Reasons for inst'l effectiveness and lack of effectiveness Influence and compliance arise because: Managerial view: Sanctions and enforcement often aren’t needed, even for “deep” cooperation Enforcement position 1: States only agree to “shallow” cooperation, so sanctions aren’t needed Enforcement position 2: States will only accept “deep” cooperation in combination with strong sanctions Lack of influence and noncompliance because: Intention or Tallberg’s “preference-driven violations” Incapacity or Tallberg’s “capacity-driven violations” Inadvertence Syria: IOs MAKE a difference Chemical Weapons Treaty in 1992, 165 countries signed Creates pressure on others to respond as they said they would, with inspectors (Alex Bryans) Strengthens a general norm: “international organizations can have an impact on how a country acts according to rules shared amongst most of the world” (Alex Bryans) “Syria has submitted its report of chemical weapons through an international organization” (Zack Gripenstraw) “There is a strong norm, supported by the Geneva Protocol (1925), prohibiting chemical weapons in warfare. Obama stated once the chemical attacks were confirmed that the U.S is responsible to hold Syria responsible” (Zack Gripenstraw) “U.S. opinion regarding the case against Syria was strengthened as a result of the U.N. report on the matter” (Greg Mina) “Syria sent the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) a declaration outlining its weapons program” (Greg Mina) “countries that were divided on the actions that needed to be taken in response to Syria’s chemical weapons usage have come together to adopt a resolution” (Jessica Neafie) “team of inspectors sent into Syria: if the International Organization did not exist, and without the norm that chemical weapons are extremely dangerous and bad to use in warfare, there would be almost no push to solve the issue” (Emily Gaudin) “accepted norm provided the impetus for a breakthrough” (Sam Sun) “Even though they could go ahead and do whatever they pleased, based on their military strength, they do not” (Joe Sawtelle) “Through the U.N., Russia’s disagreement becomes very public to the rest of the world and as international support for action gains momentum Russia was forced to seek a solution” (Will Smith) “OPCW serves to distance itself from the revolution and civil war violence and merely extract the dangerous weapons being used against Syrian civilians” (Chris Torgeson) “U.N. officials explain how they have to negotiate dozens of government and opposition checkpoints before aid is allowed into Syria” (Javiera Wood) Syria: IOs do NOT make a difference “Obama stated that the U.S. would do whatever it needed to in order to protect its individual interests. Power matters in this case” (Alexandra Moreno) “largely we have seen states attempting to act unilaterally and in their interests” (Evan Horne) “article shows the concerns Russia has and why it is in their best short term interest to work with the Assad government in Syria” (Neal Killion) “chemical weapons situation would not have even happened if Syria had any care for the international community” (James Hadid) “certain states have no qualms with unilateral action” (Alex Murphy) “actions of both great powers, Russia on one side and the United States on the other, are significantly shaped by their national interests in Middle East” (Sam Sun) “US has made it clear that it intends to work alone” (Inessa Wurscher) Syria: Tweeners “The majority of the solutions being put forth now have happened outside of international organizations like the United Nations, yet they are using the international organizations to provide inspectors and the experts to dismantle the chemical weapons” (Neal Killion) “After attacks on civilians in Damascus, there was the immediate possibility that the United States and its allies would respond with cooperative and/or unilateral military action” but then this was delayed in response to UN discussions (Alex Murphy) “has been used as a secondary tool to both justify unilateral action by some states and pressure others into pursuing collective actions” (Shawna Meechan) “While the US has agreed to go along with Russia’s plan publically, the US is still continuing its original plan as well” (Inessa Wurscher) Brown Weiss and Jacobson Determinants of Institutional Influence Problem structure: Characteristics of activity Institutional features: Characteristics of institution Broader international context Country variables Characteristics of the country Overall model linking these Brown Weiss / Jacobson Characteristics of Activity Number of actors involved in activity Effect of economic incentives Role of multinational corporations in activity Concentration of activity in major countries Brown Weiss / Jacobson Characteristics of Institution Perceived equity of obligations Precision of obligations Provisions for obtaining scientific advice Reporting requirements Provisions for other forms of monitoring Secretariat Incentives Sanctions Brown Weiss / Jacobson The International Context Major international conferences Worldwide media/public opinion International NGOs Number of parties as members Other international organizations International financial institutions Brown Weiss / Jacobson Characteristics of the Country Brown Weiss / Jacobson Overall Determinants of Effectiveness Duffield: NATO Force Levels Basic question: “what determines NATO force levels?” From 1960 through 1990, not very much variation – so how can he say NATO made a difference? How can this chart show NATO influenced behavior? NATO Force Levels 120% % of 1965 Levels 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1955 1960 1965 Divisions 1970 1975 Brigades 1980 1985 Troops 1990 NATO Force Levels 120% % of 1965 Levels 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1955 1960 1965 Divisions 1970 1975 Brigades 1980 1985 Troops Source: Duffield, John S. 1992. International Regimes and Alliance Behavior: Explaining NATO Conventional Force Levels. International Organization 46 (4): 823. 1990 HOW institutions have influence according to Duffield Benefits of contributing Direct: your troops increase security of your country Indirect : by providing troops, it may lead other countries to provide troops too, since they now know that you are going to Reputational effects: may benefit state in other issue areas with other states Internal forces within states may prompt action: Strengthening substate actors who support status quo by making changes to it harder: agencies committed to value of regime Decisions are made that are hard to remake Agencies adopt habits in response to regime rules Compliance may become valued in itself, even if doesn't make sense Duffield: NATO Force Levels Basic question: “what determines NATO force levels?” From 1960 through 1990, not very much variation – so how can he say NATO made a difference? Basic answer: threat is changing, NATO should be responding, but it doesn’t when we expect it to US foregoes reductions in 1956; UK foregoes in 1957 Negotiations in 1966-67: smaller than expected reductions Senate pushes for reductions but Exec Branch resistance Senate 1984 efforts don’t pass Force levels should “have varied somewhat more than actually was the case” EU Infringement Cases (Tallberg 2002, 618) Formal infringement proceedings preceded by informal consultations that “weed out cases … of inadvertent violations” early on. That leaves remainder, as below, that then also tend to settle “out of court.” Tallberg’s explanation Primary causes of rule violations: BOTH “incentives for defection” AND “legislative and administrative capacity limitations” Institutional feature and process: Best strategy is a responsive/discriminating one: “Enforcement and management mechanisms are most effective when combined” States violate for different reasons and so effectiveness of response depends on responding to the real reasons they violated Threat of legal suit with potential financial penalties leads states to respond Tallberg on information systems "To detect violations, the Commission monitors member state conformity with EU rules, following a two-track approach. On the one hand, it actively and systematically collects and assesses information on state compliance through in-house monitoring. On the other hand, the Commission operates an informal procedure through which it records and examines complaints lodged by citizens, firms, nongovernmental organizations, and national administrations. The complaint procedure offers a form of monitoring that is more resource-efficient than systematic inhouse inquiries, provides access to information otherwise unobtainable, and points to areas of EU legislation that may be particularly ambiguous and in need of clarification." Police patrols by ECJ and fire alarms by public and individuals Tallberg on response strategies Management strategies “Economic funds that ease and encourage adjustment to EU policy” “Learning exchanges” between executives that helps train those not complying so that they can comply EU interprets rules to clarify where ambiguity is cause of violation