Engr. Abdullahi Sule. MD / CEO African Petroleum Plc (AP) Speaker: Formely: British Petroleum (BP) AP is one of the 6 major Petroleum Marketing Companies in Nigeria. Others are Total, Oando, Mobil, Texaco & Con Oil. AP is the 3rd largest with over 400 retail outlets. TOPIC: DEVELOPMENTS IN NIGERIA’S REFINERY INDUSTRY Brief summary of Nigeria’s oil & gas industry: • Population of Nigeria is over 130 million • Oil & Gas exploration began in the early 1950s • First commercial discovery in ‘Oloibiri’ in 1958 • Biggest exporter of crude oil in Africa • Current daily production of crude oil is over 2.5 million barrels • Member of the ‘Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) Oil & Gas Summary in Nigeria cont’d: • • • • • Four state-owned refineries Over 5000 km of integrated pipeline network 23 strategic depots Over 5000 retail outlets Major Road and Marine distribution system NIGERIA’S CRUDE OIL PROCESSING CAPACITY. *Port Harcourt Refinery, built in 1965, with installed capacity of 35,000 bpd, was operated and managed by SHELL-BP before ownership was passed to the Nigerian Government in 1970. S/N REFINERY DATE COMMISSIONED INSTALLED CAPACITY 35,000 60,000 150,000 1* PORT HARCOURT PH (EXPANDED) 2 WARRI 3 KADUNA 1965 1971 1978 1980 4 PORT HARCOURT II 1989 5 TOTAL Table 1 125,000 110,000 445,000 Source: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation REFINERY FEEDSTOCK & PRODUCT SLATE • Mostly locally sourced crude oil – Bonny Light, Escravos Light and Forcados Blend. • Allocated about 300,000 bpd of crude oil at import parity price • Refineries product Slates:- Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), Dual Purpose Kerosine (DPK), High Pour Fuel Oil (HPFO), Low Pour Fuel Oil (LPFO), Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG), Bitumen, Base Oil, Parafin Wax and Sulphur. PRODUCT SLATE Cont’d: PETROCHEMICALS: Linear Alkyl Benzene – Kaduna Refinery • Polypropelene and Carbon Black – Warri Refinery. • Petrochemical Plants integrated with Kaduna and Warri Refineries in 1988. CRUDE OIL RECEIVED BY TYPE (1997 – 2002) 50000000 45000000 40000000 35000000 BARRELS 30000000 25000000 20000000 15000000 10000000 5000000 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 BONNY LIGHT 39274443.1 27377655.82 37369550.41 23900295.81 46609266.59 39632041.99 ESCRAVOS LIGHT 36381246.05 24440897.4 28170517.97 12288843.58 35689303.98 38157025.89 FORCADOS BLEND 2334753.76 603516.91 119845.43 Chart 1 Source: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation 85371.67 CRUDE OIL PROCESSED BY TYPE (1997 – 2002) 50000000 45000000 40000000 35000000 BARRELS 30000000 25000000 20000000 15000000 10000000 5000000 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 BONNY LIGHT 37797360.65 29152325.57 36650005.22 23821481.96 46471388.71 39812928.61 ESCRAVOS LIGHT 35477441.12 24613029.5 28962230.16 12461307.55 34954583.01 38822299.94 FORCADOS BLEND 2263975.57 538830.91 175464.22 86127.86 131421.48 Chart 2 Source: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation REFINERY UTILIZATION / PERFORMANCE. • Basic Objective:- To refine crude oil to meet local • • • • • • demand and export the excess. Pre-199, recorded above average capacity utilization Post 1997, poor capacity utilization - between 22.29% and 49% for period 1997 – 2002 High ratio of imported fuels Currently supply about 25% of the 30 million litres of PMS daily local consumption Most of the refined gasoline is leaded Low capacity utilization caused by: poor funding, equipment obsolescence, inadequate maintenance and poor management REFINERIES CAPACITY UTILIZATION:1997 – 2002. Chart 3 Source: Nigerian National Pertoleum Corporation WHITE PRODUCTS’ SUPPLIES FROM DOMESTIC REFINERIES & IMPORTS IN ‘000 MT. PMS DPK AGO YEAR DOM. REF IMPORT TOTAL % IMP. CONT DOM. REF IMPORT TOTAL % IMP. CONT. DOM. REF IMPORT TOTAL % IMP. CONT. 90 3724.53 479.93 4204.46 11.41 1928.78 297.13 2225.91 13.35 2734.31 0 2734.31 0 91 3644.45 1020.21 4664.36 21.87 1886.6 276.19 2162.8 12.77 3006.83 0 3006.83 0 92 3857.31 1517.94 5375.25 28.24 1817.74 592.02 2409.76 24.57 2854.13 40.19 2894.32 1.39 93 3561.82 1795.37 5357.19 33.51 1676.98 661.46 2338.44 28.29 2820.19 742.86 3563.05 20.85 94 2216.49 2008.36 4224.86 47.54 1067 505.47 1572.47 32.15 1862.05 269.73 2131.79 12.65 95 2691.99 1478.49 4170.48 35.45 1449.8 560 2009.8 27.86 2270.13 103.5 2373.63 4.36 96 2457.07 