Transcatheter (TAVR) versus Surgical (AVR) Aortic Valve Replacement: Incidence, hazard, determinants, and consequences of neurological events in the PARTNER Trial The PARTNER Stroke Substudy Writing Group* On behalf of The PARTNER Trial Investigators and Patients * Miller DC, Mack MJ, Svensson LG, Kodali SK, Kapadia S, Anderson WN, Rajeswaran J, Blackstone EH Presenter Disclosure Information for PARTNER Trial, AATS May, 2011 D. Craig Miller , M.D. Affiliation/Financial Relationship Company Grant/ Research Support: NHLBI research grant RO1 HL67025 Consulting Fees/Honoraria: •The PARTNER U.S. Pivotal Trial Executive Committee, Edwards Lifesciences (uncompensated) •Stanford PI – The PARTNER Trial, Edwards Lifesciences (uncompensated) •Consultant, Abbott Vascular (MitraClip) •Consultant, Medtronic CardioVascular Division •Consultant, St. Jude Medical Major Stock Shareholder/Equity Interest: Royalty Income: Ownership/Founder: Salary: Intellectual Property Rights: Other Financial Benefit: Background Surgical AVR is the standard of care for symptomatic aortic stenosis Survival after TAVR is superior compared to medical therapy in inoperable patients, and is non-inferior to that after AVR in high-risk operative candidates, but neurological complications occur more frequently after TAVR No randomized trial comparing TAVR and AVR focusing on neurological events has been performed The PARTNER Trial Study Design Symptomatic Severe Aortic Stenosis ASSESSMENT: High-Risk AVR Candidate 3,105 Total Patients Screened N = 699 High Risk Total = 1,057 patients Inoperable N = 358 2 Parallel Trials: Individually Powered ASSESSMENT: Transfemoral Access Yes No 1:1 Randomization N = 179 N = 179 TF TAVR Standard Therapy Not In Study VS Primary Endpoint: All-Cause Mortality Over Length of Trial (Superiority) Co-Primary Endpoint: Composite of All-Cause Mortality and Repeat Hospitalization (Superiority) PARTNER cohort B (inoperable) All-Cause Mortality at 1 Year HR [95% CI] = 0.54 [0.38, 0.78] P (log rank) < 0.0001 ∆ at 1 yr = 20.0% NNT = 5.0 pts Standard Rx All-cause mortality (%) TAVI 50.7% 30.7% Months Numbers at Risk TAVR Standard Rx 179 179 138 121 122 83 67 41 26 12 Neuro events at 30 days and 1 year- Inoperable cohort B per cent Major Stroke P = 0.06 P = 0.18 All Stroke or TIA P = 0.03 P = 0.04 10.6 6.7 1.7 30 Days TAVR (n=179) Standard Rx (n=179) 4.5 1 Year The PARTNER Study Design Symptomatic Severe Aortic Stenosis ASSESSMENT: High-Risk AVR Candidate 3,105 Total Patients Screened Total = 1,057 patients N = 699 High Risk Inoperable 2 Parallel Trials: Individually Powered ASSESSMENT: Yes Transfemoral Access Transfemoral (TF) 1:1 Randomization ASSESSMENT: No Transfemoral Access Transapical (TA) 1:1 Randomization Yes No 1:1 Randomization N = 244 N = 248 N = 104 N = 103 N = 179 N = 179 TF TAVR AVR TA TAVR AVR TF TAVR Standard Therapy VS N = 358 VS Primary Endpoint: All-Cause Mortality at 1 yr (Non-inferiority) Not In Study VS Primary Endpoint: All-Cause Mortality Over Length of Trial (Superiority) Co-Primary Endpoint: Composite of All-Cause Mortality and Repeat Hospitalization (Superiority) TAVR Transfemoral (TF) and Transapical (TA) Transfemoral Transapical PARTNER cohort A All-Cause Mortality at 1 Year 0.5 HR [95% CI] = 0.93 [0.71, 1.22] P (log rank) = 0.62 26.8 TAVR AVR 0.4 0.3 0.2 24.2 0.1 0 0 6 No. at Risk 12 18 24 Months TAVR 348 298 260 147 67 AVR 351 252 236 