Chapter 3 The Time Value of Money © 2005 Thomson/South-Western Time Value of Money The most important concept in finance Used in nearly every financial decision Business decisions Personal finance decisions 2 Cash Flow Time Lines Graphical representations used to show timing of cash flows 0 CF0 k% 1 2 3 CF1 CF2 CF3 Time 0 is today Time 1 is the end of Period 1 or the beginning of Period 2. 3 Time line for a $100 lump sum due at the end of Year 2 0 1 2 Year k% 100 4 Time line for an ordinary annuity of $100 for 3 years 0 k% 1 2 100 100 3 100 5 Time line for uneven CFs - $50 at t = 0 and $100, $75, and $50 at the end of Years 1 through 3 0 -50 k% 1 2 100 75 3 50 6 Future Value The amount to which a cash flow or series of cash flows will grow over a period of time when compounded at a given interest rate. 7 Future Value Calculating FV is compounding! Question: How much would you have at the end of one year if you deposited $100 in a bank account that pays 5 percent interest each year? Translation: What is the FV of an initial $100 after 3 years if k = 10%? Key Formula: FVn = PV (1 + k)n 8 Three Ways to Solve Time Value of Money Problems Use Equations Use Financial Calculator Use Electronic Spreadsheet 9 Numerical (Equation) Solution Solve this equation by plugging in the appropriate values: FVn PV(1 k) n PV = $100, k = 10%, and n =3 3 FVn $100(1.10) $100(1.3310) $133.10 10 Financial Calculator Solution Financial calculators solve this equation: FVn PV(1 k) n There are 4 variables (FV, PV, k, n). If 3 are known, the calculator will solve for the 4th. 11 Financial Calculator Solution First: set calculator to show 4 digits to the right of the decimal place To enter “Format” register: Type: 2nd, period See: DEC (decimal) = (varies) Type: 4, enter See: DEC = 4 Exit Format register: hit CE/C See 0.0000 12 Financial Calculator Solution Here’s the setup to find FV: INPUTS 3 N 10 -100 I/YR PV OUTPUT 0 PMT ? FV 133.10 Clearing automatically sets everything to 0, but for safety enter PMT = 0. Set: P/YR = 1, END 13 Spreadsheet Solution Set up Problem Click on Function Wizard and choose Financial/FV 14 Spreadsheet Solution Reference cells: Rate = interest rate, k Nper = number of periods interest is earned Pmt = periodic payment PV = present value of the amount 15 Present Value Present value is the value today of a future cash flow or series of cash flows. Discounting is the process of finding the present value of a future cash flow or series of future cash flows; it is the reverse of compounding. 16 What is the PV of $100 due in 3 years if k = 10%? 0 PV = ? 10% 1 2 3 100 17 Financial Calculator Solution INPUTS OUTPUT 3 10 ? 0 N I/YR PV PMT 100 FV -75.13 VITAL: Either PV or FV must be negative. Here PV = -75.13. Put in $75.13 today, take out $100 after 3 years. 18 If sales grow at 20% per year, how long before sales double? 19 Financial Calculator Solution INPUTS OUTPUT ? 20 N I/YR -1 0 PV PMT 2 FV 3.8 Graphical FV Illustration: 2 3.8 1 0 1 2 3 4 Year 20 Future Value of an Annuity Annuity: A series of payments of equal amounts at fixed intervals for a specified number of periods. Ordinary (deferred) Annuity: An annuity whose payments occur at the end of each period. Annuity Due: An annuity whose payments occur at the beginning of each period. 21 Ordinary Annuity Versus Annuity Due Ordinary Annuity 0 k% 1 2 PMT PMT 1 2 PMT PMT 3 PMT Annuity Due 0 3 k% PMT 22 What’s the FV of a 3-year Ordinary Annuity of $100 at 10%? 0 10% 1 2 3 100 100 100 110 121 FV = 331 23 Financial Calculator Solution INPUTS OUTPUT 3 10 0 -100 ? N I/YR PV PMT FV 331.00 24 Present Value of an Annuity PVAn = the present value of an annuity with n payments. Each payment is discounted, and the sum of the discounted payments is the present value of the annuity. 25 0 What is the PV of this Ordinary Annuity? 