Presentation to Credit Union Workshop St. Vincent and the Grenadines By Shelton Nicholls Resident Adviser on Financial Stability, CARTAC 1. Credit Unions in the Caribbean Financial System (Stylized FACTS) 2. Framework for Developing Financial Soundness Indicators 3. 1. CAMELS and PEARLS Framework 2. CAMELS/PEARLS COMPARISON Financial Soundness Indicators: 1. Core /Enhanced (Deposit-Takers) 2. Pearls Ratios 3. CAMELS/PEARLS COMPARISON 4. Reporting Regime for Credit Union Financial Indicators 5. Application of PEARLS to a Caribbean Credit Union 6. Database Development for Credit Unions: Often Neglected Area! 7. Imperatives for Enhanced Regulation of Credit Union Sector. Domestic On-shore Financial Sector is quite large relative to the size of the regional economy. ◦ Total financial assets amount to around 131% of regional GDP (IMF estimate, WP/13/175)(p.7) Banking System Assets (95% of regional GDP) Non-Banking System Assets (36% of regional GDP) Insurance Companies (20% of regional GDP) Security Firms (9% of regional GDP) Credit Unions (7% of regional GDP) Share of Indigenous institutions in the Caribbean on-shore financial sector in decline. Foreign Banks dominate Caribbean Financial Sector landscape of ◦ 60% of regional banking assets held by Canadianbased banks. Credit Union Sector has grown in several Caribbean countries: Financial Assets to GDP Dominica (39% of national GDP) Belize (21% of national GDP) Barbados (17% of national GDP) Grenada, St. Vincent and St. Lucia range between 13% and 19% of GDP of these respective countries. Financial Institution Commodity – Based Producers ServiceBased Producers ECCU Area Total Caribbean Banks 14 67 40 81 Credit Unions 154 163 61 317 60 218 61 278 - 143 na 143 200 614 200 818 Insurance Companies Offshore Banks Total Credit Unions CAMELS FRAMEWORK ◦ Revolves around the following six groups of indicators that focus on the health of financial institutions. C A M E L S Capital Adequacy Asset Quality Management Soundness Earnings and Profitability Liquidity Sensitivity to Market Risks Capital Adequacy Asset Quality M’gmt Soundness • Determines how well financial institutions manage shocks to their balance sheets by focusing on capital position of institution to support loan portfolio growth and potential deterioration in assets. • Judges overall quality of assets by looking at exposure of assets in institutions portfolio to various risks. • Judges overall soundness and effectiveness of management of the institutions by looking at governance, human resources, processes, controls and audit. • Judges the Institution’s ability to generate to absorb losses by building an adequate capital base, finance expansion and pay Earnings & dividends to its share holders. Profitability Liquidity • Judges ability of Institution to meet its present and anticipated cash flow needs including funding loan demand, share withdrawals and liabilities and expenses. • Judges the sensitivity of loans and deposits to sudden changes in interest and exchange rates. Sensitivity to Mkt Risks P E A R L S PEARLS FRAMEWORK ◦ Adopted by WOCCU in 1994; ◦ Revolves around the following six groups of indicators that focus on the health of financial institutions. Proposes a system of 44 financial ratios that deal with: Protection Effective Financial Structure Asset Quality Rates of Return Liquidity Signs of Growth Protection Effective Financial Structure Asset Quality • Assesses extent to which credit unions can provide a safe environment to protect their members’ money. •Gauges financial structure of credit unions by assessing sources and uses of funds. Financial structure is effective when assets, financed by savings deposits, generate sufficient income to pay market rates on savings, cover operating costs and maintain capital adequacy. • Assesses overall quality of assets and identifies impact of nonearning assets on credit union income. Rates of Return & Costs Liquidity Signs of Growth • Monitors the return on all types of assets (uses of funds) as well as the costs of each liability. Looks at how yields and costs affect the growth of the credit union. • Judges ability of Institution to meet its present and anticipated cash flow needs