Association Between Use of Bleeding Avoidance Strategies and Risk of Periprocedural Bleeding Among Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Background • Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is performed approximately 1 million times annually in the United States. • The safety of PCI continues to be excellent with very low rates of death, myocardial infarction (MI), and need for urgent revascularization. • PCI-related bleeding occurs in approximately 2-6% of patients in national PCI databases; marked institutional variability in rates exists. • Bleeding complications are associated with increased length of stay, hospital costs, and important clinical complications such as death and MI. Objective • To describe the use of 2 bleeding avoidance strategies—1) vascular closure devices and 2) bivalirudin—and associated post-PCl bleeding rates in a nationally representative PCI population. • Examine clinical usage patterns of these strategies as a function of bleeding risk. Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Study Patients & Exclusions • NCDR® CathPCI Registry ® • Patients undergoing PCI via the femoral artery • Exclusion criteria: – – – – – – – >1 PCI procedure during same stay Incomplete data on bleeding PCI via radial, brachial artery Cardiogenic shock Missing device data Death in cath lab Unknown bleeding event data Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Candidate Bleeding Avoidance Strategies • Bivalirudin • Vascular closure devices • Both therapies (bivalirudin + vascular closure) Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Bleeding Risk Strata • Bleeding risk score calculated for each patient using NCDR bleeding risk model1 • Clinical elements used to calculate bleeding risk score: – – – – – – – – 1 Mehta STEMI/non-STEMI Female sex Previous CHF No previous PCI NYHA/CCS Class IV CHF PVD Age Estimated glomerular filtration rate et al. Circ Cardiovasc Intervent 2009;2:222-229 Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Study Outcomes • In-hospital bleeding according to NCDR data definition: – Requiring transfusion and/or – Prolonged hospital stay and/or – Decrease in hemoglobin >3 g/dL Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Statistical Analysis • Patients categorized into 3 groups of bleeding risk based on NCDR bleeding risk score: – Low (<1%) – Intermediate (1-3%) – High (>3%) • Propensity score matching with site adjustment using 26 clinical variables for each bleeding avoidance strategy performed to minimize confounding • Population was well matched (standard difference plot on next slide) Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Standardized Difference Before and After Propensity Matching STEMI NYHA Class III/IV Previous PCI Hyprcholesterolemia Hypertension History of Smoking Age BMI PVD Previous MI Previous CABG Diabetes Renal Failure CHF White Race Family History of CAD Gender Previous CHF Cerebrovascular Disease Previous Cardiac Transplant Previous Valve Surgery Chronic Lung Disease Before Match After Match 0 10 20 30 Standardized Difference 40 50 Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Study Population 1,759,408 Recordsfrom NCDRVersion 3.04 2004-2008 Exclusions: 236,473 (13%) • >1 in-hospital PCI procedure: 91,874 (5%) • Data incomplete for calculation of expected bleeding rate: 69,247 (4%) • PCI of a radial or non-femoral artery: 35,951 (2%) • Cardiogenic