139 65 All neurological events at 30 days and 1 year PARTNER Cohort A Trial (ITT) All neuro events (%) 20 TAVR 10 5.5 P=0.04 AVR 8.3 P=0.04 4.3 2.4 0 30 Days 1 Year Smith CR, ACC 2011, NEJM in press Purpose • Analyze stroke and TIA after TAVR and surgical AVR in high-risk (≈15%, floor= STS 8-9%), operable patients with symptomatic, severe aortic stenosis in the PARTNER Trial • “As Treated” (AT) patients n= 657 (vs. ITT) • Captured all neurological events at all times • Prospective, independent, blinded adjudication of adverse neurological events by CEC, supplemented by CEC retrospective assessment of stroke severity • Unblinded re-review of all CEC summaries and source documents by 2 investigators (DCM, MJM) Patient characteristics (AT) Transapical Stratum Variable Age (years) (± 1 SD) STS risk Score (± 1 SD) Logistic EuroSCORE (± 1 SD) NYHA class III-IV Carotid endarterectomy / stent Stroke or TIA within last 6-12 mo Previous CABG Coronary artery disease Previous MI Cerebrovascular disease Peripheral vascular disease COPD Pulmonary hypertension Atrial fibrillation Mean aortic valve gradient (mmHg) Aortic Valve Area Index (cm2/m2) LV ejection fraction (%) Transfemoral Stratum AVR TA-TAVR AVR TF-TAVR (n = 92) 83 ± 6 12.1 ± 3.5 30 ± 15 96% 17% 7% 56% 84% 38% 31% 62% 64% 42% 21% (n = 104) 83 ± 7 11.7 ± 3.6 30 ± 16 92% 24% 1% 50% 75% 28% 43% 63% 64% 53% 32% (n = 221) 85 ± 7 11.5 ± 3.3 29 ± 15 95% 6% 1% 40% 75% 26% 26% 35% 65% 55% 26% (n = 240) 84 ± 7 11.9 ± 3.2 29 ± 17 95% 10% 4% 40% 75% 27% 24% 35% 63% 54% 23% 41 ± 13 42 ± 14 45 ± 15 43 ± 15 0.4 ± 0.1 54 ± 11 0.4 ± 0.1 54 ± 12 0.3 ± 0.1 54 ± 13 0.4 ± 0.1 52 ± 14 One year results (AT, n= 657) Outcome at 1 year All-cause mortality All neurological events Major stroke Minor stroke TIA Transapical Stratum Transfemoral Stratum AVR TA-TAVR AVR TF-TAVR (n = 92) 25% (n = 104) 29% (n = 221) 25% (n = 240) 21% P-value .33 9.7% 14.1% 1.9% 6.1% 0.03 5.9% 1.1% 3.9% 9.4% 1.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0% 0.6% 3.5% 0.8% 1.8% .15 .16 .25 Distribution of types of neurological events 47 patients, 49 neuro events Ischemic- 72%, hemorrhagic- 0%, ischemic evolving to hemorrhagic- 4%, unknown- 24% Timing of neurological events AVR 14 TIA 12 Minor Stroke 10 Major Stroke 8 6 4 AVR TAVR 6-10 days AVR TAVR 3-5 days AVR TAVR AVR TAVR 0-2 days AVR TAVR AVR TAVR 0 AVR TAVR 2 11-30 31-364 1-2 2-3 days days years years Risk Factors for Neurologic Events Multiphase, multivariable non-proportional hazard analysis Early high peaking hazard phase Later constant hazard phase Incremental risk factors for neurologic events Early high peaking hazard phase Coefficient ± SD P R (%) TAVR 2.21±0.68 .001 59 Smaller AVA index in TAVR group -11.8±5.1 .02 57 Risk Factor Early hazard phase Atrial fibrillation not significant in multivariable analysis R(%) = bagging reliability Early hazard of neurologic event 80 TAVR 60 %/mo 40 20 0 AVR .25 .50 .75 1.0 Months after Procedure Neurologic event- TF candidate 30 TF Candidate 25 20 % 15 10 AVR 6.0 TAVR 7.4 5 0 3.4 2.4 Mos TAVR 242 AVR 221 6 12 18 24 203 170 179 159 106 99 54 51 Neurologic event- TA candidate 30 TA Candidate 25 TAVR 20 12 % 15 AVR 10 10 5 0 Mos TAVR 102 AVR 92 6 12 18 76 67 64 60 26 27 24 Neurologic event by 1 mo Influence of smaller AVA index 20 TAVR 15 Candidate % 10 TA 5 TF 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 AVAI (cm2/m2) 0.6 Incremental