Enrollment Forecast - Fayette County Issues Tea Party

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Fayette County Issues Tea Party
October 30, 2012
Fayette First
fayettecountyissuesteaparty.org
Objective
Benchmark Current Status
Solutions
Provide Our 21,000 Children
the Best Public Education In GA,
within our budget
http://www.schooldigger.com/go/GA/schoolrank.aspx pagetype=top10
Fayette County Schools
http://www.schooldigger.com/go/GA/district/02130/search.aspx
Fayette County
Graduation Rate
Dropout Rate
Spending/student
Students Per Teacher
No. of Schools
No. of Students
No. of (FTE) Teachers
Fayette
GA
89.2%
65.4%
1.0%
4.3%
$9,591
$9,692
14.1
13.9
31
2,608
22,118 1,655,792
1,573
118,839
A
APS
50.5%
7.8%
$13,999
13.0
114
49,032
3,764
F
C
D
A+
A
A-
B+
2
6
3
4
6 Middle Schools
1
3
1
1
5 High Schools
1
3
1
17 Elementary Schools
B
3 Evening, open campus & alternative schools
http://www.localschooldirectory.com/district-schools/656/Fayette-County-School-District/GA
B
B-
C+
1
1
not rated
2012 SAT Scores
Demographics: Age
Median Age: 41
Building Permits
Family Units:
Demographics: Housing & Income
FCBE Budget
General Fund Revenues & Expenses
Enrollment
Revenues
Expenses
Source: FCBE CAFR; Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, and Changes In Fund Balances, Actual
(Debt-reduction bond expense is not included in General Fund accounts)
FCBE Budget
Revenues
Enrollment
Local, other
State
Federal
Source: FCBE CAFR; Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, and Changes In Fund Balances, Actual
FCBE Budget
Expenses
Enrollment
Instruction
Support Services
Debt Service
Source: FCBE CAFR; Statement of Revenues, Expenditures, and Changes In Fund Balances, Actual
High School
Middle School
Elementary School
Source: FCBE CAFR
3%
51%
1%
2%
5%
11%
6%
6%
14%
Basic Staffing
Principal
$85,000
Assistant Principal
70,000
Secretary
50,000
Art Teacher
50,000
Music Teacher
45,000
Media Specialist
40,000
Media ParaPro
35,000
Custodial staff x 2
75,000
Bookkeeper
45,000
Technology
55,000
Phys Ed Teacher
50,000
State Funded Staff
State Funded
Qty
Amount
Assistant Principal
Teachers
Bus Drivers
Other?
Totals
FCBE Payroll
Qty
Amount
Feeders and Demographics
+125
+33
+85
Elem
100%
60%
Middle
30%
Elem
Elem
Hi
40%
70%
15%
30%
85%
55%
Middle
45%
25%
Elem
Elem
-301
75%
Hi
30%
70%
Middle
-147
100%
-423
Facility Utilization
Elementary Schools, 2011
Reference: 2011 Fayette County School Board Comprehensive Annual Financial Report
Facility Utilization
Middle Schools, 2011
Reference: 2011 Fayette County School Board Comprehensive Annual Financial Report
Facility Utilization
High Schools, 2011
Reference: 2011 Fayette County School Board Comprehensive Annual Financial Report
Enrollment Forecast
Carl Vinson Institute, UGA, undated
Enrollment Forecast
Carl Vinson Institute, UGA, undated
Enrollment Forecast
Carl Vinson Institute, UGA, undated
Enrollment Forecast
Carl Vinson Institute, UGA, undated
What Drives Success?
Students per Teacher
District Ranking in GA
Student-Teacher Ratio, -12% Correlation
1st Grade, 1987- 24 Students
What Drives Success?
Cost per Student
District Ranking in GA
Cost per Student, 10% Correlation
College & Career Academy
• Provides additional choices, opportunities
• Inventory needed skills, potential applicants
• Benchmark current college & career
provisions
• How to augment/integrate existing programs?
• Funding
Considerations
• Data driven decisions
- Create & maintain accurate (changing) demographics
- Tracking graduates’ performance
• Financial Management
- Conform to GA chart of accounts
- Zero-base the budget
- Improve revenue & expense forecasting
• Zero-based property assessment: what do we need?
• Teacher work periods in common room; use empty
classrooms; Conform to GA staffing rules
• Combine elementary, middle, high school bus routes
Considerations
• Close select schools; re-district
• Cross-county enrollments
• Superintendent: use a turn-around specialist,
then a permanent Sup.
• PTOs fund subs to allow Teachers’ Professional
Development
• ESPLOST
• How to increase parental involvement where
there is little
Step Up,
Stay Involved
fayettecountyissuesteaparty.org
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