1925.44 4362.51 43.93 1516.33 753.35 2269.68 33.19 2105.65 357 2462.65 1.45 Table 2a Source: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation WHITE PRODUCTS’ SUPPLIES FROM DOMESTIC REFINERIES & IMPORTS IN ‘000 MT. PMS DPK AGO YEAR DOM. REF IMPORT TOTAL % IMP. CONT DOM. REF IMPORT TOTAL % IMP. CONT. DOM. REF IMPORT TOTAL IMPOR T CONT R. 97 2676.96 1061.86 3738.82 28.4 1466.75 0 1466.75 0 2353.22 185.3 2538.52 7.3 98 1450.73 2507.01 3957.74 63.34 1132.22 655.62 1787.84 36.67 1610.73 515.96 2126.69 24.26 99 1662.95 1987.47 3650.42 54.44 1278.7 171.48 1450.18 11.82 1814.04 465.25 2279.29 20.41 20 971.62 4144.35 5115.97 81.01 661.74 1155.4 1817.11 63.58 1048.06 1952.73 3000.79 65.07 01 2595.99 3857.09 6453.08 59.77 1627.3 460.77 2088.07 22.07 2522.39 148.93 2671.32 5.58 02 2603.39 4036.48 6639.87 60.79 1532.41 404.9 1937.31 20.9 2515.87 94.35 2610.22 3.61 Table 2b Source: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation % % CONTRIBUTION OF IMPORTED PRODUCT TO SUPPLIES (1999 – 2002) ‘000MT 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 PMS 11.41 21.87 28.24 33.51 47.54 35.45 43.93 28.4 63.34 54.44 81.01 59.77 60.79 DPK AGO 13.35 12.77 24.57 28.29 32.15 27.86 33.19 0 36.67 11.82 63.58 22.07 20.9 0 0 1.39 20.85 12.65 4.36 14.5 7.3 24.26 20.41 65.07 5.58 3.61 Chart 4 Source: Nigerian Natinal Petroleum Corporation PETROLEUM IMPORTS (1997 – 2002) 4500000 4000000 3500000 3000000 2500000 MTs 2000000 1500000 1000000 500000 0 PMS ATK 97 98 99 00 01 02 1061855.5 7419799.34 2507008.5 3 1987474 4144346.9 9 3857092.7 6 4036484.2 2 655619 171482 1155398.7 460765.08 404896.79 515957.97 465248 94351.36 14985 1952731.8 1 8527.91 148926.13 17404.55 DPK AGO LPG Chart 5 185296.65 Source: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation PETROLEUM PRODUCTS’ SALES (1997 – 2002) 700000 0 600000 0 500000 0 400000 0 barrels ` 300000 0 200000 0 100000 0 0 97 98 99 PMS Chart 6 DPK 00 AGO LPFO Source: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation 01 HPF O 02 CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS • Privatisation of Refinery Industry • License already issued to some prospective private refinery investors • Existing state-owned refineries already slated for privatisation through the nation’s Bureau for Public Enterprises • Government, through the Bureau for Public Enterprises (BPE) under a leading adviser, Credit Sussie First Boston, New York, has offered for sale 51% of each of the refineries’ shares to core investors, while the remaining 49% shares will be sold to the Nigerian public and refinery staff CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS Cont’d. • Refurbishment of existing state-owned refineries to boost capacity utilization to 60% of local fuel demand latest June, 2004 before their final privatisation • One of the licensed private refinery investors, we learnt, has begun construction process CONCLUSION Sector reform in the Refinery Industry is: • To encourage private initiative, investment, ownership and management • To ensure sustainable efficiency and deepened growth in the downstream sector of the industry • To foster human capital development and competency • To ensure global competitiveness through technological advancement and proficient management • To dismantle the state initiated monopoly via Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation and open up the space for healthy local competition CONCLUSION Cont’d. • Government involvement in the refinery industry and downstream sector of the oil industry generally, is expected to be limited to policy formulation and fiscal matters • Non-discriminatory / open process to state-owned facilities and infrastructures I.e. pipeline network system, strategic storage depots before their privatisation is expected • Open access to local crude oil / crude oil importation for refinning is also expected • On going developments in the Retail Marketing Sector of the downstream industry. CONCLUSION Cont’d • Government’s resolve to privatise and deregulate the downstream sector of the oil and gas industry could be the needed elixir for harnessing and exploiting the vast potentials of this great nation with with ever expanding markets. • Attainment of sustainable efficiency will, no doubt, infect other sectors positively for as long as petroleum products remain relevant to industrial and economic growth. Thank you.