including funding loan demand, share withdrawals and liabilities and expenses • Judges the growth of various areas in credit unions with a view to assessing member-client satisfaction as well as to help management maintain an effective financial structure. MAIN AREAS CAMELS PEARLS REGULATORY/SUPERVISORY FRAMEWORK SUPERVISORY TOOL INDUSTRY BENCHMARKING TOOL INFORMATION USED MIX OF QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE INFORMATION LARGELY QUANTITATIVE INDICATORS NATURE OF SUPERVISORY EXAMINATION REQUIRES ONSITE AND OFF-SITE EXAMINATION ON-SITE EXAMINATION NOT REQUIRED CAMEL-BASED AND PEARLS-BASED Conceptual Framework and Classification for Financial Soundness Indicators developed by IMF around 2001 with input from international bodies. Financial Soundness Indicators Compilation Guide published in 2006. New Compilation Guide with a focus on nonbanks being prepared. Institutional Sector •Financial Corporations Deposit-takers •Commercial banks •Investment banks •Mortgage Banks •Development Banks •Savings and Loans Assoc. •Building Societies •Credit Union/Co-operatives •Micro-Finance Institutions •Other Financial Corporations Engaged in Financial Intermediation (but Non-Deposit Takers) •Insurance Corporations •Pension Funds •Investment Funds •Securities Dealers KEY INDICATORS CAMEL FRAMEWORK • • Regulatory capital to risk -weighted assets Regulatory tier 1 capital to risk -weighted assets • • • Non-performing loans to total gross loans Non-performing loans net of provision to capital Sectoral distribution of loans to total loans Earnings and Profitability • • • • Return on Assets Return on Equity Net interest margin to gross income Non-interest expenses to gross income Liquidity • • Liquid assets to total assets Liquid assets to short-term liabilities • Net open position in foreign exchange to capital Capital Adequacy Asset quality Sensitivity to market risk 19 KEY INDICATORS Deposit-Takers • Capital to assets • Large Exposures to capital • Geographical distributions of loans to total loans • Gross asset position in financial derivatives to capital • Gross liability position in financial derivatives to capital • Trading income to total income • Personnel expenses to noninterest expenses • Spread between reference lending and deposit rates • Spread between highest and lowest interbank rate • Customer deposits to total loans • Foreign currency-denominated loans to total loans • Foreign currency-denominated liabilities to total liabilities • Net open position in equities to capital KEY INDICATORS Other Financial Corporations • Assets to total financial system assets • Assets to GDP Nonfinancial Corporations • • • • Households • Household debt to GDP • Household debt service and principal payments to income Market Liquidity • Average bid-ask spread in the securities market • Average daily turnover ratio in the securities market Real Estate Markets • Real estate prices • Residential real estate loans to total loans • Commercial real estate loans to total loans Total debt to equity Return on equity Earnings to interest and principal expenses Corporate net foreign exchange exposure to equity • Number of applications for protection from creditors Although not mentioned in FSI Compilation Guide (2006), PEARLS has emerged as a prudential standard for credit unions operating worldwide. ◦ Provides standardised financial ratios for individual credit unions. ◦ While meeting specific needs of credit unions, complements existing financial soundness indicators based on other frameworks (CAMEL). P - Protection Ratios P1. Loan Losses Allowances / Delinq. Loans >12 Mo. P2. Net Loan Loss Allowances / World Council Allowance Required for Delinq. 