10% 1 2 100 100 3 100 90.91 82.64 75.13 248.69 = PV 26 Financial Calculator Solution INPUTS 3 N OUTPUT 10 ? I/YR PV 100 PMT 0 FV -248.69 We know the payments but no lump sum FV, so enter 0 for future value. 27 Find the FV and PV if the Annuity were an Annuity Due. 0 100 10% 1 2 100 100 3 28 Financial Calculator Solution ANNUITY Due: Switch from “End” to “Begin” Method: (2nd BGN, 2nd Enter) Then enter variables to find PVA3 = $273.55. INPUTS 3 N OUTPUT 10 ? I/YR PV 100 PMT 0 FV -273.55 Then enter PV = 0 and press FV to find FV = $364.10. 29 What is the PV of a $100 perpetuity if k = 10%? You MUST know the formula for a perpetuity: PV = PMT k So, here: PV = 100/.1 = $1000 30 Solving for Interest Rates with Annuities You pay $846.80 for an investment that promises to pay you $250 per year for the next four years, with payments made at the end of each year. What interest rate will you earn on this investment? 0 k=? - 846.80 1 250 2 3 4 250 250 250 31 Financial Calculator Solution INPUTS OUTPUT 4 ? -846.80 250 N I/YR PV PMT 0 FV 7.0 32 What interest rate would cause $100 to grow to $125.97 in 3 years? 33 What interest rate would cause $100 to grow to $125.97 in 3 years? INPUTS OUTPUT 3 ? N I/YR -100 PV 0 PMT 125.97 FV 8% 34 Uneven Cash Flow Streams A series of cash flows in which the amount varies from one period to the next: Payment (PMT) designates constant cash flows—that is, an annuity stream. Cash flow (CF) designates cash flows in general, both constant cash flows and uneven cash flows. 35 What is the PV of this Uneven Cash Flow Stream? 0 1 2 3 4 100 300 300 -50 10% 90.91 247.93 225.39 -34.15 530.08 = PV 36 Financial Calculator Solution In “CF” register, input the following: CF0 C01 C02 C03 C04 = = = = = 0 100 300 300 -50 F01 F01 F01 F01 = = = = 1 1 1 1 In “NPV” Register: Enter I = 10% Hit down arrow to see “NPV = 0” Hit CPT for compute See “NPV = 530.09” (Here NPV = PV.) 37 Semiannual and Other Compounding Periods Annual compounding is the process of determining the future value of a cash flow or series of cash flows when interest is added once a year. Semiannual compounding is the process of determining the future value of a cash flow or series of cash flows when interest is added twice a year. 38 Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or smaller if we compound more often, holding the stated k constant? Why? 39 Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or smaller if we compound more often, holding the stated k constant? Why? LARGER! If compounding is more frequent than once a year—for example, semi-annually, quarterly, or daily—interest is earned on interest—that is, compounded—more often. 40 0 Compounding Annually1 vs. Semi-Annually 2 3 10% 100 133.10 Annually: FV3 = 100(1.10)3 = 133.10. 0 1 2 0 100 5% 1 2 3 4 5 3 6 134.01 41 Semi-annually: FV6/2 = 100(1.05)6 = 134.01. Distinguishing Between Different Interest Rates kSIMPLE = Simple (Quoted) Rate kPER = Periodic Rate EAR = Effective Annual Rate APR = Annual Percentage Rate 42 kSIMPLE kSIMPLE = Simple (Quoted) Rate *used to compute the interest paid per period *stated in contracts, quoted by banks & brokers *number of periods per year must also be given *Not used in calculations or shown on time lines Examples: 8%, compounded quarterly 8%, compounded daily (365 days) 43 Periodic Rate = kPer kPER: Used in calculations, shown on time lines. If kSIMPLE has annual compounding, then kPER = kSIMPLE kPER = kSIMPLE/m, where m is number of compounding periods per year. Determining m: m = 4 for quarterly m = 12 for monthly m = 360 or 365 for daily compounding Examples: 8% quarterly: kPER = 8/4 = 2% 8% daily (365): kPER = 8/365 = 0.021918% 44 APR = ksimple APR = Annual Percentage Rate = kSIMPLE periodic rate X the number of periods per year 45 EAR EAR = Effective Annual Rate * the annual rate of interest actually being earned * The annual rate that causes PV to grow to the same FV as under multi-period compounding. * Use to compare returns on investments with different payments per year. * Use for calculations when dealing with annuities where payments don’t match interest compounding periods . 