REVISION LECTURE EC202 http://darp.lse.ac.uk/ec202 1st May 2014 Frank Cowell May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 1 Overview... Revision lecture How to see what you need to do Styles of question Doing short questions Doing long questions May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 2 Objectives of the lecture A look back at Term 1 Exam preparation Reference materials used (1) • Exam papers (and outline answers) • 2009 1(c) • 2010 1(a) • 2011 1(a), 3 • 2012 4 • 2013 1(c) Reference materials used (2) • CfD presentations 3.4, 5.7 • Related to past exam questions May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 3 The exam paper Scope of exam material • what’s covered in the lectures… • … is definitive for the exam Structure and format of paper • same as that of last three years • (there was a change from 2010 to 2011) • only 3 long questions in each of parts B and C Mark scheme • 40 marks for question 1 (8 marks for each of the five parts) • 20 marks for each of the other three questions • multipart questions: marks per part shown on the exam paper May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 4 Question style – three types 1 Principles • reason on standard results and arguments • can use verbal and/or mathematical reasoning 2 Model solving • a standard framework • you just turn the wheels 3 Model building • usually get guidance in the question • longer question sometimes easier? Examples from past question 1 One type not necessarily “easier” or “harder” than another • part A (question 1) usually gets you to do both types 1 and 2 • type 3 is usually only in parts B and C of paper May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 5 Overview... Revision lecture How to tackle the main types of question Styles of question Doing short questions Doing long questions May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 6 2009 1(c) Straightforward “principles” question Just say what you need to say May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 7 2010 1(a) Straight “principles” Be sure to read the question carefully Be sure to give your reasons May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 8 2010 1(a) May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 9 2011 1(a) A simple model Be sure to draw a diagram… …and think May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 10 2011 1(a) May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 11 2013 1(c) Principles and model-solving Write down the principle Write down the basics of the model and solve Use standard definition of expected utility and variance Define ARA Differentiate u Evaluate ARA Multiply by x to get RRA May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 12 2011 3 Stating principles can come up in long questions Don’t ignore them in a rush to get to the model! There are sometimes easy marks just writing down the definition… …and then you can apply it to the problem May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 13 Overview... Revision lecture How to do well in exams Styles of question Doing short questions Doing long questions May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 14 Planning Answers What’s the point? • take a moment or two... • …make notes to yourself • what is the main point of the question? • and the subpoints? See the big picture • balance out the answer • imagine that you’re drawing a picture • if pressed for time, don’t rush to put in extra detail… • …you can go back Be an economist with your own time • don’t solve things twice! • reuse results • answer the right number of questions!!! May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 15 Tips Follow the leads • examiners may be on your side! • so if you’re pointed in the right direction, follow it… Pix • help you to see the solution • help you to explain your solution to examiner What should the answer be? • take a moment before each part of the question • check the “shape” of the problem • use your intuition Does it make sense? • again take a moment to check after each part • we all make silly slips May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 16 Long questions Let’s look at examples • taken from past papers • also from exercises in the book of “exam type” difficulty • covered in CfD Illustrates two types of question • Ex 3.4, 5.7 is straight model solving • 2012 Q4 incorporates some model building Look out for tips • use pictures to clarify solution • following hints in Ex 3.4 May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 17 Overview... Revision lecture A problem about price control Styles of question Doing short questions Doing long questions May 2014 •Preparing and planning •CfD 5.7 •2012 Q4 •CfD 3.4 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 18 Ex 5.7: Question purpose: Illustration of labour supply model with very simple preferences method: Consumer optimisation with endogenous budget constraint May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 19 Ex 5.7: Worker’s problem Basic constraints on worker are • x is consumption • `y is non-labour income • w is wage rate • ℓ is labour supply Worker’s problem can therefore be written as • found by substituting from above into utility function May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 20 Ex 5.7: Worker’s optimum Take log of maximand to get • a log(wℓ +`y) + [1 a] log(1 ℓ) Differentiate with respect to ℓ This is zero if • wℓ + aw + [a 1]`y = 0 • which implies ℓ = a + [a 1]`y / w But this only makes sense if ℓ is non-negative • requires w ≥ [1 a]`y / a • so optimal labour supply is May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 21 Ex 5.7: Interior maximum (leisure, consumption)-space x Max value of leisure Indifference curves Non-labour income Budget constraint Optimum w ≥ [1 a]`y / a 0 < ℓ* < 1 slope = w `y 0 May 2014 1 ℓ* 1ℓ 1 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 22 Ex 5.7: Corner solution Indifference curves as before x Non-labour income Budget constraint Optimum w < [1 a]`y / a ℓ* = 0 •`y 0 May 2014 1ℓ 1 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 23 Ex 5.7: Points to note Treat leisure as a conventional good Has a natural upper bound • where labour is zero Have to allow for corner solution • where person chooses not to work Type of equilibrium depends on • wage rate • non-labour income May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 24 Overview... Revision lecture Modelling choice under uncertainty Styles of question Doing short questions Doing long questions May 2014 •Preparing and planning •CfD 5.7 •2012 Q4 •CfD 3.4 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 25 2012 Q4 (a) May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 26 2012 Q4 (b) May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 27 2012 Q4 (c)… May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 28 …2012 Q4 (c) May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 29 2012 Q4 (d) May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 30 2012 Q4 (e) May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 31 2012 Q4 (f) May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 32 2012 Q4 assessment It seems like a long question • broken into digestible pieces • makes model-building easier • shows you exactly what to do, stage by stage • important message…. “long” “difficult” Core of problem involves elementary things • carefully specify budget constraint in each part of the Q • plug into simple utility function • use FOC to get result • applies to parts (b)—(e) Finishing off • final part just involves simple differentiation of the solution • don’t forget the “explain why” in part (e) • see also Ex 8.12 May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 33 Overview... Revision lecture Modelling choice under uncertainty Styles of question Doing short questions Doing long questions May 2014 •Preparing and planning •CfD 5.7 •2012 Q4 •CfD 3.4 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 34 Ex 3.4(1) Question purpose: to derive competitive supply function method: derive AC, MC May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 35 Ex 3.4(1) Costs Integrate MC to get total cost Divide by q to get average costs Differentiate to find minimum AC at Average costs at this point are If price is above this level find equilibrium where price = MC: Solving this we get May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 36 Ex 3.4(1): Firm’s supply curve Average cost Marginal cost Supply of output a+bq Relation between price & output p F0/q+a+0.5bq q May 2014 pa q*= —— b q Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 37 Ex 3.4(2) Question purpose: to derive monopolist’s solution method: derive AR, MR May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 38 Ex 3.4(2) Monopolist’s equilibrium Given the demand curve total revenue is Aq ½Bq2 So, MR is Monopolist’s FOC (MR=MC) Solving for q we get And from this we have May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 39 P Ex 3.4(2): Monopoly output and price AC and MC curves Demand (average revenue) Marginal revenue a+bq Profit-maximising output MC and price at q** p** F0/q+a+0.5bq c** A 0.5bq A bq q** May 2014 q Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 40 Ex 3.4(3) Question purpose: to derive modified monopoly solution method: derive modified AR, MR – watch for discontinuity! May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 41 Ex 3.4(3) Regulated monopolist Price ceiling alters the effective demand curve So AR is now: Multiply by q and then differentiate to get MR: MR is discontinuous, exactly where AR is kinked Effect of price ceiling depends on position of MC relative to this discontinuity May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 42 Ex 3.4(3): High price ceiling AC and MC curves Demand (average revenue) Marginal revenue Profit-maximising output MC and price at q** p** high ceiling: no effect on equilibrium c** q** May 2014 q Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 43 Ex 3.4(3): Low price ceiling AC and MC curves Demand (average revenue) Marginal revenue Profit-maximising output p** Low ceiling : equilibrium at reduced output q1 price = MC = price ceiling c** q1 May 2014 q** q0 q Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 44 Ex 3.4(3): Medium price ceiling (i) AC and MC curves Demand (average revenue) Marginal revenue Profit-maximising output p** Medium ceiling : eqm at increased output q2 c** q** May 2014 q2 q0 q Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 45 Ex 3.4(3): Medium price ceiling (ii) AC and MC curves Demand (average revenue) Marginal revenue Profit-maximising output p** Medium ceiling: eqm at increased output again c** q** May 2014 q0 q Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 46 Ex 3.4: Points to remember Make good use of a diagram to “see” the problem Re-use the solutions • one part of the problem… • …helps to build the next. Don’t be fazed by the presence of a discontinuity • everything is nice and regular either side of it. May 2014 Frank Cowell: EC202 Revision Lecture 47