1-12 Mo. P3. Complete Loan Charge-off of Delinq. > 12 Mo. P4. Annual Loan Charge-offs / Average Loan Portfolio Goals (Excellence) 100% 35% Yes Minimized P5. Accum. Charge-offs Recovered / Accum. Charge-offs > 75% P6. Solvency (Net Value of Assets/Total Shares & Deposits) ≥ 111% P1. Loan Losses Allowances / Delinquent Loans >12 Months. ◦ Purpose: To measure the adequacy of the provisions for loan losses when compared to all delinquent loans over 12 months . ◦ Items Required: A-Allowance for Loan Loss (Balance Sheet); BPercentage of Allowance Required to cover delinquent Loans > 12 months and C – Loan Balances of all delinquent loans > 12 months. ◦ Formula : (A)/(B*C). P6. Solvency Ratio. ◦ Purpose: To measure the degree of protection that credit union has for members’ deposits and share savings in the event of liquidation. ◦ Items Required: A- Total Assets; B- Allowance for Risk Assets; C – Balance of Delinquent Loans >12 mnths; D- Balance of Delinquent Loans <12 mnths; E – Total Liabilities; F – Problem Assets (losses to liquidate); G –Total Deposit Savings; H – Total Shares Formula: – [(A+B)-(C+.035(D)+E+F-G]/(G+H) E - Effective Financial Structure E1. Net Loans / Total Assets E2. Liquid Investments / Total Assets E3. Financial Investments / Total Assets E4. Non-financial Investments / Total Assets E5. Savings Deposits / Total Assets E6. External Credit / Total Assets Goals (Excellence) 70-80% ≤ 16% ≤ 2% 0% 70-80% 0-5% E7. Member Share Capital / Total Assets ≤ 20% E8. Institutional Capital / Total Assets ≥ 10% E9. Net Institutional Capital / Total Assets ≥ 10% E1. Net Loans / Total Assets ◦ Purpose: To measure the percentage of total assets that are invested in the loan portfolio, or to ascertain what percentage of assets the members have borrowed. ◦ Items Required: A – Total Gross Loan Portfolio Outstanding); BTotal Loan Loss Allowances; C – Total Assets. ◦ Formula : (A - B)/(C). E5. Saving Deposits/ Total Assets ◦ Purpose: To measure the percentage of total assets financed by savings deposits. ◦ Items Required: A – Total Saving Deposits; B – Total Assets. ◦ Formula : (A )/(B). E9. Net Institutional Capital */ Total Assets ◦ Purpose: To measure the real level of institutional capital, after adjusting the allowances for risk assets to meet the standards of P1&P2, and covering any other potential losses. ◦ Items Required: Items Required: A- Total Assets; B- Allowance for Risk Assets; C– Balance of Delinquent Loans >12 mnths; DBalance of Delinquent Loans <12 mnths; E- Problem Assets (losses to liquidate); F – Total Assets; ◦ Formula : [(A+B ) – (C + 0.35(D) +E)]/(F). *Institutional Capital comprise all legal and non-distributable reserves, nonwithdrawable members’ share capital; capital donations and non-distributable reserves (from surplus). A - Asset Quality Goals (Excellence) A1. Total Loan Delinquency / Gross Loan Portfolio ≤ 5% A2. Non-earning Assets / Total Assets ≤ 5% A3. Net Zero Cost Funds / Non-earning Assets ≥ 200% A1. Total Loan Delinquency / Gross Loan Portfolio ◦ Purpose: To measure the total percentage of delinquency in the loan portfolio, using the criterion of outstanding delinquent loan balances instead of accumulated delinquent loan payments. ◦ Items Required: Items Required: A- Total Loan Delinquent Balances; B – Total Gross Loan Portfolio; ◦ Formula : (A)/(B). A2. Non-Earning Assets* / Total Assets ◦ Purpose: To measure the percentage of the total assets that are not producing income. ◦ Items Required: Items Required: A- Total Non-Earning Assets; B – Total Assets; ◦ Formula : (A)/(B). *Examples of Non-Earning assets include Cash on hand and floats, non interest bearing current accounts, accounts receivable, fixed assets and prepaid expenses, assets in liquidation. R - Rates of Return and Costs Goals (Excellence) R1. Net Loan Income / Average Net Loan Portfolio Entrepreneurial Rate R2. Liquid Inv. Income / Avg. Liquid Investments Market Rates R3. Fin. Investment Income / Avg. Fin. Investments Market Rates R4. Non-fin. Inv. Income / Avg. Non-fin. Investments R5. Fin. Costs: Savings Deposits / Avg. Savings Deposits R6. Fin. Costs: External Credit / Avg. External Credit ≥ R1 Market Rates > Inflation Market Rates R - Rates of Return and Costs Goals (Excellence) R7. Fin. Costs: Member Shares / Avg. Member Shares Market Rates, > R5 R8. Gross Margin / Average Assets ˆE9=10% R9. Operating Expenses / Average Assets ≤ 5% R10. Provisions for Risk Assets / Average Assets ˆP1=100%, ˆP2=35% R11. Other Income or Expense / Average Assets Minimized R12. Net Income / Average Assets (ROA) ˆE9=10% R9. Operating Expenses / Average Assets ◦ Purpose: To measure the cost associated with the management of all the Credit Union assets. This