Integration of Scientific and Political Elites Dr. Shahram Yazdani Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences School of Medical Education Strategic Policy Sessions: 17 Definitions Dr. Shahram Yazdani Research: “any systematic effort to increase the stock of knowledge” Policy: a “purposive course of action followed by an actor or set of actors” Evidence: “the available information supporting or otherwise a belief or proposition” Evidence-based Policy: “public policy informed by rigorously established evidence”. Policy Processes Identify the problem Commission research Analyse the results Choose the best option Establish the policy Dr. Shahram Yazdani Implement the policy Evaluation Policy Processes Cabinet Donors Policy Formulation Agenda Setting Parliament Decision Making Civil Society Dr. Shahram Yazdani Monitoring and Evaluation Private Sector Ministries Policy Implementation Different Notions of Evidence Researchers’ Evidence • ‘Scientific’ (Context free) Policy Makers’ Evidence • Colloquial (Contextual) Dr. Shahram Yazdani • Proven empirically • Anything that seems reasonable • Theoretically driven • Policy relevant • As long as it takes • Timely • Caveats and qualifications • Clear Message Source: Phil Davies Impact to Insight Meeting, ODI, 2005 Existing theory 1. X 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Dr. Shahram Yazdani 13. 14. 15. 16. Linear model Percolation model, Weiss Tipping point model, Gladwell ‘Context, evidence, links’ framework, ODI Policy narratives, Roe Systems model (NSI) External forces, Lindquist ‘Room for manoeuvre’, Clay & Schaffer ‘Street level bureaucrats’, Lipsky Policy as social experiments, Rondinelli Policy Streams & Windows, Kingdon Disjointed incrementalism, Lindquist The ‘tipping point’, Gladwell Crisis model, Kuhn ‘Framework of possible thought’, Chomsky Variables for Credibility, Beach 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. The source is as important as content, Gladwell Linear model of communication, Shannon Interactive model, Simple and surprising stories, Communication Theory Provide solutions, Marketing I Find the right packaging, Marketing II Elicit a response, Kottler Translation of technology, Volkow Epistemic communities Policy communities Advocacy coalitions etc, Pross Negotiation through networks, Sebattier Shadow networks, Klickert Chains of accountability, Fine Communication for social change, Rockefeller Wheels and webs, Chapman & Fisher A Practical Framework External Influences Politics and Policymaking Campaigning, Lobbying Dr. Shahram Yazdani Scientific information exchange & validation political context Media, Advocacy, Networking links Policy analysis, & research Research, learning & thinking evidence Range of Research Needs Jonathan Lomas. Improving Research Dissemination and Uptake in the Health Sector: Beyond the Sound of One Hand Clapping. 1997. Dr. Shahram Yazdani Audience Decision-Maker Research Needs Legislative Politician Bureaucrat Interest Groups Problem Definition Affirmation of Assumed Causes Policy Ideas Administrative Program Manager Regional Administrator Hospital Executive Program Evaluation Practice Variation Cost-Effectiveness Clinical Practitioner Professional Society Expert Panel Member Effectiveness Ethics Patient Preference Industrial Company Scientist Corporate Executive Venture Capitalist 8 Marketable Product Dr. Shahram Yazdani Biomedical, InformationTechnology Research Dr. Shahram Yazdani Audience Decision-Maker Research Needs Legislative Politician Bureaucrat Interest Groups Problem Definition Affirmation of Assumed Causes Policy Ideas Administrative Program Manager Regional Administrator Hospital Executive Program Evaluation Practice Variation Cost-Effectiveness Clinical Practitioner Professional Society Expert Panel Member Effectiveness Ethics Patient Preference Industrial Company Scientist Corporate Executive Venture Capitalist 9 Marketable Product Dr. Shahram Yazdani Clinical Research Dr. Shahram Yazdani Audience Decision-Maker Research Needs Legislative Politician Bureaucrat Interest Groups Problem Definition Affirmation of Assumed Causes Policy Ideas Administrative Program Manager Regional Administrator Hospital Executive Program Evaluation Practice Variation Cost-Effectiveness Clinical Practitioner Professional Society Expert Panel Member Effectiveness Ethics Patient Preference Industrial Company Scientist Corporate Executive Venture Capitalist 10 Marketable Product Dr. Shahram Yazdani Health Services Research Dr. Shahram Yazdani Audience Decision-Maker Research Needs Legislative Politician Bureaucrat Interest Groups Problem Definition Affirmation of Assumed Causes Policy Ideas Administrative Program Manager Regional Administrator Hospital Executive Program Evaluation Practice Variation Cost-Effectiveness Clinical Practitioner Professional Society Expert Panel Member Effectiveness Ethics Patient Preference Industrial Company Scientist Corporate Executive Venture Capitalist 11 Marketable Product Dr. Shahram Yazdani Health Policy Analysis Dr. Shahram Yazdani Audience Decision-Maker Research Needs Legislative Politician Bureaucrat Interest Groups