Modelling stand dynamics after partial harvesting in eastern Canadian boreal mixedwoods Arun K. Bose, Brian D. Harvey, Dave K. Coates, Suzanne Brais, Yves Bergeron 9th IUFRO International Conference on Uneven-aged Silviculture, WSL, Zurich, Switzerland 17-19th June, 2014 Introduction to the eastern boreal mixedwood Introduction to the eastern boreal mixedwood Early successional species Trembling aspen Populus tremuloides Jack pine Pinus banksiana White birch Betula papyrifera Introduction to the eastern boreal mixedwood Early successional species Mid- to late-successional species Trembling aspen Populus tremuloides White spruce Picea glauca Jack pine Pinus banksiana Black spruce P. Mariana White birch Betula papyrifera Balsam fir Abies balsamea Eastern white cedar Thuya occidentalis Introduction to the eastern boreal mixedwood Early successional species Mid- to late-successional species Woody shrub Trembling aspen Populus tremuloides White spruce Picea glauca Mountain maple Jack pine Pinus banksiana Black spruce P. Mariana White birch Betula papyrifera Balsam fir Abies balsamea Eastern white cedar Thuya occidentalis Acer spicatum Natural dynamics of mixedwood stands Succession 1st cohort Intolerant broadleaves 2nd cohort Mixedwood 3rd cohort Tolerant conifers 6 Natural dynamics of mixedwood stands Fire Succession 1st cohort Intolerant broadleaves 2nd cohort Mixedwood 3rd cohort Tolerant conifers 7 Natural dynamics of mixedwood stands Spruce Budworm Fire Gaps Tent caterpillar 1st cohort Intolerant hardwoods 2nd cohort 3rd cohort Mixedwood Tolerant softwood Partial harvesting, a tool of Natural Disturbance Based Management 8 Study site Vancouver Calgary Halifax Study site, Lake Duparquet Research & Teaching Forest ≈ 48° N 79° W Source: Baldwin et al. (2013) Montréal Toronto Lake Duparquet Forest study sites SAFE 3 (1910) SAFE 1 (1923) Initial stand condition Aspen SAFE 1 140 (1923) 100 Birch Fir Spruce Jack pine 120 80 Basal area (m2/ha) Aspen: 41 Spruce:1 Birch: 1 Fir: <1 J. pine: <1 60 40 Acer spicatum 20 0 5 10 14 18 22 26 30 34 38 DBH class (cm) Aspen SAFE 3 (1910) Birch Fir Basal area (m2/ha) Aspen: 34 Spruce: 6 Fir: 2 Birch: <1 Spruce 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Abies balsamea 5 10 14 18 22 26 DBH class (cm) 30 34 38 Short-term results of the experiment 3 years after, Brais, S. et al. 2004. Testing forest ecosystem management in boreal mixedwoods of northwestern Quebec: initial response of aspen stands to different levels of harvesting. Can. J. For. Res. 34: 431-446. 6 years after, Harvey, B.D. and Brais, S. 2007. Partial cutting as an analogue to stem exclusion and stand break-up in aspen (Populus tremuloides) dominated boreal mixedwoods : implications for deadwood dynamics. Can. J. For. Res. 37: 1525-1533. 12 years after, Bose, A. K. et al. 2014. Recruitment and mortality dynamics following partial harvesting in aspen-dominated mixedwoods in eastern Canada. For. Ecol. Manag. In press. Bose, A. K. et al. 2014. Trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) volume growth in the boreal mixedwood: Effect of partial harvesting, tree social status, and neighborhood competition. For. Ecol. Manag. 327: 209-220. Simulator The SORTIE-ND http://www.sortie-nd.org/research/pubs.html A spatially explicit individual-based model Originally developed and parameterized for hardwood forests in the northeastern United States (Pacala et al., 1993, 1996) Re parameterized for British Columbia forests (Coates et al. 2003) 105 peer-reviewed publications since 1993 (SORTIE-website) SORTIE-ND Model • Spatially-explicit – position of each tree defined – growth – recruitment – mortality • Permits simulation of – complex mixed-species stands – partial cuts – all forms and types of openings (gaps, patch cuts) Model calibration • Growth, mortality and recruitment functions were tested for each individual species • Mortality by spruce budworm was implemented using knowledge of published literatures (Morin et al, 1993; Bergeron and Leduc,1995 and Blais 1981) • Field data were used to set starting conditions of simulations Objectives 1. To evaluate whether SORTIE-ND capture short and long term stand dynamics 2. To identify partial harvesting prescriptions that accelerate the development of multi-cohort complex stands 3. To assess whether mixedwood stands of different composition respond similarly to partial harvesting treatments over a period of 100 years after harvesting Testing partial cutting scenarios Initial condition: empirical data, n=15 Control Dispersed partial cuts 33% BA 61% BA 80% BA Gap cuts 400 m2 (37% BA) 900 m2 (43% BA) 1600 m2 (54% BA) Results (Model validations) 1. Short term (12 years) validation, empirical and simulated results showed excellent agreements for un-harvested controls and low-light intensity partial harvesting treatments 2. However, disagreements appeared with high-heavy intensity partial harvestings on overstory aspen survival 3. Higher uncertainties appeared with long-term (78 years) model validation, particularly on aspen recruitment and spruce survival Results (Trembling aspen dynamics) Gap cuts & 80% dispersed Gap cuts & 80% dispersed Gap cuts & 80% dispersed Gap cuts & 80% dispersed Results (Balsam fir dynamics) Spruce budworm outbreak incidents Spruce budworm outbreak incidents Results (White spruce dynamics) Simulation results at year 100 SAFE-1 Treatments Stand BA SAFE-3 % of Conifers Stand BA % of Conifers Control 27.1±2.5 51.3 23.7±1.2 78.5 33% dispersed cut 26.9±2.4 44.6 22.9±1.1 79.5 61% dispersed cut 27.9±2.5 35.8 23.1±1.9 78.4 80% dispersed cut 32.7±2.1 17.7 24.9±2.8 66.3 400 m2 gap cut 32.6±1.9 29.8 28.7±1.2 47.0 900 m2 gap cut 33.8±1.6 21.6 30.8±1.4 38.6 38.0±0.8 17.6 34.1±1.9 27.6 1600 m2 gap cut Conclusions 1. Model validation o Good short-term validation for controls and low intensity partial cut o Long-term validation, o Aspen: problems with recruitment o Spruce: juvenile recruitment and survival too high o SORTIE-ND does project feasible outcomes that appear to incorporate influences of different treatments and stand conditions Conclusions Objective-2 Layout of the harvesting is the KEY Gap cut would promote both conifers and intolerant hardwood regeneration Gap cut would allow higher basal area retention Higher basal area retention would also provide greater habitats for animals Objective-3 Starting condition is the KEY Age of the overstroy trees Seed trees of desired conifer species Stock of advanced regeneration of desired conifer species Presence of woody shrubs SORTIE-ND for the boreal mixedwood forest: a work in progress.... Thank you for listening !! Acknowledgements NSERC-FQRNT-BMP Scholarship BC Forest Service, Bulkley Valley Research Center Lora Murphy, Albanie Leduc, Danielle Charron, Marc Mazerolle, Mario Major, Manuella Strukelj, Jeanne Therrien, Suzie Rollin, Hannah Brais-Harvey, Elizabeth Turcotte, Alfred Coulombe