metric is an indicator of the degree of operational efficiency or inefficiency. ◦ Items Required: A- Total Operating Expenses (exclusive of Provisions for loan losses); B- Total Assets of Current year-end; C-Total Assets as of Last year-end. ◦ Formula : (A)/[(B+C)/2]. R12. Net Income / Average Assets (ROA) ◦ Purpose: To measure the adequacy of earnings and also, the capacity to build Institutional Capital. ◦ Items Required: A- Net Income (After dividends); B- Total Assets of current year-end; C-Total Assets as of last year-end. ◦ Formula : (A)/[(B+C)/2]. Liquidity Goals (Excellence) 1. Liquid Assets - ST Payables / Total Deposits 15-20% 2. Liquidity Reserves / Total Savings Deposits 10% 3. Non-Earning Liquid Assets / Total Assets < 1% L1. [Liquid Assets – Short-term Payables ]/ Total Deposits ◦ Purpose: To measure the adequacy of the liquid cash reserves to satisfy deposit withdrawal requests, after paying all immediate obligations <30 days. ◦ Items Required: A- Total Earning Liquid Investments; B-Total Non-Earning Liquid Assets; C-Total Short-term Payables <30 days; D- Total Savings Deposits; ◦ Formula : (A + B -C)/(D). Signs of Growth (Annualized Rates) Goals (Excellence) 1. Net Loans ˆE1=70-80% 2. Liquid Investments ˆE2 ≤ 16% 3. Financial Investments 4. Non-financial Investments ˆE3 ≤ 2% ˆE4=0% 5. Savings Deposits ˆE5=70-80% 6. External Credit ˆE6=0-5% 7. Member Shares 8. Institutional Capital 9. Net Institutional Capital ˆE7 ≤ 20% ˆE8 ≥ 10% ˆE9 ≥ 10% 10. Membership ≥ 15% 11. Total Assets > Inflation + 10% S11. Growth in Total Assets ◦ Purpose: To measure the year-to-date growth of Total Assets. ◦ Items Required: A- Total Current Assets; B-Total Assets as of the Last year-end; ◦ ◦ Formula : [(A/B)-1]*100. PEARLS RATIO P1. Loan loss allowances/ Delinq Loans> 12. ACRO NYM COMMON GROUND P ACRO NYM C CAMELS RATIOS Capital/Risk-Weighted Assets P6. Net Val. Assts/Total Shares & Deposits (Solvency) E1. Net Loans / Total Assets. E.9. Net Institutional Capital / Total Assets A1. Total Loan Delinquency / Gross Loan Portfolio. E A Net Income/ Average Total Assets (ROA) Liquid Assets – Short- term Payables/Total Deposits Return on Assets. A E R M Rating (1 -5) L L Liquid assets to total assets A2. Non-Earning Assets/Total Assets. Operating Expenses/Total Assets Non-Perf. Loans/Total Gross Loans Growth in Total Assets S ?? S Return on Equity. Net open position in foreign exchange to capital PEARLS CARTAC has developed a useful reporting regime that can help Credit Unions Regulators collect information from the sector. The reporting forms have been deployed and adapted in various CARTAC member States, including OECS, Jamaica and Suriname. Form Number Main Contents CU1 Assets and Liabilities •CU1 •CU1 •CU1 •CU1 •CU1 •CU1 •CU1 – – – – – – – Supp Supp Supp Supp Supp Supp Supp A B C D E F G •Deposits •Borrowing •Loans •Investments •Receivables and Payables •Interest Rates •Deposit &Loans by Interest Rate &Size. CU2 Economic Activity CU3 Income Statement CU 4 Credit Quality CU 5A General and Specific Reserves CU 5B Reconciliation of Allowance for Loan Losses and Change in Equity CU SUMMARY KEY PEARLS RATIO SWITCH TO PROVIDE A VIEW OF THE REPORTING FORMS IN EXCEL (OECS EXAMPLE) COK SODALITY CO-OPERATIVE CREDIT UNION LIMITED COK Credit Union 2013 2012 ASSETS (J$’000s) EARNING ASSETS 6,369,128.0 6,327,710.0 4,600,561.0 4,125,625.0 25,472.0 32,775.0 Loan Loss Allowance (-) 110,733.0 120,114.0 Liquid Assets 876,844.0 1,081,200.0 Financial Investments 976,984.0 1,208,224.0 NON-EARNING ASSETS 748,188.0 773,989.0 Liquid Assets Property Plant and Equipment Other Non-Earning Assets 112,910.0 85,744.0 231,043.0 256,272.0 404,235.0 431,973.0 Loans to Members Credit Card Advances TOTAL ASSETS 7117316.00 7101699.00 COK Credit Union 2013 2012 LIABILITIES (J$’000s) Interest-Bearing Liabilities 6,594,477.0 6,556,733.0 Savings Deposits 4,062,005.0 4,045,737.0 Voluntary Shares 2,185,326.0 2,167,227.0 Deferred Shares 300,000.0 300,000.0 External Credits 47,146.0 43,769.0 Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 185,117.0 216,065.0 177,104.0 204,895.0 8,013.0 11,170.0 6,779,594.0 6,772,798.0 Payables and Accruals Other Non-interest Liabilities Total Liabilities