risk factors for neurologic events Late constant hazard phase Coefficient ± SD P R (%) 0.40±0.43 0.4 22 (Higher) NYHA 0.95±0.40 .02 75 Stroke or TIA within 6-12 mo 1.93±0.64 .002 60 Non-TF TAVR candidate 2.3±0.45 <.0001 96 History of PCI (less risk) -1.60±0.63 .01 77 COPD (less risk) -1.06±0.47 .03 79 Risk Factor Constant hazard phase TAVR R(%) = bagging reliability Non-TF candidate differentiation TF stratum TA stratum Female PVD CEA CABG 0 20 40 60 % 80 100 Later hazard- assigned stratum (TAVR and AVR combined) 4 3 %/m 2 1 Candidate TA TF 0 6 12 18 Months after Procedure 24 TAVR neurologic event by stratum 30 TAVR 25 Candidate TA 20 % 15 12 10 TF 5 0 7.4 6.0 Mos TAVR-TF 242 TAVR-TA 102 6 12 18 203 76 179 64 106 26 24 54 AVR neurologic event by stratum 30 AVR 25 Candidate 20 10 TA 2.4 TF 6 12 18 24 170 67 159 60 99 27 51 % 15 10 5 0 TF TA Mos 221 92 3.4 Major Stroke Small number of events n= 29 Conservative definition (modified Rankin score ≥2) If stroke severity unclear, categorized as major Major stroke (18 TAVR, 11 AVR) 10 8 % 6 4.8 4 4.5 2.6 2 0 TAVR 6.1 AVR Mos TAVR 344 AVR 313 6 12 18 24 284 239 252 222 137 128 63 59 Competing Risks of Death and Neurologic Events Competing risks 100 Alive w/o neuro event AVR 80 % 60 40 20 0 Death before neuro event Neuro event 6 12 18 Months after Procedure 24 Neurologic event 25 Considering 20 competing risks % 15 TAVR-TA 10 5 0 TAVR-TF TAVR-TA AVR-TF 240 104 221 AVR-TA 12 9.1 6.5 TAVR-TF 5.5 AVR-TF 2.6 2.2 6 202 12 179 77 170 64 160 18 114 32 106 18 24 67 59 “Mortality Cost” of a Neurologic Event “Mortality Cost” of neuro event 8 AVR 6 Hazard Ratio 4 Observed/Expected 2 0 3 6 9 12 Months after Neurologic Event “Mortality Cost” of neuro event 8 TAVR-TF 6 Hazard Ratio 4 Observed/Expected 2 0 3 6 9 12 Months after Neurologic Event “Mortality Cost” of neuro event 8 TAVR-TA 6 Hazard Ratio 4 Observed/Expected 2 0 3 6 9 12 Months after Neurologic Event Conclusions • Remarkably low 30 day mortality rates in these elderly, very high-risk AS patients in both arms of study AVR= 8% (O:E= 0.68) TAVR= 5.2% (O:E= 0.42) p= .15 TFAVR= 8.2% TAVR= 3.7% p= 0.05 • Prospective, independently adjudicated 30 day neurological event rates (stroke and TIA) were low TF- AVR= 2.6% AVR= 1.4% TAVR= 5.6% p= .05 TAVR= 4.6% p= .04 • Major stroke rates at 30 days were even lower TF- AVR= 2.3% AVR= 1.4% TAVR= 3.8% TAVR= 2.5% p= .25 p= .37 Conclusions Incremental risk factors for neurological events • Early peaking high hazard phase: TAVR Smaller AVA index (TAVR group only) • Later constant hazard phase: Generalized heavy arteriosclerotic burden (“non-TF TAVR candidate”) Stroke/TIA within 6-12 months Higher NYHA class Conclusions • Higher observed incidence of neurological events in the “non-TF candidate” stratum reflected the patient substrate, and was not related to the TA-TAVR or AVR procedures per se Conclusions • Taking competing hazard of death into consideration, the likelihood of a neurologic event was lowest in AVR patients and highest in TA-TAVR group • A neurologic event raised the risk of mortality • In AVR group: High peak, quickly returning to baseline hazard • In TAVR groups: After initial peak, risk remained elevated throughout the 24 months of follow-up, particularly in TA stratum Limitations • These results can only be interpreted within the constraints of the PARTNER Trial protocol: • Carefully controlled patient