Problem Definition Affirmation of Assumed Causes Policy Ideas Administrative Program Manager Regional Administrator Hospital Executive Program Evaluation Practice Variation Cost-Effectiveness Clinical Practitioner Professional Society Expert Panel Member Effectiveness Ethics Patient Preference Industrial Company Scientist Corporate Executive Venture Capitalist 12 Marketable Product Dr. Shahram Yazdani Is there a gap? Research Policy Dr. Shahram Yazdani Is there a gap? Research Policy Dr. Shahram Yazdani Is there a gap? Technocratic networks Universities Political Ideological NGOs parties think tanks Internal Regulatory think tanks bodies UN Think tanks Lobbies Public think Executive tanks Dr. Shahram Yazdani corporations Integration of Scientific & Political Elites Dr. Shahram Yazdani Scientific Elite Pool Integration of Scientific & Political Elites Political Elite Pool Dr. Shahram Yazdani Scientific Elite Pool Integration of Scientific & Political Elites Political Elite Pool Weak Integration: Toward Populism Dr. Shahram Yazdani Scientific Elite Pool Integration of Scientific & Political Elites Political Elite Pool Strong Integration: Toward Elitism Dr. Shahram Yazdani Scientific Elite Pool Integration of Scientific & Political Elites Political Elite Pool Differentiated Civil Society Organizations Dr. Shahram Yazdani Scientific Elite Pool What is a think tank? Dr. Shahram Yazdani •Knowledge-based, policy-oriented institutions •Serve governments, intergovernmental organizations, and civil society •Generate policy-oriented research, analysis, and advice on domestic and international issues •Engage policymakers, ,the media and the public on key policy issues •Enable policymakers and the public to make informed decisions about public policy issues 21 Recent Think Tank Trends 2000s 1980s 1960s and 1970s Dr. Shahram Yazdani • TTs start to appear in large numbers, especially in OECD countries • Global expansion of TTs begin as TTs start to specialize • First studies of TTs in literature appear 1990s • Explosive increase in number of TTs worldwide • Global networks of TTs form the most comprehensive source of information internationally available for policy makers 22 A Brief History of American Think Tanks Dr. Shahram Yazdani First generation: think tanks as policy research institutions Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (1910) Institute for Government Research (1916, Brookings) Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace (1919) Council on Foreign Relations (1921) American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research (1943) Second generation: the emergence of government contractors RAND Corporation (1948) Hudson Institute (1961) Urban Institute (1968) A Brief History (continued) The third generation: the rise of advocacy think tanks Center for Strategic and International Studies (1962) Heritage Foundation (1973) CATO Institute (1977) The fourth generation: legacy-based think tanks Carter Center (1984) Nixon Center for Peace and Freedom (1994) Dr. Shahram Yazdani Global Dispersion of Think Tanks There are currently 6,976 Think Tanks worldwide 4% 1% North America: 1913 9% Europe: 2393 28% Western: 1872 Eastern: 521 Africa: 507 Asia: 1210 17% Latin America: 643 Dr. Shahram Yazdani Middle East and North Africa: 271 7% Oceania: 39 34% Three Kinds of Think Tanks Dr. Shahram Yazdani “University without students:” Quality academic research; focus on long-term impact; research fellow like professors Examples: Brookings, AEI, Carnegie Endowment Government contractors Funded by government department / agencies; address specific concerns of policy-makers Examples: RAND, Urban Institute Advocacy think tanks Research plus aggressive marketing; actively participate in policy debate Heritage, CATO University without Students: Brookings Institution Dr. Shahram Yazdani “The Brookings Institution is an independent, nonpartisan organization devoted to research, analysis, education, and publication focused on public policy issues in the areas of economics, foreign policy, and governance.” 3 Programs: economy, government, foreign policy; 6 policy centers Rigorous academic research Close relation with federal government Government Contractor: RAND Corporation Dr. Shahram Yazdani Mission: “RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decision-making through research and analysis.” More than 1,600 full- and part-time employees, (85% research staff hold advanced degrees, with >65% having Ph.D's or M.D.'s. ) Research areas: Child Policy, Civil and Criminal Justice, Regional Studies, Drug Policy, Education, Health, Infrastructure, International Policy, National Security, Population & Aging, Science & Technology, Terrorism Advocacy Think Tanks: Heritage Foundation Dr. Shahram Yazdani Mission: “formulate and promote conservative public policies based on the principles of free enterprise, limited government, individual freedom, traditional American values, and a strong national defense.” “The Foundation produces research and generates solutions consistent with its beliefs that are marketed to the Congress, the Executive Branch, the news media and others” Types of Analysis