COK Credit Union 2013 2012 TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY (J$’000s) TOTAL EQUITY 337,722.0 328,901.0 Permanent Shares 380,613.0 361,865.0 (609,086.0) (610,981.0) 462,466.0 462,466.0 5,923.0 5,877.0 - - 97,806.0 109,674.0 7,117,316.0 7,101,699.0 Non-Institutional Capital Institutional Capital Investment Revaluation Reserve Loan Loss Reserve Pension Reserve TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY COK Credit Union 2013 2012 NET INTEREST INCOME (J$’000s) INTEREST INCOME 794,507 761,084 Loans to Members 648,885 564577 Investments and Deposits 145622 196507 -210,890 -210,500 (160,211.0) (196,241.0) (50,679.0) (14,259.0) INTEREST EXPENSE Members' Deposits External Credits NET INTEREST INCOME Provisions for Loan Losses 583,617 550,584 (51,363.0) (101,212.0) Loans to Members (40,667.0) (91,324.0) Interest Receivable 1,065.0 9,875.0 (11,761.0) (19,763.0) Other Assets COK Credit Union 2013 Profit/Loss (J$’000s) 2012 NET INTEREST INCOME (writeoffs and Loan Loss Provisions) 532,254.0 449,372.0 NON-INTEREST INCOME/(EXPENSES) 266,782.0 228,916.0 GROSS MARGIN 799,036.0 678,288.0 Operating Expenses 793,845.0 804,325.0 5,191.0 (126,037.0) Other Comprehensive Income/Loss (16,323.0) 7,509.0 Total Comprehensive Loss (11,132.0) (118,528.0) Surplus/Deficit DELINQUENT LOANS Period Overdue 2013 (J$’000s) Num in Arrears Loans in Arrears Provision (ratio) Loan Loss Provision 1-2 Months 3,500 298,151 0 0 2-3 Months 956 27,389 0.1 2,739 3-6 Months 665 45,811 0.3 13,743 6-12 Months 824 63,909 0.6 38,345 5,945 435,260 198 53,661 1.0 53,661 6,143 488,921 1.0 108,489 Between 1-12 Months Over 12 Months Total 54,828 DELINQUENT LOANS Period Overdue 2012 (J$’000s) Num in Arrears Loans in Arrears Provision (ratio) Loan Loss Provision 1-2 Months 2,764 236,874 0.0 0.0 2-3 Months 705 27,562 0.1 2,756 3-6 Months 712 63,566 0.3 19,070 6-12 Months 794 63,891 0.6 38,335 4,975 391,893 429 55,174 1.0 55,174 5,404 447,067 1.0 115,335 Between 1-12 Months Over 12 Months Total 60,161 COK Credit Union Benchmark 2013 2012 PEARLS RATIO PEARLS RATIO 100% 100.00% 100.00% 35% 12.60% 15.35% Net Loans/Average Total Assets 80% 63.08% 56.40% Savings Deposits/Total Assets 80% 57.07% 56.97% PROTECTION Provision months for Provision for months Loans Loans Delinquent Delinquent >12 < 12 EFFECTIVE FINANCIAL STRUCTURE COK Credit Union Benchmark 2013 2012 Total Delinquency/Gross Loan Portfolio Max 5% 10.63% 10.84% Non-Earning Assets/Total Assets Max 5% 10.51% 10.90% 5% 11.89% 12.74% 2% 7.49% 6.32% Min 15% 20.01% 23.78% Min 10% 0.22 -0.29 ASSET QUALITY RATES OF RETURN Operating Expenses/Average Assets Net Income/Average Total Assets LIQUIDITY Liquid Assets – ST Payables/ Deposits SIGNS OF GROWTH Growth in Total Assets SWITCH TO PROVIDE A VIEW OF THE COK FINANCIALS IN EXCEL (IF TIME PERMITS). What Conclusions would you draw about COK given the PEARLS Ratios? Discussion? Building an Effective Database for Credit Union Requires: ◦ Setting up a functional reporting regime. ◦ Mapping and Developing Workflows necessary to support information gathering, analysis and dissemination. ◦ Choosing an effective, affordable, flexible and scalable database system. Good Examples include: Sungard’s FAME/MARKET MAP (Data Warehouse) http://financialsystems.sungard.com/solutions/market-data/marketmap/analytic-platform Vizor (Newly available system specifically for financial sector regulators). http://vizorsoftware.com. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ksR3TgFbnaU (DEMO OF VIZOR) SWITCH TO PROVIDE A VIEW FAME and VIZOR (IF TIME PERMITS). Building an Effective Database for Credit Union Requires: ◦ Building a reliable IT Platform. ◦ Keeping current with IT innovations and database enhancements and that can impact the sector positively. Organize Reporting Regime & Database System; Invest in and Upgrade IT Resources; Push for Infusion of Expertise in Finance, Accounting, Economics, Law and IT in Credit Union Regulatory Bodies; Intensify Regional and International Collaboration on Credit Union Regulatory Matters; Pay Attention to Developments Globally. Financial Stability Leverage assistance, where necessary and appropriate from CARTAC and other bodies. END OF PRESENTATION