Two-Year Outcomes of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) in “Inoperable” Patients With Severe Aortic Stenosis: The PARTNER Trial Raj R. Makkar, MD On behalf of The PARTNER Trial Investigators TCT 2011 | San Francisco, CA | November 10, 2011 Disclosures Raj R. Makkar is a principal site investigator for The PARTNER Trial (US) for Edwards Lifesciences and is national principal investigator for the St Jude TAVR study. He has received consulting fees, grant support and lecture fees from Medtronic, equity from Entourage Medical Technologies and grant support from St Jude Medical. • Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) is the standard of care for inoperable patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS), demonstrating 1-year outcomes of the PARTNER Trial, offering reduced mortality and improved quality of life. Published October 2010 4 Key End-Points for 2 Year Analysis • All cause mortality • Cardiac mortality • Rehospitalization • Stroke • NYHA functional class • Days alive and out of hospital • Echo-derived valve areas, transvalvular gradients, paravalvular aortic regurgitation • Mortality outcomes stratified by STS score 8 All Cause Mortality (ITT) Crossover Patients Followed Standard Rx All Cause Mortality (%) TAVR HR [95% CI] = 0.57 [0.44, 0.75] p (log rank) < 0.0001 67.6% ∆ at 1 yr = 20.0% NNT = 5.0 pts 50.7% 43.3% 30.7% ∆ at 2 yr = 24.3% NNT = 4.1 pts Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 13 179 179 138 121 124 85 110 67 83 51 All Cause Mortality (ITT) Landmark Analysis All Cause Mortality (%) Standard Rx TAVR Mortality 0-1 yr Mortality 1-2yr HR [95% CI] = 0.57 [0.44, 0.75] p (log rank) < 0.0001 HR [95% CI] = 0.58 [0.37, 0.92] p (log rank) = 0.0194 50.7% 35.1% 30.7% 18.2% Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 15 179 179 138 121 124 85 110 62 83 42 Cardiovascular Mortality (ITT) Crossover Patients Censored Cardiovascular Mortality (%) Standard Rx TAVR ∆ at 1 yr = 24.1% NNT = 4.1 pts HR [95% CI] = 0.44 [0.32, 0.60] p (log rank) < 0.0001 62.4% 44.6% 20.5% ∆ at 2 yr = 31.4% NNT = 3.2 pts 31.0% Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 16 179 179 138 121 124 85 110 62 83 42 Repeat Hospitalization (ITT) Repeat Hospitalization (%) Standard Rx TAVR ∆ at 1 yr = 26.9% NNT = 3.7 pts HR [95% CI] = 0.41 [0.30, 0.58] p (log rank) < 0.0001 72.5% 53.9% 27.0% ∆ at 2 yr = 37.5% NNT = 2.7 pts 35.0% Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 18 179 179 115 86 100 49 89 30 64 17 Hospitalization Through 2 Years Repeat Hospitalizations (No.) Repeat Hospitalizations (%) Days Alive Out of Hospital Median [IQR] 19 TAVR Standard Tx p value 78 151 <.0001 35.0% 72.5% <.0001 699 [201-720] 355 [116-712] .0003 NYHA Class Over Time Survivors p = 0.61 p < 0.0001 p < 0.0001 16.9% 23.7% 57.5% Percent 60.8% Treatment Visit 20 93.9% 92.2% Baseline 1 Year 2 Year All Stroke (ITT) Standard Rx Incidence (%) TAVR HR [95% CI] = 2.79 [1.25, 6.22] p (log rank) = 0.009 ∆ at 1 yr = 5.7% ∆ at 2 yr = 8.3% 13.8% 11.2% 5.5% 5.5% Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 21 179 179 128 118 116 84 105 62 79 42 All Strokes (# pts) 14 1 12 Hemorrhagic Events 10 Ischemic 8 4 6 12 1 4 2 5 4 3 0 Standard Rx TAVR Standard Rx ≤ 30 days 24 TAVR 31 days- 2 years ≤ 30 Days 31 Days – 2 Years All stroke p=0.010 p=0.319 Ischemic Stroke p = 0.017 p = 0.437 Hemorrhagic Stroke p = 0.316 p = 0.160 Stroke - Hemorrhagic ITT arm Age Days post Description Trauma randomization Medication Procedure Device related* related* TAVR 91 9 Right sided hemorrhage No Coumadin on admission