Lactate Clearance As a predictor of mortality in trauma patients Reno Rudiman Why do we need predictor? 2 Why do we need predictor? • Important in clinical uncertainty • Mis-inference may result in an increased risk of an adverse event • Avoiding unnecessary cost of care 3 Mortality of trauma 4 Mortality of trauma • 10% of all deaths are caused by trauma (Maegel 2010) • In Indonesia 2011, there were 108.696 traffic accidents, of which 31.195 dead (BPS, 2011) 5 Lactate • End product of anaerobic metabolism • Marker for cellular hypoxia in shock • Early identification of severe injury Lactate clearance • Rapid clearance of lactate is associated with improved outcome in septic shock & critically ill • Is it a better indicator for ongoing tissue hypoperfusion? • Better guide for resuscitation? Lactate clearance Lactate clearance = ([Lactateinitial – Lactatedelayed]/ Lactateinitial) × 100 × Delay−1 (expressed as %/h) 8 Admission Lactate 6 4.5 3 1.5 0 died survived Pal JD, et al. J Trauma 2006; 60: 583-589 Initial lactate: survivors vs nonsurvivors Pal JD, et al. J Trauma 2006; 60: 583-589 10 Admission Lactate Although mean admission lactate was significantly lower in survivors than nonsurvivors, the overlap between the groups was so great that little ability to discriminate survivors from non-survivors is apparent Pal JD, et al. J Trauma 2006; 60: 583-589 11 SBP on mortality Odom et al. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2013; 74(4): 999-1004 12 Survival probability Odom et al. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2013; 74(4): 999-1004 13 Relationship of lactate and ISS values in 5,995 trauma patients Pal JD, et al. J Trauma 2006; 60: 583-589 14 Lactate on mortality Odom et al. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2013; 74(4): 999-1004 Lactate on mortality Regnier, et al. Anesthesiology 2012; 71(6): 1276-1288 16 Lactate on mortality Regnier, et al. Anesthesiology 2012; 71(6): 1276-1288 17 Successful vs failed Non Operative management in blunt abdominal trauma successful failed 2.2 1.65 1.1 0.55 0 initial p=0,356 post p<0,01 Haryatama, Rudiman, Sulthana. In publication, 2012. 18 Successful vs failed Non Operative management in blunt abdominal trauma Successful Failed lactate pre vs post lactate pre vs BE pre latate post vs BE post BE pre vs post lactate diff vs BE diff -0.7 -0.35 0 0.35 Haryatama, Rudiman, Sulthana. In publication, 2012. 0.7 1.05 19 Mortality according to initial blood lactate level and/or lactate clearance (n = 453) Regnier, et al. Anesthesiology 2012; 71(6): 1276-1288 20 21 Conclusion • Lactate clearance provides additional predictive information to initial blood lactate levels and scores • Lactate clearance is a useful prognostic variable in trauma patients. 22