Residential Duct Insulation New Deemed Measure Proposal – A Second Look Regional Technical Forum May 4th, 2010 At the April RTF Meeting… • • Look into the ETO’s evaluation numbers in more detail and determine whether/how the RTF should apply them Recommend changing a few assumptions, requirements – 75% of ducts in crawlspace, vs 90%; 150 square foot minimum duct area, vs 250. • Recommendation to run model with 50% duct insulated, 50% un-insulated Measure Duct Insulation (Existing <3/4" 100%, install R11) Duct Insulation (Existing <3/4" 50% / R11 50%, install R11) Duct Insulation (Existing <3/4" 50% / R4.2 50%, install R11 on uninsulated) Heating Zone 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 Measure Energy Levelized Measure Life Savings Cost Cost (years) (kWh/yr) (mils/kWh) 805 7 18 $662 1,542 -29 2,236 -41 401 7 18 $331 768 -29 1,115 -41 397 8 18 $331 761 -29 1,104 -41 B/C 1.7 3.2 4.7 1.7 3.2 4.7 1.7 3.2 4.7 2 Another Look at ETO’s In-House Evaluation Numbers • Savings convert to about 400 kWh/year • PTCS Duct Sealing was required, but may not have always occurred • Median linear feet: 182 Number 2006-2007 ETO study Measure counts 1 Duct Sealing 388 2 Duct Insulation 285 Overlap 3 Duct Insulate+duct sealing 191 4 Only Duct Insulation 9 5 Only Duct sealing 31 6 Only Duct Seal + Duct insulate 13 3 Thoughts? • Is this Deemable? – Early sunset date with a required evaluation effort? • Savings metric? – Per house? Per linear foot? Other? • Savings Calculation? – Use 50/50 savings? 4 Residential Duct Insulation New Deemed Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum April 6th, 2010 Proposed Deemed Measures Measure Flex Duct Replacement (Existing R4.2 or less; install R8) Duct Insulation (Existing <1.5", install R11) Duct Insulation (Existing <3/4", install R11) • • • Heating Zone 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 Measure Energy Levelized Measure Life Savings Cost Cost (years) (kWh/yr) (mils/kWh) 155 423 18 $839 297 189 431 109 212 216 18 $662 404 81 587 34 805 7 18 $662 1,542 -29 2,236 -41 B/C 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.7 3.2 4.7 Savings and costs are “per house” Insulation of flex duct not allowed Cooling Zone 1 shown. Zones 2 and 3 are very similar (slightly larger savings) 6 Savings Methodology & Inputs • SEEM Modeling • 3 Site Built Prototypes (1344 ft2, 2200 ft2, 2688 ft2) – 1344 and 2200 prototypes: supply ducts in crawl; return in attic – 2688 prototype: basement, so not included in final numbers • Fully Weatherized (Package 8) with Sealed (PTCS) Ducts – Attic: R38, Floor: R30, Windows: u-0.30, Walls: R-13, ACH: 0.35 • Modeled both electric FAF and Heat Pump – Heat Pump = 8.0 HSPF (HPA3) • Used the 5 baseline heat pump control strategies • Duct Insulation Options – Flex Duct • Replace R-4.2 flex duct with R-8 flex duct – (R-11 flex duct was not analyzed because of high cost) – Hard Duct • Uninsulated (3/4” or less) to R-11 • R-4.2 (1.5” or less) to R-11 • Used “True R-Values”, assuming round ducts & R-2.8/inch – Assumed R-2 for “uninsulated” ducts case 7 “True R-Values of Round Residential Ductwork” Larry Palmiter and Erin Kruse, Ecotope, Inc. ACEEE Summer Study 2006 8 More Inputs Prototype Small (1344) Medium (2200) Large (2688) Average Size (sqft) Regional Mix 75% 16% 9% 1,602 Heating System Heat Pump 80% FAF 20% Duct Foundation Insulation Area (ft2) 82% 1344 18% 1584 0% not used 1,495 1386 Modeled Duct Area (ft2) 290 380 not used 306 Important Assumption: Savings between Small and Medium prototypes varies by a factor of ~ 2. Cooling System AC No AC 80% 20% Supply Duct in Return Duct in Nominal Unconditioned Space Unconditioned Space Duct Dia. (in) lin. Feet sq. feet lin. Feet sq. feet 6 49% 35% 0% 0% 8 32% 31% 0% 0% 14 16% 28% 100% 100% 18 3% 6% 0% 0% 9 Annual Savings (kWh/year) Intermediate Savings Calculation Results 10 ETO Impact Evaluation Results • Equivalent kWh (assuming 80% gas efficiency): – ranges from 400 to 1050 kWh/year. 11 Measure Cost Cost Flex Duct Replacement Duct Insulation ($/house) R4.2 to R8 R4.2 to R11 R0 to R11 ETO n/a $372 $601 Bruce M. $839 n/a $723 Average $839 $662 $662 • ETO Data ETO Data – Based on 522 duct insulation jobs – All started at R-2 or lower While it’s possible to calculate a cost for the R-4.2 to R11 case ($372), it’s probably way too low. So, it was assumed to have the