Chronic Myeloid Leukemia: Treatment Success and Milestones Elias Jabbour, MD Are Surrogate Endpoints Predictive of Outcome in CML? • 12-mo CCyR on IFN Rx associated with better EFS and survival • 12-mo CCyR on imatinib Rx associated with better EFS and survival • 12-mo MMR on imatinib Rx associated with better EFS and (?) survival • Early CCyR (3 and 6-mo) on 2nd TKI Rx associated with better EFS Results with Imatinib in Early CP CML – The IRIS Trial at 8-Years • 304 (55%) patients on imatinib on study • Projected results at 8 years: –CCyR 83% • 82 (18%) lost CCyR, 15 (3%) progressed to • AP/BP –Event-free survival 81% –Transformation-free survival 92% • If MMR at 12 mo: 100% –Survival 85% (93% CML-related) Annual rate of transformation: 1.5%, 2.8%, 1.8%, 0.9%, 0.5%, 0%, 0%, & 0.4% Deininger. Blood 114:1126; 2009 IRIS. Survival Without AP/BC Worse If No Major CG Response at 12 mos 100 90 % without AP/BC 80 70 Rx aim: major CG response (Ph ≤ 35%) 60 50 40 Response at 12 months 30 CCyR PCyR No MCyR 20 10 Estimated rate at 60 months n= 350 n= 86 n= 73 97% 93% 81% p<0.001 p=0.20 0 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 Months since randomization 54 60 664 IRIS. Survival Without AP/BC Worse If No CGCR In Year 2 But Not Related To MMR 100 90 % without AP/BC 80 70 Rx aim: CGCR in Year 2+; no need for MMR 60 50 40 Response at 18 months 30 Estimated rate at 60 months CCyR with >=3 log red. n= 139 100% CCyR with <3 log red. n= 54 98% n= 89 87% No CCyR 20 10 p<0.001 0 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 Months since randomization 54 60 66 p=0.11 Long-Term Outcome With Imatinib in ECP CML (ITT) 1.0 0.9 Probability 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 Survival PFS CHR EFS Loss of MCyR 0.4 0.3 0.2 63% (88% per IRIS definition) 0.1 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Time From Start of Imatinib Therapy (months) • EFS: death, progression to AP/BP, loss of CHR, loss of MCyR, or WBC, failure to achieve MCyR, intolerance de Lavallade H et al. J Clin Oncol. 2008; 26:3358-3363 MDACC Retrospective Analysis: MCyR at 6 Months Associated With OS Landmark analysis at 6 mos 1.0 Proportion alive 0.8 0.6 Cytogenetic response at 6 mos 0.4 0.2 Total Dead Complete 201 5 Partial 39 1 Minor 10 3 Othersa 9 3 P-value 0.85 0.01 0.62 0 0 12 24 36 Months 48 60 Patients with MCyR have better OS than patients that do not Kantarjian H et al. Cancer. 2008;112:837–845. 72 MDACC Retrospective Analysis: CCyR at 12 Months Associated With PFS Landmark analysis at 12 mos 1.0 Proportion PFS 0.8 0.6 Cytogenetic response at 12 mos Total Failure P-value Complete 214 7 0.02 Partial 19 3 0.2 Minor 5 2 0.22 Others 8 5 0.4 0.2 0 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 Months Patients with CCyR have better PFS than patients that do not. Similar results were observed in patients achieving CCyR at 18 and 24 mos. Kantarjian H et al. Cancer. 