Northern Ireland: Towards a Framework for Smart Specialisation July 2014 1 Smart Specialisation theory Eco-System Eco-System Feedback Coordination Coordination Feedback Rebuilding and Rebalancing the economy 2 Presentation Structure 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Regional Context Analysis Entrepreneurial dynamics Critical Mass and Priorities Governance Implementation and budgets Measuring the Process 3 Regional Context •1.8 million inhabitants •Smallest of UK regions •Devolved Government •Large public sector •Large service sector •SME dominated •480 companies out of 80,000 involved in R&D •Low in EU Innovation Scoreboard 4 Regional Context Programme For Government Economic StrategyStrategic Framework Innovation Strategy (draft) 5 S3 Process Inception MATRIX Science Industry panel established 2006 Independent Review of Economic Policy 2009 Northern Ireland Executive Sub-Committee on the Economy Joined S3 Platform May 2012 Northern Ireland Economic Strategy 2030 March 2012 Draft Innovation Strategy 2013 Public Consultation NI S3 policy ‘Expert Reviewed’ July 2013 Innovation Strategy 2014- 2025 ERDF Operational programme 2024-2020 Public Consultation Draft Economic Strategy Northern Ireland Executive Sub-Committee on the Economy Public Consultation Public Consultation •Public Authorities & Agencies •Civil society •International experts •Actors of knowledge •Investors •Private Enterprises Economic Strategy Steering Group Consultation Response Document Economic Strategy Working Group Consultation Paper Public Consultation 6 Regional Context Economic Strategy for Northern Ireland 2012 Focus on; • Innovation • Export Led Growth • Regional Strengths “An economy characterised by a sustainable and growing private sector, where a greater number of firms compete in global markets and there is growing employment and prosperity” 7 7 Regional Context Public Sector dominated Economy - Public sector expenditure 63% of GDP 8 Regional Context % of BERD financed by Government BERD as % of GDP 9 Regional Context Northern Ireland: ‘Innovation Follower’ 10 Regional Context Northern Ireland In-House R&D expenditure 2010 Large Companies SME’S Total% Manufacturing R&D 80.6% 19.4% 73.4% Service R&D 14.75% 85.15% 26.6% All Industries R&D 63% 37% 100% Northern Ireland Research and Development Statistics 2010 11 Regional Context- Challenges in NI Public Sector • Public Sector dominated economy (63% GDP) Labour Market • Service Sector Dominated (Lower value) Brain Drain SME Dominated • High reliance on Government support for B.E.R.D. • High number not in employment (High Economic inactivity) • One-third of students leave to study elsewhere • Less than half of these (44%) return when degree is complete • 80% of NI private sector employment is in SMEs (under 60% for UK) • Only 22% of turnover is in large firms compared with 51% in UK Innovation • Lagging behind top EU performers in R&D spend and R&D • 480 out of 80,000 involved in R&D • Low in Innovation Scoreboard 12 Analysis Porter’s Diamond Cluster Analysis Analysis of Technology specialisations FDI analysis Foresight 13 Analysis Porter’s Diamond- Strengths Firm Structure/ Rivalry •SME Dominated Economy •SME make largest contribution in the UK •Companies beginning to be export orientated •Large increase in BERD in 2010 Factor Conditions Demand Conditions •Proximity to Europe, North America & India •Small region with devolved Government •Younger population than UK & EU average •Skills system founded on industry needs •Outperforms UK & EU in secondary education •Literacy levels similar to OECD average •Good Region for pilot projects •World class Telecommunication infrastructure •Demand traditionally linked to UK & Republic of Ireland •Access to Global Markets •A resilient Agri-food sector •Competitive ICT base •Competitive Science & Technology sector •Good recent record in FDI •Clusters in Aerospace, Science & Technology, business services, Financial Services, Tourism, Creative Industries •Collaborative Networks •Competence Centres •Innovation Centres •MATRIX (Science & Technology Panel) •NISP clustering across technology sectors Supporting Industries (Clusters) 14 Analysis Porter’s Diamond- Weaknesses Firm Structure/ Rivalry Factor Conditions •Over-reliance on public sector – Fiscal “Subvention” •Small private sector •Low levels of entrepreneurship •Low Innovation, Patients and absorptive capacity •Brain Drain’ and workforce migration •‘BMW’ Syndrome •Reliance on a few large firms Demand Conditions •Reliance on UK and Republic of Ireland Market •Fiscal subvention affects demand conditions •Weak Skill profile compared to world leading economies •High proportion of workforce with no qualifications •Low living standards, productivity & wages compared to leading economies •Over reliance on a small number of firms for R&D •Large amount of FDI in low value sectors •Small private sector with over reliance on public sector •Very few cluster organisations Supporting Industries (Clusters) 15 Analysis Regional S.W.O.T . Analysis Strengths New devolved political system Increasing Business Expenditure on R&D A cluster of high value sectors in MATRIX identified strategic markets such as Advanced Materials, Advanced Manufacturing, ICT, Life and Health Sciences, Agri-food and Sustainable Energy World class ICT infrastructure Central global location Small coastal region with small diverse population New Economic policy context of broad innovation Excellent Universities and research base Large public health & social services sector Weaknesses Opportunities Ideal region for EU pilot projects Opportunity to prioritise identified capabilities such as Agri-food, Sustainable Energy, Advanced Materials/ Manufacturing, ICT and Life and Health Sciences. Opportunity to develop ‘open innovation’ through an ‘Open Innovation’ Institute. Opportunity to provide more access to finance Opportunity to provide more Leadership in the development of an Innovation Council and Chief Scientific Advisor Opportunity to use the public sector as a driver of innovation through Innovative Procurement methods Use of Creativity and design as a driver of innovation Opportunity for innovative offerings using open data/ big data Opportunity to transform industrial legacy into new strengths such as Creative Industries. Low number of firms innovating Low number of firms collaborating SME dominated economy Public Sector dominated economy Poor access to finance and venture capital Legacy of Industrial decline in Ship Building, Linen & Textiles Fractured ‘Innovation ecosystem’ Threats Cuts in UK expenditure Lack of innovative culture Lack of critical mass Corporation Tax higher than Republic of Ireland 16 Analysis Analysis of Technology Specialisations “Cross sectoral market opportunities” 17 Analysis Analysis of Technology Specialisations • • • • • • 13 members (9 from industry) • Focus on strategic markets not sectors • ‘Now sight’ then Foresight • Involving 100 companies • R&D and science and technology issues Emerging relevant technology priorities Promotion of innovation, R&D, and creativity Promotion of Collaboration Overcome the perceived disadvantage of SME dominated economy Reports build on regional strengths and skills capabilities 18 Analysis Analysis of Technology Specialisations “Then focused on more specific cross-sectoral markets” •Priorities •Collaboration •Timescales “Exploiting capabilities and market opportunities” 19 Analysis Advanced Manufacturing Advanced Materials Life & Health Sciences Telecoms & ICT Agri-food 20 Analysis 21 Analysis Analysis of Technology Specialisations External Sales Exports Percentage of Total Sales 120% 100% 80% 99% 91% 90% 94% 74% 72% 68% 58% 60% 40% 27% 27% 20% 0% Adv Man Adv Mat Life Sci ICT Agrifood 22 Analysis Analysis of Technology Specialisations 90% 90% R&D 93% 93% Exports 12% 12% Jobs 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Proportion of NI Economy 23 Analysis Foresight System Scanning Creates shared understanding of issues Scenario Planning Conceptual modelling of market opportunity scenarios Analysis & Selection Prioritisation through negotiations among stakeholders Transformation Establish relationship between future and present for a change programme Action Plan Create structural and behavioural transformations to exploit markets 24 Analysis Foresight Foresight Reports–2 – 5 – 10 year; • Sustainable market opportunities • Exploitation priorities • Relevant wider global science and technology innovations • Early wins and longer term gains • Synergistic actions required • Enabling networks required • Investments required • Further analytical or horizon scanning work to be undertaken 25 Analysis Cluster Analysis- EU perspective Northern Ireland star clusters* are: Aerospace Stone quarries Business services Construction Financial services Power generation and transmission - Representing 79,700 employees (11% of total NI) *Stars awarded for industries based on: Size (within top 10% of employees in EU27) Specialisation (focus is more than twice EU27 average) Focus (within top 10% of clusters in the economy) 26 Analysis Cluster Analysis- top 10 sectors in N.I. within EU context Business services Aerospace Education and knowledge creation Stone quarries Construction Financial services Processed food Power generation and transmission Tourism and hospitality Building fixtures, equipment and services 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Score Data extracted from cluster observatory Size Specialisation Focus Star clusters represent 11% of total NI employment 27 Analysis Cluster Analysis-N.I. Industry Focus Business services Three largest sectors are ‘star clusters’ Construction Financial services Education and knowledge creation Processed food Remaining largest sectors are not ‘star clusters’ but NI may have strengths in these areas Transportation and logistics Tourism and hospitality Building fixtures and equipment Distribution IT 0 5,000 10,000 d) NI