Geography of population 3 Migrations 1 Background What is migration? Why do people migrate? How can we classify migrations? What are the consequences of migrations? Migration WL 2 Migration as spatial mobility Types of mobility - social mobility - economic mobility - cultural mobility Spatial mobility Migrations Migration WL 3 Why spatial mobility? Human need for movement Necessity to procure food and water (physiological need) Necessity to visit other people (social need) Migration WL 4 Spatial mobility and migration How to separate two phenomena that are alike and not the same? What precisely does migration mean? Migration WL 5 Who is not a migrant? People with itinerant lifestyle - Nomads - Hunters and gatherers - Itinerant salesmen Activities including high mobility - Commercial representatives - Technicians on special mission Migration WL 6 Migration ... a change of residence, defined according to administrative criteria. It is more than simply moving house Migration WL 7 The Roseman model Partial Residence Total Activities outside residence Reciprocal movement Migration WL Migration 8 Motivation Nature/ecosystem (natural disasters of all kinds) Society/economy (residential prestige, unemployment, depletion of resources) Demography (population density, ageing population) Force (wars, ideology, embargo) Migration WL 9 Ecosystem causes Migration WL 10 Social causes Seychelles high medium low no data Migration WL 11 Economic causes Migration WL 12 Demographic causes People Land Switzerland Rwanda Migration WL 13 Rwanda & Switzerland Population 2000 millions Rwanda Surface sqkm 26,338 Switzerland 41,285 7.180 Migration WL 8.508 14 Force Migration WL 15 Migration theories 2 bodies of theories and models Deterministic theories: migration operates according to (natural) laws and is predictable Probabilistic theories: migration is the result of a decision and cannot be foreseen Migration WL 16 Who is right? Both! It is a question of scale. Macro: Certain ‘laws’ can be recognized on the small scale (e.g. inside a country): large centres generally attract migrants Micro: The specific motives for a particular migration can be detected on the large scale (within a municipality or a district): local circumstances influence a decision Migration WL 17 Ravenstein The laws of migration Distance-dependency (more short than long distance migrants) Step-wise migration Rurals are more mobile than urbanites Women are more mobile than men but cover shorter distances Migration causes counter-movement Dominance of economic reasons Migration WL 18 Gravitational model (Reilly) Application of physical law on migrations Attraction between two centres is inversely proportional to the distance The larger a centre, the higher its attraction Migration WL 19 Gravitational formula I ij = K . P i xP j d ij2 I = exchange between two populations (pi , pj), d = distance, K = a constant Migration WL 20 Gravitational model (Stouffer) Introduction of ‘opportunities‘ and ‘intervening opportunities‘ … the number of persons migrate over a certain distance is proportional to the number of opportunities at destination and inversely proportional to the number of intervening opportunities. Approach to reality Migration WL 21 Push-pull model Push factors Pull factors resources exhausted loss of jobs discrimination lack of marriage partners catastrophe (natural or man-made) Migration WL job opportunities higher income better training opportunities living conditions marriage 22 Model by Everett Lee Combination of positive, negative and neutral factors in regions of origin and of destination Evaluation of the individual factors by the potential migrant Intervening obstacles A probabilistic model with emphasis on choice Migration WL 23 The Lee-model + - 0 + 0 - + + + Origin + - 0 + 0 - + + + obstacles Migration WL Destination 24 The migration decision Decisions are based on logical thinking: yes – no A migration decision is linked to a situation of dissatisfaction or to the wish for innovation No decision is final, but the return to exactly the former situation may be impossible Migration WL 25 The decision-making process (simplified) Satisfied with current residence? YES No migration NO Same region, other residential area Change desirable: Decision to migrate Other region, same country Other Region, other country Migration WL 26 Migration typologies How to classify the ‘unclassifiable‘? Dimensions to be taken into account: - space (distance) - time (duration) - motive (free will, forced) - socio-economic situation of migrants - internal or external migration Migration WL 27 Examples Ravenstein Local migration Short distance migration Long distance migration Step-wise migration Temporary migration Pierre George Migration WL Intercontinental migration International migration Rural to rural migration Rural to urban migration 28 Petersen Interaction Cause Type conservative Man-Nature Ecological pressure primitive Nomads, Shifting cultivators Man-State Policy violent Deportation Slavery Man-State Policy Forced Flight Coolis Man-Norms Higher claims Voluntary Migration in groups Pioneers Man-Norms (collective) Social impulses Massmovements Rural settlements Rural exodus Migration WL innovative 29 Consequences of migration Region of destination Localization Region of origin DIMENSIONS SCALE Individual Group Community Society Domains -Demography -Society -Culture -Politics -Economy -Environment Migration WL 30 The mobility transition Model developed by Zelinsky in 1970 Based on the idea that different types of migration appear at different stages of human development (transition linked to process of modernization) Link to theories of development stages (5 stages): pre-modern, traditional, transitional, advanced, future super-advanced societies) Different kinds of mobility Migration WL 31 Frontierward migration Very strong in traditional and transitional societies Extinct in advanced societies (no more pioneer land) Migration WL 32 Rural exodus Typical for industrial revolution (transitional) and advanced society Almost vanished in late advanced and super-advanced societies (no more rural populations) Migration WL 33 Urban-urban migration Important in advanced and superadvanced societies To some extent determined by gravity aspects On the increase with growing urbanization of the world Migration WL 34 International migration Apex reached in early advanced societies Nowadays strongly regulated New phenomenon in the superadvanced society: global migration (politcal, economic and ecological refugees) Migration WL 35 Ex-urbanization or rurbanization Migration movement missing from Zelinsky‘s model Urban to rural migration, motivated by aspects of quality of life (pollution, population density, crime) Urban lifestyle is transferred to rural areas Migration WL 36 Substitutes Modern transportation means facilitate commuting Modern information and telecommunications technology can replace commuting Migration WL 37 Summary Mobility and migrations have been part of human history since the beginnings They have always changed character Migrations are a complex phenomenon that defies simple explanation Subjective and objective motives mix There are no ‘good’ or ‘bad’ migrations Migration WL 38