2008;112:837–845. Suboptimal Response to Imatinib 400 mg/d in CP CML: GIMEMA CML WP Analysis of 423 Consecutive Patients 98% 98% 55% 63% p<0.0001 p<0.0001 85% 79% 51% 33% p<0.0001 Castagnetti. Hematologica 2009;94 abstract 0528 p<0.0001 EFS by Response to IM at 6 and 12 Mos • 281 pts; imatinib frontline (400mg in 73, 800mg in 208) • Suboptimal response at 6-12 months: 12-17% with 400mg, 1-4% with 800mg (p=0.002) 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 6 month response 0.6 12 month response 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 Failure Suboptimal Optimal 0.1 No. 9 10 240 Events (%) 6 (67) 5 (50) 14 (6) Failure Suboptimal Optimal 0.1 p<0.0001 No. 14 19 213 Evaluable (%) 8 (57) 3 (16) 8 (4) p<0.0001 0.0 0.0 0 12 24 36 48 Months Alvarado. Cancer. 2009;115:3709-18. 60 72 0 12 24 36 Months 48 60 72 EFS and Survival by 12-month ResponseCCyR vs Others with TKI Frontline Rx Jabbour. Blood. 2011;118:4541-6. EFS and Survival by 12-month Response-CCyR with vs without MMR with TKI Frontline Rx Jabbour. Blood. 2011;118:4541-6. Hammersmith Experience. CCyR at 12 Months Associated With PFS Landmark analysis at 12 mos 1.0 96% P = .007 Probability of PFSa 0.8 74% 0.6 0.4 0.2 CCyR at 12 mos (n = 121) No CCyR at 12 mos (n = 72) 0 0 12 24 36 Months de Lavallade. J Clin Oncol. 2008;26(20):3358-3363. 48 60 Outcome by 12-Month Response in CML CP • 848 pts randomized to IM 400mg, IM 800mg, or IM 400 + IFN • Median FU: 40 months 12-month BCR-ABL/ABL (IS) Percentage N PFS OS <0.1% 341 99 99 CCyR 0.1-1% 240 97 98 >1% 267 94 93 0.0023 0.0011 P value • Outcome independent of treatment arm Hehlman et al. JCO 2011;29:1634-42 CML IV: Long-Term Impact of Response at 3 Months • 1223 pts randomized to imatinib 400, imatinib + IFN, imatinib + ara-C, imatinib 800 • 3 month analysis: PCR in 692 pts, cytogenetics in 460 • 3 mo transcript levels predictive of achievement of CCyR and MMR Cytogenetics Molecular % 5-year (% Ph+) [BCR-ABL/ABL (IS)] outcome ≤35% >35% ≤10% >10% PFS 94 87 93 87 OS 95 87 95 87 Hanfstein et al. ASH 2011; Abstract #783 Optimal Response To 2nd TKIs-Frontline. Response (N=167) Months on therapy 3 (N=160) 6 (N=155) 12 (N=129) 18 (n=119) Response Total (%) Optimal 160 (100) Sub-optimal 0 Failure 0 Optimal 152 (98) Sub-optimal Failure 0 Optimal 128 (99) Sub-optimal 1 (1) Failure 0 Optimal 99 (84) Sub-optimal 14 (12) Failure • Median follow-up 33 months (range, 3 to 66 months) Jabbour E et al. JCO. 2011. 3 (2) 5 (4) Optimal Response To 2nd TKIs-Frontline. Event-free by 3 mo Response Jabbour E et al. JCO. 2011. Optimal Response To 2nd TKIs-Frontline. Event-free by 6 mo Response Jabbour E et al. JCO. 2011. Molecular and Cytogenetic Response at 3 Months P<0.0001 P<0.0001 100 Dasatinib 100 mg QD 84% 81% Imatinib 400 mg QD % of patients 80 >1-10% 64% PCyR 67% 60 PCyR >1-10% 40 CCyR ≤1% 20 CCyR ≤1% 0 n//N 198/235 154/239 ≤10% BCR-ABL at 3 Months 171/210 148/221 PCyR/CCyR at 3 Months BCR-ABL of <10% and ≤1% are not fully concordant with ≥PCyR and CCyR, respectively 96% and 83% of dasatinib and imatinib pts with ≥PCyR had <10% BCR-ABL, respectively 68% and 26% of dasatinib and imatinib pts with CCyR had ≤1% BCR-ABL, respectively Jabbour E et al. EHA. 2012. PFS According to Cytogenetic Response at 3 Months Dasatinib 100 mg QD Imatinib 400 mg QD 81% of patients had PCyR/CCyR 67% of patients had PCyR/CCyR 100 % Not Progressed 100 P<0.0026 P<0.0001 80 80 60 60 PCyR 40 CCyR P=0.2185 CCyR, N=139 20 PCyR 40 CCyR CCyR, N=79 20 PCyR, N=68 PCyR, N=31 <PCyR, N=39 0 0 6 12 < PCyR, N=73 0 24 Months For ≥PCyR vs <PCyR at 3 months 3-year PFS rates were 93.9% vs 71.3% Jabbour E et al. EHA. 2012. P=0.8062 36 42 0 6 12 24 Months For ≥PCyR vs <PCyR at 3 months 3-year PFS rates were 93.7% vs 77.3% 36 42 PFS According to Response at 12 Months % Not Progressed Dasatinib 100 mg QD Imatinib 400 mg QD 100 100 80 80 60 60 MMR and/or CCyR <CCyR 40 MMR and/or CCyR P<0.0001 <CCyR 40 MMR, N=95 20 P<0.0001 MMR, N=64 20 CCyR (no MMR), N=85 CCyR (no MMR), N=87 <CCyR, N=26 <CCyR, N=50 0 0 0 6 12 24 Months Jabbour E et al. EHA. 2012. 