Scientific search for truth and build theory about policy actions and effects may be too theoretical for most decision makers examples: academic social scientists, National Academy of Sciences Dr. Shahram Yazdani 30 Types of Analysis (cont’d) Professional Dr. Shahram Yazdani analyze alternatives to solve problems goal is for practical value research can be too narrow due to time or resource constraints examples: Brookings Institution, American Enterprise Institute, General Accountability Office 31 Types of Analysis (cont’d) Political advocate and support preferred policies often ideological or partisan; may lack analytical depth examples: Sierra Club, AFL-CIO, Heritage Foundation Dr. Shahram Yazdani 32 To achieve what? Discursive changes Attitudinal changes Content changes Dr. Shahram Yazdani Procedural changes Behavioural changes Idea Producer or Broker? Heritage Foundation Expenses, 2002 Research (40%) Educational Programs (21%) Media & Government Relations (20%) Fundraising (16%) Management & General (3%) Brookings Institution Expenses, 2002 Dr. Shahram Yazdani Economic Studies (37%) Foreign Policy Studies (17%) Governance Studies (15%) CPPE (11%) Publications (10%) External Affairs (6%) Communications (4%) Outlets of Think Tanks’ Works Books, journal articles Monographs, reports, occasional papers Short pieces of policy brief Op-ed pieces Other informal channels Conferences, panel discussions Policy training programs Media appearance Dr. Shahram Yazdani The Top Think Tanks for 2009 Brookings Top Think Tank (US) Fraser Institute (Canada and Mexico) Chatham House, (Western Europe) Carnegie Moscow Center (Eastern and Central Europe) Dr. Shahram Yazdani The Top Think Tanks for 2009 Dr. Shahram Yazdani Fundación Getulio Vargas, (Latin America) Carnegie Middle East Center, (Middle East) South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA), (Southern Africa) Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA) (Asia) The Top Think Tanks for 2009 Dr. Shahram Yazdani Overseas Development Institute (Int’l Devleopment) Harvard School of Public Health Dept of Health Policy (Health Policy) Pew Center on Global Climate Change, (Enviornment) Council on Foreign Relations (Security and International Affairs) The Top Think Tanks for 2009 Brookings Institution (Domestic Economics) Peterson Institute for International Economics, (International Economics) Urban Institute (Social Policy) RAND (Science and Technology) Dr. Shahram Yazdani The Top Think Tanks for 2009 Dr. Shahram Yazdani Brookings Institution (Innovative Policy Proposal) European Council on Foreign Relations (Best New Think Tank) Brookings Institution (Best Policy Research Program) Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (Best Use of the Internet) The Top Think Tanks for 2009 Amnesty International (Best Use of the Print and Electronic Media) Center for American Progress (Most impact on Policy) Dr. Shahram Yazdani The Top Think Tanks for 2009 Chatham House, UK (Top TT World-Non US) Brookings Top Think Tank (World) Dr. Shahram Yazdani Funding Sources: Brookings (FY2002) Total Revenue: $40,678,000 Gifts and Grants 49% Endowment 30% CPPE 9% Publications 8% Dr. Shahram Yazdani Government 2% Miscellaneous 2% Funding Sources: RAND (FY2002) Total Income: $186,808,000 Contracts and grants 90% Income / gains on investments 3% Fees 3% Dr. Shahram Yazdani Assets released from restrictions 2% Contributions 2% Other 0% Funding Sources: Heritage (FY2002) Total Income: $27,539,833 Individuals 59% Foundation Grants Corporations 27% 7% Bequests 3% Publications / Others 3% Dr. Shahram Yazdani Investment Income 1% The Revolving Door between Government and Think Tanks: Examples from USA Three secretaries in the Clinton administration landed at Brookings Think tank alumnus in Bush administration President’s economic advisors: Rice (HI), Chao (HF), Haass (BI), Perle (AEI) Larry Lindsey (AEI), Glen Hubbard (AEI) Martin Baily (BI, IIE), Gene Sperling (BI), Laura Tyson (IIE), Robert Lawrence (BI, IIE), Joseph Stiglitz (BI) William Niskanen (Cato), { M. Boskin (HI), M. Feldstein (NBER) } Charles Schultz (BI), Arthur Okun (BI) Others: Alan Blinder (BI), Alice Rivlin(BI) Dr. Shahram Yazdani Political Elites vs.The Statecraft Interpretation Dr. Shahram Yazdani Political elite = party leaders, their political advisers + top civil servants Statecraft: ‘the art of winning elections and achieving some necessary degree of governing competence in office’ (Bulpitt, 1986: 21) Statecraft Functions Dr. Shahram Yazdani A Winning Electoral Strategy Party Management Political Argument Hegemony: ‘a winning rhetoric in a variety of locations winning because either the framework of the party’s arguments becomes generally acceptable, or because its solutions to a particularly important political problem seem more plausible than its opponents’ (Bulpitt, 1986: 22). The Need for Depoliticization of Policy Process Depoliticisation: ‘…the process of placing at one remove the political character of decision-making’ (Burnham, 2001: 127). E.g. Operational independence to the Bank of England (1997) Dr. Shahram Yazdani Thank You ! Any Question ? Dr. Shahram Yazdani