Yes No TAVR 84 53 Traumatic subarachnoid Fall Coumadin No No Intraparenchymal and subdural Fall Not stated No No Fall Not stated No No Not stated DAPT No No Not stated No n/a TAVR 85 54 TAVR 84 124 TAVR 88 155 Standard therapy (BAV) 91 *CEC adjudicated 25 243 Intracranial Subdural hematoma "Massive cerebral Not stated hemorrhage" All Cause Mortality or Stroke (%) Mortality or Stroke (ITT) Standard Rx TAVR ∆ at 1 yr = 16.1% NNT = 6.2 pts HR [95% CI] = 0.64 [0.49, 0.84] p (log rank) = 0.0009 68.0% 51.3% 46.1% 35.2% ∆ at 2 yr = 21.9% NNT = 4.6 pts Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 26 179 179 128 118 116 84 105 62 79 42 Mean Gradient & Valve Area 30 Mean Gradient AVA (cm²) Mean Gradient (mm Hg) EOA N = 158 N = 137 N = 84 N = 65 N=9 N = 162 N = 143 N = 89 N = 65 N=9 Error bars = ± 1 Std Dev Mortality Stratified by Paravalvular Leak (ITT) Starting at Discharge Moderate or Severe Death Incidence (%) None to Mild p (log rank) = 0.891 41.2% 35.3% 40.5% 27.2% Months Numbers at Risk None to Mild Moderate or Severe 31 147 17 118 12 107 11 95 10 72 8 Mortality Stratified by STS Score (ITT) STS <5 STS ≥15 STS 5-14.9 TAVR Standard Rx p value (log rank) = 0.676 Death Incidence (%) p value (log rank) = 0.012 Months Numbers at Risk 33 Months 12 119 8 84 7 59 6 42 5 29 47 29 19 14 8 28 108 43 26 80 32 25 76 23 24 67 19 16 52 15 Conclusions (1) At 2 years, in patients with symptomatic severe AS who are not suitable candidates for surgery… • TAVR remained superior to standard therapy with incremental benefit from 1 to 2 years, markedly reducing the rates of… 34 All cause mortality Cardiovascular mortality Repeat hospitalization • TAVR improved NYHA functional status and decreased Class III/IV symptoms compared to standard therapy (17% vs 64%; p < 0.001). Conclusions (2) At 2 years, in patients with symptomatic severe AS who are not suitable candidates for surgery… •There were more neurologic events in TAVR patients vs Standard Rx (16.2% vs 5.5%; p = 0.003) with 5 new events (3 strokes and 2 TIAs) between 1-2 years in TAVR patients. •After 30 days, differences in stroke frequency were largely due to increased hemorrhagic strokes in TAVR patients. •A subgroup analysis according to surgical risk score suggests that the most pronounced benefit of TAVR is in patients without extreme clinical co-morbidities. 35 Conclusions (3) At 2 years, in patients with symptomatic severe AS who are not suitable candidates for surgery… •TAVR hemodynamics by echo showed durable improvements in AVA and mean gradients up to 3 years after implantation. •Moderate or severe paravalvular AR in the TAVR patients did not influence 2-year survival and there was a trend towards reduced paravalvular AR between 1 and 2 years. 36 Clinical Implications • Two year data continues to support the role of TAVR as the standard-of-care for symptomatic patients with aortic stenosis who are not surgical candidates. • The ultimate value of TAVR in “inoperable” patients will depend on careful selection of patients who are not surgical candidates, and yet do not have extreme co-morbidities that overwhelm the benefits of TAVR and render the intervention futile. 