shock: 34,842 (2%) • Missing device data: 3,384 (<1%) • Death in catheterization lab: 1,111 (<1%) • Bleeding event unknown: 64 (<1%) Final Study Population: N = 1,522,935 Manual Compression N = 529,247 (35%) Low risk: 146,557 (28%) Intermediate risk: 261,363 (49%) High risk: 121,327 (23%) Vascular Closure Device N = 363,583 (24%) Low risk: 115,510 (32%) Intermediate risk: 178,200 (49%) High risk: 69,873 (19%) Bivalirudin N = 353,769 (23%) Low risk:113,118 (32%) Intermediate risk: 174,131 (49%) High risk: 66,520 (19%) Both Strategies N = 276,336 (18%) Low risk: 99,967 (36%) Intermediate risk: 133,033 (48%) High risk: 43,336 (16%) Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Patient Characteristics Total (N=1,522,935) Manual Compression (N = 529,247) Vascular Closure Devices (N=363,583) Bivalirudin N = 353,769) Both (N = 276,336) 64.3 (12.1) 63.87 (12.33) 63.34 (12.26) 65.43 (11.86) 64.77 (11.80) Male, N (%) 1,011,992 (66.5) 350,424 (66.21) 250,753 (68.97) 225,235 (63.67) 185,580 (67.16) White, N (%) 1,289,673 (84.8) 449,617 (85.05) 301,908 (83.18) 303,317 (85.82) 234,831 (85.11) Height, mean (SD), cm 171.30 (10.84) 171.22 (10.89) 171.73 (10.77) 170.81 (10.90) 171.50 (10.73) Weight, mean (SD), kg 87.71 (20.45) 87.25 (20.42) 88.22 (20.28) 87.29 (20.71) 88.47 (20.40) Body mass index, mean (SD), kg/m2 29.8 (6.3) 29.7 (6.3) 29.8 (6.2) 29.8 (6.4) 30.0 (6.3) Obesity , N (%) 643,500 (42.25) 219,470 (41.47) 153,233 (42.15) 150,813 (42.63) 119,984 (43.42) Current CHF, N (%) 136,489 (8.96) 48,658 (9.19) 30,799 (8.47) 33,173 (9.38) 23,859 (8.63) I 480,785 (31.57) 160,016 (30.24) 125,209 (34.44) 107,678 (30.44) 87,882 (31.81) II 355,937 (23.37) 107,093 (20.24) 79,475 (21.86) 90,682 (25.64) 78,687 (28.48) III 415,651 (27.30) 146,439 (27.67) 87,352 (24.03) 107,952 (30.52) 73,908 (26.75) IV 270,376 (17.76) 115,629 (21.85) 71,508 (19.67) 47,412 (13.40) 35,827 (12.97) Age, mean (SD), y NYHA class, N (%) All P<0.001 Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Patient Characteristics Manual Compression (N = 529,247) Vascular Closure Devices (N=363,583) Bivalirudin (N = 353,769) Both (N = 276,336) 509,455 (33.45) 173,024 (32.69) 113,130 (31.12) 129,335 (36.56) 93,966 (34.00) Hypertension 1,190,098 (78.15) 405,122 (76.55) 272,906 (75.06) 290,085 (82.00) 221,985 (80.33) Dyslipidemia 1,167,108 (76.64) 392,248 (74.12) 269,478 (74.12) 283,174 (80.05) 222,208 (80.42) Never 600,315 (38.87) 196,423 (37.12) 143,554 (39.49) 138,026 (39.02) 114,318 (41.37) Past 543,091 (35.17) 178,466 (33.72) 121,980 (33.55) 132,027 (37.32) 102,545 (37.11) Current 400,845 (25.96) 154,297 (29.16) 97,995 (26.96) 83,681 (23.66) 59,439 (21.51) 73.77 (29.62) 73.60 (29.88) 75.02 (30.48) 72.46 (29.06) 74.09 (28.61) 392,815 (25.80) 135,320 (25.57) 100,704 (27.70) 86,660 (24.50) 70,131 (25.38) PCI 576,207 (37.84) 182,518 (34.49) 125,649 (34.56) 151,835 (42.92) 116,205 (42.05) CABG 291,773 (19.16) 98,038 (18.52) 59,980 (16.50) 79,189 (22.39) 54,566 (19.75) Myocardial infarction 427,655 (28.08) 144,381 (27.28) 96,191 (26.46) 106,403 (30.08) 80,690 (29.20) 54,661 (10.33) 32,255 (8.87) 43,082 (12.18) 28,751 (10.40) Total (N=1,522,935) Coronary artery disease risk factors, N (%) Diabetes Smoking , N (%) Estimated glomerular filtration rate, mean (SD) Family history of coronary artery disease , N (%) Coronary artery disease history , N (%) Other cardiovascular disease history , N (%) CHF All P<0.001 