selection • Regimented training and proctoring • Critical case monitoring and review • Dedicated multi-disciplinary “Heart Valve Team” in these 26 centers • “TF first” protocol philosophy and TAVR sheath sizes available • Learning curve, first generation TAVR device • Not adequately powered for TF vs. TA comparison Thank You BACK-UP Inferences Can TAVR stroke rate be lowered? EARLY HIGH HAZARD PHASE • Peri-procedural anticoagulation management • Clopidogrel load, + dual antiplatelet Rx • Warfarin or dabigatran Rx • No protamine reversal (TF) • Bridge AF patients with heparin • Cerebral embolic prevention devices • Newer low profile THV deployment systems • Carotid compression during BAV, THV deployment LATE CONSTANT HAZARD PHASE • More rigorous patient selection (TA) Brain DWMRI after TAVR J Am Coll Cardiol 2010;55:1427–32 Brain DWMRI after TAVR Valve New MRI lesions Stroke CoreValve 73% 10% SAPIEN 58% 4% Kahlert Both 84% 0% Astarci Both 91% 0% SAPIEN 68% 3.3% Ghanem Knipp Rodés-Cabau, Webb Embrella® Embolic Deflector Initial Vancouver experience in 4 patients, 3 with TAVI and 1 with BAV Effectiveness? Safety? Nietlispach et al., J Am Coll Cardiol Intv 2010;3:1133– 8 The PARTNER Trial Cohort A Death and Stroke (As Treated) n= 657 Transfemoral (TF) Substrate 30 Days TF AVR TF TAVR (n=221) (n=240) 1 Year P value TF AVR (n=103) TF TAVR n=104 P value Death 18 (8.2) Stroke or TIA All 3 (1.4) TIA 0 (0.0) 9 (3.7) 0.05 55 (25.2) 51 (21.3) 0.33 11 (4.6) 3 (1.3) 0.04 0.08 4 (1.9) 1 (0.6) 14 (6.1) 4 (1.8) 0.03 0.25 Stroke Minor 0 (0.0) Major 3 (1.4) 2 (0.8) 6 (2.5) 0.16 0.37 0 (0.0) 3 (1.4) 2 (0.8) 8 (3.5) 0.16 0.15 The PARTNER Trial Cohort A Death and Stroke (As Treated) n= 657 Transapical (TA) Substrate 30 Days TA AVR (n=92) P value TA AVR (n=92) TA TAVR n=104 P value 9 (8.7) 0.79 23 (25.3) 30 (29.1) 0.55 All 5 (5.5) 8 (7.9) 0.50 8 (9.7) 13 (14.1) 0.37 TIA 1 (1.1) 0 (0.0) 0.31 3 (3.9) 3 (3.7) 0.97 Minor 1 (1.1) 1 (1.0) 0.95 1 (1.1) 1 (1.0) 0.95 Major 4 (4.4) 7 (7.0) 0.45 5 (5.9) 9 (9.4) 0.37 Death 7 (7.6) TA TAVR (n=104) 1 Year Stroke or TIA Stroke Stroke Definition- The Modified Rankin Scale Minor • 0- No Symptoms • 1- No significant disability. Able to carry out all usual activities, despite some symptoms Major • 2- Slight disability. Able to look after own affairs without assistance, but unable to carry out all previous activities. • 3- Moderate disability. Requires some help, but able to walk unassisted. • 4- Moderately severe disability. Unable to attend to own bodily needs without assistance, and unable to walk unassisted. • 5- Severe disability. Requires constant nursing care and attention, bedridden, incontinent. • 6- Dead. Neurologic event 15 TAVR 10 8.0 % AVR 6.7 4.5 5 0 11 Mos TAVR 344 AVR 313 6 12 18 24 278 251 243 218 130 125 58 58 Neurological Events at 30 Days and 1 Year All Cohort A Patients N=699, ITT (not AT) 30 Days TAVR (N = 348) Outcome 1 Year AVR p-value TAVR (N = 351) (N = 348) AVR p-value (N = 351) All Stroke or TIA – no. (%) 19 (5.5) 8 (2.4) 0.04 27 (8.3) 13 (4.3) 0.04 TIA – no. (%) 3 (0.9) 1 (0.3) 0.33 7 (2.3) 4 (1.5) 0.47 All Stroke – no. (%) 16 (4.6) 8 (2.4) 0.12 20 (6.0) 10 (3.2) 0.08 Major Stroke – no. (%) 13 (3.8) 7 (2.1) 0.20 17 (5.1) 8 (2.4) 0.07 Minor Stroke – no. (%) 3 (0.9) 1 (0.3) 0.34 3 (0.9) 2 (0.7) 0.84 Death/maj stroke – no. (%) 24 (6.9) 28 (8.2) 0.52 92 (26.5) 93 (28.0) 0.68 Smith CR, ACC 2011, NEJM in press