37 Thank You to the Dedicated Study Teams at All PARTNER Investigational Sites BACKUP SLIDES All Cause Mortality (ITT) HR [95% CI] = 0.57 [0.44, 0.75] p (log rank) < 0.0001 Standard Rx All Cause Mortality (%) TAVR ∆ at 1 yr = 20.0% NNT = 5.0 pts 50.7% 68.0% 43.3% 30.7% ∆ at 2 yr = 24.7% NNT = 4.0 pts Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 40 179 179 138 121 124 85 110 62 83 42 47 19 14 5 All Cause Mortality (ITT) Cumulative Hazard Cumulative Hazard Standard Rx TAVR 1.14 0.71 0.37 Months 41 0.57 Cardiovascular Mortality (ITT) Landmark Analysis Standard Rx TAVR Cardiovascular Mortality 1-2 yr HR [95% CI] = 0.44 [0.32, 0.60] p (log rank) < 0.0001 HR [95% CI] = 0.48 [0.29, 0.81] p (log rank) = 0.0043 Cardiovascular Mortality (%) Cardiovascular Mortality 0-1 yr 44.6% 32.1% 20.5% 13.2% Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 42 179 179 138 121 124 85 110 62 83 42 All Cause Mortality (ITT) Entire Cohort vs STS Score <5 Standard Rx Death Incidence (%) Entire Cohort TAVR STS <5 Months Months Numbers at Risk 179 179 43 138 121 124 85 110 62 83 42 47 19 14 5 28 12 26 8 25 7 24 6 16 5 11 3 2 0 Mortality Stratified by STS Score (ITT) TAVR Standard Rx STS 5-14.9 STS ≥15 Months Months Months Death Incidence (%) STS <5 Numbers at Risk 44 28 12 26 8 25 7 24 6 16 5 108 119 80 84 76 59 67 42 52 29 43 47 32 29 23 19 19 14 15 8 Mortality Stratified by STS Score (ITT) STS <15 vs STS ≥15 (out to 36 months) Death Incidence (%) Standard Rx STS <15 STS ≥15 Months Months TAVR Numbers at Risk 136 131 45 106 92 101 66 91 48 68 34 35 14 8 4 43 47 32 29 23 19 19 14 15 8 12 5 6 1 Proportional Hazards Analysis of Predictors of Death Predictor Variable 46 Body Mass Index (lbs/in²) STS Risk Score CV Conditions: Stroke or TIA within last 6-12 months CV Conditions: Arrhythmia CV Conditions: Peripheral vascular disease High Risk – Oxygen dependent COPD Mean Gradient -- Baseline CV Surgery: CABG Non-CV Conditions: Liver disease CV Surgery: PCI NYHA Class Moderate or Severe Mitral Regurgitation -- Baseline CV Surgery: Pacemaker implant CV Surgery: Carotid endarterectomy / Carotid stent CHAD Stroke Risk Score (ignoring fibrillation) CV Surgery: Prior aortic valvuloplasty High Risk – Porcelain Aorta Aortic Valve Area -- Baseline High Risk – Radiation High Risk – Pulmonary Hypertension Aortic Valve Baseline: AV Annulus Diameter (cm) CV Surgery: Peripheral bypass graft Other vascular stent of PTA (arterial) Logistic EuroSCORE CV Conditions: Coronary artery Disease Ejection Fraction -- Baseline CV Conditions: Previous Q wave or non-Q wave MI CV Risk Factors: Diabetes Mellitus Age at Screening (years) Patient has Coronary Artery Stenosis> 50%? CV Risk Factors: Pulmonary Hypertension Atrial Fibrillation -- per ecg corelab High Risk – Renal Failure Gender Baseline Creatinine CV Conditions: Cerebrovascular disease Non-missing observations Log hazard ratio P value 179 179 179 179 178 179 170 179 178 179 179 171 179 179 179 179 179 166 179 118 150 179 179 179 179 172 177 179 179 179 179 156 116 179 179 175 -0.0489 0.0424 1.1563 0.4236 0.4050 0.3709 -0.0108 -0.2927 0.5803 -0.3039 0.2010 -0.3166 0.2759 -0.4219 0.1156 -0.2697 -0.2248 -0.4680 -0.2441 0.1332 -0.2411 -0.4089 0.2369 0.0022 -0.0826 -0.0030 -0.0935 0.0758 0.0033 0.0530 -0.0429 0.0479 -0.0737 0.0229 0.0198 0.0075 0.0061 0.0125 0.0128 0.0447 0.0586 0.1232 0.1713 0.2006 0.2087 0.2207 0.2377 0.2530 0.2670 0.2831 0.3578 0.4040 0.4138 0.4334 0.5347 0.6035 0.6354 0.6843 0.6873 0.7072 0.7074 0.7102 0.7281 0.7307 0.7851 0.7990 0.8383 0.8606 0.8872 0.9124 0.9328 0.9740 Hazard ratio Lower confidence limit Upper confidence limit 0.952 1.043 3.178 1.527 1.499 1.449 0.989 0.746 1.787 0.738 1.223 0.729 1.318 0.656 1.123 0.764 0.799 0.626 0.783 1.142 0.786 0.664 1.267 1.002 0.921 0.997 0.911 1.079 1.003 1.054 0.958 1.049 0.929 1.023 1.020 1.008 0.920 1.009 1.279 1.010 0.985 0.904 0.974 0.477 0.723 0.454 0.876 0.423 0.810 0.303 0.877 0.405 0.466 0.194 0.362 0.691 0.290 0.093 0.400 0.991 0.598 0.981 