46 How to find EAR for a simple rate of 10%, compounded semi-annually Hit 2nd then 2 to enter “ICONV” register: NOM = simple interest rate Type: 10, enter, down arrow twice C/Y = compounding periods per year Type: 2, enter, up arrow (or down arrow twice) EFF = effective annual rate = EAR Type: CPT (for compute) See: 10.25 POINT: Any PV would grow to same FV at 10.25% annually or 10% semiannually. 47 Continuous Compounding The formula is FV = PV(e kt) k = the interest rate (expressed as a decimal) t = number of years Calculator “workaround” Store 9999999999 (as many nines as possible) in your calculator under STO + 9 Then, for N: N = # of years times “RCL 9” Then, for I: I = simple interest divided by “RCL 9” 48 Continuous Compounding Question: What is the value of a $1,000 deposit invested for 5 years at an interest rate of 10%, compounded continuously? 5* 10/ INPUTS RCL9 RCL9 -1000 N OUTPUT I/YR PV 0 ? PMT FV 1648.72 49 Fractional Time Periods What is the value of $100 deposited in a bank at EAR = 10% for 0.75 of the year? 0 - 100 10% 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 FV = ? 50 Fractional Time Periods What is the value of $100 deposited in a bank at EAR = 10% for 0.75 of the year? 0 10% 0.25 0.50 0.75 - 100 INPUTS FV = ? 0.75 N OUTPUT 1.00 10 -100 I/YR PV 0 PMT ? FV 107.41 51 Amortized Loans Amortized Loan: A loan that is repaid in equal payments over its life. Amortization tables are widely used for home mortgages, auto loans, business loans, retirement plans, and so forth to determine how much of each payment represents principal repayment and how much represents interest. They are very important, especially to homeowners! Financial calculators (and spreadsheets) are great for setting up amortization tables. 52 Task: Construct an amortization schedule for a $1,000, 10 percent loan that requires three equal annual payments. 0 -1,000 10% 1 2 PMT PMT 3 PMT 53 Step 1: Determine the required payments 0 10% -1000 INPUTS 3 N OUTPUT 1 2 PMT PMT 10 I/YR -1000 PV 3 PMT ? PMT 0 FV 402.11 54 Enter “Amort” Register Hit 2nd, PV to enter “Amort Register” For 1st principal payment, 1st interest payment, and 1st year remaining balance, enter: P1 = 1 P2 = 1 Down arrow See: Bal = -697.88, down arrow PRN = 302.11 INT = 100 55 Step 2: Create Loan Amortization Table YR Beg Bal PMT INT Prin PMT End Bal 1 $1000.00 $402.11 $100.00 $302.11 $697.88 2 697.88 402.11 * Rounding difference 56 Interest declines, which has tax implications. Enter “Amort” Register Hit 2nd, PV to enter “Amort Register” For 2nd principal payment, 2nd interest payment, and 2nd year remaining balance, enter: P1 = 2 P2 = 2 Down arrow See: Bal = -365.56, down arrow PRN = 332.32 INT = 69.79 57 Step 2: Create Loan Amortization Table YR Beg Bal PMT INT Prin PMT End Bal 1 $1000.00 $402.11 $100.00 $302.11 $697.89 2 697.89 402.11 3 365.57 402.11 69.79 332.32 365.57 Total * Rounding difference 58 Interest declines, which has tax implications. Enter “Amort” Register Hit 2nd, PV to enter “Amort Register” For 3rd principal payment, 3rd interest payment, and 3rd year remaining balance, enter: P1 = 3 P2 = 3 Down arrow See: Bal = 0, down arrow PRN = 365.56 INT = 36.65 59 Step 2: Create Loan Amortization Table YR Beg Bal PMT INT Prin PMT End Bal 1 $1000.00 $402.11 $100.00 $302.11 $697.89 2 697.89 402.11 69.79 332.32 365.57 3 365.57 402.11 36.55 365.56 .01* 1206.33 206.34 1000.00 Total * Rounding difference 60 Interest declines, which has tax implications. Before Next Class 1. 2. 3. 3. Review Chapter 3 materials Do Chapter 3 homework Prepare for Chapter 3 quiz Read Chapter 4 61