Industry Focus 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Employees (2009) 28 Analysis Cluster Analysis- Key groupings NI below UK average although above EU27 Proportion of Total Employment 14% 12% 10% 8% NI below both UK and EU27 averages 6% NI below both UK and EU27 averages 4% 2% 0% Creative and Cultural Business Services NI UK Life Sciences EU27 29 Analysis EU Star Clusters in N.I. within EU employment context Data extracted from cluster observatory Star clusters represent 11% of total NI employment 30 Analysis FDI Analysis Research Capabilities Analysis • Identified R&D intensive sectors • Identified Research Capability (R.A.E. , R.E.F. etc) • Alignment of research capability with FDI sectors • Prioritisation of FDI sectors using Northern Ireland Research Capability i.e. CRITICAL MASS 31 Analysis FDI Analysis- Exploiting N.I. research base High Correlation with Matrix Market Opportunities 32 Entrepreneurial dynamics Knowledge Exploitation Knowledge Generation “ A wide range of Innovation programmes” Knowledge Exchange 33 Entrepreneurial dynamics “ A wide range of Innovation programmes” Driving New Knowledge Applying New Knowledge Technology Led Competence Centres Grant for R&D: Industrial Research Collaborative R&D Adoption of Knowledge Building Innovation Open Access Facilities Grant for R&D: Experimental Development Knowledge Transfer Partnership Intellectual Property TDI Design Developing Capacity Proof of Concept Innovation Advice Innovation Vouchers Market Led Business Innovation Link Short Term Reward Long Term Reward 34 Entrepreneurial dynamics Collaborative Network Programme “a collection of businesses working in conjunction to share their complementary strengths and capabilities in order to achieve some common goal. By engaging in collaborative activities, it is envisaged that companies can ultimately improve the productivity and compete more effectively on the regional, national and international stages’ 35 Example of S3 Process Collaborative Networks “working together to achieve a common goal” “ Government provides Industry Experts as Honest Brokers” 36 Entrepreneurial dynamics Examples of Collaborative Networks Plastics & Polymers Medical Devices Global Maritime European Connected Health Glantek Whisple 37 Entrepreneurial dynamics Examples of Collaborative Networks 38 S3 process in action Recommendations Consultation Feedback Short listing Innovation ecosystem Collaborative Networks Competitive Call •Route to Market •Industrial Innovation Communities •Limited Liability Partnership •Competence Centres •Innovation Ecosystem •Open Innovation Expression of interest Industry Scoping Facilitation (by Industry experts) 39 Entrepreneurial dynamics Competence Centre Programme •Evolution of Collaborative Network Programme •Based on Competitive Call process •Potential Competence Centres in:•Sustainable Energy •Advanced Engineering/ Composites •Connected Health •Cloud Computing •Agri-Food 40 Entrepreneurial dynamics – business to business mentoring 41 Entrepreneurial dynamics Innovative Procurement – endorsed as policy across N.I. Government Phase 1- Proof of Concept Phase 2- Prototyping N.I. - 3% of UK Applications N.I. - 11% of UK contracts N.I. - 12% of total UK funding 42 SBRI Source: Technology strategy Board; Innovative Public Procurement (SBRI) Un-met Need Competition Phase S B R I Proof of Concept X Proof of Concept Proof of Concept Prototype Full Open Procurement X Proof of Concept Prototype Governance 44 Governance Innovation Support Ecosystem EUROPE NATIONAL LOCAL Framework / H2020 R&D Tax Credits Government Departments EU Structural Funds TSB Enterprise Ireland BIS Invest NI InterTrad e Ireland * Includes NISP, MATRIX, Sector Bodies etc HE / FE Other Support Orgs* Public Research Institutes 46 47 Critical Mass & Priorities 48 Critical Mass & Priorities Clusters Rebalancing themes 49 Critical Mass & Priorities 50 Related Variety & Smart Specialisations 51 Related Variety & Smart Specialisations Broad Smart Specialisations 1 2 3 4 5 6 A Agri-Food Decreased processing times Decreased processing times Increased Demand of niche foods Intelligent Energy Systems Functional Food Packaging & Shelf life B Intelligent Energy Systems Intelligent Energy Systems Intelligent Energy Systems Intelligent Energy Systems Intelligent Energy Systems Intelligent Energy Systems C Connected Health Remote Diagnostics, Expert Systems Medical DevicesIntelligent Sensors D Adv Man (Advanced Engineering) Intelligent Energy Systems Advanced Engineering & Composites E Film & TV production F Tourism G Social economy/ enterprise Remote Diagnostics, Expert Systems Decreased design & processing times Decreased processing times Increased attractions Social enterprise model in creative industries H Financial services Big data/ Data analytics I Business Services J Could computing K Adv Materials (Advanced Engineering) Big data/ Data analytics Open data/ big data Decreased processing times Decreased processing times open data/ big data opportunities Open data/ big data opportunities/ social impact measurement Big data/ Data analytics Connected Health, Remote Diagnostics, Expert Systems Niche food products Social enterprise model in Tourism e.g. Eco Tourism Big data/ Data analytics 52 S3 Priorities Agri-Food ICT Advanced Engineering Connected Health Intelligent Energy systems 53 S3 Priorities Agri-Food ICT Advanced Engineering Connected Health Intelligent Energy systems 54 S3 Priorities Northern Ireland Connected health innovation Centre(CHIC) CHIC targets research in e-Health •digital health •tele-health •tele-monitoring •disease management •and home based care. ICT Connected Health Centre for Advanced Sustainable Energy (CASE) Intelligent Energy systems Advanced Engineering Agri-Food 55 S3 Priorities ICT Connected Health Intelligent Energy systems Advanced Engineering Agri-Food 56 S3 Priorities ICT Connected Health Intelligent Energy systems Advanced Engineering Agri-Food 57 S3 Priorities ICT Connected Health Intelligent Energy systems Advanced Engineering Agri-Food 58 S3 Priorities ICT Connected Health Intelligent Energy systems Advanced Engineering Agri-Food 59 Measuring the Process Rebuilding & Rebalancing themes (Economic Strategy Themes) Innovation & R&D Skills & Employability Competing Globally Business Growth Economic Infrastructure Key Innovation metrics (Innovation Strategy themes) Knowledge Generation Knowledge Exchange Knowledge Exploitation Leadership & Behavioural changes 60 61 Measuring the Process LONG TERM INNOVATION STRATEGY GOALS NI Moderate EU regional ranking on innovation scoreboard 11th UK regional innovation performance Employment in knowledge-intensive sectors (as % of total employment) 32,200% NI KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE NI KNOWLEDGE EXPLOITATION NI Total R&D expenditure (£m) 521 Total spend on non-R&D innovation assets (£m) ** Turnover from innovative goods & services (% of total) 25% BERD by indigenous SMEs (£m) 83 Firms with innovation activity (% of firms) 27 % Firms applying for a form of innovation protection (%) 8% Number of R&D companies 430 45 % 18 % Private equity backed firms (per 1,000 VAT businesses) 16 STEM graduates (as % of total graduates) Co-operation on innovation activities (% of innovators) HE income from collaborative research (% of total income) 8% University spin-offs (per million persons) 27 KNOWLEDGE GENERATION ** To be developed Measuring the Process FULL DETAILS ON INNOVATION INDICATORS Indicator Measure Source Data NI UK EU regional innovation scoreboard - PRO INNO 2008-10 Moderate Follower UK regional innovation ranking - Innovation Survey 2008-10 11 (12) - Employment in knowledge economy as % of total employment NISP Report 2011 4.6% 6.1% Total R&D expenditure £ millions R&D Survey 2011 568 - BERD by indigenous SMEs £ millions R&D Survey 2011 83 - Total number of R&D companies - R&D Survey 2011 430 - STEM graduates as % of total graduates DEL, HESA 2011/12 18% 22% Total spend on non-R&D intangible assets £ billions NESTA Innovation Index 2009 - 108 Firms with innovation activity as % of total firms Innovation Survey 2008-10 27% 31% Firms with co-operation agreements as % of total innovators Innovation Survey 2008-10 45% 47% HE income from collaborative activities as % of total income HE-BCI, DEL 2010/11 18% 12% Turnover from innovative goods & services as % of total turnover Innovation Survey 2008-10 25% 30% HE spin-offs still active after 3 years per million persons HE-BCI, DEL 2010/11 27 16 Firms applying for innovation protection as % of total firms Innovation Survey 2008-10 8% 12% Number of private equity investments per 100,000 VAT businesses BVCA, NISP Report 2011 16 32 LONG TERM STRATEGY GOALS MEDIUM TERM KNOWLEDGE GENERATION MEDIUM TERM KNOWLEDGE EXCHANGE MEDIUM TERM KNOWLEDGE EXPLOITATION Measuring the Process Proposed ERDF programme Indicators ERDF Priority Indicators Priority 1.Strengthening Research, Technological Development and Innovation No of R&D projects supported Total planned investment of R&D supported projects No of R&D collaborative projects supported Research jobs supported No of companies supported engaging in R&D for the first time No of Proof of Concept projects supported Private Investment matching public support Priority 3. Enhancing the Competitiveness of SME's Number of projects supported No of SME’S Supported No of Jobs Promoted Total Planned Investment No of projects supported through NI Screen funding Leverage of additional direct NI spend to NI Screen funding Local Economic Development – indicator/s to be developed FEI – Performance indicators for FEIs TBC Number of Tourism SMES supported Revenue Increase of Tourism SMEs Marketing Campaign Return on Investment 2018 Milestone 2022 Targets 400 £150m 1,000 £350m TBC TBC 1,500 TBC 3,500 TBC 30 70 £140m £330m 700 30 [TBC] 450 £30m 30 1000 70 [TBC] 1,050 £70m 70 TBC TBC TBC TBC TBC 73 10% £6 per £1 invested TBC 170 TBC £6 per £1 invested 64 THANK YOU #InnovationNI 65