same cost as the uninsulated case (same installation cost, same R-11 batt) – Median Cost • • Project Cost • $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $- $535 per job $0.29/linear foot/∆ R-value 1 51 Job Number – Median Job Size: 182 linear feet • Note on Savings – this compares well with what was modeled in SEEM (assuming 30% duct area in contact with floor or attic insulation) Bruce Manclark Data – Based on calls to installers – R8 flex duct = $4 - $5 per linear foot • includes removal/disposal of old, installation of new – R-11 on hard ducts: $1.50 to $1.65 per square foot of material • Material needed is 1.5 times uninsulated duct area ETO Data $1.00 $ / lin. ft / R • 101 151 201 251 301 351 401 451 501 $0.75 $0.50 $0.25 $1 51 101 151 201 251 301 351 401 451 501 Job Number 12 Proposed Measure Requirements • Measure Definitions – Flex Duct Replacement • Existing supply flex duct shall be rated R-4.2 or lower. Replacement flex duct shall be rated R-8 or higher. – Hard Duct: Existing <1.5” thick, install R-11 • Existing supply duct insulation shall be 1.5” thick or less. Supply and return ducts in unconditioned spaces shall be insulated to a nominal value of R-11 or higher. – Hard Duct: Uninsulated (existing <3/4” thick), install R-11 • • Existing supply ducts shall have less than 3/4” of insulation. Supply and return ducts in unconditioned spaces shall be insulated to a nominal value of R-11 or higher. Measure Requirements – Only applies to houses where a significant portion of the supply ducts are located in a vented, unconditioned crawlspace or attic, or in an unconditioned garage. – Significant means: no less than 90% (by area) or 250 square feet, which ever is less. – Ducts shall be sealed for air-leaks to PTCS standards prior to insulating. – Insulation installations shall follow the RTF’s Weatherization Specifications. – Flex duct installations shall follow manufacturer’s instructions. • Reporting Requirements – Crawlspace Foundation Area – House Square Footage – Amount of Insulation Installed • • Length of flex duct Total area of duct insulation – Project Cost • Sunset Date – In 2 years, the measure savings will be re-visited by the RTF. 13 How Should Savings be Reported? • By House + - • By House Square Footage + - • Better normalization More complex; not intuitive; (partial insulation?) By Linear Feet of Duct + - • An attempt at normalizing House square footage doesn’t necessarily correspond to duct insulation area (two stories, basements, etc.) (Partial insulation?) By Foundation Area + - • Simple, can’t get it wrong The assumed averages may not match what gets reported What about houses with some insulation already existing? Even better normalization More complex; less intuitive; reporting errors are common Doesn’t take into account different duct sizes By Duct Area + - Good normalization Difficult to determine and verify; complex The proposal is by House. Whole house, or nothing. Discussion Encouraged, Implementers Should Also Discuss 14 Some More Things to Think About… • Do we have adequate confidence to deem these measures? – Modeling assumptions • Existing & replacement R-values don’t account for “real world” installations • House size and duct location both have a significant impact on the savings results – How should existing insulation levels be verified? • Should the measures be designed in a different way? – Higher insulation levels for colder climates? – More/less options for existing insulation levels/types? • Should the RTF attempt to deem additional duct-related measures? – Duct Repairs (replacing damaged flex duct) – Duct Re-Design (to increase airflow for heat pumps) 15 Proposed Deemed Measures (again) Measure Flex Duct Replacement (Existing R4.2 or less; install R8) Duct Insulation (Existing <1.5", install R11) Duct Insulation (Existing <3/4", install R11) • • • Heating Zone 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 Measure Energy Levelized Measure Life Savings Cost Cost (years) (kWh/yr) (mils/kWh) 155 423 18 $839 297 189 431 109 212 216 18 $662 404 81 587 34 805 7 18 $662 1,542 -29 2,236 -41 B/C 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.7 3.2 4.7 Savings and costs are “per house” Insulation of flex duct not allowed Cooling Zone 1 shown. Zones 2 and 3 are very similar (slightly larger savings) Next Steps: Thoughts? 16