Chapter 7 Section 2 The Standard Normal Distribution Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 1 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Learning objectives 1 2 3 Find the area under the standard normal curve Find Z-scores for a given area Interpret the area under the standard normal curve as a probability Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 2 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Learning objectives 1 2 3 Find the area under the standard normal curve Find Z-scores for a given area Interpret the area under the standard normal curve as a probability Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 3 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● The standard normal curve is the one with mean μ = 0 and standard deviation σ = 1 ● We have related the general normal random variable to the standard normal random variable through the Z-score Z X ● In this section, we discuss how to compute with the standard normal random variable Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 4 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● There are several ways to calculate the area under the standard normal curve What does not work – some kind of a simple formula We can use a table (such as Table IV on the inside back cover) We can use technology (a calculator or software) ● Using technology is preferred Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 5 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Three different area calculations Find the area to the left of Find the area to the right of Find the area between ● Three different methods shown here From a table Using Excel Using StatCrunch Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 6 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the left of" – using a table ● Calculate the area to the left of Z = 1.68 Break up 1.68 as 1.6 + .08 Find the row 1.6 Find the column .08 Enter Enter ● The probability is 0.9535 Read Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 7 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the left of" – using Excel ● The function in Excel for the standard normal is =NORMSDIST(Z-score) NORM (normal) S (standard) DIST (distribution) Read Enter Read Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 8 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● To the left of 1.68 – using StatCrunch ● The function is Stat – Calculators – Normal Enter Read Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 9 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the right of" – using a table ● The area to the left of Z = 1.68 is 0.9535 Enter Enter Read ● The right of … that’s the remaining amount ● The two add up to 1, so the right of is 1 – 0.9535 = 0.0465 Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 10 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the right of" – using Excel Read Enter Read ● The right of … that’s the remaining amount of to the left of, subtract from 1 1 – 0.9535 = 0.0465 Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 11 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the right of" – using StatCrunch ● Change the <= to >= (the picture and number change) Enter Read Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 12 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● “Between” ● Between Z = – 0.51 and Z = 1.87 ● This is not a one step calculation Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 13 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● The left hand picture … to the left of 1.87 … includes too much ● It is too much by the right hand picture … to the left of -0.51 Included too much Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 14 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Between Z = – 0.51 and Z = 1.87 We want We start out with, but it’s too much We correct by Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 15 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● We can use any of the three methods to compute the normal probabilities to get ● The area between -0.51 and 1.87 The area to the left of 1.87, or 0.9693 … minus The area to the left of -0.51, or 0.3050 … which equals The difference of 0.6643 ● Thus the area under the standard normal curve between -0.51 and 1.87 is 0.6643 Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 16 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● A different way for “between” We want We delete the extra on the left We delete the extra on the right Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 17 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Again, we can use any of the three methods to compute the normal probabilities to get ● The area between -0.51 and 1.87 The area to the left of -0.51, or 0.3050 … plus The area to the right of 1.87, or .0307 … which equals The total area to get rid of which equals 0.3357 ● Thus the area under the standard normal curve between -0.51 and 1.87 is 1 – 0.3357 = 0.6643 Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 18 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Learning objectives 1 2 3 Find the area under the standard normal curve Find Z-scores for a given area Interpret the area under the standard normal curve as a probability Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 19 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● We did the problem: Z-Score Area ● Now we will do the reverse of that Area Z-Score ● This is finding the Z-score (value) that corresponds to a specified area (percentile) ● And … no surprise … we can do this with a table, with Excel, with StatCrunch, with … Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 20 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● “To the left of” – using a table ● Find the Z-score for which the area to the left of it is 0.32 Look in the middle of the table … find 0.32 Read Find Read The nearest to 0.32 is 0.3192 … a Z-Score of -.47 Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 21 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the left of" – using Excel ● The function in Excel for the standard normal is =NORMSINV(probability) NORM (normal) S (standard) INV (inverse) Read Enter Read Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 22 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the left of" – using StatCrunch ● The function is Stat – Calculators – Normal Read Enter Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 23 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the right of" – using a table ● Find the Z-score for which the area to the right of it is 0.4332 ● Right of it is .4332 … left of it would be .5668 ● A value of .17 Read Read Enter Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 24 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the right of" – using Excel ● To the right is .4332 … to the left would be .5668 (the same as for the table) Read Enter Read Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 25 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● "To the right of" – using StatCrunch ● Change the <= to >= (watch the picture change) Read Enter Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 26 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● We will often want to find a middle range, to find the middle 90% or the middle 95% or the middle 99%, of the standard normal ● The middle 90% would be Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 27 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● 90% in the middle is 10% outside the middle, i.e. 5% off each end ● These problems can be solved in either of two equivalent ways ● We could find The number for which 5% is to the left, or The number for which 5% is to the right Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 28 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● The two possible ways The number for which 5% is to the left, or The number for which 5% is to the right 5% is to the left 5% is to the right Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 29 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● The number zα is the Z-score such that the area to the right of zα is α ● Some useful values are z.10 = 1.28, the area between -1.28 and 1.28 is 0.80 z.05 = 1.64, the area between -1.64 and 1.64 is 0.90 z.025 = 1.96, the area between -1.96 and 1.96 is 0.95 z.01 = 2.33, the area between -2.33 and 2.33 is 0.98 z.005 = 2.58, the area between -2.58 and 2.58 is 0.99 Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 30 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Learning objectives 1 2 3 Find the area under the standard normal curve Find Z-scores for a given area Interpret the area under the standard normal curve as a probability Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 31 of 32 Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● The area under a normal curve can be interpreted as a probability ● The standard normal curve can be interpreted as a probability density function ● We will use Z to represent a standard normal random variable, so it has probabilities such as P(a < Z < b) P(Z < a) P(Z > a) Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 32 of 32 Summary: Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Calculations for the standard normal curve can be done using tables or using technology ● One can calculate the area under the standard normal curve, to the left of or to the right of each Z-score ● One can calculate the Z-score so that the area to the left of it or to the right of it is a certain value ● Areas and probabilities are two different representations of the same concept Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 33 of 32 Example: Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● Determine the area under the standard normal curve that lies a. to the left of Z = –2.31. (0.0104) b. to the right of Z = –1.47. (0.9292) c. between Z = –2.31 and Z = 0. (0.4896) d. between Z = –2.31 and Z = –1.47. (0.0603) e. between Z = 1.47 and Z = 2.31. (0.0603) f. between Z = –2.31 and Z = 1.47. (0.9188) g. to the left of Z = –2.31 or to the right of Z = 1.47. (0.0812) Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 34 of 32 Example: Chapter 7 – Section 2 ● The Graduate Record Examination (GRE) is a test required for admission to many U.S. graduate schools. The Department of Molecular Genetics at Ohio State University requires a GRE score no less than the 60th percentile. (Source: www.biosci.ohiostate.edu/~molgen/html/admission_criteria.html.) a. Find the Z-score corresponding to the 60th percentile. In other words, find the Z-score such that the area under the standard normal curve to the left is 0.60. (0.25) b. How many standard deviations above the mean is the 60th percentile? (0.25) Sullivan – Fundamentals of Statistics – 2nd Edition – Chapter 7 Section 2 – Slide 35 of 32