slack. Other important forms of organizational slacks were ignored by them. WILLIAMSON MODEL • Managers have discretion in pursuing policies which maximise their utility rather than that of owner shareholder. • Profit acts as a constraint to this exercise. • The utility function includes one measurable variable namely, salary and other nonmeasurable ones like security, power, status, prestige, professional excellence. • To formalize the model, one has to take proxy variables to these non-measurable ones. WILLIAMSON MODEL • These proxy variables taken are emoluments of managers or slack in the form of luxury offices, company car, etc. or the expenditure which are incurred at the discretion of the managers. This reflect their power, status, prestige, professional excellence. • These remunerations have their own advantage (comparison to salaries), as the person getting these will get tax benefits. • Such payments catch less attention from the shareholders and labour force. • Also, status & power of managers is associated with the discretion they have in undertaking investment. Discretionary investment expenditure gives satisfaction to manager because it allows them to materialize their personal favorite projects. WILLIAMSON MODEL The model can be written as follows: Um ~f (s,m,i). s = staff expenditure, including managerial salary. m = managerial remunerations (slack). i = discretionary investment. The aim is to maximize the value of Um. Critical Evaluation • Model is valid for large firms where there is scope of product differentiation an discretionary investment • This model doesn’t talk about the managerial behavior of firm in relation to the rival firms and its impact on utility function