36 42 0 6 12 24 Months 36 42 OS According to Response at 12 Months Dasatinib 100 mg QD 100 100 80 80 60 % Alive Imatinib 400 mg QD 60 MMR and/or CCyR <CCyR 40 MMR and/or CCyR P=0.0503 <CCyR 40 MMR, N=64 MMR, N=95 20 20 CCyR (no MMR), N=86 <CCyR, N=28 0 0 6 12 Months Jabbour E et al. EHA. 2012. P=0.0041 CCyR (no MMR), N=89 < CCyR, N=52 0 24 36 42 0 6 12 24 Months 36 42 TKI Frontline Therapy in CML EFS and OS by CG Response AT 3 Mo Event-Free Survival Overall Survival TKI Frontline Therapy in CML EFS and OS by CG Response AT 6 Mo Event-Free Survival Overall Survival TKI Frontline Therapy in CML EFS and OS by MCyR AT 6 Mo Event-Free Survival Overall Survival TKI Frontline Therapy in CML EFS and OS by CG Response AT 12 Mo Event-Free Survival Overall Survival TKI Frontline Therapy in CML EFS and OS by MCyR AT 12 Mo Event-Free Survival Overall Survival Criteria for Failure and Suboptimal Response to Imatinib Time (mo) Response Failure Suboptimal Optimal 3 No CHR No CG Response <65% Ph+ 6 No CHR >95% Ph+ ≥35% Ph+ ≤35% Ph+ 12 ≥35% Ph+ 1-35% Ph+ 0% Ph+ 18 ≥5% Ph+ No MMR MMR Any Loss of CHR Loss of CCgR Mutation CE Loss of MMR Mutation Stable or improving MMR Baccarani et al. JCO 2009; 27: 6041-51 Criteria for Failure and Suboptimal Response to Imatinib Time (mo) Response Failure Suboptimal Optimal 3 No CHR No CG Response <65% Ph+ 6 No CHR >95% Ph+ ≥35% Ph+ ≤35% Ph+ 12 ≥35% Ph+ 1-35% Ph+ 0% Ph+ 18 ≥5% Ph+ No MMR MMR Any Loss of CHR Loss of CCgR Mutation CE Loss of MMR Mutation Stable or improving MMR Baccarani et al. JCO 2009; 27: 6041-51 PFS and Response to 2nd TKI • 113 CML CP pts receiving nilotinib (n=43) or dasatinib (n=70) after imatinib failure 1 0.8 Response @ 12 mo % AP/BP/Death/CHR loss Next Year MCyR 3% No MCyR 17% PFS (%) 0.6 No MCyR (27) p = 0.003 0.4 0.2 MCyR (59) 0 0 12 24 Months on second TKI Tam. Blood 112: 516-8, 2008 36 Optimal Response to 2nd TKIsSecondline. Survival Adverse features For overall survival No CCyR at 3 months For event-free survival No CCyR at 3 months Jabbour. Blood 116: abstract 2289, 2011 H.R. p-value 5.4 0.03 4.5 <0.001 Optimal Response to 2nd TKIs. Survival Parameter CCyR by 3 months Yes No 3-year survival (%) Event-free Overall 74 98 43 79 CML. Criteria For Failure On Any TKI • No major CG response at 6 mos (Ph > 35%) • No CG CR at 12 mos • CG relapse or hematologic relapse • Not failure criteria - QPCR in CGCR 33 CML 2013. Frontline Therapy: New Proposed Algorithm •Start TKI •Check CG at 3/6 and 12 mos: • At 3/6 mo • - CCyR → Home free - PCyR → Recheck at 12 mo - Less than MCyR → Careful monitoring; ? New generation TKIs At 12 mo - CCyR → Home free - Less than CCyR → Careful monitoring; ? New generation TKIs/ASCT My Desk On A Good Day! JC 36 Leukemia Questions? • Pager 713-606-1307 • ejabbour@mdanderson.org Elias Jabbour, M.D.