The role of electric mobility in future Energy Systems
Dr. ir. Zofia Lukszo
With collaboration with dr. Remco Verzijlbergh
Section Energy and Industry
Technology, Policy and Management
@: Z.Lukszo@tudelft.nl
April 10, 2020 1
Content
• Why electric mobility?
• Responsive demand
• Are the goals of many actors involved the same?
• What about the environment?
• Why EVs can be compared to cold storage warehouses?
• What can we learn from looking at different price scenario’s?
• Future work
April 10, 2020 2
Future energy systems
Old schedule generation to meet demand
New schedule demand to meet generation e.g. electric mobility
Electric mobility
How can electric mobility contribute to a more sustainable transportation & electrical power system and on the same time align the interests of its relevant actors?
See: Remco Verzijlbergh, The Power of Electric Vehicles,
PhD Thesis TU Delft, 2013, http://repository.tudelft.nl/
Why electric mobility - CO
2 air quality, noise polluttion emission
Energy usage households +/- 10 kWh
7
4
3
2
6
5
1
0
Energy demand (kWh/day)
Power sector complex socio-technical system
Standard Household Profile
Estimation of the expected energy usage of EVs
Data from Mobility Research Netherlands
Average: ~34 km
~ 90% < 100km
Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, “Mobiliteitsonderzoek Nederland (in Dutch)”
Available: www.mobiliteitsonderzoeknederland.nl
Charging scenario's and network load
Based on real life data
Network load:100 houses and 50 EVs
Price control
Load Control
Imbalance Control
April 10, 2020 11
Separate EV demand profiles
Electric mobility in a city
– city of Utrecht
Load flow analysis shows:
• 10% electric mobility
24% overloaded
• Reference case (merely organic growth)
19% overloaded
See E.J. Kleiwegt , Electric Mobility: on the Road to Energy Transition:
A technical and actor assessment of social costs of electric mobility , Master Thesis, TU Delft, 2011 http://repository.tudelft.nl/
Example – city of Utrecht
Use calculations for critical component map
Green / Yellow /
Red locations for installing charging stations
Merit order vs emission – two cases
April 10, 2020
D A
14
CO
2 emissions of EV charging as a function of CO
2 price
15
A
D
April 10, 2020
Dispatch profiles for different vehicles scenarios
April 10, 2020 16
Charging strategy based on predicted price
April 10, 2020 17
Negative price?
Conventional, wind and solar power and spot prices for the German system on
June 16th
2013.
Responsive demand – cold storage
Old schedule generation to meet demand
New schedule demand to meet generation e.g. with a cold storage warehouse
Matching renewable energy and demand response through price
System model:
• Cold store has PV generation on site
• PV production known in advance
• Pays price C in
(t) for energy, receives C
• Temperature upper bound T max out
(t)
Goal: Investigate relations between demand response strategy of a cold store and electricity prices & Evaluate different pricing regimes on optimal energy use
Physical model of cold store
Heat balance
Incoming heat
Outgoing heat
Resulting equation for T dynamics
Discretized in time
System model
• Cold store has PV generation on site
• PV production known in advance
• Pays price C in
(t) for energy, receives C out
(t)
• Temperature upper bound T max
Optimization formulation
Objective function constraints
Compare cold store with EV optimization problem
Optimization problem
State dynamics
Price scenarios
A: flat tariff
B: flat double tariff
C: day-night tariff
D: APX based real time tariff
E: APX based real time tariff, high solar penetration
Comparison
• Optimal cooling trajectory depends strongly on tariff structure.
• Local use of PV energy depends on tariffs
• Most 'value' of control in case with high solar penetration.
• The effective use of demand response requires the right tariff structure
New plans
NWO URSES - CaPP Project
• Design, Management and Control Systems for multimodal, detachable decentral sustainable energy systems
• Car as Power Plant as a multi-modal system (power, transport, gas/hydrogen, heat)
• ICT and business models for CaPP
• Detachable decentral = fuel cell cars
NWO URSES – CaPP Project
• design, assess and analyse the fuel cell car as power plant (CaPP) in integrated transport and energy systems
• investigate and design robust control systems of CaPPbased smart energy systems
• explore effective incentive and organizational structures for the emergence of CaPP integrated energy and transport systems
April 10, 2020 30
Most urgent question
• How to reduce uncertainty for actors in the energy chain by developing the science and tools that are needed for smart energy systems?
April 10, 2020 32
April 10, 2020 33