Measuring Yield Zvi Wiener Based on Chapter 3 in Fabozzi Bond Markets, Analysis and Strategies Fall-02 http://pluto.mscc.huji.ac.il/~mswiener/zvi.html EMBAF Yield Yield = IRR = Internal Rate of Return T Ct Price t ( 1 y ) t 1 T Ct PV t ( 1 r ) t 1 t Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 2 FRM-98, Question 12 A fixed rate bond, currently priced at 102.9, has one year remaining to maturity and is paying an 8% coupon. Assuming that the coupon is paid semiannually, what is the yield of the bond? A. 8% B. 7% C. 6% D. 5% Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 3 FRM-98, Question 12 $4 $104 $102.9 s 2 s y y 1 1 2 2 ys = 5% Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 4 Annualizing Yield Effective annual yield = (1+periodic rate)m-1 examples Effective annual yield = 1.042-1=8.16% Effective annual yield = 1.024-1=8.24% annualcouponrate current yield price Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 5 Bond selling at Relationship Par Coupon rate=current yield=YTM Discount Coupon rate<current yield<YTM Premium Coupon rate>current yield>YTM Yield to call uses the first call as cashflow. Yield of a portfolio is calculated with the total cashflow. Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 6 YTM and Reinvestment Risk YTM assumes that all coupon (and amortizing) payments will be invested at the same yield. Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 7 YTM and Reinvestment Risk An investor has a 5 years horizon Bond Coupon Maturity YTM A 5% 3 9.0% B 6% 20 8.6% C 11% 15 9.2% D 8% 5 8.0% What is the best choice? Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 8 Yield to Call Yield to Put Yield to Worst Spread for a floater Total return for a bond Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 9 IRR of a portfolio Aggregation of all cashflows and using the same formula. Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 10 Problems with yield Many equivalent ways to measure? Assumes reinvestment. Does not reflect risk. What if investment is very leveraged? Options, Forwards, Swaps Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 11 Example Cost: 101 Promised cashflow: After 1 year 6 After 2 years 7 After 3 years 8 After 4 years 9 After 5 years 110 Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 12 Yield calculation 6 7 8 9 110 101 2 3 4 1 y (1 y ) (1 y) (1 y) (1 y )5 y = 7.6% Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 13 Example 2 Cost: 101 Promised cashflow: After 1 year 6 After 2 years After 3 years After 4 years After 5 years Zvi Wiener 7, callable at 100 8 9 110 Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 14 Yield to Call calculation 6 107 101 1 y (1 y ) 2 y = 5.94% Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 15 How to treat Floaters Floater is similar to a constantly renewed loan with fixed spread (!). Thus the yield of a floater is equal to the yield on the basis plus the spread. Note that some of the Israeli government bonds have funny linkage to other bonds. Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 16 Home Assignment Chapter 3 Questions 1, 2, 5, 7, 10 Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 17 Reverse (Inverse) Floater USD 5 year interest rates are 5%, however short term interest rates are Libor =2%. Libor = London Interbank offered rate on Bloomberg see FWCV + currency One can construct so-called reverse floater: Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 18 Reverse Floater Years bond loan bond Reverse Fl. 0 -100 +100 -100 -100 1 5 -L0 5 8 2 5 -L1 5 10-L1 3 5 -L2 5 10-L2 4 5 -L3 5 10-L3 5 105 -100- L4 105 110- L4 Zvi Wiener Fabozzi Ch 3 slide 19