136,483 (8.96) Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Patient Characteristics Total (N=1,522,935) Manual Compression (N = 529,247) Vascular Closure Devices (N=363,583) Bivalirudin (N = 353,769) Both (N = 276,336) Cerebrovascular disease 174,811 (11.48) 60,260 (11.39) 34,638 (9.53) 48,214 (13.63) 31,699 (11.47) Peripheral vascular disease 181,787 (11.74) 65,568 (12.39) 33,064 (9.09) 50,678 (14.33) 29,477 (10.67) Previous valve surgery 17,267 (1.13) 5,929 (1.12) 3,672 (1.01) 4,505 (1.27) 3,161 (1.14) Previous transplant 3,463 (0.23) 1,257 (0.24) 732 (0.20) 899 (0.25) 575 (0.21) Chronic lung disease 248,918 (16.35) 86,586 (16.36) 52,995 (14.58) 6,5139 (18.41) 44,198 (15.99) 83,029 (5.45) 30,004 (5.67) 18,028 (4.96) 21,369 (6.04) 13,628 (4.93) Renal failure All data are N (%) All P<0.001 Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Admission Characteristics Total (N=1,522,935) Manual Compression (N = 529,247) Vascular Closure Devices (N=363,583) Bivalirudin (N = 353,769) Both (N = 276,336) No symptoms 196,190 (12.88) 55,961 (10.57) 42,224 (11.61) 54,346 (15.36) 43,659 (15.80) Atypical chest pain 113,339 (7.44) 32,570 (6.15) 27,031 (7.44) 27,758 (7.85) 25,980 (9.40) Stable angina 260,582 (17.11) 73,109 (13.81) 57,179 (15.73) 69,093 (19.53) 61,201 (22.15) Unstable angina 527,624 (34.65) 168,813 (31.90) 113,413 (31.19) 142,473 (40.27) 102,925 (37.25) Non-STEMI 238,305 (15.65) 98,866 (18.68) 64,921 (17.86) 43,239 (12.22) 31,279 (11.32) STEMI 186,810 (12.27) 99,900 (18.88) 58,796 (16.17) 16,843 (4.76) 11,271 (4.08) Elective 758,110 (49.79) 220,576 (41.68) 157,348 (43.28) 212,562 (60.09) 167,624 (60.67) Urgent 553,524 (36.35) 196,634 (37.16) 140,023 (38.52) 121,995 (34.49) 94,872 (34.34) Emergency 209,465 (13.76) 110,990 (20.97) 65,758 (18.09) 19,011 (5.37) 13,706 (4.96) 1,662 (0.11) 968 (0.18) 422 (0.12) 172 (0.05) 100 (0.04) PCI type Salvage All data are N (%) All P<0.001 Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Hospital Characteristics Total (N=1,522,935) Manual Compression (N = 529,247) Vascular Closure Devices (N=363,583) Bivalirudin (N = 353,769) Both (N = 276,336) West 244,853 (16.11) 71,085 (13.47) 73,065 (20.15) 41,801 (11.83) 58,902 (21.36) Northeast 177,930 (11.71) 56,353 (10.68) 60,120 (16.58) 28,392 (8.04) 33,065 (11.99) Midwest 505,125 (33.24) 198,609 (37.63) 119,220 (32.88) 104,043 (29.45) 83,253 (30.19) South 591,568 (38.93) 201,679 (38.22) 110,237 (30.40) 179,071 (50.68) 100,581 (36.47) Rural 177,441 (15.92) 59,727 (15.44) 54,008 (21.02) 31,542 (11.48) 32,164 (16.38) Urban 937,476 (84.08) 327,222 (84.56) 202,931 (78.98) 243,165 (88.52) 164,158 (83.62) 23,838 (1.57) 7,895 (1.49) 4,948 (1.36) 5,988 (1.69) 5,007 (1.81) 1,356,756 (89.09) 465,238 (87.91) 319,915 (87.99) 318,550 (90.04) 253,053 (91.57) 142,341 (9.35) 56,114 (10.60) 38,720 (10.65) 29,231 (8.26) 18,276 (6.61) 1095.81 (795.18) 1058.04 (704.88) 981.16 (732.27) 1303.62 (782.65) 1052.94 (678.44) Region, N (%) Community type, N (%) Profit type, N (%) Government Private/community University Annual PCI volume, mean (SD) All P<0.001 Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 High‡ N=301,056 Bleeding Rates* Low* N=475,152 *Overall bleeding = 30,429 (2%) Intermediate† N=746,727 7 6.1 6 Bleeding (%) 5 4.6 2.8 2.3 2.1 2 M = Manual comp. C = Closure only B = Bival only BC = Bival+closure 3.8 4 3 *NCDR bleeding risk <1% †NCDR bleeding risk 1-3% ‡NCDR bleeding risk >3% 1.9 1.6 1.4 0.9 1 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.4 0 M C B BC Overall M C B BC Low (<1%) M C B BC Intermediate (1-3%) M C B BC High (>3%) P<0.001 all intra-risk group comparisons Estimated Bleeding Reductions—All Patients (Propensity Adjusted) Treatment (N) Bleeding N (%) Odds Ratio (95% CI) NNT (95% CI) Reduction in Bleeding Events per 1,000 Patients Treated (95% CI) Manual compression 508,455 13,597 (2.7) 1 [Reference] Vascular closure devices 205,606 5,050 (2.5) 0.77 (0.73-0.80) 148 (130-175) 6.7 (5.7-7.7) Bivalirudin 172,471 3,224 (1.9) 0.67 (0.63-0.70) 118 (107-132) 8.5 (7.6-9.3) Both 130,378 1,361 (1.0) 0.38 (0.35-0.42) 70 (68-74) 14.2 (13.5-14.8) Total 1,016,910 23,232 (2.3) Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Estimated Bleeding Reductions (Propensity Adjusted) Treatment (N) Bleeding N (%) Odds Ratio (95% CI) NNT (95% CI) Reduction in Bleeding Events per 1,000 Patients Treated (95% CI) Manual compression 144,594 1,320 (0.9) 1 [Reference] Vascular closure devices 54,217 532 (1.0) 1.07 (0.93-1.22) NS NS Bivalirudin 48,378 296 (0.6) 0.65 (0.56-0.77) 315 (247-470) 3.2 (2.1-4.0) Both 41,999 166 (0.4) 0.42 (0.34-0.51) 188( 167-222) 5.3 (4.5-6.0) Total 289,188 2,314 (0.8) Manual compression 252,898 5,722 (2.3) 1 [Reference] Vascular closure devices 103,095 2,077 (2.0) 0.76 (0.71-0.81) 169 (141-217) 5.9 (4.6-7.1) Bivalirudin 85,800 1,311 (1.5) 0.69 (0.63-0.74) 153 (131-187) 6.5 (5.3-7.6) Both 64,003 573 (0.9) 0.39 (0.35-0.44) 80 (75-86) 12.5 (11.6-13.3) Total 505,796 9,683 (1.9) Manual compression 110,963 6,555 (5.9) 1 [Reference] Vascular closure devices 48,294 2,441 (5.1) 0.79 (0.75-0.82) 81 (66-109) 12.3 (9.2-15.3) Bivalirudin 38,293 1,617 (4.2) 0.67 (0.62-0.73) 56 (49-66) 17.9 (15.1-20.6) Both 24,376 622 (2.6) 0.42 (0.38-0.47) 33 (31-36) 30.5 (27.9-32.8) Total 221,926 11,235 (5.1) Low Risk, <1% Intermediate Risk, 1-3% High Risk, >3% Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164 Bleeding Avoidance Strategy Use by Pre-PCI Bleeding Risk Risk-Treatment Paradox 45 High‡ N=301,056 Low* N=475,152 Intermediate† N=746,727 40.3 40 35 Bleeding (%) 35 *NCDR bleeding risk <1% †NCDR bleeding risk 1-3% ‡NCDR bleeding risk >3% 30.8 30 24.3 23.8 25 23.9 23.3 M = Manual comp. C = Closure only B = Bival only BC = Bival+closure 23.2 22.1 21 17.8 20 14.4 15 10 5 0 M C B BC Low (<1%) M C B BC Intermediate (1-3%) M C B High (>3%) BC P<0.001 for all intra-risk group comparisons Limitations • • • • Observational, non-randomized study Potential unmeasured confounding No data on activated clotting time Contraindications to use of bleeding avoidance therapies: – Bivalirudin: in the setting of other anticoagulants, PCI of chronic total occlusion – Vascular closure devices: high risk anatomy • Data insufficient to warrant abandoning use of manual compression in favor of vascular closure devices: – Adequately powered randomized trial assessing bleeding endpoints is needed Conclusions • In 1.5 million PCI patients in the NCDR: – Post-PCI bleeding occurred in 2% – Use of bivalirudin plus vascular closure devices was associated with an absolute 3.8% lower rate in PCI related bleeding in high risk patients – To prevent 1 bleeding event in high risk patients would require treating 33 patients with both therapies – High risk patients were least likely to receive both strategies (risk-treatment paradox) Marso et al. JAMA 2010;303:2156-2164