0.538 0.701 0.980 0.701 0.635 0.615 0.336 0.681 0.644 0.642 0.986 1.079 7.901 2.310 2.281 2.322 1.005 1.168 4.415 1.200 1.707 1.254 2.145 1.417 1.436 1.439 1.369 2.020 1.693 1.889 2.129 4.770 4.017 1.014 1.417 1.013 1.543 1.660 1.027 1.586 1.446 1.791 2.570 1.538 1.616 1.582 Proportional Hazard Analysis of Predictors of Death Multivariable Analysis Label Parameter Estimate p Hazard Ratio 95% Upper 95% Lower Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Body Mass Index (lbs/in²) -0.05032 0.0050 0.951 0.985 0.918 Stroke or TIA within last 6-12 months 1.09824 0.0194 2.999 7.530 1.194 High Risk - Oxygen dependent COPD 0.52611 0.0310 1.692 2.730 1.049 47 All Cause Mortality vs BAV Standard Rx: BAV Standard Rx: No BAV Death Incidence (%) TAVR Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx: BAV 179 142 138 105 124 74 110 54 83 37 47 18 14 5 Standard RX: No BAV 39 18 13 10 7 2 1 48 All Stroke Plus TIA (ITT) Standard Rx Incidence (%) TAVR HR [95% CI] = 3.1 [1.41, 6.83] p (log rank) = 0.003 ∆ at 1 yr = 6.4% NNT = 15.6 pts Point-in-Time at 2 Yrs: p = 0.0029 ∆ at 2 yr = 10.7% NNT = 9.3 pts 16.2% 11.9% 5.5% 5.5% Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 49 179 179 127 118 115 84 103 62 76 42 Mortality Stratified by Stroke (ITT) TAVR (no stroke) Standard Rx (no stroke) Death Incidence (%) TAVR (stroke) Standard Rx (stroke) Months Numbers at Risk TAVR (stroke) Standard Rx (stroke) TAVR (no stroke) 25 8 154 16 4 122 14 1 110 10 0 100 7 0 76 Standard Rx (no stroke) 171 117 84 62 42 50 Paravalvular Regurgitation: TAVR Slight Changes Over Time 1% 0% 4% 1% 12% 11% 35% 30% 46% 42% 66% 52% 30 Day 51 1 Year 2 Year None/Trace Moderate Mild Severe Cardiovascular Mortality Stratified by First PV Leak (ITT) Starting at Discharge Moderate or Severe Determination of first PV Leak starts with the discharge echo Death Incidence (%) None to Mild p (log rank) = 0.381 ∆ at 1 yr = 14.4% NNT = 6.9 pts 36.7% 30.3% 15.9% ∆ at 2 yr = 9.7% NNT = 10.3 pts 27.0% Months Numbers at Risk None to Mild Moderate or Severe 52 147 17 118 12 107 11 95 10 72 8 Echocardiography Baseline TAVR n = 179 Standard Rx n = 179 p value Aortic valve area (cm2) 0.6 ± 0.2 0.7 ± 0.2 0.6077 Mean AV gradient (mm Hg) 44.2 ± 14.9 43.0 ± 15.1 0.4608 Mean LVEF (%) 53.7 ± 13.1 51.3 ± 14.2 0.1135 Aortic valve area (cm2) 1.6 ± 0.5 0.7 ± 0.3 <0.0001 Mean AV gradient (mm Hg) 10.9 ± 5.5 44.4 ± 15.7 <0.0001 Mean LVEF (%) 57.3 ± 9.9 57.1 ± 10.2 0.8924 Aortic valve area (cm2) 1.6 ± 0.5 0.7 ± 0.2 <0.0001 Mean AV gradient (mm Hg) 10.6 ± 4.4 41.9 ± 20.7 <0.0001 Mean LVEF (%) 57.3 ± 8.2 56.3 ± 11.1 0.6387 1 Year 2 Year 53 Cross-Over Patients Mean Std Dev. Min Max Days from ITT to cross-over 699.5 166.5 462.0 979.0 Days from cross-over start to cross-over 73.9 72.6 0 248.0 Days from 1 year visit to cross-over 334.2 164.8 117.0 595.0 n = 20 54 Cross-Over approved: May 28, 2010 Patients Status Did Not Cross-Over Frequency Percent Died after cross-over process started* 12 7.55 Died before cross-over process started 116 72.96 No cross-over – still alive 23 14.47 Withdrew after cross-over process started 3 1.89 Withdrew before cross-over process started 5 3.14 *Days from cross-over start to death N Mean Std Dev 12 200.3 120.5 55 Minimum 30.0 Maximum 388.0 121 patients could not cross over (116 died, 5 withdrawn) 38/58 (65%) who could have crossed over did not of which 23 (39.6%) are alive Patient Status After Cross-Over Frequency Percent Alive – no implant due to access issues 2 10 Alive after implant 16 80 Died after implant 2 10 56 Mean follow-up as of analysis date = 197 days